Olivier Coibion

University of Texas at Austin

2317 Speedway

Austin, TX Texas 78712

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

74

DOWNLOADS
Rank 7,976

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 7,976

in Total Papers Downloads

11,136

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 119

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 119

in Total Papers Citations

6,005

CROSSREF CITATIONS

591

Scholarly Papers (74)

1.

The Predictive Characteristics of Energy Futures: Recent Evidence for Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline and Heating Oil

UCSC Economics Working Paper No. 490
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 29 Oct 2001
Menzie David Chinn, Michael LeBlanc and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 1,334 (30,013)
Citation 7

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futures, energy, forecasting, efficient markets hypothesis

The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-08, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-60
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 06 May 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 669 (76,719)
Citation 1

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Subjective expectations, consumer spending, labor market, employment, COVID -19, surveys

The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-60
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 05 May 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 137 (409,130)
Citation 2

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Subjective expectations, consumer spending, labor market, employment, COVID -19, surveys

The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

CESifo Working Paper No. 8292
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 20 May 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 96 (535,178)
Citation 21

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subjective expectations, consumer spending, labor market, employment, COVID-19, surveys

The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

NBER Working Paper No. w27141
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 12 May 2020 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 80 (600,630)
Citation 15

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The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13224
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 14 May 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 62 (690,588)

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labor market, consumer spending, subjective expectations, employment, COVID-19, surveys

Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-41, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-06, Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 612 (85,864)
Citation 14

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labor market, unemployment, employment, COVID-19

Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

CESifo Working Paper No. 8238
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 24 Apr 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 325 (181,302)
Citation 4

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labor market, unemployment, employment, covid-19

Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13139
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 20 Apr 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 58 (719,152)

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labor market, unemployment, employment, COVID-19

Labor Markets During the Covid-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View

NBER Working Paper No. w27017
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 20 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 27 (952,943)
Citation 26

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4.
Downloads 637 (82,882)
Citation 16

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

La Follette School of Public Affairs Working Paper No. 2009-016
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 21 Oct 2009
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 396 (145,874)
Citation 8

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futures, energy, petroleum, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline, precious metals, base metals, agricultural commodities, forecasting, efficient markets hypothesis, backwardation, contango

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 24 Mar 2010
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 189 (311,987)

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Futures, Energy, Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Precious Metals, Base Metals, Agricultural Commodities, Forecasting, Efficient Markets Hypothesis

The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures

NBER Working Paper No. w15830
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2023
Menzie David Chinn and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 52 (750,411)
Citation 11

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The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Forthcoming, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 22-10, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper 2022-40
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 15 Mar 2022 Last Revised: 26 May 2022
University of Chicago - Finance, Georgetown University, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 460 (122,221)
Citation 1

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Macroeconomics, Intertemporal Choice, Consumption, Savings, Surveys, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, Experiments, Financial Decision-making, Cognition, Communication

The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15391
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Jul 2022
University of Chicago - Finance, Georgetown University, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 42 (821,018)
Citation 20

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macroeconomics, intertemporal choice, consumption, savings, surveys, monetary policy, fiscal policy, experiments, financial decision-making, cognition, communication

The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2022-64
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 May 2022
University of Chicago - Finance, Georgetown University, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 35 (878,225)
Citation 12

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The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications

NBER Working Paper No. w30046
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 16 May 2022 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, Georgetown University, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 11 (1,135,698)
Citation 1

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Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S.

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 20-36
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 05 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 04 May 2020
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Swiss Finance Institute and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 302 (196,105)
Citation 28

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Monetary policy, income inequality, consumption inequality

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S

NBER Working Paper No. w18170
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 22 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 24 Feb 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Swiss Finance Institute and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 124 (442,670)
Citation 31

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Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S

IMF Working Paper No. 12/199
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Swiss Finance Institute and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 55 (731,328)

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Income Inequality, Consumption Inequality, External Shocks, Income Distribution, Prices, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles,money And Interest Rates,monetary Policy, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 6633
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 16 Jun 2012
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Swiss Finance Institute and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 40 (836,632)

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monetary policy, income inequality, consumption inequality

Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

Fama-Miller Working Paper, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 19-03
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 16 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 09 Nov 2022
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 186 (315,112)
Citation 6

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Expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2019-03
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 15 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2019
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 153 (373,967)

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expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w25482
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 30 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 16 Feb 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 40 (836,632)
Citation 145

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Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-45, Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 28 Oct 2020 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 181 (324,736)

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Elections, political views, COVID-19, expectations, randomized controlled trial, Bayesian learning.

Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-158
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 28 Oct 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 104 (506,050)

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Elections, political views, COVID-19, expectations, randomized controlled trial, Bayesian learning

Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13823
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 09 Nov 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 26 (962,908)
Citation 4

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elections, political views, COVID-19, expectations, randomized controlled trial, Bayesian learning

Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes

NBER Working Paper No. w28044
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 02 Nov 2020 Last Revised: 16 Feb 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 14 (1,098,856)
Citation 2

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Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 23-10
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 23 May 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 166 (348,899)

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Cryptocurrency, household finance, surveys

Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2023-70
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 31 May 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 72 (638,094)

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Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16335
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 26 Jul 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (852,925)

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cryptocurrency, household finance, surveys

Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance

NBER Working Paper No. w31284
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 29 May 2023 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 8 (1,172,681)
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10.
Downloads 261 (229,164)
Citation 17

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-109
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 17 Aug 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 69 (653,080)

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Expectations, surveys, marginal propensity to consume, labor supply, fiscal policy, COVID-19

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-21, Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 17 Aug 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 60 (701,767)
Citation 2

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Expectations, surveys, marginal propensity to consume, labor supply, fiscal policy, COVID-19

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

CESifo Working Paper No. 8510
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Aug 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 50 (763,581)
Citation 2

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expectations, surveys, marginal propensity to consume, labor supply, fiscal policy, COVID-19

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13604
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 24 Aug 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 45 (798,472)
Citation 6

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expectations, surveys, marginal propensity to consume, labor supply, fiscal policy, COVID-19

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

NBER Working Paper No. w27693
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 17 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 03 Mar 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 37 (861,115)
Citation 11

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11.
Downloads 246 (243,042)
Citation 32

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-02, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-06, Initiative on Global Markets Paper No. 161
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 13 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2022
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 154 (371,951)

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Expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

CESifo Working Paper No. 8118
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 27 Feb 2020
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 38 (852,925)
Citation 24

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expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12979
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 24 Feb 2020
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 37 (861,115)
Citation 1

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expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w26778
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 24 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 03 Mar 2023
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 17 (1,062,783)
Citation 9

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2557
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 24 May 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 109 (488,629)
Citation 20

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2021-35, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 22-17
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 06 Apr 2021 Last Revised: 12 Oct 2022
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 89 (562,185)
Citation 2

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Uncertainty, household spending, household finance, Consumer Expectations Survey, randomized control trial

The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

IZA Discussion Paper No. 14213
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 30 Mar 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 28 (943,146)

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

NBER Working Paper No. w28625
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 29 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 20 Mar 2022
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 16 (1,086,571)

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15966
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 31 Mar 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
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13.

Tell Me Something I Don’t Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 23-14, Fama-Miller Working Paper , University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2023-102
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 20 Jul 2023 Last Revised: 22 Aug 2024
University of Chicago - Finance, University of Montevideo, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, University of Texas at Austin, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, European Central Bank (ECB), Universidad ORT Uruguay, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Central Bank of Uruguay
Downloads 222 (268,278)

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Inattention, RCTs, inflation expectations

14.
Downloads 220 (270,601)
Citation 11

Does Policy Communication During COVID work?

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 20-15, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2020-76
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 12 Jun 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 166 (348,899)

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E31, C83, D84, J26

Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?

CESifo Working Paper No. 8369
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 23 Jun 2020
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 29 (933,235)
Citation 10

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subjective expectations, fiscal policy, monetary policy, COVID-19, surveys

Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?

