Ville Satopää

INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management

Boulevard de Constance

77 305 Fontainebleau Cedex

France

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

6

DOWNLOADS

596

SSRN CITATIONS

1

CROSSREF CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (6)

1.

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting

Number of pages: 75 Posted: 07 Apr 2020 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2020
INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management, Yale School of Management, University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania, Psychology
Downloads 261 (135,043)

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Bayesian Statistics, Judgmental Forecasting, Partial Information, Shapley Value, Wisdom of Crowds

2.

Boosting the Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Judgment Problem: Selective Averaging Based on Peer Predictions

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 01 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2020
Asa Palley and Ville Satopää
Indiana University - Kelley School of Business - Department of Operation & Decision Technologies and INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management
Downloads 99 (304,412)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Forecasting, Estimation, Judgment Aggregation, Wisdom of Crowds, Shared Information

3.

Herding in Probabilistic Forecasts

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 01 Oct 2020
Yanwei Jia, Jussi Keppo and Ville Satopää
Columbia University - Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, National University of Singapore - NUS Business School and INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management
Downloads 93 (316,859)

Abstract:

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Asymmetric Information Game, Bayesian Statistics, Economic Forecasting, Public Disclosure

4.

Joint Bottom-Up Method for Hierarchical Time-Series: Application to Australian Tourism

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 18 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2020
Nicolò Bertani, Ville Satopää and Shane Jensen
INSEAD - Decision Sciences, INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management and University of Pennsylvania - Statistics Department
Downloads 72 (371,857)

Abstract:

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Bayesian statistics, Dimensionality reduction, Multivariate autoregressive models, Probabilistic forecasting, Spike-and-slab

5.

Shepherding the Herd

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 18 Mar 2020
Jussi Keppo and Ville Satopää
National University of Singapore - NUS Business School and INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management
Downloads 71 (371,857)

Abstract:

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Bayesian statistics, Dynamic modeling, Gaussian process, Judgmental forecasting, Imperfect information game

6.

Regularized Aggregation of One-off Probability Predictions

Number of pages: 32
Ville Satopää
INSEAD - Technology and Operations Management
Downloads 0

Abstract:

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Judgmental forecasting, Information aggregation, Objective Bayes, Overdispersion, Wisdom of the Crowds