Robert A. Moffitt

Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics

Krieger-Eisenhower Professor of Economics and Chief Editor American Economic Review

Baltimore, MD 21218-2685

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

  • Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics

    • Email
    • Tel: 410-516-7611
    • Fax: 410-516-7600
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

57

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228

Scholarly Papers (57)

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1.

A Review of U.S. Federal and State Means-Tested Programs

Michigan Retirement Research Center Research Paper No. 2018-376
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 23 Mar 2018
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 237 (278,045)
Citation 1

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means testing, federal program, state program, eligibility, Supplemental Security Income

2.

Cohabitation and Marriage Rules in State TANF Programs

RAND Working Paper Series No. WR-585-1
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 16 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2009
Robert A. Moffitt, Robert T. Reville, Anne E. Winkler and Jane McClure Burstain
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, RAND Corporation - Institute for Civil Justice, University of Missouri at Saint Louis - Department of Economics and RAND Corporation
Downloads 188 (346,261)
Citation 3

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cohabitation, marriage, TANF

3.

Welfare Programs and Labor Supply

NBER Working Paper No. w9168
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 15 Sep 2002 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 161 (397,218)
Citation 6

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4.

Productivity Growth and the Phillips Curve

NBER Working Paper No. w8421
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 14 Aug 2001 Last Revised: 07 Jul 2022
Laurence Ball and Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 152 (417,003)
Citation 3

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5.

An Assessment of the Effectiveness of Anti-Poverty Programs in the United States

NBER Working Paper No. w17042
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 16 May 2011 Last Revised: 25 Jan 2023
Yonatan Ben-Shalom, Robert A. Moffitt and John Karl Scholz
Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin-Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 138 (450,798)
Citation 9

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6.

The Negative Income Tax and the Evolution of U.S. Welfare Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w9751
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 09 Jun 2003 Last Revised: 25 Aug 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 132 (467,410)
Citation 5

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7.

Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population

Downloads 130 (473,117)
Citation 1

Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population

Melbourne Institute Working Paper No. 4/17
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 19 Jan 2017
Robert A. Moffitt and David C. Ribar
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Melbourne
Downloads 89 (628,235)

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Food Insecurity, Children, Gender, Intrafamily Allocation, Three-City Study

Child Age and Gender Differences in Food Security in a Low-Income Inner-City Population

NBER Working Paper No. w22988
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 27 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and David C. Ribar
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Melbourne
Downloads 41 (945,713)
Citation 1

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8.

Welfare Rules, Incentives, and Family Structure

Downloads 129 (476,062)
Citation 4

Welfare Rules, Incentives, and Family Structure

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9127
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 04 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 09 May 2023
Robert A. Moffitt, Brian J. Phelan and Anne E. Winkler
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, DePaul University and University of Missouri at Saint Louis - Department of Economics
Downloads 93 (610,711)
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family, welfare

Welfare Rules, Incentives, and Family Structure

NBER Working Paper No. w21257
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 15 Jun 2015 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2023
Robert A. Moffitt, Brian J. Phelan and Anne E. Winkler
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, DePaul University and University of Missouri at Saint Louis - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (997,000)

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9.

The Role of Randomized Field Trials in Social Science Research: A Perspective from Evaluations of Reforms of Social Welfare Programs

NBER Working Paper No. t0295
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 123 (494,143)
Citation 3

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10.

Handedness and Earnings

NBER Working Paper No. w12387
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 08 May 2022
Christopher S. Ruebeck, Joseph E. Harrington and Robert A. Moffitt
Lafayette College - Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 121 (500,474)
Citation 1

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11.

Taxation and the Labor Supply: Decisions of the Affluent

NBER Working Paper No. w6621
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 24 Apr 1999 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and Mark Wilhelm
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) - Department of Economics
Downloads 121 (500,474)
Citation 13

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12.

An Estimate of a Sectoral Model of Labor Mobility

NBER Working Paper No. w3227
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 28 Dec 2006 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2022
Boyan Jovanovic and Robert A. Moffitt
New York University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 119 (506,799)
Citation 4

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13.

Take-up of Social Benefits

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 16 Jun 2022
Wonsik Ko and Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 104 (560,653)

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social programs, take-up

14.

