P.A.V.B. Swamy

Federal Reserve Board

Retired

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

16

DOWNLOADS

867

TOTAL CITATIONS

5

Scholarly Papers (16)

1.

Spurious Regressions in Econometrics: Reconsideration

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 03 Feb 2019
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board, Temple University - Mathematics Department and American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics
Downloads 440 (135,281)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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common cause, independent dependent variable and a regressor, t-raio, relevant pre-existing condition

Cointegration: Its Fatal Flaw and a Proposed Solution

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 08 Jan 2020
P.A.V.B. Swamy and Peter von zur Muehlen
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 60 (732,244)

Abstract:

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integrated variable, cointegrated variables, cointegrating vector, nonstationary variable, time-varying coefficient model

Cointegration: Its Fatal Flaw and a Proposed Solution

P.A.V.B. Swamy and Peter von zur Muehlen, "Cointegration: Its fatal flaw and a proposed solution," Sustainable Futures, Volume 2, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2020.100038
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Jul 2022
P.A.V.B. Swamy and Peter von zur Muehlen
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 21 (1,069,890)

Abstract:

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Integrated variable, Cointegrated variables, Cointegrating vector, Nonstationary variable, Time-varying coefficient model

3.

A Feasible Generalized Least Squares Approach to Estimating Total Causal Effects in a Regression

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 03 Feb 2019
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board, Temple University - Mathematics Department and American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics
Downloads 68 (674,781)

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unique time-varying coefficient and unique error term, direct effect, indirect effect, and total effect of a regressor, omitted relevant regressor, coefficient driver, measurement-error bias

4.

The State of Econometrics After Pratt, Schlaifer, Skyrms, and Basmann

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 Jun 2019
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board, Temple University - Mathematics Department and American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics
Downloads 67 (679,816)

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unique time-varying coefficient and unique error term; direct effect; indirect effect; and total effect of a regressor; omitted relevant regressor; coefficient driver; measurement-error bias

5.

Alternative Approaches to the Econometrics of Panel Data

Number of pages: 90 Posted: 05 Mar 2019
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board, Temple University - Mathematics Department and American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics
Downloads 46 (807,222)
Citation 2

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Unique coefficient; Unique error term; Bias-free component; Omitted-regressor bias component; Measurement-error bias component; Causal effect

6.

Bretton-Woods Systems, Old and New, and the Rotation of Exchange-Rate Regimes

Bank of Greece Working Paper No. 112
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 21 Jul 2022
Bank of Greece, University of Leicester - Department of Economics, Bank of Greece and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 31 (931,334)

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Revived Bretton-Woods system, asymmetry hypothesis, time-series, decomposition, time-varying-coefficient estimation

7.

Forecasting Money Demand with Econometric Models

Special Studies Paper 196, 4/1986, Division of Research and Statistics, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C.
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board - Department of Research & Statistics and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 29 (950,752)

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Money demand, forecasting, econometric models, logical validity, fiaxed parameters, time-varying parameters,

8.

Co-Integration: Is it a Property of the Real World?

FEDS Working Paper No. 96
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
P.A.V.B. Swamy, Peter von zur Muehlen and J.S. Mehta
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board and Temple University - Mathematics Department
Downloads 25 (991,899)

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Co-integrating vector, eigenvector, Granger representation theorem, moving average, autoregressive, and error correction representations,

9.

Coping with Unobservables in Estimating Production Functions: An Example with US Banking Data

Swamy PAVB, Peter von zur Muehlen, and I-Lok Chang, "Coping with Unobservables in Estimating Production Functions: An Example with US Banking Data," Sustainable Futures, No.3, 2021
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Jul 2022
P.A.V.B. Swamy, Peter von zur Muehlen and I-Lok Chang
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board and American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics
Downloads 24 (1,002,720)

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Multi-input-single-output (MISO) production, Multi-input-multi-output (MIMO) production, Inter-bank heterogeneity, Consistent estimation, Direct effects, Indirect effects, Total effects, random coefficients, coefficient drivers.

10.

The Role of Coefficient Drivers of Time‐Varying Coefficients in Estimating the Total Effects of a Regressor on the Dependent Variable of an Equation

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2022, 15, 331. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15080331
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, American University - Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Federal Reserve Board and Stellenbosch University - Business School (USB)
Downloads 20 (1,048,522)

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total effects; bank credit; economic growth; direct effects; indirect effects; threshold regression; real GDP; coefficient drivers; Theil’s U statistic

11.

The Foundations of Econometrics --- Are There Any?

"The Foundations of Econometrics---are there any?", Econometric Reviews, (4) 1, 1-61, 1985. Also in Foundations of Probability, Econometrics and Economic GamesPublisher: Edward Elgar, Cheltenham UK 1996; Editors: F. Omar Hamouda and J.C.R. Rowley
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 13 (1,133,500)

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12.

On a Problem in Identifying Linear Parametric Models

FEDS Working Paper No. 28, April 1988
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
P.A.V.B. Swamy and Peter von zur Muehlen
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve Board
Downloads 12 (1,145,852)

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Simultaneaoue equations, reduced forms, idintifiability, observational equivalence

13.

On Logical Validity and Econometric Modeling: the Case of Money Supply

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board, Independent and Independent
Downloads 11 (1,158,264)
Citation 1

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Structural form, reduced form, random coefficient, time-varying coefficient modeling, money demand

14.

Comparing Forecasts From Fixed and Variable Coefficient Models: The Case of Money Demand

International Journal of Forecasting 6 (1990) 469-477
Posted: 04 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve Board - Department of Research & Statistics

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Fixed-coefficient models, Forecasting money demand, Stochastic coefficient models

15.

Further Thoughts on Testing for Causality

Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 39, 1988, 105-147
Posted: 04 Aug 2022
Peter von zur Muehlen and P.A.V.B. Swamy
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Reserve Board

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16.

The Impact of Uncertainty on the Feasibility of Humphrey-Hawkins Objectives

Journal of Finance, Vol. 36, No. 2, 1981
Posted: 04 Aug 2022
Federal Reserve Board, Independent, Federal Reserve Board and Independent

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