Oleg V. Pavlov

Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)

Professor of Economics and System Dynamics

100 Institute Road

Worcester, MA 01609

United States

http://www.olegpavlov.org

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

43

DOWNLOADS

5,984

TOTAL CITATIONS

33

Scholarly Papers (43)

1.

AI and Business Model Innovation: Leveraging the AI Feedback Loop

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 08 Apr 2020
Evangelos Katsamakas and Oleg V. Pavlov
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 850 (58,821)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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AI, AI strategy, Network Effects, Platforms, Business Model, Business Model Innovation, Data, Dynamic Complexity, Feedback Loop

2.

Mitigating the Tragedy of the Digital Commons: The Problem of Unsolicited Commercial E-Mail

Communications of the Association for Information Systems, Vol. 16, pp. 73-90, 2005
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 26 Jul 2005
Oleg V. Pavlov, Nigel P. Melville and Robert K. Plice
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business and San Diego State University
Downloads 747 (69,876)

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Unwanted commercial email (UCE), SPAM, email marketing, markets for attention, information overload, tragedy of the commons, system dynamics, simulation

3.

Dynamic Analysis of an Institutional Conflict: Copyright Owners Against Online File Sharing

Journal of Economic Issues, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 633-663, 2005
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Aug 2005
Oleg V. Pavlov
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 653 (83,036)

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Institutional economics, digital music, copyright, peer-to-peer, P2P

4.

A Resource-Based Analysis of Peer-to-Peer Technology

System Dynamics Review, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 237-262, 2004
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Aug 2005 Last Revised: 25 Nov 2014
Oleg V. Pavlov and Khalid Saeed
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 435 (137,066)
Citation 1

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copyright, recorded music, Internet, Peer-to-peer, P2P, free riding, online file sharing, system dynamics

5.

Toward a Sustainable Email Marketing Infrastructure

Journal of Business Research, Vol. 61, No. 11, pp. 1191-1199, 2008
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 24 Oct 2008
Oleg V. Pavlov, Nigel P. Melville and Robert K. Plice
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business and San Diego State University
Downloads 336 (182,990)

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Email, marketing, spam, system dynamics, computational model, simulation

6.

Computing Economic Chaos

Computational Economics. Vol. 23, No. 4, pp. 289-301, 2004
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 23 Sep 2005 Last Revised: 18 Apr 2018
Richard H. Day and Oleg V. Pavlov
University of Southern California - Department of Economics and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 247 (251,821)

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Chaos, computer-generated chaos, computational approximation, tent map, simulations, computational economics

7.

Root Causes of Violent Radicalization: Terror Contagion Hypothesis

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 18 Nov 2021 Last Revised: 16 May 2022
Timothy Clancy, B. Addison, Oleg V. Pavlov and Khalid Saeed
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 230 (269,845)

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8.

Economic Origins of the Mafia and Patronage System in Sicily

In the Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Albuquerque, New Mexico, July 26-29, 2009
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 12 Jun 2017
Jason Sardell, Oleg V. Pavlov and Khalid Saeed
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 222 (279,120)

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9.

Stability in a Superpower-Dominated Global Economic System

Journal of Economic Issues, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 491-501, 2005
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 25 Aug 2005
Oleg V. Pavlov, Michael J. Radzicki and Khalid Saeed
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 184 (332,266)
Citation 1

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Control, censure, violence, terrorism, insurgency, soft variables, system dynamics

10.

Application Customization, Profit Zones, and the Design of a Delivery Network for Mobile Commerce Services

Boston University Management Working Paper No. 2002-04
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 23 Sep 2005
Oleg V. Pavlov and P. R. Balasubramanian
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Boston University - Department of Management Information Systems
Downloads 179 (340,634)

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Mobile services, wireless services, mobile operators, quality of service, telecommunications

11.

A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients

System Dynamics Review, 2008
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 24 Oct 2008
Oleg V. Pavlov, Robert K. Plice and Nigel P. Melville
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), San Diego State University and University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business
Downloads 172 (352,770)

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information overload, spam, e-mail, attention, microeconomics, communication

12.

Dynastic Cycle: A Generic Structure Describing Resource Allocation in Political Economies, Markets and Firms

Journal of the Operational Research Society, Vol. 59, pp. 1289-1298, 2008
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 24 Oct 2008
Khalid Saeed and Oleg V. Pavlov
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 144 (409,432)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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system dynamics, political economy, dynastic cycle, systems, simulation

13.