NBER Working Paper No. w27384
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 22 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 25 (973,229)

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Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation

NBER Working Paper No. w14621
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 15 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 15 Dec 2022
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 115 (469,183)
Citation 57

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Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation, and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 10 Nov 2009
Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 92 (550,403)
Citation 26

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Trend inflation, Determinacy, Great Moderation, Monetary Policy

Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 07 Nov 2010
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 85 (578,671)
Citation 4

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Expectations, Information Rigidity, Survey Forecasts

Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts

IMF Working Paper No. 12/296
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 28 Feb 2013
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 68 (658,321)
Citation 90

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Economic forecasting, Economic models, Expectations, Information Rigidity, Survey Forecasts.

Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts

NBER Working Paper No. w16537
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 22 Nov 2010 Last Revised: 10 Mar 2023
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (869,558)
Citation 276

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The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic

Chicago Booth Research Paper 22-01, Fama-Miller Working Paper, University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2022-09
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 14 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2022
Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 106 (498,858)

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Inflation expectations, surveys, COVID19

The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2022-09
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 21 Jan 2022
Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 61 (696,118)
Citation 5

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The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households Before and During the Covid19 Pandemic

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16930
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 04 Feb 2022
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
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Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data

FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 14-01
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 23 Jan 2014
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Northwestern University
Downloads 72 (638,094)
Citation 10

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inequality, household debt, Great Recession

Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7910
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 01 Feb 2014
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Northwestern University
Downloads 61 (696,118)

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inequality, household debt, Great Recession

Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data

NBER Working Paper No. w19850
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 25 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Northwestern University
Downloads 33 (896,216)

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19.

The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline

NBER Working Paper No. w11033
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 03 Feb 2005 Last Revised: 26 Aug 2022
Menzie David Chinn, Michael LeBlanc and Olivier Coibion
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) - Economic Research Service (ERS) and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 155 (369,756)
Citation 1

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Strategic Interaction Among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 18 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 04 May 2009
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 90 (558,179)
Citation 3

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Heterogeneity, Price-setting, DSGE

Strategic Interaction Among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model

NBER Working Paper No. w14323
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 15 Sep 2008 Last Revised: 20 Feb 2022
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (914,302)

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21.
Downloads 118 (457,646)
Citation 52

Why are Target Interest Rate Changes so Persistent?

NBER Working Paper No. w16707
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 19 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 25 Feb 2023
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 68 (658,321)
Citation 3

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Why are Target Interest Rate Changes so Persistent?

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 12 Jan 2011
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 50 (763,581)
Citation 23

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Taylor rules, interest rate smoothing, monetary policy shocks

22.
Downloads 118 (457,646)
Citation 5

The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 03 Aug 2010
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
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Citation 4

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Optimal Inflation, New Keynesian, Zero Bound, Price Level Targeting

The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models

NBER Working Paper No. w16093
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 21 Jun 2010 Last Revised: 23 Jun 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 47 (784,119)
Citation 2

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Keeping Up with the Jansens: Causal Peer Effects on Household Spending, Beliefs and Happiness

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16769
Number of pages: 98 Posted: 01 Feb 2024
De Nederlandsche Bank, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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peer effects, surveys

Keeping up with the Jansens: Causal peer effects on household spending, beliefs and happiness

De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 804
Number of pages: 99 Posted: 22 Feb 2024 Last Revised: 27 Mar 2024
De Nederlandsche Bank, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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Peer effects, surveys

Keeping Up with the Jansens: Causal Peer Effects on Household Spending, Beliefs and Happiness

NBER Working Paper No. w32107
Number of pages: 97 Posted: 06 Feb 2024
De Nederlandsche Bank, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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24.
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Citation 70

Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Apr 2010
Olivier Coibion
University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 64 (679,568)
Citation 24

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Monetary Policy, Shocks, Taylor rule

Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?

