Javier J. Pérez

Banco de España - Research Department

Head of Fiscal Policies Unit

Alcala 50

28014 Madrid

Spain

http://www.bde.es/investigador/staff/95.htm

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

67

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7,984

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 1,411

in Total Papers Citations

371

CROSSREF CITATIONS

831

Scholarly Papers (67)

1.

The Public Sector Pay Gap in a Selection of Euro Area Countries

ECB Working Paper No. 1406
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 15 Dec 2011
Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, affiliation not provided to SSRN, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Banco de España - Research Department, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bank of Slovenia
Downloads 520 (105,550)
Citation 3

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wage differentials, public/private sector

2.

The EU's Open Strategic Autonomy from a Central Banking Perspective. Challenges to the Monetary Policy Landscape from a Changing Geopolitical Environment

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2023/311
Number of pages: 189 Posted: 28 Mar 2023
European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department, Nationale Bank van België, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of France, Bank of Portugal, Banco de España, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España, Central Bank of Ireland, Nationale Bank van België, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, De Nederlandsche Bank, Bank of Italy, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España, De Nederlandsche Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Banco de España, Bank of Estonia, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Banco de España, Banco de España, Bank of Italy, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Spain, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Spain, Banque de France, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Banque de France, Bank of Italy, Deutsche Bundesbank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 404 (142,248)

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capital flows, European Central Bank, European Economic and Monetary Union, financial market infrastructures, financial stability, geoeconomics, geopolitics, globalisation, global value chains, industrial policy, international trade, monetary policy, multilateralism, Open Strategic Autonomy

3.

(De-)Globalisation of Trade and Regionalisation: A Survey of the Facts and Arguments

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2124
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 02 Nov 2021
Iván Kataryniuk, Javier J. Pérez and Francesca Viani
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 389 (148,443)
Citation 3

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globalization, trade policy

4.

Nowcasting Private Consumption: Traditional Indicators, Uncertainty Measures, Credit Cards and Some Internet Data

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1842
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 14 Dec 2018
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department, Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM) and Banco de España
Downloads 362 (160,849)
Citation 65

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private consumption, nowcasting, forecasting, uncertainty, Google Trends.

5.

Public and Private Sector Wages: Co-Movement and Causality

ECB Working Paper No. 963
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 19 Nov 2008
Ana Lamo, Javier J. Pérez and Ludger Schuknecht
European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 267 (221,591)
Citation 11

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government wages, private sector wages, causality, co-movement

A Quarterly Fiscal Database for the Euro Area Based on Intra-Annual Fiscal Information

ECB Working Paper No. 1132
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Dec 2009
Joan Paredes, Diego J. Pedregal and Javier J. Pérez
European Central Bank, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 116 (460,544)
Citation 7

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Euro area, Fiscal policies, Interpolation, Unobserved Components models, Mixed frequencies

A Quarterly Fiscal Database for the Euro Area Based on Intra-Annual Fiscal Information

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0935
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 17 Jan 2010
Joan Paredes, Diego J. Pedregal and Javier J. Pérez
European Central Bank, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 103 (507,043)
Citation 65

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Euro area, Fiscal policies, Interpolation, Unobserved Components models, Mixed-frequencies

7.

Fiscal Forecasting: Lessons from the Literature and Challenges

ECB Working Paper No. 843
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 04 Jan 2008
Teresa Leal, Javier J. Pérez, Mika Tujula and Jean-Pierre Vidal
University of Huelva, Banco de España - Research Department, European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 189 (307,594)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Fiscal policies, government budget, forecasting, monitoring

8.

The End of the Demographic Dividend in Latin America: Challenges for Economic and Social Policies

Banco de Espana Article 4/20
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 18 Jun 2020
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 185 (313,461)

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demographic dividend, ageing, pension systems, dependency ratio, total factor productivity.

