Geoff Kenny

European Central Bank (ECB)

Sonnemannstrasse 22

Frankfurt am Main, 60314

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

22

DOWNLOADS
Rank 25,998

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 25,998

in Total Papers Downloads

3,326

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 7,415

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 7,415

in Total Papers Citations

134

CROSSREF CITATIONS

75

Scholarly Papers (22)

1.

The Rationality of Consumers' Inflation Expectations: Survey-Based Evidence for the Euro Area

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 14 May 2003
Magnus Forsells and Geoff Kenny
European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 499 (95,210)
Citation 21

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Inflation expectations, Surveys, Rationality, Euro area

The COVID-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 22 Dec 2020 Last Revised: 08 Jan 2021
Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 277 (182,739)
Citation 1

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COVID-19, Consumption, Income Shocks, Marginal Propensity to Consume, Financial Concerns, Fiscal Policies

The COVID-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries

ECB Working Paper No. 20202507
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 18 Dec 2020
Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 183 (271,860)
Citation 3

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The COVID-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15525
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 23 Dec 2020
Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics and European Central Bank (ECB)
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Citation 10
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3.

Inflation Expectations, Consumption and the Lower Bound: Micro Evidence from a Large Euro Area Survey

ECB Working Paper No. 2196
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 16 Nov 2018
Ioana Duca, Geoff Kenny and Andreas Reuter
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and European Union - European Commission
Downloads 346 (145,315)
Citation 7

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consumer inflation expectations, consumption, lower bound, micro data

4.

The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) - A Review After Eight Years' Experience

ECB Occasional Paper No. 59
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
European Central Bank (ECB), European Union - European Commission, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 315 (160,587)
Citation 5

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5.

Clear, Consistent and Engaging: ECB Monetary Policy Communication in a Changing World

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/274
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 19 Jan 2022
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General International and European Relations, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Národná banka Slovenska, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General International and European Relations, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Slovenia, National Bank of Belgium, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Finland, Deutsche Bundesbank, Latvijas Banka, Deutsche BundesbankGoethe University Frankfurt - House of Finance, Banco de España, De Nederlandsche Bank, Národná banka Slovenska, Bank of Estonia, National Bank of Belgium, Central Bank of Cyprus and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 221 (229,117)
Citation 1

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accountability, central bank, forward guidance, transparency, trust

6.

Some Lessons From the Financial Crisis for the Economic Analysis

ECB Occasional Paper No. 130
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 10 Oct 2011
Geoff Kenny and Julian Benedict Morgan
European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 207 (243,374)
Citation 3

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Euro Area, Financial Crisis, Macro Economic Forecasting

The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2557
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 24 May 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 90 (470,536)
Citation 3

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2021-35, Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 22-17
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 06 Apr 2021 Last Revised: 12 Oct 2022
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 65 (570,349)
Citation 2

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Uncertainty, household spending, household finance, Consumer Expectations Survey, randomized control trial

The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

IZA Discussion Paper No. 14213
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 30 Mar 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 16 (917,776)

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

NBER Working Paper No. w28625
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 29 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 20 Mar 2022
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
Downloads 3 (1,044,659)

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The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15966
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 31 Mar 2021
University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) and University of Chicago - Finance
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8.

ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: An Overview and First Evaluation

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/287
Number of pages: 137 Posted: 10 Dec 2021
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), National Institute of Statistics (Istat), European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), De Nederlandsche Bank and Government of the Republic of Finland - Statistics Finland
Downloads 173 (285,744)

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consumer behaviour, euro area, expectations, household surveys, micro data set

9.

The Ecb's Price Stability Framework: Past Experience, and Current and Future Challenges

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021269
Number of pages: 128 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France - Centre de Recherche, Bank of Latvia, ECB -DG Monetary Policy, De Nederlandsche Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Portugal, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Finland - Research, Central Bank of Cyprus, Deutsche BundesbankEuropean Central Bank (ECB)University of Kiel, European Central BankECB, European Central Bank (ECB), Central Bank of Ireland, Banco de España, Bank of Italy, Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), De Nederlandsche Bank, European Central Bank, University of St. Gallen, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Finland, Central Bank of Ireland, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank (ECB), Národná banka Slovenska, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, European Central Bank, European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Italy and Bank of Italy
Downloads 134 (352,213)
Citation 1

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effective lower bound, euro area, European Central Bank, monetary policy strategy, price stability

10.

