Marco E. Terrones

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street NW

Washington, DC 20431

United States

http://imf.org/external/np/CV/AuthorCV.aspx?AuthID=171

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SCHOLARLY PAPERS

33

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252

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762

Scholarly Papers (33)

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1.

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

Downloads 2,694 ( 4,563)
Citation 86

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 702
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 16 Mar 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 2,569 (4,828)
Citation 20

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Macroeconomic Fluctuations, Trade and Financial Integration, International Transmission of Shocks, Cross-country Comovement of Output and Consumption

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

IMF Working Paper No. 03/27
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 28 Jan 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 125 (233,728)

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Macroeconomic fluctuations, trade and financial integration, output and consumption comovement

2.

Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility

Downloads 829 ( 29,304)
Citation 7

Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility

IMF Working Paper No. 03/50
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 22 May 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 829 (28,846)
Citation 20

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globalization, business cycles, volatility, macroeconomic fluctuations, emerging markets

Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility

International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Forthcoming
Posted: 22 May 2003
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)

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globalization, business cycles, volatility, macroeconomic fluctuations, emerging markets

3.

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

Downloads 649 ( 40,903)
Citation 43

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2903
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 20 Jul 2007
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 462 (62,533)
Citation 3

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international financial integration, risk sharing, cross-country correlations of consumption and output, composition of capital flows

How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels

IMF Working Paper No. 07/238
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Nov 2007
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 187 (166,346)
Citation 1

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Financial integration, Globalization, Developing countries, Financial risk

4.

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches, and Busts?

Downloads 640 ( 41,659)
Citation 58

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches, and Busts?

IMF Working Paper No. 08/274
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 18 Dec 2008
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 467 (61,698)
Citation 1

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Economic recession, Business cycles, Financial crisis, Credit, Housing prices, Stock prices, Oil prices, Databases, Economic models

What Happens during Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

Number of pages: 68 Posted: 22 Dec 2008
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 166 (184,996)
Citation 25

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Business cycles, recessions, credit crunches, house prices, equity prices, busts

What Happens during Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7085
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 17 Feb 2009
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 6 (654,099)
Citation 5
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business cycles, busts, credit crunches, equity prices, house prices, recessions

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

Economic Policy, Vol. 24, Issue 60, pp. 653-700, October 2009
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 08 Oct 2009
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 1 (702,696)
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5.

An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Micro Data

Downloads 354 ( 86,553)
Citation 8

An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Micro Data

IMF Working Paper No. 08/226
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 08 Oct 2008
Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 200 (156,231)

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Credit expansion, Business cycles, Emerging markets, Asset prices, Current account deficits, Productivity

An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Micro Data

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 936
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 31 Oct 2008
Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 97 (280,476)
Citation 11

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Credit booms, business cycles, emerging markets

An Anatomy of Credit Booms: Evidence from Macro Aggregates and Micro Data

NBER Working Paper No. w14049
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 02 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2008
Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (382,208)

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6.

Fiscal Deficits and Inflation

IMF Working Paper No. 03/65
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 28 Jan 2006
Luis Catão and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 313 (99,357)

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Fiscal Policy, Inflation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, Developing Countries

7.

The Global Financial Crisis: How Similar? How Different? How Costly?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 23 Mar 2010
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 308 (101,028)
Citation 5

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Global financial crisis, Similarities, Differences, Cost, Recessions

8.

Out of the Ballpark: The Global Recession of 2007-08 in Historical Context

Finance & Development, June 2009
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 09 Dec 2009
Prakash Loungani, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 281 (111,527)
Citation 5

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9.

Financial Cycles: What? How? When?

Downloads 239 (131,938)
Citation 22

Financial Cycles: What? How? When?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/76
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 13 Apr 2011
M. Ayhan Kose, Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 232 (135,333)

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Business cycles, Capital markets, Credit, Demand, Developed countries, Housing prices, Stock prices

Financial Cycles: What? How? When?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8379
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 19 May 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 7 (646,812)
Citation 11
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asset busts, credit booms, credit cycles, crunches, equity prices, house prices

10.