The Fiscal and Macroeconomic Effects of Government Wages and Employment Reform

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1607
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 08 Oct 2016
Banco de España - Research Department, Banque de France, Bank of Portugal, Bank of Lithuania, Bank of Italy, Bank of GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Bank of Lithuania, Banco de España and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 113 (469,895)
Citation 6

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public employment, public wages, labour market, fiscal policies, fiscal consolidation

The Fiscal and Macroeconomic Effects of Government Wages and Employment Reform

ECB Occasional Paper No. 176
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 Sep 2016
Banco de España - Research Department, Banque de France, Bank of Portugal, Bank of Lithuania, Bank of Italy, Bank of GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Bank of Lithuania, Banco de España and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 64 (672,751)
Citation 2

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public employment, public wages, labour market, fiscal policies, fiscal consolidation

10.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Measurement and Impact on the Spanish Economy

Banco de Espana Article 2/17
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 02 Feb 2017
Maria Gil, Javier J. Pérez and Alberto Urtasun
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 167 (343,206)
Citation 7

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11.

Public Wages in the Euro Area: Towards Securing Stability and Competitiveness

ECB Occasional Paper No. 112
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 24 Jun 2010
European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England, European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 160 (355,946)
Citation 14

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government wage expenditure, fiscal cyclicality, competitiveness

Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment

ECB Working Paper No. 1133
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 12 Dec 2009
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 93 (539,897)
Citation 6

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Euro area, SVAR, Fiscal Shocks, Fiscal multipliers

Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the US: An Empirical Assessment

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0930
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 29 Dec 2009
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 64 (672,751)
Citation 3

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euro area, svar, fiscal shocks, fiscal multipliers

13.

Identifying Endogenous Fiscal Policy Rules for Macroeconomic Models

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 28 May 2003
Javier J. Pérez and Paul Hiebert
Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 157 (361,593)
Citation 1

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Macroeconomic models, Closure rules, fiscal policy, stability analysis

14.

Fiscal Multipliers in the Euro Area

Bank of Italy Occasional Paper
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 15 Jan 2012
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, European Central Bank and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 147 (381,666)

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Euro area, SVAR, Fiscal Shocks, Fiscal multipliers

15.

Spanish Public Finances Through the Financial Crisis

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1620
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Oct 2016
Francisco Marti and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 142 (392,294)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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fiscal policy, Great Recession, public deficit, public debt, Spanish economy

16.
Downloads 140 (396,765)
Citation 18

Fiscal Data Revisions in Europe

ECB Working Paper No. 1342
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 31 May 2011
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 80 (593,708)

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data revisions, real-time data, news and noise, fiscal statistics, rationality

Fiscal Data Revisions in Europe

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1106
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Apr 2011
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 60 (695,066)
Citation 20

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data revisions, real-time data, news and noise, fiscal statistics, rationality

17.

The Cyclicality of Consumption, Wages and Employment of the Public Sector in the Euro Area

ECB Working Paper No. 757
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 31 May 2007
Ana Lamo, Javier J. Pérez and Ludger Schuknecht
European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 134 (410,601)
Citation 7

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Public consumption, public wages, public employment, stylized facts, filtering, thick modelling

18.

Government spending in Spain from a European perspective

Banco de Espana Ocassional Paper No. 2217
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 14 Feb 2023
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 133 (413,082)

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General government, public spending, public finances, economic growth, role of the public sector

19.

Contingency Public Funds for Emergencies: The Lessons from the International Experience

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2032
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 05 Feb 2021
Julia Brunet, Lucía Cuadro-Sáez and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 131 (417,885)
Citation 13

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rainy-day funds, economic crises, natural catastrophes, biological catastrophes, government debt

20.