The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

Downloads 99 (580,568)
Citation 9

The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

Number of pages: 77 Posted: 22 Mar 2022
Robert A. Moffitt and Matthew V. Zahn
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University
Downloads 41 (945,713)

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marginal treatment effects, welfare, labor supply

The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

NBER Working Paper No. w26028
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 09 Jul 2019 Last Revised: 13 Feb 2022
Robert A. Moffitt and Matthew Zahn
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University
Downloads 35 (1,007,672)
Citation 3

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The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15046
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 19 May 2022 Last Revised: 29 May 2022
Robert A. Moffitt and Matthew Zahn
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University
Downloads 23 (1,152,296)
Citation 6

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welfare, labor supply, marginal treatment effects

15.

A New Household Panel in the U.S.

American Economic Association, Ten Years and Beyond: Economists Answer NSF's Call for Long-Term Research Agendas
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 12 Aug 2011
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 97 (588,287)
Citation 1

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16.

An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics

NBER Working Paper No. t0220
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 11 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 08 Feb 2023
John M. Fitzgerald, Peter Gottschalk and Robert A. Moffitt
Bowdoin College, Boston College and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 97 (588,287)
Citation 42

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17.

Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China

NBER Working Paper No. w21460
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 18 Aug 2015 Last Revised: 20 Feb 2022
Shuaizhang Feng, Yingyao Hu and Robert A. Moffitt
Shanghai University of Finance and Economics - Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (621,069)
Citation 8

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18.

The Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Program

NBER Working Paper No. w8749
Number of pages: 119 Posted: 02 Feb 2002 Last Revised: 29 Nov 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 81 (657,205)
Citation 22

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19.

Tax Rates and Work Incentives in the Social Security Disability Insurance Program: Current Law and Alternative Reforms

NBER Working Paper No. w6058
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 30 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 23 Jul 2022
Hilary Williamson Hoynes and Robert A. Moffitt
University of California, Berkeley and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 75 (686,727)

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20.

The Safety Net Response to the Covid-19 Pandemic Recession and the Older Population

Wharton Pension Research Council Working Paper No. 2022-16
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Aug 2022 Last Revised: 28 Aug 2022
Robert A. Moffitt and James P. Ziliak
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 70 (713,601)
Citation 4

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aging, transfer programs, Medicaid, unemployment insurance, safety net

21.

Estimating Marginal Returns to Higher Education in the UK

NBER Working Paper No. w13534
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 24 Oct 2007 Last Revised: 26 Jun 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 70 (713,601)

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22.

Using Synthetic Data to Estimate Earnings Dynamics: Evidence from the SIPP GSF and SIPP SSB

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Jul 2023
Michael Carr, Emily Wiemers and Robert A. Moffitt
University of Massachusetts Boston, Syracuse University and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 68 (725,011)

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Data Privacy, Synthetic Data, Bureau of the Census

23.

Take-Up of Social Benefits

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15351
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 11 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2022
Wonsik Ko and Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 64 (748,443)

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social benefits, take-up

24.

Economic Effects of Means-Tested Transfers in the U.S

NBER Working Paper No. w8730
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 24 Jan 2002 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 64 (748,443)
Citation 1

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25.

Covid-19 and the U.S. Safety Net

NBER Working Paper No. w27911
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 14 Oct 2020 Last Revised: 07 Apr 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and James Ziliak
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Kentucky
Downloads 63 (754,626)
Citation 6

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26.

Welfare Reform and the Labor Market

NBER Working Paper No. w24385
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 12 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 17 Feb 2023
Marc Chan and Robert A. Moffitt
University of Melbourne and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 59 (780,398)
Citation 12

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27.

Summary of Observations and Recommendations

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, September 2001
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 10 Nov 2005
Stephen V. Cameron, Robert A. Moffitt and Carol Rapaport
Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs (SIPA), Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Independent
Downloads 59 (780,398)

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welfare reform, TANF, AFDC, welfare

28.

Demographic Change and Public Assistance Expenditures

NBER Working Paper No. w6995
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 01 Apr 1999 Last Revised: 14 Aug 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 59 (780,398)

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29.