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Downloads 229 (137,571)
Citation 15

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Brookings Global Economy and Development Working Paper No. 32
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 23 Jan 2009
Eswar S. Prasad, Marco E. Terrones and M. Ayhan Kose
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Development Prospects Group at the World Bank
Downloads 105 (265,542)
Citation 15

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global economics, financial markets, economic development, globalization, financial openness

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

IMF Working Paper No. 08/242
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Dec 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 95 (284,375)

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Capital flows, Productivity, Production growth, Capital account, Foreign direct investment, Development, Debt, Economic models

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

NBER Working Paper No. w14558
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 15 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 17 Mar 2010
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 29 (499,550)

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11.

How Do Trade and Financial Integration Affect the Relationship between Growth and Volatility

IZA Discussion Paper No. 2252, IMF Working Paper No. 05/19, FRB of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2004-29
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Sep 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 189 (164,779)
Citation 4

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globalization, international trade and financial linkages, macroeconomic

12.

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Contribute to Productivity Growth?

Downloads 177 (174,825)
Citation 2

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Contribute to Productivity Growth?

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 22 Jul 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 93 (288,430)
Citation 5

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Financial opennes, capital account liberalization, capital flows, external assets and liabilities, foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, total factor productivity

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Contribute to Productivity Growth?

IZA Discussion Paper No. 3634
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 11 Aug 2008
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 84 (307,647)

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financial openness, capital account liberalization, capital flows, external assets and liabilities, foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, total factor productivity

13.

Public Debt in Emerging Markets: Is it Too High?

WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, p. 113, September 2003
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 17 Apr 2012
James Daniel, Tim Callen, Marco E. Terrones, Xavier Debrun and Céline Allard
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Asia and Pacific Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 174 (177,504)

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14.

Determinants of Dollarization: The Banking Side

IMF Working Paper No. 00/146
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 Feb 2006
Luis Catão and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 157 (193,803)

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Dollarization, Money and Banking, Emerging Markets

15.

Exchange Rate Regimes and External Adjustment: New Answers to an Old Debate

THE NEW INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF ALEXANDER SWOBODA, C. Wyplosz, ed., Routledge, March 2010
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 09 Dec 2011
Atish R. Ghosh, Marco E. Terrones and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 139 (214,290)

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Flexible exchange rates, Fixed exchange rates, Current Account Balances, Current Account Reversals

16.

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Downloads 134 (220,688)
Citation 6

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

IMF Working Paper No. 11/25
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 07 Feb 2011
M. Ayhan Kose, S. Borağan Aruoba, Marco E. Terrones and Francis X. Diebold
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Downloads 107 (262,016)
Citation 2

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Business cycles, Cross country analysis, Globalization, Group of seven

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

NBER Working Paper No. w16264
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 16 Aug 2010 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2010
S. Borağan Aruoba, Francis X. Diebold, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
University of Maryland - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 27 (511,058)

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17.

Reorientacion de la Politica Monetaria en el Peru: Avances y Problemas

Notas para el Debate, GRADE, p. 9, 1983
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Dec 2011
Marco E. Terrones and Javier Nagamine
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 133 (222,017)

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Monetary policy, Central Bank of Peru

18.

Fiscal Deficits and Inflation A New Look at the Emerging Market Evidence

IMF Working Paper No. 01/74
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Luis Catão and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 128 (228,674)
Citation 19

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Fiscal Policy Inflation Emerging Markets

19.

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

IMF Working Paper No. 11/88
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 26 Apr 2011
M. Ayhan Kose, Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 115 (247,682)

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Business cycles, Economic models, Economic recession, Economic recovery, Financial sector, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

20.

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy An Empirical Exploration

IMF Working Paper No. 03/246
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 108 (258,874)
Citation 2

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Business cycles macroeconomic fluctuations volatility correlations globalization

21.

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

Downloads 104 (265,756)
Citation 27

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

IMF Working Paper No. 13/38
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 22 Feb 2013
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Marco E. Terrones
Hosei University, Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 65 (357,107)
Citation 1

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Asset prices, Business cycles, Developed countries, Housing prices, Time series, business cycles, central bank, contractionary monetary policy, exchange rates, financial cycles, financial integration, financial intermediation, financial markets, global financial crisis, global financial markets, global liquidity, global real estate, globalization, globalization period, globalization periods, inflation, interest rates, international financial, international financial markets, long-term interest rates, monetary economics, monetary fund, monetary policy, monetary policy decisions, monetary shock, monetary shocks, transmission of monetary policy

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

CAMA Working Paper 07/2013
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Jul 2013
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Marco E. Terrones
Hosei University, Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 29 (499,550)
Citation 3

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Monetary policy, interest rates, business cycles, financial cycles

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants

NBER Working Paper No. w18362
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Sep 2012
Hideaki Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose, Chris Otrok and Marco E. Terrones
Hosei University, Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, University of Missouri and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 10 (625,054)
Citation 6

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22.

