Scott H. Irwin

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Lawrence J. Norton Chair of Agricultural Marketing

344 Mumford Hall

1301 W. Gregory Dr.

Urbana, IL 61801

United States

http://https://scotthirwin.com/

  • University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

    • Email
    • Tel: 217-333-6087
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

60

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18,298

SSRN CITATIONS
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85

CROSSREF CITATIONS

141

Scholarly Papers (60)

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1.

The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2004-04
Number of pages: 106 Posted: 15 Oct 2004
Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin
Chungbuk National University and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 11,983 (435)
Citation 33

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technical analysis, market efficiency, trading systems, speculative markets

2.

The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in Us Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test

Number of pages: 66 Posted: 17 May 2005 Last Revised: 27 Jun 2008
Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin
Chungbuk National University and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 1,074 (24,987)
Citation 14

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technical analysis, data snooping, futures markets, replication

3.

Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior

OFOR-97-02
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 07 Nov 1997
Dwight R. Sanders, Scott H. Irwin and Raymond M. Leuthold
Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 905 (31,961)
Citation 9

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4.

The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Downloads 527 ( 65,311)

The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Jun 2008
Dwight R. Sanders, Scott H. Irwin and Robert P. Merrin
Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Universidad de Cantabria
Downloads 527 (64,606)
Citation 31

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Commitments of Traders, index funds, commodity futures markets

The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp. 77-94, 2010
Posted: 22 Feb 2010
Dwight R. Sanders, Scott H. Irwin and Robert P. Merrin
Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Universidad de Cantabria

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Commitment of Traders, index funds, commodity futures markets, G13, Q11, Q13

5.

The Financialization of Commodity Futures Markets or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Index Funds

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 30 Oct 2010
Scott H. Irwin and Dwight R. Sanders
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics
Downloads 423 (85,258)
Citation 30

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Index Funds, Commodity, Futures Markets, Prices, Speculation, Bubble

6.

Forecasting Cash Price Volatility of Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn: Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches

OFOR Working Paper No. 99-08
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Jan 2000
Mark R. Manfredo, Raymond M. Leuthold and Scott H. Irwin
Arizona State University - Morrison School of Agribusiness and Resource Management, University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 393 (92,788)
Citation 1

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7.

Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt

Number of pages: 127 Posted: 20 Jun 2008
Michael A. Tannura, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 345 (107,648)
Citation 29

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corn, soybeans, yield, weather, technology, trends

8.

Returns to Traders and Existences of a Risk Premium of a Risk Premium in Agricultural Futures Markets

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 26 May 2011
Nicole Aulerich, Scott H. Irwin and Philip Garcia
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 263 (143,615)
Citation 1

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commodities, futures markets, risk premium, commodity index traders

9.

Futures Market Failure?

Downloads 246 (153,486)
Citation 3

Futures Market Failure?

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 28 Oct 2011
Philip Garcia, Scott H. Irwin and Aaron Smith
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of California, Davis - Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Downloads 245 (153,540)
Citation 7

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finance, agriculture, commodity futures, delivery, grain, storage, present value, asset pricing

Futures Market Failure?

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 97, Issue 1, pp. 40-64, 2015
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 15 Apr 2020
Philip Garcia, Aaron Smith and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of California, Davis - Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 1 (814,463)
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Agriculture, basis, bubble, commodity futures, convergence, delivery, grain, storage

10.

Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions

Marketing and Outlook Research Report 2009-02
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 15 Oct 2009
Scott H. Irwin, Philip Garcia, Darrel L. Good and Eugene Kunda
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 244 (154,641)
Citation 14

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corn, soybeans, wheat, CBOT, delivery, convergence

11.

Understanding Usda Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts Over 1970-2005

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2006-01
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 20 Apr 2006
Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 233 (161,703)
Citation 9

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Corn, Soybeans, forecast, production, USDA

12.

The Role of Market Advisory Services in Crop Marketing and Risk Management: A Preliminary Report of Survey Results

AgMas Report 2001-02
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 19 May 2001
Joost M. E. Pennings, Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 200 (186,785)
Citation 2

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13.