A New Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1906
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 08 Mar 2019
Corinna Ghirelli, Javier J. Pérez and Alberto Urtasun
Bank of Spain, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 130 (420,395)
Citation 63

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economic uncertainty, policy uncertainty, uncertainty shocks

21.
Downloads 124 (435,838)
Citation 51

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1508
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Mar 2015
Joan Paredes, Javier J. Pérez and Gabriel Perez-Quiros
European Central Bank, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 77 (607,193)
Citation 52

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policy credibility, fiscal policy, forecasting

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

ECB Working Paper No. 1834
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 09 Aug 2015
Joan Paredes, Gabriel Perez-Quiros and Javier J. Pérez
European Central Bank, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 46 (784,403)

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policy credibility; fiscal policy; forecasting; learning

Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10553
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 27 Apr 2015
Joan Paredes, Javier J. Pérez and Gabriel Pérez-Quirós
European Central Bank, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 1 (1,249,403)
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Abstract:

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fiscal policy, forecasting, policy credibility

22.

Fiscal Policies in Spain: Main Stylised Facts Revisited

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1408
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 13 May 2014
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Downloads 122 (441,292)
Citation 9

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fiscal policies, stylised facts, fiscal multipliers, mixed-frequencies, time-series models

23.

El Empleo De Las Administraciones Públicas En España: Caracterización Y Evolución Durante La Crisis (General Government Employment in Spain: Composition and Evolution Over the Economic Crisis)

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1402
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 20 Aug 2014
Antonio Montesinos, Javier J. Pérez and Roberto Ramos
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 117 (455,289)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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public employment, discretionary fiscal policy measures, economic crisis

24.

Debt Reduction and Automatic Stabilization

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 31 May 2003
Paul Hiebert, Javier J. Pérez and Massimo Rostagno
European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 117 (455,289)

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Public debt, automatic stabilisation, borrowing constraints, consumption

25.

Using Newspapers for Textual Indicators: Which and How Many?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2235
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 19 Oct 2022 Last Revised: 23 Oct 2022
Independent, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 113 (467,388)

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economic policy uncertainty, textual analysis, press coverage, Latin American economies, business cycles

26.

The Structure of Sub-National Public Debt: Liquidity vs Credit Risks

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1403
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 18 Feb 2014
Javier J. Pérez and Rocío Prieto
Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 113 (467,388)
Citation 57

Abstract:

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sub-sovereign public debt, public financial management, public debt structure, financial vulnerability indicators

27.

The Decline in Public Investment: 'Social Dominance' or Too-Rigid Fiscal Rules?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2025
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 05 Aug 2020
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 112 (470,538)
Citation 35

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social dominance, fiscal rules, public investment

28.

An Application of Dynamic Factor Models to Nowcast Regional Economic Activity in Spain

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1904 (2019)
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 08 Mar 2019
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 112 (470,538)
Citation 21

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regional activity, nowcasting, dynamic factor model

29.

Economic Policy Uncertainty in Latin America: Measurement using Spanish Newspapers and Economic Spillovers

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2024
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 28 Jul 2020
Corinna Ghirelli, Javier J. Pérez and Alberto Urtasun
Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 108 (483,024)
Citation 31

Abstract:

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economic policy uncertainty, uncertainty shocks, Latin America’s economies

Public and Private Sector Wages Interactions in a General Equilibrium Model

ECB Working Paper No. 1099
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 19 Oct 2009
Universidad de Málaga, Banco de España - Research Department and University of Malaga
Downloads 54 (730,815)

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Public wages, public employment, labor market, trade unions

Public and Private Sector Wages Interactions in a General Equilibrium Model

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0924
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Oct 2009
Universidad de Málaga, Banco de España - Research Department and University of Malaga
Downloads 51 (750,274)
Citation 4

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public wages, public employment, labor market, trade unions

31.

Public Finances and Inflation: The Case of Spain

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1606
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 01 Oct 2016
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 102 (503,148)

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inflation, public finances, public debt, fiscal consolidation

32.