Quality Adjustment of European Price Statistics and the Role for Hedonics

ECB Occasional Paper No. 15
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Jul 2005
Henning Ahnert and Geoff Kenny
European Central Bank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 121 (380,314)

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11.

Combining the Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Can Anything Beat the Simple Average?

ECB Working Paper No. 1277
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 11 Dec 2010
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and UCSD
Downloads 119 (384,852)
Citation 13

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forecast combination, forecast evaluation, data snooping, real-time data, Survey of Professional Forecasters

12.

The Long-Term Distribution of Expected Inflation in the Euro Area: What has Changed Since the Great Recession?

ECB Working Paper No. 1999
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 03 Feb 2017
Jonas Dovern and Geoff Kenny
Kiel Institute for the World Economy and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 106 (418,203)
Citation 7

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inflation expectations, density forecasts, ECB, euro area

13.

Credibility Gains from Communicating with the Public: Evidence from the ECB's New Monetary Policy Strategy

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2785
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 17 Feb 2023
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 99 (438,617)

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central bank communication, Consumer Expectations Survey, credibility, financial literacy, randomised control trial

14.

Tell Me Something I Don’t Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 23-14, Fama-Miller Working Paper , University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2023-102
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 20 Jul 2023 Last Revised: 27 Jul 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of Montevideo, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of California, Berkeley, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, University of Texas at Austin, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, European Central Bank (ECB), Universidad ORT Uruguay, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Central Bank of Uruguay
Downloads 59 (594,299)

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Inattention, RCTs, inflation expectations

15.

Can Macroeconomists Forecast Risk? Event-Based Evidence from the Euro Area SPF

ECB Working Paper No. 1540
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 11 May 2013
Geoff Kenny, Thomas Kostka and Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Department of Economics
Downloads 56 (604,341)

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probability forecasts, forecast evaluation, calibration error, Survey of Professional Forecasters

16.

How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconimists?

ECB Working Paper No. 1446
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 27 Jul 2012
Geoff Kenny, Thomas Kostka and Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Department of Economics
Downloads 47 (652,932)
Citation 2

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Forecast evaluation, neglected risks, real-time data, Survey of Professional Forecasters

17.

How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3671
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 Dec 2011
Geoff Kenny, Thomas Kostka and Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (682,873)
Citation 4

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density forecasts, forecast evaluation, real-time data, survey of professional forecasters

18.

Household Spending and Fiscal Support During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights from a New Consumer Survey

ECB Working Paper No. 2022/2643
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 17 Feb 2022
Dimitris Georgarakos and Geoff Kenny
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 40 (695,646)

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Consumer Expectations Survey, COVID-19, fiscal policy, household perceptions

19.

Density Characteristics and Density Forecast Performance: A Panel Analysis

ECB Working Paper No. 1679
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 05 Jul 2014
Geoff Kenny, Thomas Kostka and Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (722,498)
Citation 4

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density forecasting, forecast evaluation, Survey of Professional Forecasters, panel data

Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach

CESifo Working Paper No. 10256
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 09 Feb 2023
Jonas Dovern, Alexander Glas and Geoff Kenny
Friedrich-Alexander University, Friedrich-Alexander University and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 17 (907,645)

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compositional data, density forecasts, survey forecasts, disagreement

Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2791
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 28 Feb 2023
Jonas Dovern, Alexander Glas and Geoff Kenny
Friedrich-Alexander University, Friedrich-Alexander University and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 17 (907,645)

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compositional data, density forecasts, disagreement, survey forecasts

21.

Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest Rates

ECB Working Paper No. 2022/2736
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 29 Sep 2022
Marco Felici, Geoff Kenny and Roberta Friz
University of Cambridge - Department of Land Economy, European Central Bank (ECB) and European Union - European Commission
Downloads 34 (736,458)

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consumer survey, euro area, liquidity trap, nominal interest rates, savings

Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings

NBER Working Paper No. w31485
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 24 Jul 2023
University of Chicago - Finance, University of California, Berkeley, Bank of Italy, Universidad ORT Uruguay, University of Montevideo, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, School of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, University of Texas at Austin, European Central Bank (ECB) and Central Bank of Uruguay
Downloads 4 (1,036,391)
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