The Effect of Ignoring Heteroscedasticity on Estimates of the Tobit Model

NBER Working Paper No. t0027
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 11 Dec 2007 Last Revised: 29 Jan 2023
Charles Brown and Robert A. Moffitt
University of Michigan and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 57 (793,851)

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30.

Changing Caseloads: Macro Influences and Micro Composition

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 2, September 2001
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 10 Nov 2005
Robert A. Moffitt and David W. Stevens
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Baltimore
Downloads 57 (793,851)
Citation 3

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welfare reform, TANF, AFDC, welfare

31.

The Return to Work in Disability Programs: What Has Been Learned and Next Steps

Lessons from SSA Demonstrations for Disability Policy and Future Research edited by Austin Nichols, Jeffrey Hemmeter, and Debra Goetz Engler, 135–186. Rockville, MD: Abt Press.
Number of pages: 98 Posted: 25 May 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 55 (808,154)

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Disability, Work, Demonstrations

32.

Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from Survey and Administrative Data

Downloads 53 (822,830)
Citation 6

Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from Survey and Administrative Data

IZA Discussion Paper No. 15093
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 May 2022 Last Revised: 29 May 2022
Robert A. Moffitt, Christopher R. Bollinger, Charles Hokayem, Emily Wiemers, John M. Abowd, Michael Carr, Kevin L McKinney, Sisi Zhang and James Ziliak
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, University of Kentucky - Department of Economics, U.S. Census Bureau, University of Massachusetts Boston, Cornell University Department of Economics, University of Massachusetts Boston, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Jinan University and University of Kentucky
Downloads 29 (1,076,045)
Citation 6

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administrative data, earnings, volatility

Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from Survey and Administrative Data

NBER Working Paper No. w29737
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 14 Feb 2022 Last Revised: 19 May 2023
Robert A. Moffitt, John M. Abowd, Christopher Bollinger, Michael Carr, Charles Hokayem, Kevin L McKinney, Emily Wiemers, Sisi Zhang and James Ziliak
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, Cornell University Department of Economics, University of Kentucky, University of Massachusetts Boston - Department of Economics, U.S. Census Bureau, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Syracuse University, Jinan University - Institute for Economic and Social Research and University of Kentucky
Downloads 24 (1,138,950)

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33.

The Decline of Welfare Benefits in the U.S.: The Role of Wage Inequality

NBER Working Paper No. w5774
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 11 Mar 1997 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2023
Robert A. Moffitt, David Ribar and Mark Wilhelm
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, George Washington University - Department of Economics and Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) - Department of Economics
Downloads 53 (822,830)
Citation 3

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34.

Welfare Work Requirements with Paternalistic Government Preferences

NBER Working Paper No. w12366
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 24 Jul 2006 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (853,743)
Citation 6

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35.

Variable Earnings and Nonlinear Taxation

NBER Working Paper No. w1163
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 05 Jul 2004 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2022
Michael Rothschild and Robert A. Moffitt
Princeton University and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 49 (853,743)

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36.

Economics of Means-Tested Transfer Programs: Introduction

NBER Working Paper No. w21751
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 23 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 08 Jun 2023
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (870,144)

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37.

Trends in the Level and Distribution of Income Support

NBER Working Paper No. w15488
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 09 Nov 2009 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and John Karl Scholz
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin-Madison - Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (870,144)
Citation 8

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38.

Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004

NBER Working Paper No. w16833
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 28 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 01 Jul 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and Peter Gottschalk
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Boston College
Downloads 46 (878,592)
Citation 3

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39.

Selection Bias Adjustment in Treatment-Effect Models as a Method of Aggregation

NBER Working Paper No. t0187
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 12 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2023
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (878,592)

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40.

The Effect of the Medicaid Program on Welfare Participation and Labor Supply

NBER Working Paper No. w3286
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 01 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 26 Jun 2022
Robert A. Moffitt and Barbara Wolfe
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Wisconsin-Madison
Downloads 45 (887,032)
Citation 4

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41.

Has State Redistribution Policy Grown More Conservative?

NBER Working Paper No. w2516
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 20 May 2004 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2022
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 45 (887,032)

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42.

The U.S. Employment-Population Reversal in the 2000s: Facts and Explanations

NBER Working Paper No. w18520
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 11 Nov 2012 Last Revised: 08 Feb 2023
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (913,797)
Citation 6

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43.