Rising Food Commodity Prices and Their Pass-through to Euro Area Consumer Prices

Banco de Espana Article 23/22
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 Sep 2022
Fructuoso Borrallo, Lucía Cuadro-Sáez and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 99 (513,474)

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food prices, inflation, euro area

33.

Some Implications of New Data Sources for Economic Analysis and Official Statistics

Banco de Espana Article 15/19, May 2019
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 23 Aug 2019
Bank of Spain, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 93 (534,814)
Citation 1

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new sources of economic information, big data, data science, machine learning, text analysis

34.

The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: the case of Russia

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2242
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 30 Nov 2022
M Diakonova, Corinna Ghirelli, Luis Molina and Javier J. Pérez
University of the Balearic Islands - Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos (IFISC), Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 88 (553,678)

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GDP forecasting, natural language processing, social unrest, social conflict, policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk

35.

Early-Warning Tools to Forecast General Government Deficit in the Euro Area: The Role of Intra-Annual Fiscal Indicators

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 23 Jun 2005
Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 88 (553,678)

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Leading indicators, Fiscal forecasting and monitoring, General Government Deficit, European Monetary Union

36.

Taxation Challenges of Population Ageing: Comparative Evidence from the European Union, the United States and Japan (Los retos de la fiscalidad ante el envejecimiento: evidencia comparada de la Unión Europea, Estados Unidos y Japón)

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2102
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Jan 2021 Last Revised: 30 Apr 2021
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 86 (561,537)

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population ageing, tax collection, direct taxes, indirect taxes; envejecimiento de la población, recaudación impositiva, impuestos directos, impuestos indirectos

37.

Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area: Revisiting the Size of Spillovers

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1820
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 10 Jul 2018
Mario Alloza, Pablo Burriel and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 86 (561,537)
Citation 7

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fiscal policy; fiscal spillovers; euro area; vector autoregressions

38.

Implicit Public Debt Thresholds: An Empirical Exercise for the Case of Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1701
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 24 Jan 2017
Javier Andrés, Javier J. Pérez and Juan A. Rojas
University of Valencia - Department of Economics, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 85 (565,488)
Citation 58

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public debt, early warning indicators, fiscal sustainability

On the Determinants of Fiscal Non-Compliance: An Empirical Analysis of Spain's Regions

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1632
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 28 Dec 2016
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 59 (700,873)

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fiscal compliance, rules, fiscal federalism, soft budget constraints

On the Determinants of Fiscal Non-Compliance: An Empirical Analysis of Spain's Regions

IMF Working Paper No. 17/5
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 07 Mar 2017
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 26 (955,195)
Citation 1

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Fiscal policy, Spain, State taxation, Regional economics, Fiscal compliance, rules, fiscal federalism, soft budget constraints

40.

Supranational Debt and Financing Needs in the European Union (Endeudamiento supranacional y necesidades de financiación en la Unión Europea)

Banco de Espana Occassional Paper No. 2021
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 Aug 2020
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 84 (569,501)

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public debt, European Union, public financing needs, European Recovery Fund

41.

Measuring Economic and Economic Policy Uncertainty, and their Macroeconomic Effects: The Case of Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1905 (2019)
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 05 Mar 2019
Corinna Ghirelli, Maria Gil, Javier J. Pérez and Alberto Urtasun
Bank of Spain, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 83 (573,564)
Citation 44

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economic uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty, impact of uncertainty shocks

Is There a Signalling Role for Public Wages? Evidence for the Euro Area Based on Macro Data

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0934
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Jan 2010
Javier J. Pérez and Antonio Jesus Sanchez Fuentes
Banco de España - Research Department and Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Downloads 50 (756,866)
Citation 5

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government wages, private sector wages, signalling, causality, mixed frequency data, casual graph

Is There a Signalling Role for Public Wages? Evidence for the Euro Area Based on Macro Data

ECB Working Paper No. 1148
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 26 Jan 2010
Javier J. Pérez and Antonio Jesus Sanchez Fuentes
Banco de España - Research Department and Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Downloads 33 (888,842)

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Government Wages, Private Sector Wages, Signalling, Causality, Mixed Frequency Data, Causal Graph

43.