NBER Working Paper No. w17034
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 09 May 2011 Last Revised: 19 Jul 2023
Olivier Coibion
University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 48 (777,229)

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Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 26 Oct 2013
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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Unemployment persistence, Labor mobility, Trust, Demographics

Amerisclerosis? the Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence

NBER Working Paper No. w19600
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 01 Nov 2013 Last Revised: 23 Jul 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (852,925)

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Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7715
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 04 Dec 2013
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 34 (887,171)
Citation 8

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unemployment persistence, labor mobility, trust, demographics

How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 651, August 2019
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 04 Sep 2019
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and De Nederlandsche Bank
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survey data, inflation expectations, households, durable and non-durable consumption, randomized control trial

How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 27 Jul 2019
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and De Nederlandsche Bank
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survey data, inflation expectations, households, durable and non-durable consumption, randomized control trial

How Does Consumption Respond to News About Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12498
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 12 Aug 2019
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and De Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 27 (952,943)
Citation 4

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survey data, inflation expectations, households, durable and non-durable consumption, randomized control trial

How Does Consumption Respond to News About Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

NBER Working Paper No. w26106
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 02 Aug 2019 Last Revised: 10 Jul 2023
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and De Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 18 (1,062,783)

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27.

Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 26 Oct 2007
Olivier Coibion
University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 107 (491,909)
Citation 11

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Sticky Information, Expectations, Inflation

Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16305
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 14 Jul 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Universidad ORT Uruguay, University of Montevideo, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) and Central Bank of Uruguay
Downloads 53 (743,884)

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inattention, RCTs, inflation expectations

Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

ECB Working Paper No. 2024/2914
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 13 Mar 2024
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, Columbia University, Bank of Italy, Universidad ORT at Uruguay, University of Montevideo, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) and Central Bank of Uruguay
Downloads 41 (836,632)

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inattention, inflation expectations, RCTs

Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

NBER Working Paper No. w31485
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 24 Jul 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, Bank of Italy, Universidad ORT Uruguay, University of Montevideo, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) and Central Bank of Uruguay
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Citation 3
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29.

The Comovement in Commodity Prices: Sources and Implications

IMF Working Paper No. 13/140
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 21 Jun 2013
Ron Alquist and Olivier Coibion
Financial Stability Oversight Council, U.S. Treasury and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 98 (523,191)

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Commodity prices, Business cycles, Commodity price fluctuations, Economic models, commodity prices, comovement: factor models, factor analysis, global production, agricultural commodities, idiosyncratic shocks, aggregate shocks, price fluctuations, exogenous shock, wholesale price, dynamic effects, aggregate consumption, import price, export price, oil prices, commodity exchange, output growth, oil shock, elasticity of substitution, nominal interest rate, price support, market equilibrium, global market, supply chain, unit of labor

30.

Inflation Expectations and Firms’ Decisions: New Causal Evidence

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 1219, April 2019
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 06 Aug 2019
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Tiziano Ropele
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 96 (530,273)
Citation 56

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inflation expectations, surveys, inattention

What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 10 Nov 2009
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (784,119)
Citation 77

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expectations, information rigidity, survey forecasts

What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?

NBER Working Paper No. w14586
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 29 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2022
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 45 (798,472)
Citation 165

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32.

The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve

NBER Working Paper No. w23304
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 05 Apr 2017 Last Revised: 06 Mar 2022
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Rupal Kamdar
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Indiana University, Bloomington
Downloads 86 (567,772)
Citation 132

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On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations

Kilts Center at Chicago Booth Marketing Data Center Paper No. Forthcoming
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 15 Apr 2024
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 78 (609,759)
Citation 1

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expectations, surveys, inflation, unemployment

On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w32406
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 14 May 2024
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
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No Firm Is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms’ Expectations

Banque de France Working Paper No. 780
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 15 Sep 2020
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, University of Texas at Austin, Banque de France - Centre de Recherche and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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Citation 17

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Expectations, Rational Inattention

No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms’ Expectations

FRB of Boston Working Paper No. 20-17
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 04 Jan 2021
Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (905,194)
Citation 13

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expectations, rational inattention

35.

Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation

NBER Working Paper No. w19598
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 01 Nov 2013 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2023
Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 69 (642,307)
Citation 179

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36.
Downloads 68 (647,314)
Citation 18

Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10882
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 31 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (869,558)

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expenditure inequality, consumption inequality

Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases

NBER Working Paper No. w23357
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 01 May 2017 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitri Koustas
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (905,194)
Citation 18

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Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12037
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 23 Jan 2019
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Tiziano Ropele
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 39 (844,692)
Citation 31

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inflation expectations, surveys, inattention

Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w25412
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 31 Dec 2018 Last Revised: 09 Jun 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Tiziano Ropele
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Bank of Italy
Downloads 27 (952,943)
Citation 106

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38.

Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?

NBER Working Paper No. w24788
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 13 Jul 2018 Last Revised: 26 Mar 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Auckland University of Technology - Faculty of Business & Law and Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
Downloads 65 (662,213)
Citation 133

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39.
Downloads 64 (667,376)
Citation 26

Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 20-26R
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 22 Sep 2020 Last Revised: 21 Dec 2021
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
Downloads 47 (784,119)
Citation 25

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inflation targeting, inflation expectations, surveys, communication, randomized controlled trial

Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w27836
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 21 Sep 2020 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
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Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15307
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 22 Sep 2020
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
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communication, Inflation expectations, Inflation targeting, randomized controlled trial, Surveys

The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households Before and During the Covid19 Pandemic

NBER Working Paper No. w29640
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 18 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 22 May 2023
Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 35 (878,225)

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The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15027
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 25 May 2022
Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 26 (962,908)
Citation 2

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inflation expectations, COVID-19, surveys

The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15449
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 02 Aug 2022
Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 51 (757,025)
Citation 8

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uncertainty, firm decisions, surveys, randomized control trial

The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions

NBER Working Paper No. w30288
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 25 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 9 (1,160,279)
Citation 22

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42.

Fiscal Policy and Household’s Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 21-07, Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 17 Feb 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 54 (722,028)

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Expectations management, inflation expectations, surveys

43.

How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w21092
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 13 Apr 2015 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Saten Kumar
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Auckland University of Technology - Faculty of Business & Law
Downloads 54 (722,028)
Citation 56

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44.

Commodity-Price Comovement and Global Economic Activity

NBER Working Paper No. w20003
Number of pages: 101 Posted: 24 Mar 2014 Last Revised: 27 Feb 2022
Ron Alquist and Olivier Coibion
Financial Stability Oversight Council, U.S. Treasury and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 52 (734,048)
Citation 22

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45.

One for Some or One for All? Taylor Rules and Interregional Heterogeneity

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 26 Oct 2007
Olivier Coibion and Daniel Goldstein
University of Texas at Austin and Pennsylvania State University
Downloads 52 (734,048)
Citation 2

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Regional Heterogeneity, Monetary Policy, Taylor Rules

Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

IZA Discussion Paper No. 14114
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 22 Feb 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 30 (923,673)

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Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

CESifo Working Paper No. 8905
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 03 Mar 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 21 (1,027,697)

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47.

Inflation Expectations and Corporate Borrowing Decisions: New Causal Evidence

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15614
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 08 Oct 2022
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 49 (752,859)

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inflation expectations, surveys, inattention

The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications

IMF Working Paper No. 12/207
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 01 Nov 2012
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gee Hee Hong
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 30 (923,673)
Citation 16

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Sales, Price Changes, Store-switching, Inflation Measurement, Economic Conditions, Economic Models, Prices, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles,money And Interest Rates,monetary Policy, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit

The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications

NBER Working Paper No. w18273
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 03 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 07 Jun 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Gee Hee Hong
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 17 (1,062,783)
Citation 6

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49.

Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand

NBER Working Paper No. w21814
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 21 Dec 2015 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
Auckland University of Technology - Faculty of Business & Law, Columbia University, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 45 (779,280)
Citation 16

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Fiscal Policy and Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2021-26
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 23 Feb 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 33 (896,216)

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Fiscal Policy and Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

NBER Working Paper No. w28485
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 22 Feb 2021 Last Revised: 01 May 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 9 (1,160,279)

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51.

Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures

NBER Working Paper No. w25511
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 04 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 17 Mar 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (800,456)
Citation 1

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52.

Do You Know that I Know that You Know...? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data

NBER Working Paper No. w24987
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 17 Sep 2018 Last Revised: 10 Apr 2023
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, Auckland University of Technology - Faculty of Business & Law and Wake Forest University
Downloads 42 (800,456)
Citation 48

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53.