Reconciling Trends in Volatility: Evidence from the Sipp Survey and Administrative Data

NBER Working Paper No. w27672
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 17 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2023
Michael Carr, Robert A. Moffitt and Emily Wiemers
University of Massachusetts Boston - Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Syracuse University
Downloads 35 (982,012)
Citation 3

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44.

Income Volatility and the Psid: Past Research and New Results

NBER Working Paper No. w24390
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 12 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 22 Feb 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and Sisi Zhang
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and The Urban Institute
Downloads 32 (1,013,571)
Citation 4

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45.

The Effect of the Covid-19 Pandemic Recession on Less Educated Women's Human Capital: Some Projections

NBER Working Paper No. w30647
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 15 Nov 2022 Last Revised: 03 Jul 2023
Mark Drozd, Robert A. Moffitt and Xinyu Zhao
Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (1,024,507)
Citation 1

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46.

Trends in Cumulative Marginal Tax Rates Facing Low-Income Families, 1997-2007

NBER Working Paper No. w22782
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 31 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 02 Apr 2023
Gizem Koşar and Robert A. Moffitt
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 29 (1,046,903)

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47.

The Effect of the Covid-19 Pandemic Recession on Less Educated Women's Human Capital: Some Projections

IZA Discussion Paper No. 16277
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 06 Jul 2023
Mark Drozd, Robert A. Moffitt and Xinyu Zhao
Johns Hopkins University, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Johns Hopkins University
Downloads 25 (1,094,021)

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female labor supply, unemployment, human capital, COVID-19

48.

Take-Up of Social Benefits

NBER Working Paper No. w30148
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 13 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 18 May 2023
Wonsik Ko and Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (1,143,513)
Citation 19

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49.

The Supplemental Poverty Measure: A New Method for Measuring Poverty

NBER Working Paper No. w30056
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 16 May 2022 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
John M. Fitzgerald and Robert A. Moffitt
Bowdoin College and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (1,143,513)
Citation 2

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50.

Is this Time Different? The Safety Net Response to the Pandemic Recession1

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 12 Apr 2024
Robert A. Moffitt, Erik Hembre and James Ziliak
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and University of Kentucky
Downloads 20 (1,156,046)

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Pandemic Recession, Welfare programs, Great Recession

51.

Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from a Four Data Set Project

NBER Working Paper No. w27664
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 02 Feb 2023
Robert A. Moffitt
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (1,180,575)

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52.

The Rise in American Pain: The Importance of the Great Recession

NBER Working Paper No. w31455
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 20 Jul 2023
Sneha Lamba and Robert A. Moffitt
University of Göttingen and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (1,217,070)
Citation 1
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53.

Estimating Trends in Male Earnings Volatility with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics

NBER Working Paper No. w27674
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 17 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 15 May 2023
Robert A. Moffitt and Sisi Zhang
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Jinan University - Institute for Economic and Social Research
Downloads 13 (1,240,264)
Citation 1

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54.

Is this Time Different? The Safety Net Response to the Pandemic Recession

NBER Working Paper No. w31518
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 31 Jul 2023
Erik Hembre, Robert A. Moffitt and James Ziliak
University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and University of Kentucky
Downloads 11 (1,261,764)

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55.

Counting the Poor: The Liquidity-Adjusted Supplemental Expenditure Poverty Measure

NBER Working Paper No. w33656
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 08 Apr 2025
Sung Ah Bahk, John Fitzgerald and Robert A. Moffitt
American University, Bowdoin College and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (1,320,167)
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56.

Legacies of the War on Poverty

The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, volume 711, issue 1, 2024[10.1177/00027162241289754]
Posted: 11 Apr 2025 Last Revised: 15 Apr 2025
Robert A. Moffitt, Timothy M. (Tim) Smeeding and Sung Ah Bahk
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics, Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin - Madison and American University

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poverty, transfer programs, pandemic recession, Supplemental Poverty Measure, market income

57.

Welfare Reform and the Labor Market

Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 10, pp. 347-381, 2018
Posted: 07 Sep 2018
Marc K. Chan and Robert A. Moffitt
University of Melbourne and Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics

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