Ezra Karger

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

230 South LaSalle Street

Chicago, IL 60604

United States

  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

10

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4,054

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 36,852

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19

CROSSREF CITATIONS

3

Scholarly Papers (10)

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1.

Reciprocal Scoring: A Method for Forecasting Unanswerable Questions

Number of pages: 68 Posted: 18 Nov 2021
Ezra Karger, Joshua Monrad, Barb Mellers and Philip Tetlock
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, University of Oxford - Future of Humanity Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Psychology and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 1,259 (26,365)

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forecasting tournaments, causal inference, policy evaluation, elicitation, COVID-19

2.

Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from COVID-19 Stimulus Payments

Downloads 1,005 (36,508)
Citation 6

Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from COVID-19 Stimulus Payments

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2020-15
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 01 Jun 2020 Last Revised: 13 Apr 2021
Ezra Karger and Aastha Rajan
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 696 (59,444)
Citation 3

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COVID-19, stimulus payments, high-frequency data, marginal propensity to consume

Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP 2020-15
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 15 Jun 2020
Ezra Karger and Aastha Rajan
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 309 (156,661)
Citation 4

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Covid-19, CARES Act, high-frequency data, stimulus payments, marginal propensity to consume

3.

Patent Citations and Stock Performance: Constructing a Dynamic Industry Classification

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 17 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2015
Sebastien Gay and Ezra Karger
The University of Chicago and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 786 (51,180)
Citation 2

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classifications, stocks, industry, cluster, return, growth, Industrial Organisation, patents

4.

Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 06 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 18 Jan 2022
Ezra Karger, Pavel D. Atanasov and Philip Tetlock
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Pytho LLC and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 516 (87,869)
Citation 1

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Forecasting, Prediction, Existential Risk

5.

The Returns to Public Library Investment

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2021-06
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 02 Jun 2021 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2021
Gregory Gilpin, Ezra Karger and Peter Nencka
Montana State University - Bozeman, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Miami University of Ohio
Downloads 152 (306,822)

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public libraries, capital spending, test scores

6.

Heterogeneous Impacts of Sentencing Decisions

Downloads 132 (343,080)

Heterogeneous Impacts of Sentencing Decisions

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2021-113
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 22 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2022
Andrew Jordan, Ezra Karger and Derek A. Neal
Washington University in St. Louis, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and University of Chicago - Department of Economics
Downloads 110 (394,228)

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Heterogeneous Impacts of Sentencing Decisions

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2022-02
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 07 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 02 Mar 2022
Andrew Jordan, Ezra Karger and Derek A. Neal
Washington University in St. Louis, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and University of Chicago - Department of Economics
Downloads 22 (821,810)

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recidivism, sentencing decisions, heterogeneity

7.

Tracking U.S. Consumers in Real Time with a New Weekly Index of Retail Trade

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2021-05
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 02 Jun 2021 Last Revised: 05 Nov 2021
Scott A. Brave, Michael Fogarty, Daniel Aaronson, Ezra Karger and Spencer D. Krane
Morning Consult, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - Economic Research
Downloads 81 (478,329)

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8.

School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic

Downloads 51 (605,901)
Citation 4

School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic

NBER Working Paper No. w28246
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 21 Dec 2020 Last Revised: 06 Mar 2023
Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Ezra Karger, Peter Nencka and Melissa Thomasson
University of Southern Denmark - Department of Business and Economics, University of California, Davis, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Miami University of Ohio and Miami University of Ohio - Department of Economics
Downloads 51 (617,963)

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School Closures During the 1918 Flu Pandemic

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15575
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 23 Dec 2020
Philipp Ager, Katherine Eriksson, Ezra Karger, Peter Nencka and Melissa Thomasson
University of Southern Denmark - Department of Business and Economics, University of California, Davis, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Miami University of Ohio and Miami University of Ohio - Department of Economics
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9.

Full Accuracy Scoring Accelerates the Discovery of Skilled Forecasters

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 14 Feb 2023
Pavel D. Atanasov, Ezra Karger and Philip Tetlock
Pytho LLC, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 37 (686,327)

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Forecasting, Prediction, Crowdsourcing, Skill Assessment

10.

Classifying Industries into Tradable/Nontradable via Geographic Radius Served

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 28 Dec 2022 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2023
Simcha Barkai and Ezra Karger
Boston College and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Downloads 35 (706,055)

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