Asset Price Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Local Network Interactions

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Forthcoming, doi:10.1016/j.jedc.2013.06.015, UNSW Australian School of Business Research Paper No. 2013-18
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 26 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2023
UNSW Business School, Economics, University of New South Wales, ING Group and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 123 (463,139)
Citation 3

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asset pricing, local interactions, networks, random graph, small world, heterogeneous beliefs, price dynamics

14.

Tuition Too High? Blame Competition

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 213, 2023
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 27 Aug 2023 Last Revised: 02 Dec 2023
Oleg V. Pavlov and Evangelos Katsamakas
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University
Downloads 104 (524,709)
Citation 1

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tuition inflation; higher education; feedback economics; duopoly; system dynamics; academic competition

15.

Countering Violent Radicalization: Comparing Antiterrorism, Counterterrorism and Counter Radicalization Strategies

WPI Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Papers No. 2021-006
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 19 Feb 2022
Timothy Clancy, B. Addison, Oleg V. Pavlov and Khalid Saeed
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 104 (524,709)
Citation 1

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antiterrorism, counterterrorism, counter radicalization, focused deterrence, social contagion, DIME-PMESII, mass shooting, terrorism, Werther effect, violent extremism, violent radicalization

16.

The Design of Educational Programs in System Dynamics at WPI

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2014
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 92 (569,056)

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system dynamics education, computer modeling, curriculum design, academic

17.

Improving Instructional Simulation with Structural Debriefing

Pavlov, O., K. Saeed and L. W. Robinson (2015). "Improving Instructional Simulation with Structural Debriefing." Simulation & Gaming 46(3-4): 383-403.
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 May 2016 Last Revised: 04 May 2017
Oleg V. Pavlov, Khalid Saeed and Lawrence W. Robinson
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management
Downloads 85 (597,271)
Citation 3

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debriefing; structural debriefing; simulation; simulators; black-box simulation; business training; LITTLEFIELD; operations management; system dynamics; systems thinking; learning science

18.

Financial Sustainability of Colleges as Complex Service Systems

Worcester Polytechnic Institute Department of Social Science and Policy Studies (SSPS) Working Paper No. 2019-001
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 Jul 2019
Oleg V. Pavlov and Evangelos Katsamakas
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University
Downloads 84 (601,474)

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service systems; computational model; service dynamics; higher education; higher education strategy; small colleges; financial sustainability, systems thinking; system dynamics; simulation

19.

Game-Based Structural Debriefing: A Design Tool for Systems Thinking Curriculum

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 09 Aug 2018
Yoon Jeon Kim and Oleg V. Pavlov
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 82 (610,047)
Citation 1

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Game-Based Learning; Systems Thinking; System Dynamics; Curriculum Design; STEM Education

20.

A Service Science Perspective on Entrepreneurship Education

Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Paper No. 2016-002
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 Jun 2017
Oleg V. Pavlov and Frank Hoy
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Collaborative for Entrepreneurship & Innnovation School of Business
Downloads 76 (636,398)

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Entrepreneurship Education; Service System; Service Science; Academic Program Management; Higher Education

21.

Dynastic Cycle: A Resource Allocation Theme for Addressing Dissent in Universities

Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Papers No. 2014-006
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 13 Jul 2014
Raafat Zaini, Khalid Saeed, Michael Elmes and Oleg V. Pavlov
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)-Department of Social Science & Policy Studies, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Department of Management and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 74 (645,605)

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organizational behavior, organizational communication, voice, silence, collegial systems, higher education management, research and development, system dynamics, computer simulation, governance.

22.

A Value Co-Creation Perspective on Faculty Staffing

Pavlov, O., Lofgren, J., and F. Hoy. “A Value Co-Creation Perspective on Faculty Staffing.” Higher Education Studies, v. 12(3), 2022: 57-71.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 01 Nov 2023
Oleg V. Pavlov, Joan Lofgren and Frank Hoy
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Aalto University - School of Business and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Collaborative for Entrepreneurship & Innnovation School of Business
Downloads 72 (655,208)

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Finland, faculty employment, tenure, contingent instructors, value co-creation, service science

23.

Economic Origins of the Sicilian Mafia: A Simulation Feedback Model

Pavlov, O. V., & Sardell, J. M. (2021). Economic Origins of the Sicilian Mafia: A Simulation Feedback Model. In R. Y. Cavana, B. C. Dangerfield, O. V. Pavlov, M. J. Radzicki, & I. D. Wheat (Eds.), Feedback Economics: Economic Modeling with System Dynamics (pp. 137-161). New York: Springer.
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 30 Aug 2021 Last Revised: 18 Apr 2023
Oleg V. Pavlov and Jason Sardell
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and University of Texas at Austin
Downloads 60 (717,490)

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Organized crime; Mafia; Law enforcement; Weak states; Feedback model; Feedback economics; System dynamics

24.

