Jin-Chuan Duan

National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute

Professor

1 Business Link

Singapore, 117592

Singapore

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

22

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Top 13,015

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7,475

TOTAL CITATIONS
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SSRN RANKINGS

Top 8,975

in Total Papers Citations

152

Scholarly Papers (22)

1.

Multiperiod Corporate Default Prediction - A Forward Intensity Approach

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 26 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 18 May 2012
Jin-Chuan Duan, Jie Sun and Tao Wang
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Finance
Downloads 895 (53,863)
Citation 21

Abstract:

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default, bankruptcy, forward intensity, maximum pseudo-likelihood, forward default probability, cumulative default probability, accuracy ratio

2.

Estimating Merton's Model by Maximum Likelihood with Survivorship Consideration

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jun 2004
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, HEC Montréal, Department of decision Sciences and GERADaffiliation not provided to SSRN and HEC Montreal
Downloads 839 (58,834)
Citation 25

Abstract:

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3.

Jump Starting GARCH: Pricing and Hedging Options With Jumps in Returns and Volatilities

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 06-19, AFA 2004 San Diego Meetings
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Dec 2003 Last Revised: 30 Oct 2007
Jin-Chuan Duan, Peter H. Ritchken and Zhiqiang Sun
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, Case Western Reserve University - Department of Banking & Finance and National City Bank
Downloads 837 (59,029)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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GARCH option models, stochastic volatility models with jumps, pricing and hedging options

4.

Jump and Volatility Risk Premiums Implied by VIX

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 01 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 22 Mar 2011
Jin-Chuan Duan, Chung-Ying Yeh and Chung-Ying Yeh
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and National Chung Hsing UniversityNational Chung Hsing University - Department of Finance
Downloads 734 (70,234)
Citation 6

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Model-free volatility, stochastic volatility, jump, options, VIX, Constant elasticity of variance

5.

Price and Volatility Dynamics Implied by the VIX Term Structure

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 20 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 16 Mar 2012
Jin-Chuan Duan, Chung-Ying Yeh and Chung-Ying Yeh
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and National Chung Hsing UniversityNational Chung Hsing University - Department of Finance
Downloads 639 (83,806)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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Model-free volatility, stochastic volatility, jumps, options, VIX term structure, Constant elasticity of variance

6.

Forward-Looking Market Risk Premium

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 07 Apr 2010 Last Revised: 04 Sep 2013
Jin-Chuan Duan and Weiqi Zhang
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 556 (100,051)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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Risk premium, forward looking, GARCH, options, volatility spread, skewness, kurtosis

7.

Default Probabilities of Privately Held Firms

Journal of Banking and Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 16 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2018
Jin-Chuan Duan, Baeho Kim, Woojin Kim and Donghwa Shin
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, Korea University Business School (KUBS), Seoul National University - Business School and University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Kenan-Flagler Business School
Downloads 518 (109,181)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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Default probability; Term structure; Privately held firm; Interest charge

Systematic Risk and the Price Structure of Individual Equity Options

Review of Financial Studies, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 21 May 2007
Jin-Chuan Duan and Jason Wei
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management
Downloads 327 (183,350)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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systematic risk, implied volatility, option price structure,equity options

Systematic Risk and the Price Structure of Individual Equity Options

The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 22, Issue 5, pp. 1981-2006, 2009
Posted: 13 Apr 2009
Jin-Chuan Duan and Jason Wei
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management

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G10, G13

9.

Density-Tempered Marginalized Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 12 May 2011 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2013
Jin-Chuan Duan and Andras Fulop
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and ESSEC Business School
Downloads 323 (187,265)
Citation 7

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Particle Filter, MCMC, Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers, Bayesian Methods

10.

Cascading Defaults and Systemic Risk of a Banking Network

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 13 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Nov 2013
Jin-Chuan Duan and Changhao Zhang
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and GIC Private Limited
Downloads 313 (193,511)
Citation 10

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systematic risk, systemic exposure, systemic fragility, credit risk, operational risk, netting, stress testing, bridge sampling, SIFI

11.

Clustered Defaults

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 23 Nov 2009 Last Revised: 28 Mar 2010
Jin-Chuan Duan
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute
Downloads 309 (196,296)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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12.

Is Systematic Risk Priced in Options?

Rotman School of Management Working Paper No. 06-05
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 16 May 2006
Jin-Chuan Duan and Jason Wei
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management
Downloads 283 (215,254)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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systematic risk, option prices, implied volatility, skewness

13.

Multiperiod Corporate Default Prediction with the Partially-Conditioned Forward Intensity

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2013
Jin-Chuan Duan and Andras Fulop
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and ESSEC Business School
Downloads 262 (232,648)
Citation 8

Abstract:

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default, forward default intensity, pseudo-bayesian inference, sequential monte carlo, self-normalized asymptotics

14.

On Diversification Discount - the Effect of Leverage

Rotman School of Management Working Paper No. 06-06
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 May 2006
Jin-Chuan Duan and Yun Li
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management
Downloads 231 (263,398)
Citation 1

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15.

Liquidity and Default

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 16 Jun 2014
Jin-Chuan Duan and Qiqi Zou
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Finance
Downloads 182 (328,536)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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market liquidity, funding liquidity, distance-to-default, solvency, forward intensity, logistic regression

16.

Non-Gaussian Bridge Sampling with an Application

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 19 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2015
Jin-Chuan Duan and Changhao Zhang
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and GIC Private Limited
Downloads 160 (367,459)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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sequential Monte Carlo, density tempering, Metropolis-Hastings, GARCH, systemic risk, infill estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Latent Variable Models by SMC with Marginalization and Data Cloning

USC-INET Research Paper No. 17-27
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Sep 2017
Jin-Chuan Duan, Andras Fulop and Yu-Wei Hsieh
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, ESSEC Business School and Amazon
Downloads 67 (677,433)

Abstract:

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Sequential Monte Carlo, Data Clone, Latent Variable, Maximum Likelihood, Monte Carlo Optimization

Data-Cloning SMC 2 for Applications to Latent Variable Models

Posted: 23 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2021
Jin-Chuan Duan, Andras Fulop and Yu-Wei Hsieh
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, ESSEC Business School and Amazon

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Sequential Monte Carlo, Data Clone, Latent Variable, Maximum Likelihood, Monte Carlo Optimization

18.

Pricing Discretely Monitored Barrier Options by a Markov Chain

Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 10, 2003
Posted: 08 Oct 2013
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute, Queen's University - Smith School of Business, Department of decision Sciences and GERADaffiliation not provided to SSRN and HEC Montréal

Abstract:

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Barrier option, Markov chain

19.

Convergence Speed of GARCH Option Price to Diffusion Option Price

International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Forthcoming
Posted: 17 May 2010
Jin-Chuan Duan and Yazhen Wang
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Statistics

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Convergence rate, European option, stochastic volatility

20.

Option Valuation with Co-Integrated Asset Prices

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 28, No. 4, pp. 727-754, 2004
Posted: 27 Dec 2000
Jin-Chuan Duan and Stanley R. Pliska
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Finance

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21.

Estimating and Testing Exponential-Affine Term Structure Models by Kalman Filter

Posted: 20 Apr 2000
Jin-Chuan Duan and Jean-Guy Simonato
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and HEC Montréal

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22.

Pricing Foreign Currency and Cross-Currency Options Under GARCH

Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 51-63, 1999
Posted: 25 Aug 1998
Jin-Chuan Duan and Jason Wei
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Business School and Risk Management Institute and University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management

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