Olesya V. Grishchenko

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Senior Economist

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

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    • Tel: 202-452-2981
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

23

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109

Scholarly Papers (23)

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1.

What is Certain About Uncertainty?

Downloads 1,508 (27,450)
Citation 47

What is Certain About Uncertainty?

Journal of Economic Literature, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 02 Aug 2021
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Cisil Sarisoy, Juan M. Londono, John H. Rogers, Bo Sun, Deepa Datta, Thiago R.T. Ferreira, Olesya V. Grishchenko, Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, Francesca Loria, Sai Ma, Marius Rodriguez and Ilknur Zer
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Fudan University - Fanhai International School of Finance (FISF), University of Virginia Darden School of Business, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
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Citation 17

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global risk, uncertainty, volatility, crises, economic policy, monetary policy, downside risk, transmission.

What is Certain About Uncertainty?

International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1294
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 07 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 08 Mar 2022
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Cisil Sarisoy, Juan M. Londono, Bo Sun, John H. Rogers, Deepa Datta, Thiago R.T. Ferreira, Olesya V. Grishchenko, Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar, Francesca Loria, Sai Ma, Marius Rodriguez and Ilknur Zer
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Virginia Darden School of Business, Fudan University - Fanhai International School of Finance (FISF), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 652 (87,043)
Citation 30

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global risks, Uncertainty, Volatility, Crises, Economic policy, Monetary policy, Geopolitical risk, Trade policy, Downside risk

2.

Measuring Private Information Trading in Emerging Markets

Downloads 1,388 (31,014)
Citation 6

Measuring Private Information Trading in Emerging Markets

NYU Department of Finance Working Paper; EFA 2002 Berlin Meetings Presented Paper
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 23 Feb 2002
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Lubomir P. Litov and Jianping Mei
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Oklahoma - Michael F. Price College of Business and Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business
Downloads 969 (51,275)
Citation 6

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Private Information Trading and Corporate Governance in Emerging Markets

NYU Working Paper No. S-CG-02-01
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 05 Nov 2008
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Lubomir P. Litov and Jianping Mei
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Oklahoma - Michael F. Price College of Business and Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business
Downloads 419 (150,514)

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3.

Internal vs. External Habit Formation: The Relative Importance for Asset Pricing

Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 62, pp. 176-194
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 05 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 24 Sep 2011
Olesya V. Grishchenko
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 685 (82,857)

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Asset pricing, consumption-based asset pricing models, time non-separabilities, external habit, internal habit, long horizon returns

4.

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

Downloads 616 (94,944)
Citation 4

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

Finance Down Under 2016 Building on the Best from the Cellars of Finance
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 23 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2017
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Zhaogang Song and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 399 (159,139)
Citation 3

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Long-run risk, economic uncertainty, variance risk premium, bond return predictability, term structure of interest rates, interest rate derivatives

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

FEDS Working Paper No. 2015-95
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 13 Nov 2015
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Zhaogang Song and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 109 (547,982)

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Long-run risk, economic uncertainty, term structure of interest rates, bond risk premiums, variance risk premium, predictability, interest rate derivatives

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

Number of pages: 71 Posted: 18 Apr 2022
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Zhaogang Song and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 108 (551,886)
Citation 1

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Interest rate variance risk premium, bond return predictability, term structure of interest rates, interest rate derivatives, long-run risk, economic uncertainty

5.

Habit Formation Heterogeneity: Implications for Aggregate Asset Pricing

Downloads 341 (185,919)

Habit Formation Heterogeneity: Implications for Aggregate Asset Pricing

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 17 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 11 Jun 2012
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Eduard Dubin and Vasily Kartashov
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 157 (407,836)

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asset pricing, consumption-based asset pricing models, external habit, internal habit, heterogeneity, time nonseparability, general equilibrium, recursive solution

Habit Formation Heterogeneity: Implications for Aggregate Asset Pricing

FEDS Working Paper No. 2012-07
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 22 Mar 2012
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Eduard Dubin and Vasily Kartashov
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 113 (533,192)

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Consumption-based asset pricing models, external habit, internal habit, heterogeneity, time nonseparability, general equilibrium, recursive solution

Habit Formation Heterogeneity: Implications for Aggregate Asset Pricing

Midwest Finance Association 2013 Annual Meeting Paper
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 16 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2017
Eduard Dubin, Olesya V. Grishchenko and Vasily Kartashov
Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Goethe University Frankfurt
Downloads 71 (723,067)

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consumption-based asset pricing models, external habit, internal habit, heterogeneity, time nonseparability, general equilibrium, recursive solution

Habit Formation Heterogeneity: Implications for Aggregate Asset Pricing

Paris December 2012 Finance Meeting EUROFIDAI-AFFI Paper
Posted: 12 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 07 Dec 2013
Eduard Dubin, Olesya V. Grishchenko and Vasily Kartashov
Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Goethe University Frankfurt

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asset pricing, consumption-based asset pricing models, external habit, internal habit, heterogeneity, time-nonseparability, general equilibrium, recursive solution

6.

Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the TIPS Market

Downloads 315 (209,138)
Citation 28

Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the TIPS Market

FEDS Working Paper No. 2012-06
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 22 Mar 2012
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Jing-Zhi Huang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance
Downloads 315 (207,422)
Citation 28

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TIPS market, expected inflation, inflation risk premium, term structure of real rates, TIPS liquidity

Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the TIPS Market

Journal of Fixed Income, Vol. 22, No. 4, 2013
Posted: 21 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 22 May 2019
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Jing-Zhi Huang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance

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TIPS market, inflation risk premium, TIPS liquidity, expected inflation, term structure of real rates, liquidity

Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the Tips Market

Posted: 18 Feb 2009
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Jing-Zhi Huang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance

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TIPS market, inflation risk premium, expected inflation

Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the Tips Market

Posted: 23 Mar 2009
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Jing-Zhi Huang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance

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7.

An Empirical Investigation of Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models with Stochastic Habit Formation

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 14 Dec 2005 Last Revised: 29 Jan 2010
Qiang Dai and Olesya V. Grishchenko
University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Finance Area and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 237 (279,216)

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consumption-based asset pricing model, habit formation, stochastic habit, time-varying risk-premium

8.

Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A US and Euro Area Comparison

Downloads 223 (296,339)
Citation 10

Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A US and Euro Area Comparison

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 30 Nov 2016 Last Revised: 03 Dec 2017
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Sarah Mouabbi and Jean-Paul Renne
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Banque de France and University of Lausanne - School of Economics and Business Administration (HEC-Lausanne)
Downloads 168 (384,253)
Citation 3

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inflation, surveys of professional forecasters, dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility, term structure of inflation expectations and inflation uncertainty, anchoring of inflation expectations

Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A Us and Euro Area Comparison

FEDS Working Paper No. 2017-102
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 05 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2017
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Sarah Mouabbi and Jean-Paul Renne
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Banque de France and University of Lausanne - School of Economics and Business Administration (HEC-Lausanne)
Downloads 55 (829,347)
Citation 7

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Anchoring of inflation expectations, Dynamic factor model, Inflation, Stochastic volatility, Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), Term structure of inflation expectations and inflation uncertainty

9.

A Volatility-of-Volatility Expansion of the Option Prices in the SABR Stochastic Volatility Model

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 03 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2022
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Xiao Han, Victor Nistor and Victor Nistor
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Texas at Austin - McCombs School of Business and Department of MathematicsPennsylvania State University
Downloads 202 (325,519)
Citation 2

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SABR model, stochastic volatility, Duhamel-Dyson series, commutator method

10.

The Role of Heterogeneity in Asset Pricing: The Effect of a Clustering Approach

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 17 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 15 Nov 2011
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Marco Rossi
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Texas A&M
Downloads 197 (333,119)

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aggregation, incomplete markets, clustering approach, household consumption, idiosyncratic consumption risk, Euler equations

11.

The Informational Content of the Embedded Deflation Option in TIPS

Paris December 2010 Finance Meeting EUROFIDAI - AFFI
Number of pages: 71 Posted: 22 Oct 2010 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2011
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Joel M. Vanden and Jianing Zhang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 152 (418,991)

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TIPS, embedded option, inflation, deflation, term structure

12.

An Empirical Investigation of Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models with Stochastic Habit Formation

Downloads 149 (425,888)
Citation 2

An Empirical Investigation of Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models with Stochastic Habit Formation

Quarterly Journal of Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 12 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2014
Qiang Dai and Olesya V. Grishchenko
Braid Capital Pte Ltd. and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 79 (679,535)

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asset pricing, consumption-based asset pricing models, habit formation, stochastic internal habit, aggregate equity and bond returns

An Empirical Investigation of Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Models with Stochastic Habit Formation

FEDS Working Paper No. 2011-47
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Nov 2011 Last Revised: 20 Aug 2012
Qiang Dai and Olesya V. Grishchenko
Braid Capital Pte Ltd. and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 70 (728,898)
Citation 2

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consumption-based asset pricing models, habit formation, stochastic internal habit, aggregate equity and bond returns

13.

