Robin M. Hogarth

Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences

Research Professor

Ramon Trias Fargas 25-27

Barcelona, 08005

Spain

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

31

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Top 7,756

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6,296

SSRN CITATIONS
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SSRN RANKINGS

Top 13,961

in Total Papers Citations

41

CROSSREF CITATIONS

32

Scholarly Papers (31)

1.

Deciding Analytically or Trusting Your Intuition? The Advantages and Disadvantages of Analytic and Intuitive Thought

UPF Economics and Business Working Paper No. 654
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 02 Oct 2003
Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 1,294 (16,213)
Citation 14

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Decision making, intutition, analysis, confidence, learning, tacit processes

2.

Illusory Correlation in the Remuneration of Chief Executive Officers: It Pays to Play Golf, and Well

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 Apr 2009 Last Revised: 15 Mar 2011
Robin M. Hogarth and Gueorgui I. Kolev
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and EDHEC Business School
Downloads 719 (37,835)
Citation 1

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Illusory correlation, executive compensation, golf handicaps, decision rules, LeeX

3.

The Illusion of Predictability: How Regression Statistics Mislead Experts

International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Feb 2012
Emre Soyer and Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 637 (44,557)
Citation 5

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regression, presentation formats, probabilistic inference, prediction, graphics, uncertainty

4.

On Ignoring Scientific Evidence: The Bumpy Road to Enlightenment

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 24 Jul 2007
Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 584 (49,936)

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Decision making, judgment, forecasting , linear models, heuristics

5.

Entrepreneurial Success and Failure: Confidence and Fallible Judgement

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 07 Apr 2009
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 265 (125,407)
Citation 2

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Excess entry, fallible judgment, overconfidence, skill uncertainty, entrepreneurship, LeeX

6.

Skill, Luck, Overconfidence, and Risk Taking

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 May 2009
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 260 (128,020)
Citation 3

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Skill, luck, overconfidence, optimism, competition, gender differences, risk taking, LeeX

7.

Insurance and Safety after September 11, 2001: Coming to Grips with the Costs and Threats of Terrorism

UPF Economics and Business Working Paper No. 656
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 21 Jul 2003
Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 251 (132,623)

Abstract:

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Decision making, risk, insurance, terrorism, September 11

8.

Emotion and Reason in Everyday Risk Perception

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2008
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, University of Barcelona, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and EDHEC Business School
Downloads 215 (154,133)
Citation 4

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Experience sampling method, multilevel analysis, risk perception, self-assessment manikinds (SAM)

9.

Satisfaction in Choice as a Function of the Number of Alternatives: When Goods Satiate But Bads Escalate

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 19 Jul 2007
Elena Reutskaja and Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 198 (166,510)
Citation 4

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Consumer choice, perception of variety, tyranny of choice, visual perception, cultural differences, Leex

Intermittent Reinforcement and the Persistence of Behavior: Experimental Evidence

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5103
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 10 Aug 2010
Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 123 (248,766)

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randomness, ambiguity, intermittent reinforcement, incentives, experiment

Ambiguous Incentives and the Persistence of Effort: Experimental Evidence

Groupe d’Analyse et de Théorie Économique Working Paper No. 1018
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 01 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 15 Jan 2014
Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 59 (394,143)
Citation 4

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Incentives, ambiguity, intermittent reinforcement, effort, quitting, learning, experiment

11.

Ambiguity Seeking as a Result of the Status Quo Bias

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 15 Nov 2005
Mercè Roca, Robin M. Hogarth and A. John Maule
Independent, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and University of Leeds - Leeds University Business School (LUBS)
Downloads 140 (224,238)
Citation 4

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Ambiguity, risk, status quo bias, decision making, uncertainty

12.

Uncertainty, Skill, and Analysts' Dynamic Forecasting Behavior

INSEAD Working Paper No. 2010/50/DS/FIN
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Jul 2010
INSEAD, INSEAD - Finance, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 137 (228,096)
Citation 1

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Risk Taking, Skill, Chance, Uncertainty, Financial Analysts, Earning Forecasts

13.

Determinants of Linear Judgment: A Meta-Analysis of Lens Model Studies

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 25 Jul 2007
Natalia Karelaia and Robin M. Hogarth
INSEAD - Decision Sciences and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 134 (232,192)
Citation 2

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Judgment, lens model, linear models, learning, bootstrapping

14.

The Challenge of Representative Design in Psychology and Economics

UPF Working Paper No. 751
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 12 Jul 2004
Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 127 (241,936)

Abstract:

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Experiments, representative design, sampling

15.