Toward an Information-Compatible Anti-Spam Strategy

Communications of Association for Computing Machinery, 2008
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 24 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 18 Apr 2018
Robert K. Plice, Nigel P. Melville and Oleg V. Pavlov
San Diego State University, University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 60 (717,490)

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spam, e-mail, filtering, communication

25.

Food Fight: Teaching Systems Thinking and Ecosystems

In Schrier, Karen (Ed.). Learning, Education, & Games, Volume 3: 100 Games to Use in the Classroom and Beyond. Publisher: ETC Press. 2019.
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Jan 2020 Last Revised: 04 Nov 2021
Oleg V. Pavlov, Yoon Jeon Kim and Christine Whitlock
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
Downloads 59 (723,207)

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video games; learning; systems thinking; K-12 education; curriculum

26.

A Learning Sciences Investigation of Game‐Based Structural Debriefing

WPI Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Paper No. 2017‐001
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 03 May 2017 Last Revised: 20 Sep 2017
Oleg V. Pavlov and Yoon Jeon Kim
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
Downloads 56 (740,913)

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Game-Based Learning, Systems Thinking, System Dynamics, Curriculum Design, STEM Education

27.

The Circular and Cumulative Structure of Administered Pricing

Journal of Economics Issues. Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 517-526, 2006
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 28 Jul 2013
Mark W. Nichols, Oleg V. Pavlov and Michael J. Radzicki
University of Nevada, Reno, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 48 (792,834)

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28.

Game-Based Structural Debriefing: Development of a Pedagogical Framework for Promoting Systems Thinking Skills

The American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C., April 8-12, 2016
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 03 Oct 2019
Yoon Jeon Kim and Oleg V. Pavlov
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 39 (860,644)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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systems thinking; K-12; learning science

29.

COVID-19 and Financial Sustainability of Academic Institutions

Pavlov, O.V. and Katsamakas, E. COVID-19 and Financial Sustainability of Academic Institutions. Sustainability. 2021, 13(7), 3903; https://doi.org/10.3390/su13073903
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 26 Apr 2021
Oleg V. Pavlov and Evangelos Katsamakas
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University
Downloads 38 (868,793)
Citation 8

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higher education; university; college; COVID-19; pandemic; risk; resilience; stress testing; system dynamics; simulation; model-informed decision making; computational model; computational experiments; causality; feedback; complex system

30.

Dynamics of Complex Service Systems

NERCCS 2019: Second Northeast Regional Conference on Complex Systems, April 3-5, 2019, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY, USA
Number of pages: 1 Posted: 03 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 14 Nov 2019
Oleg V. Pavlov and Evangelos Katsamakas
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University
Downloads 38 (868,793)

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service science; higher education; university management; systems thinking

31.

Toward the Service Science View of Education

EDULEARN17: 9th Annual International Conference on Education and New Learning Technologies,” Barcelona (Spain). 3rd - 5th of July, 2017
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 16 Nov 2018
Oleg V. Pavlov and Frank Hoy
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Collaborative for Entrepreneurship & Innnovation School of Business
Downloads 37 (877,313)
Citation 3

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Entrepreneurship Education; Service Systems; Service Science; Academic Program Management; Higher Education

32.

Customer Resources and Economic Sustainability of Online Channels

Pavlov, O. (2011). Customer Resources and Economic Sustainability of Online Channels. In M. A. Quaddus and M. A. B. Siddique (Eds). The Handbook of Corporate Sustainability: Frameworks, Strategies and Tools. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, pp. 161-183.
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 10 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 09 Jun 2014
Oleg V. Pavlov
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 37 (877,313)

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Online Channels, strategy, system dynamics, systems thinking

33.

Will Colleges Survive the Storm of Declining Enrollments? A Computational Model

PLoS ONE 15(8). 2020
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 11 May 2021
Oleg V. Pavlov and Evangelos Katsamakas
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University
Downloads 35 (894,904)
Citation 7

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college enrollments; demand for college education; model-based management and strategy; higher education; financial sustainability; demographic storm; systems thinking; system dynamics; computational model; college closures; service systems

34.

The Impact of Universal Service Obligations and International Cross-Subsidies on the Dispersion of Telephone Services in Developing Countries

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 10 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 18 Apr 2018
Boris Ramos, Khalid Saeed and Oleg V. Pavlov
ESPOL, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 33 (912,890)

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Universal Service, Telecommunications, Universal Service Obligation, Cross-Subsidy

35.