Los mecanismos extraordinarios de pago a proveedores de las Administraciones Públicas en España (The Extraordinary Mechanisms for General Government Payments to Suppliers in Spain)

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1501
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 20 Feb 2015
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 80 (586,052)
Citation 4

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trade debt, payment to government suppliers, regional and local public finances, public spending

44.

The Performance of the Budgetary Target of the Central Government in Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0933
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 15 Mar 2010
Teresa Leal and Javier J. Pérez
University of Huelva and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 78 (594,617)

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errors, biases, efficiency

45.

Short-Term Monitoring of the Spanish Government Balance with Mixed-Frequencies Models

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0931
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 13 Jan 2010
Teresa Leal, Diego J. Pedregal and Javier J. Pérez
University of Huelva, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 78 (594,617)
Citation 44

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Fiscal forecasting, Fiscal policies, Mixed frequency data, Kalman Filter

46.

The Reform of the European Union’s Fiscal Governance Framework in a New Macroeconomic Environment (La reforma del marco de gobernanza de la política fiscal de la Unión Europea en un nuevo entorno macroeconómico)

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2021
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 02 Sep 2021
Banco de España, University of Valencia - Department of Economics, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 77 (598,840)
Citation 2

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fiscal policy, fiscal governance, fiscal rules, public debt, public deficit, interest rates

47.

The Output Effects of Tax Changes: Narrative Evidence from Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1721
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 27 May 2017
Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM), Banco de España, European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 77 (598,840)
Citation 8

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tax shocks, narrative record, fiscal policy, GDP growth

48.

Real-Time Regional GDP Forecasting: Statistical Aspects and a Forecasting Model

Banco de Espana Article 17/19
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 18 Dec 2019
Banco de España - Servicio de Estudios, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 74 (612,350)

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regional economic activity, nowcasting, dynamic factor model

49.

Understanding the Public Sector Pay Gap

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1539
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 09 Jan 2016
Bank of Portugal, Bank of Italy, Bank of GreeceNational and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 70 (631,024)
Citation 47

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public sector pay gap, government monopolistic power, wage-setting institutions

50.

The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2232
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 10 Oct 2022
University of the Balearic Islands - Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos (IFISC), Banco de España, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Banco de España - Research Department and University of Cambridge - Faculty of Economics
Downloads 68 (640,815)

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forecasting, social unrest, social conflict, policy uncertainty, forecasting GDP, natural language processing, geopolitical risk

51.

The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Euro Area Public Finances

Banco de Espana Article 20/17
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 06 Oct 2017
Pablo Burriel, Francisco Marti and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 66 (650,662)

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52.

Monitoring Sub-Central Government Spending in Spain

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1127
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 19 Oct 2011
Banco de España, University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 66 (650,662)
Citation 47

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Regional and local public finances, government expenditure, fiscal forecasting

53.

Outsourcing and Public Expenditure: An Aggregate Perspective with Regional Data

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1939, 2019
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Nov 2019
Banco de EspañaBanco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 58 (692,737)
Citation 45

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regional public spending, outsourcing, fiscal federalism, public services, regional analysis

54.

Monitoring the Spanish Economy From a Regional Perspective: Main Elements of Analysis

Banco de Espana Occasional papers 1809
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 27 Dec 2018
Banco de España - Servicio de Estudios, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department, Banco de España, Universidad Nacional de Luján and University of Amsterdam
Downloads 58 (692,737)
Citation 31

Abstract:

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regional economics, regional data, macroeconomic forecasting, subnational public finances

55.