Surveying Farmers: A Research Note

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 10 Oct 2000
Joost M. E. Pennings, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 147 (243,429)
Citation 1

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14.

Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies

USDA-ERS Economic Information Bulletin No. 115
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Oct 2015
Michael Adjemian, Philip Garcia, Scott H. Irwin and Aaron Smith
University of Georgia - Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of California, Davis - Departments of Economics and Agricultural Resource Economics
Downloads 125 (275,965)
Citation 10

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commodity futures, index funds, grains, non-convergence, price discovery

15.

The Marketing Style of Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans in 1995

AgMasReport 1999-02
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Roberto Bertoli, Carl Zulauf, Scott H. Irwin and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, Ohio State University (OSU) - Department of Agricultural, Environmental & Development Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 115 (293,023)
Citation 1

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16.

Understanding Usda Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts Over 1970-2004

AgMAS Research Report No. 2005-03
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 06 May 2005
Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 102 (318,292)
Citation 3

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Corn, Soybeans, forecast, production, USDA

17.

Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices

Marketing and Outlook Research Report 2009-01
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 15 Oct 2009
Olga Isengildina Massa, Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 84 (359,709)
Citation 1

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forecast, USDA, commodity, confidence interval, empirical

18.

Development of a Market Benchmark Price for Agmas Performance Evaluations

AgMasReport 1998-02
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Darrel L. Good, Scott H. Irwin and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 84 (359,709)
Citation 4

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19.

The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2004

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2006-02
Number of pages: 161 Posted: 20 Apr 2006
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good, João Martines-Filho and Ryan M. Batts
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 80 (370,213)
Citation 4

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Prices, corn, soybeans, advisory service, risk, performance

20.

Sunshine vs. Predatory Trading Effects in Commodity Futures Markets: New Evidence from Index Rebalancing

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 03 Dec 2020
Lei Yan, Scott H. Irwin and Dwight R. Sanders
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics
Downloads 62 (424,992)

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commodity futures, financialization, index, order flow, rebalancing

21.

Is the Supply Curve for Commodity Futures Contracts Upward Sloping?

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 16 Apr 2019
Lei Yan, Scott H. Irwin and Dwight R. Sanders
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics
Downloads 60 (431,994)
Citation 1

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commodity futures, index, limits to arbitrage, order flow, rebalancing

22.

1999 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Report No. 2000-04
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 04 Feb 2001
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and João Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 56 (446,456)
Citation 1

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23.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997

AgMasReport 1999-03
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Scott H. Irwin, Thomas E. Jackson and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 55 (450,133)
Citation 1

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24.

The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003

AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2005-01
Number of pages: 147 Posted: 17 Apr 2005
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good, João G. Martines-Filho and Lewis A. Hagedorn
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of São Paulo (USP) - Department of Economics, Administration and Sociology and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
Downloads 51 (465,350)
Citation 5

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Prices, corn, soybeans, advisory service, risk, performance

25.

Heterogeneity in the Likelihood of Market Advisory Service Use by U.S. Crop Producers

Agribusiness: An International Journal, Vol. 21, No. 1, pp. 109-128, January 2005
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 04 Oct 2005
Joost M. E. Pennings, Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Olga Isengildina Massa
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Downloads 50 (469,328)
Citation 1

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Marketing advisory services, marketing philosophy, mixture model, financial performance, heterogeneity, risk attitudes, crop producers

26.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Wheat Market Over 1995-1998

AgMasReport 2001-01
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 02 Jun 2001
Mark A. Jirik, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 50 (469,328)
Citation 1

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27.

Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat the Market? Evidence from the Corn and Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998

AgMas Project Research Report No. 2000-03
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 28 Dec 2000
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good, João Martines-Filho and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 50 (469,328)
Citation 2

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28.

1996 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Project Research Report No. 1998-01
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 28 Dec 2000
Thomas E. Jackson, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 49 (473,335)
Citation 8

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29.

1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMasReport 2000-01
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 07 Nov 2000
Darrel L. Good, Scott H. Irwin, Thomas E. Jackson and Mark A. Jirik
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 45 (490,143)

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30.

What Do We Know About the Profitability of Technical Analysis?

Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 21, No. 4, pp. 786-826, September 2007
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 15 Aug 2007
Scott H. Irwin and Cheol-Ho Park
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Chungbuk National University
Downloads 44 (494,574)
Citation 11
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31.

1997 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMas Report 1999-01
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Thomas E. Jackson, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 41 (508,081)
Citation 2

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32.

The 1995 Through 1998 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Wheat

AgMasReport 2000-02
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 30 Oct 2000
Mark A. Jirik, Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 37 (527,077)
Citation 4

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33.

1995 Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services for Corn and Soybeans

AgMasReport 1997-01
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Oct 2000
Darrel L. Good, Scott H. Irwin and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 36 (532,148)

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34.

The Price of Biodiesel Rins and Economic Fundamentals

NBER Working Paper No. w25341
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 11 Dec 2018 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2021
Scott H. Irwin, Kristen McCormack and James H. Stock
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 21 (621,876)
Citation 1

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35.

Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the Cftc&Apos;S Daily Large Trader Data Files

NBER Working Paper No. w19065
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 24 May 2013 Last Revised: 04 Feb 2021
Nicole Aulerich, Scott H. Irwin and Philip Garcia
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 14 (671,937)
Citation 5

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36.

Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 87, Issue 4, pp. 918-930, 2005
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 21 Apr 2020
Wei Shu and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 1 (778,463)
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Bayesian analysis, optimal hedging, parameter estimation risk, subjective view

37.

Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 97, Issue 1, pp. 65-87, 2015
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Apr 2020
Xiaoli Etienne, Scott H. Irwin and Philip Garcia
West Virginia University - Division of Resource Management, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 1 (778,463)
Citation 3
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Bubbles, price explosiveness, futures market, grain, index investment, price impact

38.

The Behavior of Bid‐Ask Spreads in the Electronically‐Traded Corn Futures Market

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 96, Issue 2, pp. 557-577, 2014
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 15 Apr 2020
Xiaoyan Wang, Philip Garcia and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 1 (778,463)
Citation 3
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commodity index funds, electronic corn futures market, liquidity costs, observed bid-ask spread, USDA reports

39.

The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

Downloads 1 (778,463)

The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, Issue 1, pp. 162-181, 2006
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 22 Apr 2020
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Joao Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 1 (814,463)
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advisory service, corn, performance, price, risk, soybeans

The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, pp. 162-181, February 2006
Posted: 08 May 2006
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Joao Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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The Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, No. 1, pp. 162-181, February 2006
Posted: 22 Feb 2007
Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good and Joao Martines-Filho
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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40.

Public Futures Funds

The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 5, No. 2, 149-171, 1985
Posted: 03 Jun 2020
Scott H. Irwin and B. Wade Brorsen
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Oklahoma State University

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investments, commodities, futures markets

41.

Writing Papers in Economics Using Fake Latex

Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 33, Issue 4, pp. 1348-1356, 2019
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 28 May 2020
Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
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Aesthetics, Economics, LaTeX, Papers, Productivity, Writing

42.

Are Revisions to Usda Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, Issue 4, pp. 1091-1104, 2006
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 24 Apr 2020
Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
Downloads 0 (795,478)
Citation 1
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corn, efficiency, fixed-event forecasts, revisions, smoothing, soybeans

43.

Crop Insurance Valuation Under Alternative Yield Distributions

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 86, Issue 2, pp. 406-419, 2004
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 21 Apr 2020
Bruce J. Sherrick, Fabio Zanini, Gary Schnitkey and Scott H. Irwin
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Downloads 0 (795,478)
Citation 7
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crop‐yield distributions, crop insurance, risk and uncertainty, valuation

44.

Evaluation of Usda Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 86, Issue 4, pp. 990-1004, 2004
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 21 Apr 2020
Olga Isengildina, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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accuracy, corn, evaluation, informativeness, interval forecasts, price, WASDE

45.

Usda Announcement Effects in Real‐Time

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 100, Issue 4, pp. 1151-1171, 2018
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Apr 2020
Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
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Announcement effects, CBOT, commodity futures, intraday, trading hours, price discovery, price volatility, USDA

46.

Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Estimation of Expected Performance

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 92, Issue 3, pp. 622-637, 2010
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 06 Apr 2020
Silvina M. Cabrini, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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Bayesian estimation, corn, market advisory service, pricing, performance, soybeans, wheat

47.

Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 92, Issue 1, pp. 1-15, 2010
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 06 Apr 2020
Evelyn V. Colino and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
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cattle, encompassing, forecast, futures prices, hogs, outlook, RMSE

48.

Monte Carlo Analysis of Mean Reversion in Commodity Futures Prices

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 78, Issue 2, pp. 387-399, 1996
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Mar 2020
Scott H. Irwin, Carl Zulauf and Thomas E. Jackson
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Ohio State University (OSU) - Department of Agricultural, Environmental & Development Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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Citation 1
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efficient market hypothesis, futures prices, mean reversion, Monte Carlo, G130, Q130

49.

Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 102, Issue 2, pp. 548-568, 2020
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 24 Mar 2020
Berna Karali, Scott H. Irwin and Olga Isengildina‐Massa
University of Georgia, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and affiliation not provided to SSRN
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Citation 2
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Announcement effects, crop production, futures price reaction, identification‐through‐censoring, measurement error

50.

Mapping Algorithms, Agricultural Futures, and the Relationship Between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices

Energy Economics, Vol. 72:486-504, 2018
Posted: 25 Apr 2019 Last Revised: 06 May 2020
Lei Yan, Scott H. Irwin and Dwight R. Sanders
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Southern Illinois University - Agribusiness Economics

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Commodity futures, Crude oil, Index investment, Mapping algorithm

51.

Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence In Hog and Cattle Markets

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 92, No. 1, pp. 1-15, 2010
Posted: 08 Mar 2010
Evelyn V. Colino and Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

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cattle, encompassing, forecast, futures prices, hogs, outlook, RMSE, Q11, Q13

52.

Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services

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Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 89, Issue 3, pp. 607-623, 2007
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 24 Apr 2020
Silvina M. Cabrini, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
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agricultural market advisory services, corn, efficiency, marketing style, pricing performance, soybeans

Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 607-623, August 2007
Posted: 23 Jul 2007
Silvina M. Cabrini, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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53.

Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 88, No. 4, pp. 1091-1104, November 2006
Posted: 13 Oct 2006
Olga Isengildina Massa, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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54.

Evaluation of Usda Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices

Posted: 04 Oct 2004
Olga Isengildina Massa, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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55.

The Effect of Large Hedge Fund and Cta Trading on Futures Market Volatility

COMMODITY TRADING ADVISORS: RISK, PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS AND SELECTION, Greg N. Gregoriou, Vassilios N. Karavas, Francois-Serge L'Habitant, Fabrice Rouah, eds., John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 2004
Posted: 28 Jun 2004
Scott H. Irwin and Bryce Holt
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and ACH Food Companies, Inc.

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Hedge fund, commodity trading advisor, volatility, market efficiency, futures markets

56.

The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions

Posted: 23 Jun 2004
Joost M. E. Pennings, Olga Isengildina Massa, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Maastricht University, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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Market advisory services, ordered probit model, producers' marketing decisions

57.

Surveying Farmers: A Case Study

Posted: 23 Nov 2002
Joost M. E. Pennings, Scott H. Irwin and Darrel L. Good
Maastricht University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics

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58.

New Evidence on the Value of Public Information in Commodity Markets

OFOR Working Paper Number 94-04
Posted: 29 Oct 2000
Philip Garcia, Scott H. Irwin, Raymond M. Leuthold and Li Yang
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Illinois @ Urbana-Champaign and Western Michigan University

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59.

Further Evidence on the Usefulness of Cta Performance Information in Public Commodity Pool Prospectuses and a Proposal for Reform

ADVANCES IN FUTURES AND OPTIONS RESEARCH, Vol 7, 1994
Posted: 20 Dec 1998
Scott H. Irwin
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

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60.

An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators

OFOR Working Paper 97-01, University of Illinios, Urbana-Champaign
Posted: 02 Oct 1997
W. B. Canoles, Sarahelen Thompson, Scott H. Irwin and Virginia G. France
Merrill Lynch & Co., Purdue University - Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

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