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Mercantilism

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 911
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 28 Dec 2007
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
Federal Reserve Board, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 82 (309,621)
Citation 16

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Fisherian deflation, liability dollarization, financial globalization, credit constraints, precautionary saving, new mercantilism, sudden stops

23.

Financial De-Dollarization: A Global Perspective and the Peruvian Experience

IMF Working Paper No. 16/97
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Luis Catão and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 74 (328,701)
Citation 1

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Dollarization, Peru, Financial sector, Currency substitution, Emerging markets, Macroprudential Policy, Regression analysis, Dollarization, Currrency Substitution, Monetary Policy, Emerging Markets

24.

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Merchantilism

Downloads 71 (336,319)
Citation 15

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Merchantilism

IMF Working Paper No. 07/146
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 23 Aug 2007
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
Federal Reserve Board, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 59 (375,544)
Citation 1

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Working Paper, Reserves accumulation, Crisis prevention, Financial crisis, Deflation, Deflation, Dollarization, Globalization, Business cycles, Credit, Economic models

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Merchantilism

NBER Working Paper No. w13123
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 Jun 2007 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2007
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
Federal Reserve Board, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 12 (610,805)
Citation 1

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25.

Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird's Eye View

Central Bank of Chile Working Paper No. 585
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 17 Jul 2010
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 65 (352,609)
Citation 3

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Business cycles, Emerging Markets, Recessions, Financial Disruptions

26.

Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?

IMF Working Paper No. 13/203
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 28 Oct 2013
John C. Bluedorn, Jörg Decressin and Marco E. Terrones
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 62 (361,323)
Citation 1

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Asset prices, Group of seven, Stock markets, Business cycles, Economic recession, Economic forecasting, Economic models, Macroeconomic forecasting, Financial markets, Uncertainty, Oil Prices

27.

On the Solvency of Nations: Are Global Imbalances Consistent with Intertemporal Budget Constraints?

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 975
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Aug 2009
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
Federal Reserve Board, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 53 (389,492)
Citation 1

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global imbalances, external solvency, debt sustainability, Pooled Mean Group estimation

28.

Gyrations in Financial Markets

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 16 Jul 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 46 (413,755)
Citation 1

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29.

On the Solvency of Nations: Are Global Imbalances Consistent with Intertemporal Budget Constraints?

IMF Working Paper No. 10/50
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 02 Mar 2010
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Marco E. Terrones and Enrique G. Mendoza
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 36 (453,675)

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Balance of payments positions, Cross country analysis, Current account, Debt sustainability, Developed countries, Economic models, Emerging markets, International financial system, Time series

30.

An Anatomy of Credit Booms and Their Demise

NBER Working Paper No. w18379
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 15 Sep 2012
Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 18 (549,323)
Citation 2

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31.

On the Solvency of Nations: Cross-Country Evidence on the Dynamics of External Adjustment

NBER Working Paper No. w18380
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2012
Ceyhun Bora Durdu, Enrique G. Mendoza and Marco E. Terrones
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 8 (613,142)
Citation 2

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32.

How Do Business and Financial Cycles Interact?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8396
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 26 May 2011
Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose and Marco E. Terrones
Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 6 (626,457)
Citation 14
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asset busts, booms, credit crunches, financial crises, recessions, recoveries

33.

From the Global to the National Cycle: An Intricate Liaison

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 18, Issue 3, pp. 370-402, 2013
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
M. Ayhan Kose, Prakash Loungani and Marco E. Terrones
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 0 (686,711)
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Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 183
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1.

El Ciclo Economico En El Peru

Documento de Trabajo, GRADE, Vol. 20, 1993
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 31 Dec 2010
Marco E. Terrones and César Calderón
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank
Downloads 183

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