The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output

NBER Working Paper No. w23580
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 17 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 07 Jun 2023
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 41 (807,643)
Citation 12

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The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 28 Mar 2023
University of California, Berkeley, University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 23 (994,359)

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inflation, unemployment, expectations, surveys, anchoring, managers

The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers

NBER Working Paper No. w29986
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 May 2022 Last Revised: 08 Jun 2023
Ethan McClure, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (1,074,585)

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55.

The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey

IZA Discussion Paper No. 14378
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 22 May 2021
Stephen Sheflin, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (830,584)

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Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15069
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 19 May 2022
University Paris-Est Créteil (UPEC), Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 26 (962,908)

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expectations, rational inattention, surveys, firms

Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France

NBER Working Paper No. w29376
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 18 Oct 2021 Last Revised: 08 Apr 2023
Banque de France, Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 10 (1,147,800)

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Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17011
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 29 Mar 2022
University of Texas at Austin, Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Banque de France
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Expectations, firms, rational inattention, Surveys

The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions

IZA Discussion Paper No. 17317
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 01 Oct 2024
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 30 (923,673)

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inflation uncertainty, consumption, household finance, labor supply, consumer expectations survey

The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions

NBER Working Paper No. w33014
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 07 Oct 2024
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 5 (1,210,521)
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58.

Does Policy Communication During Covid-19 Work?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13355
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 15 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 33 (871,440)
Citation 5

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subjective expectations, fiscal policy, monetary policy, COVID-19, surveys

59.

Infrequent But Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation

NBER Working Paper No. w22510
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 16 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 05 Jul 2023
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (871,440)
Citation 4

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60.

Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16670
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 19 Dec 2023
Isabelle Salle, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Ottawa, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 28 (915,808)

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inflation experience, experiments, surveys, randomized control trial

Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 1437
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 31 May 2024
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
Bank of Italy, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 13 (1,110,965)

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misallocation, inflation expectations

Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy

NBER Working Paper No. w31190
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 01 May 2023 Last Revised: 15 May 2023
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
Bank of Italy, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 12 (1,123,176)
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62.

Firms’ Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France

Banque de France Working Paper No. 840
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 25 Oct 2021
Banque de France, Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 23 (964,233)

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Inflation Expectations, Firms, Survey, Wages

63.

Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents

NBER Working Paper No. w27800
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 14 Sep 2020 Last Revised: 18 Jun 2023
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (984,976)
Citation 25

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64.

Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16106
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 04 May 2023
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
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misallocation, inflation expectations

65.

The Macroeconomic Expectations of Firms

NBER Working Paper No. w30042
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 16 May 2022 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 20 (995,654)
Citation 9

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66.

Tell Me Something I Don'T Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2023-8
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 30 Aug 2023
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), University of California, Berkeley, Bank of Italy, Universidad ORT at Uruguay, University of Montevideo, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley, European Central Bank (ECB), University of Texas at Austin and European Central Bank (ECB)
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inattention, RCTs, inflation expectation

67.

The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey

NBER Working Paper No. w28836
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 24 May 2021 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2022
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (1,050,842)

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68.

No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations

NBER Working Paper No. w27317
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 09 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 20 Feb 2023
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, University of Texas at Austin, Banque de France - Centre de Recherche and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
Downloads 8 (1,130,842)
Citation 14

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69.

Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab

NBER Working Paper No. w31996
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 02 Jan 2024
Isabelle Salle, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
University of Ottawa, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 7 (1,142,352)
Citation 2
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70.

Keep Calm and Bank on: Panic-Driven Bank Runs and the Role of Public Communication

NBER Working Paper No. w31644
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 05 Sep 2023
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Georgetown University, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
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71.

Inflation Expectations and Corporate Borrowing Decisions: New Causal Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w30537
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 17 Oct 2022 Last Revised: 10 Jun 2023
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion
Bank of Italy, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 3 (1,189,380)

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72.

The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16161
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 14 Jul 2021
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko
University of California, Berkeley, University of Texas at Austin and University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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Citation 16
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73.

Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15821
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 01 Mar 2021
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber
University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of Chicago - Finance
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74.

Infrequent But Long-Lived Zero Lower Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 8, pp. 497-520, 2016
Posted: 18 Nov 2016
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, University of Texas at Austin, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Economics

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