default author photo

Luis A. Seco

University of Toronto

Department of Mathematics

Toronto, Ontario M5S 3E6

Canada

University of Toronto - RiskLab

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

14

DOWNLOADS
Rank 20,346

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 20,346

in Total Papers Downloads

6,130

TOTAL CITATIONS

2

Scholarly Papers (14)

Backtest Overfitting in the Machine Learning Era: A Comparison of Out-of-Sample Testing Methods in a Synthetic Controlled Environment

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 17 Jan 2024
Hamid R. Arian, Daniel Norouzi M. and Luis A. Seco
York University, Bayes Business School, City St George's, University of London and University of Toronto
Downloads 1,968 (22,149)

Abstract:

Loading...

Quantitative Finance, Financial Machine Learning, Cross-Validation, Probability of Backtest Overfitting

2.

Towards Automating Causal Discovery in Financial Markets and Beyond

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 24 Jan 2024
University of Toronto, University of Montreal - Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Sharif University of Technology, University of Montreal - Department of Mathematics and Statistics and University of Toronto
Downloads 1,819 (23,910)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Machine Learning, Finance, Investment Management, Factor Investing, Large Language Models, NLP, LLM, Causal Discovery, Causal Modelling

3.

Stability-Weighted Ensemble Feature Importance for Financial Applications

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Aug 2024
York University, Sharif University of Technology and University of Toronto
Downloads 672 (97,582)

Abstract:

Loading...

Machine Learning, Feature Importance, Model Uncertainty, Model Stability, Feature Importance

4.

Deep-Time Neural Networks: An Efficient Approach for Solving High-Dimensional PDEs

Applied Mathematics and Computation, volume 488, 2025[10.1016/j.amc.2024.129117]
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 18 Sep 2023 Last Revised: 21 Oct 2024
Ahmad Aghapour, Hamid R. Arian and Luis A. Seco
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, York University and University of Toronto
Downloads 462 (157,043)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

Partial Differential Equations, Deep Learning, Machine Learning, Computational Efficiency

5.

Conditional Correlation via Generalized Random Forests; Application to Hedge Funds

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 06 Jun 2024
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, York University, University of Western Ontario and University of Toronto
Downloads 415 (177,553)

Abstract:

Loading...

Heterogeneous correlation; Random Forests; Decision Trees; Conditional Correlation

6.

Detecting Structural Breaks in Dynamic Environments Using Reinforcement Learning and Bayesian Change Point Models

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 08 Apr 2025
Azin Sharifi, Wanning Sun and Luis A. Seco
University of Toronto - RiskLab, University of Toronto and University of Toronto
Downloads 225 (351,440)

Abstract:

Loading...

Structural break detection, Reinforcement learning, Bayesian change point detection, Counterfactual reinforcement learning, Nonstationary time series

7.

From Crisis to Opportunity: The Impact of ESG Scores and Board Structure on Firms' Profitability

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 06 Aug 2024
Luis A. Seco, Azin Sharifi and shiva zamani
University of Toronto, University of Toronto - RiskLab and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 196 (389,821)

Abstract:

Loading...

Financial Profitability, COVID-19, Difference-in-Difference, Causal Inference, ESG, Board Structure

8.

Data to DAGs to Dividends: A Scalable, LLM-Driven Pipeline for Causal Inference in Sustainability

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 01 Dec 2025
University of Toronto, Technical University of Munich and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 119 (617,542)

Abstract:

Loading...

Causal Discovery, Causal Inference, LLM, Sustainability, Statistics

9.

Price of Liquidity in the Reinsurance of Fund Returns

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Jan 2021
David Saunders, Luis A. Seco and Markus Senn
University of Waterloo, University of Toronto and Technische Universität München (TUM)
Downloads 86 (771,553)

Abstract:

Loading...

first-loss, hedge funds, liquidation barrier, portfolio downside protection, portfolio reinsurance

10.

Methane Emission Drivers and Baseline Calculations

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 28 Jan 2025
University of Toronto, Sharif University of Technology and University of Toronto
Downloads 62 (961,006)

Abstract:

Loading...

Methane Emission, Environment, Sustainability, and Governance (ESG), Machine Learning, Feature Importance

11.

Methane Emission Index

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 21 Nov 2024
University of Toronto, Sharif University of Technology and University of Toronto
Downloads 54 (1,031,043)

Abstract:

Loading...

Methane Emission, Environment, Sustainability, Governance, ESG, Machine Learning, Feature Importance, Benchmarking

12.

Data to DAGs to Dividends: A Scalable, LLM-Driven Pipeline for Causal Inference in

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 14 Jan 2026
Technical University of Munich, University of Toronto and Sharif University of Technology
Downloads 31 (1,332,057)

Abstract:

Loading...

Causal Discovery, Causal Inference, LLM, Statistical Algorithms, Sustainability

13.

The Adaptive Sustainability Policy (ASP) Framework: Designing Eco-Economic Policy with Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 12 Feb 2026
Azin Sharifi, shiva zamani and Luis A. Seco
University of Toronto - RiskLab, Sharif University of Technology and University of Toronto
Downloads 21 (1,481,165)

Abstract:

Loading...

Sustainable Policy-Making, Sustainability, Simulation, Machine Learning, Agent-based Modelling, Reinforcement Learning

14.

Single and Double Black-Cox for Pricing Risky Debt and Equity with Reorganization

Economic Modelling, Vol. 29, pp. 910-917, 2009
Posted: 04 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2013
Public University of Navarre, Ryerson University, University of Toronto and Ryerson University

Abstract:

Loading...

First passage model, reorganization, liquidation