Does Slack Influence Public and Private Labour Market Interactions?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1605
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 21 Oct 2016
Ana Lamo, Enrique Moral-Benito and Javier J. Pérez
European Central Bank (ECB), Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 57 (698,174)
Citation 56

Abstract:

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Public Employment, Wages, Unemployment, Fiscal Policies

56.

Designing Model-Based Fiscal Policy Rules

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 28 Jun 2012
Javier J. Pérez and Paul Hiebert
Banco de España - Research Department and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 57 (698,174)

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57.

Should Quarterly Government Finance Statistics Be Used for Fiscal Surveillance in Europe?

ECB Working Paper No. 937
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 22 Sep 2008
Diego J. Pedregal and Javier J. Pérez
University of Castilla-La Mancha and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 56 (703,884)
Citation 6

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Fiscal policies, Mixed frequency data, Forecasting, Unobserved Components Models, State Space, Kalman Filter

58.

Thoughts on the Design of a European Recovery Fund (Reflexiones sobre el diseño de un Fondo de Recuperación europeo)

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2014
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 01 Jun 2020
Oscar Arce, Iván Kataryniuk, Javier J. Pérez and Paloma Marín
Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 53 (721,375)
Citation 4

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Recovery Fund, sovereign debt, European economic governance, European Union, fiscal policy

59.

Institutional and Economic Determinants of Regional Public Debt in Spain

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1807
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 31 Jul 2018
Banco de EspañaBanco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 52 (727,570)
Citation 36

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regional public debt, fiscal rules, fiscal federalism, market discipline

60.

The Usefulness of Infra-Annual Government Cash Budgetary Data for Fiscal Forecasting in the Euro Area

ECB Working Paper No. 901
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 May 2008
Joint Research Centre, Italy, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Banco de España - Research Department and HVB Milan - Global Economics & FI/FX Research
Downloads 51 (733,830)
Citation 5

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Leading indicators, Fiscal forecasting and monitoring, Euro area

61.

A Toolkit to Strengthen Government Budget Surveillance

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1416
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Jul 2014
University of Castilla-La Mancha, Banco de España - Research Department and Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Downloads 50 (740,042)
Citation 57

Abstract:

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government accountability, transparency, fiscal Forecasting

62.

The Challenges of Public Deleveraging

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1803
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 23 Mar 2018
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 48 (752,773)

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public debt, fiscal consolidation, macroeconomic stabilisation

63.

EMU Deepening and Sovereign Debt Spreads: Using Political Space to Achieve Policy Space

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2103
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 10 Feb 2021
Iván Kataryniuk, Víctor Mora-Bajén and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 47 (759,281)
Citation 16

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Euro area, EU integration, sovereign spreads, financial fragmentation

64.

Sources of economic policy uncertainty in the euro area: a ready-to-use database

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2315
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 02 Aug 2023
Sensyne Health, University of the Balearic Islands - Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos (IFISC), Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 42 (793,939)
Citation 3

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economic policy uncertainty, euro area, machine learning, Latent Dirichlet Allocation, word embeddings

65.

Computing the EU’s SURE Interest Savings Using An Extended Debt Sustainability Assessment Tool

Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 2210
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 03 Jun 2022
Pablo Burriel, Iván Kataryniuk and Javier J. Pérez
Banco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 37 (831,372)
Citation 3

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public debt, fiscal sustainability, interest payments, European Union

66.

The Narrative About the Economy as a Shadow Forecast: An Analysis Using Banco De España Quarterly Reports

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2042
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 29 Dec 2020
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Banco de España, Banco de España, Banco de España - Research Department and Banco de España
Downloads 35 (847,489)

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textual analysis, sentiment analysis, GDP growth rate, forecasting, central bank reports

67.

Estimating the Contribution of Macroeconomic Factors to Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Euro Area

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2408
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 25 Mar 2024
Banco de España, Banco de EspañaBanco de España, Banco de España and Banco de España - Research Department
Downloads 34 (855,953)

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sovereign bond spreads, euro area, macroeconomic fundamentals