Using the Service Science Canvas to Understand Institutional Change in a Public School System

Advances in Service Science. New York: Springer. 2019: 95-104
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 29 Jul 2019
Shari Weaver and Oleg V. Pavlov
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 32 (922,027)

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STEM; schools; K-12; service science; service canvas

36.

Richard Goodwin's Keynesian Cobweb: Theme and Variations

Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 24, No. 1, Winter 2002
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 19 Aug 2002 Last Revised: 25 Nov 2014
Richard H. Day and Oleg V. Pavlov
University of Southern California - Department of Economics and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 32 (922,027)

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37.

Do Economies Diverge? Economic Development in the Very Long Run

Day, R. H. and O. V. Pavlov (2004). Do Economies Diverge? Economic Development in the Very Long Run. In R.H. Day. The Divergent Dynamics of Economic Growth: Studies in Adaptive Economizing, Technological Change, and Economic Development.. Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press: 178-200.
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 May 2021
Richard H. Day and Oleg V. Pavlov
University of Southern California - Department of Economics and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 25 (991,899)

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Macroeconomics; Growth; Complex Economic Dynamics; Computational Economics

38.

Entrepreneurship Education as a Service

Bosio, G., T. Minola, F. Origo and S. Tomelleri (Eds.). Rethinking the Entrepreneurial Human Capital: The Role of Innovation and Collaboration. Cham, Switzerland: Springer. 2018
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 18 Jun 2019
Oleg V. Pavlov and Frank Hoy
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Collaborative for Entrepreneurship & Innnovation School of Business
Downloads 25 (991,899)

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entrepreneurship education; service

39.

Artificial Intelligence and the Transformation of Higher Education Institutions: A Systems Approach

Sustainability, volume 16, issue 14, 2024[10.3390/su16146118]
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 Dec 2024
Evangelos Katsamakas, Oleg V. Pavlov and Ryan Saklad
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 19 (1,060,237)

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higher education, artificial intelligence, AI transformation, generative AI (GenAI), ChatGPT, future of work, CLD, feedback loop, systems thinking, system dynamics, complex system, digital transformation, sustainability

40.

Increasing the Internationalization of Business Education by Utilizing Visiting Instructors

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 08 Jun 2023
Joan Lofgren and Oleg V. Pavlov
Aalto University - School of Business and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 13 (1,133,500)

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visiting faculty, flying faculty, faculty employment, internationalization, business education, standardization, adaptation, business schools, Finland

41.

Qualitative Dynamics and Macroeconomic Evolution in the Very Long Run

Day, Richard H., and Oleg V. Pavlov. "Qualitative Dynamics and Macroeconomic Evolution." In Cycles, Growth and Structural Change, edited by Lionello F. Punzo, 95-114: Routledge, 2001.
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 10 Jan 2024
Richard H. Day and Oleg V. Pavlov
University of Southern California - Department of Economics and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Downloads 3 (1,244,056)

Abstract:

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42.

Spam and Beyond: An Information-Economic Analysis of Unwanted Commercial Messages

Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce, Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 1-29, 2008
Posted: 24 Oct 2008 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2020
Robert K. Plice, Oleg V. Pavlov and Nigel P. Melville
San Diego State University, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business

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common-pool resources, economic models, Internet communications, simulations, spam, tragedy of the commons

43.

Unsolicited Commercial E-Mail: Empirical Analysis of a Digital Commons

International Journal of Electronic Commerce, Vol.10, No. 4, pp. 143-168, 2006
Posted: 24 Oct 2008
University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business, affiliation not provided to SSRN, San Diego State University and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)

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Attention endowment, Box-Jenkins, common-pool resource,digital commons, exclusion, e-mail marketing, IS management, rival, spam,time series, UCE

Other Papers (2)

Total Downloads: 50
1.

Using the Canvas Model to Analyze an Undergraduate Business Program

Number of pages: 1 Posted: 24 Jan 2020
Joan Lofgren, Oleg V. Pavlov and Frank Hoy
Aalto University - School of Business, Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) - Collaborative for Entrepreneurship & Innnovation School of Business
Downloads 30

Abstract:

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service science, higher education

2.

A Caribbean Remedy for Financially Sick N.Y. Hospitals & the Primary Care Shortage

MedCity News, 2013
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 12 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2019
Oleg V. Pavlov and Vladimir Gotlieb
Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) and Nassau University Medical Center
Downloads 20

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Offshore Medical Schools; Physician Shortage; New York State; Medical Education