Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques

PB 8888 Station DownTown

Succursale Centre Ville

Montreal, Quebec H3C3P8

Canada

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

9

DOWNLOADS
Rank 20,736

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 20,736

in Total Papers Downloads

4,306

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 40,132

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 40,132

in Total Papers Citations

15

CROSSREF CITATIONS

6

Scholarly Papers (9)

1.

The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest

Number of pages: 75 Posted: 15 Jul 2020 Last Revised: 24 May 2021
Philippe Goulet Coulombe
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques
Downloads 1,527 (21,462)
Citation 11

Abstract:

Loading...

Trees, Machine Learning, Forecasting, Time-Varying Parameters, Econometrics, Phillips curve

2.

A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 23 Mar 2022
Philippe Goulet Coulombe
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques
Downloads 795 (54,491)

Abstract:

Loading...

machine learning, inflation, neural networks, output gap, filtering

3.

Maximally Machine-Learnable Portfolios

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Apr 2023 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2023
Philippe Goulet Coulombe and Maximilian Göbel
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques and Bocconi University
Downloads 632 (73,943)

Abstract:

Loading...

Portfolio optimization, Machine Learning, Statistical Arbitrage, Nonlinear time series

4.

The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2022-16
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 16 Nov 2022
Aarhus University, CREATES, DFI, Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Aarhus UniversityAarhus University - CREATES and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business Economics
Downloads 507 (96,668)

Abstract:

Loading...

variable importance, out-of-sample performance, Shapley value, loss function, machine learning, inflation

5.

The Anatomy of Machine Learning-Based Portfolio Performance

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 29 Nov 2023
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Aarhus UniversityAarhus University - CREATES and Aarhus University - Department of Economics and Business Economics
Downloads 417 (124,949)

Abstract:

Loading...

Asset return predictability, Machine learning, Out-of-sample forecast, Portfolio construction, Economic value, Shapley value, XGBoost

6.

From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 29 Nov 2023
Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Mikael Frenette and Karin Klieber
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM) - Department of Economics and Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
Downloads 200 (260,637)

Abstract:

Loading...

neural networks, uncertainty, density forecasting, macroeconomics, maximum likelihood

7.
Downloads 171 (299,438)
Citation 7

Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 03 Mar 2021
Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Massimiliano Marcellino and Dalibor Stevanovic
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, Bocconi University and Universite du Quebec a Montreal
Downloads 171 (299,395)
Citation 11

Abstract:

Loading...

Machine Learning, Big Data, Forecasting, COVID-19

Can Machine Learning Catch the Covid-19 Recession?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15867
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 15 Mar 2021
Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, Bocconi University - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 0
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

8.

Optimal Combination of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Measures: A Dynamic Factor Modeling Approach

PIER Working Paper No. 20-012
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Apr 2020
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Bocconi University, Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (663,434)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Climate modeling, nowcasting, model averaging, ensemble averaging

9.

When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume

NBER Working Paper No. w30732
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 12 Dec 2022 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2023
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Brookings Institution, Bocconi University, Université du Québec à Montréal - Département des Sciences Économiques and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 8 (996,716)
Citation 1
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...