Ethical Differentiation and Market Behavior: An Experimental Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 16 Nov 2005
Robin M. Hogarth, Marc Le Menestrel and Julian Rode
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Downloads 125 (244,832)
Citation 1

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Fair trade, ethical premia, price competition, contextual effects

Ambiguity on Audits and Cooperation in a Public Goods Game

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 15 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 21 Aug 2014
Zhixin Dai, Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 86 (318,563)

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Ambiguity, audits, sanctions, beliefs, cooperation, public goods, experiment

Ambiguity on Audits and Cooperation in a Public Goods Game

GATE WP 1403
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 05 Sep 2014
Zhixin Dai, Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 23 (561,869)
Citation 3

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ambiguity, audits, sanctions, beliefs, cooperation, public goods, experiment

Ambiguity on Audits and Cooperation in a Public Goods Game

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7932
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 15 Feb 2014
Zhixin Dai, Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 9 (662,940)

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ambiguity, audits, sanctions, beliefs, cooperation, public goods, experiment

17.

'Excess Entry, Ambiguity Seeking, and Competence: An Experimental Investigation'

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 16 Nov 2005
Robin M. Hogarth and Daniela Grieco
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and University of Verona - Department of Economics
Downloads 111 (267,026)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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C91, L10

18.

The 'Wicked' Environment of CEO Pay

Interfaces, 2013 Forthcoming
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 03 Feb 2013
Robin M. Hogarth and Gueorgui I. Kolev
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and EDHEC Business School
Downloads 110 (268,753)

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CEO pay, CEO performance, illusory correlation, judgmental biases

19.

Take-the-Best and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work Well in Binary Choice

Universitat Pompeu Fabra DEE Working Paper No. 709
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 04 Jan 2004
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 104 (279,503)
Citation 6

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Decision making, bounded rationality, lexicographic rules

20.

On Heuristic and Linear Models of Judgment: Mapping the Demand for Knowledge

Number of pages: 66 Posted: 24 Jul 2007
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 88 (311,374)
Citation 2

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Decision making, heuristics, linear models, lens model, judgmental biases

21.

What Risks do People Perceive in Everyday Life? A Perspective Gained from the Experience Sampling Method (ESM)

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 25 Jul 2007
Robin M. Hogarth, Mariona Portell and Anna Cuxart
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, University of Barcelona and Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Downloads 87 (313,624)

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Experiential sampling method, risk perception, risk assessment, gender differences, multi-level analysis, simultaneous vs. retrospective judgment

22.

Is Confidence in Decisions Related to Feedback? Evidence-And Lack of Evidence-From Random Samples of Real-World Managerial Behavior?

UPF Economics and Business Working Paper No. 655
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 05 Jan 2004
Robin M. Hogarth
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences
Downloads 86 (315,852)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Decision making, learning, confidence

23.

Shattering the Illusion of Control: Multi-shot Versus Single-Shot Gambles

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 7, p. 183, 1994
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler, Robin M. Hogarth and Brian J Gibbs
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and University of Melbourne - Melbourne Business School
Downloads 63 (376,146)
Citation 1

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Illusion of control, randomness, relative frequencies

24.

Regions of Rationality: Maps for Bounded Agents

UPF Economics and Business Working Paper 828
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 29 Nov 2005
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 61 (382,220)

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Decision making, Bounded rationality, Lexicographic rules, Choice theory

25.

Competitive Dynamics in Forecasting: The Interaction of Skill and Uncertainty

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 26 (4), 375-384, 2013
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 05 Oct 2014
INSEAD, INSEAD - Finance, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences
Downloads 50 (419,182)

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Risk taking, skill, chance, uncertainty, contests, financial analysts, earnings forecasts

26.

When Should I Quit? Gender Differences in Exiting Competitions

INSEAD Working Paper No. 2010/37/DS
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 17 May 2010
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, INSEAD - Decision Sciences and Universidad de los Andes, Colombia - School of Business Administration
Downloads 49 (422,823)
Citation 3

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Discrimination, TV Game Shows, Gender Differences, Glass Ceilings, Minority Behaviors

27.

Effects of Diazepam on a Belief-Updating Task

Psychological Reports, Vol. 64, pp. 219-226, 1989
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 12 Oct 2009
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 40 (458,360)

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Pharmacology, drug effects, cognition

28.

Under-Achievement and the Glass Ceiling: Evidence from a TV Game Show

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 05 Aug 2009
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, INSEAD - Decision Sciences and Universidad de los Andes, Colombia - School of Business Administration
Downloads 35 (480,185)

Abstract:

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Discrimination, TV game shows, gender differences, glass ceilings

29.

Ambiguous Incentives and the Persistence of Effort: Experimental Evidence

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 24 Jan 2015
Robin M. Hogarth and Marie Claire Villeval
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique (GATE), CNRS
Downloads 26 (526,497)
Citation 4

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Incentives, intermittent reinforcement, randomness, effort, quitting, learning

30.

Ignoring Information in Binary Choice with Continuous Variables: When is Less 'More'?

Posted: 08 May 2004
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences

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Decision making, bounded rationality, lexicographic rules, choice theory

31.

Simple Models for Multi-Attribute Choice with Many Alternatives: When it Does and Does Not Pay to Face Tradeoffs with Binary Attributes

Universitat Pompeu Fabra Working Paper
Posted: 08 May 2004
Robin M. Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and INSEAD - Decision Sciences

Abstract:

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Decision making, bounded rationality, lexicographic rules, choice theory