The Informational Content of the Embedded Deflation Option in TIPS

Downloads 131 (472,603)
Citation 4

The Informational Content of the Embedded Deflation Option in TIPS

Journal of Banking and Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 16 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 23 Dec 2015
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Joel M. Vanden and Jianing Zhang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 76 (695,180)
Citation 1

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TIPS, embedded option, inflation, deflation, term structure

The Informational Content of the Embedded Deflation Option in TIPS

FEDS Working Paper No. 2013-24
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 11 May 2013
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Joel M. Vanden and Jianing Zhang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 55 (829,347)
Citation 3

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TIPS, embedded option, inflation, deflation, term structure

14.

Asset Pricing in the Production Economy Subject to Monetary Shocks

Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 63, pp. 187-216
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Jun 2009 Last Revised: 24 Sep 2011
Olesya V. Grishchenko
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 122 (499,723)

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real business cycle models, monetary shocks, equity premium, Sharpe ratio, inflation risk premium, volatility of the risk-free rate

15.

The Information Content of the Embedded Deflation Option in TIPS

FEDS Working Paper No. 2011-58
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 04 Jan 2012
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Joel M. Vanden and Jianing Zhang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business and Pennsylvania State University - Smeal College of Business
Downloads 86 (637,606)
Citation 5

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TIPS, embedded option, inflation, deflation, term structure

16.

The Joint Dynamics of U.S. and Euro-Area Inflation Rates: Expectations and Time-varying Uncertainty

Banque de France Working Paper No. 622
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 14 Apr 2017
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Sarah Mouabbi and Jean-Paul Renne
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Banque de France and University of Lausanne - School of Economics and Business Administration (HEC-Lausanne)
Downloads 83 (651,274)

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inflation, surveys of professional forecasters, dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility, term structure of inflation expectations and inflation uncertainty, anchoring of inflation expectations

17.

Tale About Inflation Tails

Downloads 72 (706,405)

Tale About Inflation Tails

FEDS Working Paper No. 2024-28
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 20 May 2024
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Laura Wilcox
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 51 (861,209)

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Inflation forecasts, Inflation state-space model, Probability of rare inflation events, Inflation anchoring

Tale About Inflation Tails

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 28 May 2024
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Laura Wilcox
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and JP Morgan Chase & Co. - JP Morgan Chase Institute
Downloads 21 (1,185,850)

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Inflation forecasts, inflation state-space model, probability of rare inflation events, inflation anchoring, probability distribution of inflation, surveys of professional forecasters, uncertainty

18.

Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: OAT Bonds or Inflation Swaps? *

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 13 Dec 2024
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Franck Moraux
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Université de Rennes I and CREM
Downloads 64 (752,649)

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JEL Classification: G12, G13, G14 Inflation-indexed bonds, French bond market, inflation swap rates, inflation expectations, inflation compensation, liquidity, spread, euro-area JEL Classification: G12, G13, G14 Inflation-indexed bonds, French bond market, inflation swap rates, inflation expectations, liquidity

19.

How Stable Inflation Expectations are in the Euro Area? Evidence from the Euro-Area Financial Markets

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 13 Dec 2024 Last Revised: 08 Apr 2025
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Franck Moraux and Olga Pakulyak
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Université de Rennes I and CREM and Université de Rennes 1
Downloads 50 (850,998)
Citation 1

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Obligations Assimilables du Trésor, OAT, French inflation-indexed bonds, nominal- indexed bond spreads, inflation swaps, inflation expectations, macroeconomic news, monetary policy shocks, euro area, inflation anchoring, stability

20.

Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: Oat Bonds or Inflation Swaps?

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 10 Dec 2024
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Franck Moraux
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Université de Rennes I and CREM
Downloads 33 (1,009,245)

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inflation expectations, OAT market, inflation swaps, inflation compensation, euro-area, spread, liquidity

21.

Fuel up with OATmeals! The Case of the French Nominal Yield Curve *

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 27 Jan 2025
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Franck Moraux and Olga Pakulyak
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Université de Rennes I and CREM and Université de Rennes 1
Downloads 31 (1,030,869)

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term structure of French interest rates, OATs, yield curve, Svensson model, on-the-run premium, sovereign spread, predictability, Obligations Assimilables du Tresor, curve fit

22.

The Inflation Risk Premium: Evidence from the TIPS Market

Midwest Finance Association 2013 Annual Meeting Paper, https://doi.org/10.3905/jfi.2013.22.4.005
Posted: 21 May 2019
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Jing-Zhi Huang
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance

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TIPS market, inflation risk premium, expected inflation, term structure of real rates, liquidity

23.

Has the Inflation Risk Premium Fallen? Is it Now Negative?

FEDS Notes No. 2016-04-04
Posted: 17 Mar 2016
Andrew Y. Chen, Eric Engstrom and Olesya V. Grishchenko
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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