Kevin D. Hoover

Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy

Professor

213 Social Sciences Building

Box 90097

Durham, NC 27708-0204

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

48

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CITATIONS
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128

Scholarly Papers (48)

1.

The Methodology of Econometrics

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 25 May 2005
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 1,199 (10,187)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Econometrics, methodology, philosophy of science, Popper, Lakatos, semantic approach, Haavelmo, vector autoregression, LSE approach, calibration, Cowles Commission

2.

Causality in Economics and Econometrics

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 18 Sep 2006
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 816 (18,500)
Citation 3

Abstract:

causality, causal inference, econometrics, identification, structural vector autoregressions, graph-theory, Hume, Mill, Jevons, Granger, Granger causality, Simon, Haavelmo, Cowles Commission, Zellner, Pearl, Spirtes

3.

John Maynard Keynes of Bloomsbury: Four Short Talks

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Research Paper No. 23
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 13 Apr 2009
Duke University - Department of Economics, Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy, Duke University - Department of Economics and Duke University - Department of Economics
Downloads 541 (35,033)

Abstract:

John Maynard Keynes, Bloomsbury Group, economic policy, Great Depression, macroeconomics, Friedrich A. von Hayek, Keynesian economics, Austrian economics

4.

Rational Expectations: Retrospect and Prospect

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2011-10
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 05 Jul 2011
Kevin D. Hoover and Warren Young
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and Bar-Ilan University - Department of Economics
Downloads 409 (51,904)

Abstract:

rational expectations, John F. Muth, macroeconomics, dynamics, macroeconomic policy, behavioral economics, efficient markets

5.

Microfoundations and the Ontology of Macroeconomics

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Sep 2006
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 388 (52,525)

Abstract:

macroeconomics, microfoundations, ontology, methodological individualism, methodology, John Searle, collective intentionality, emergence, reductionism, supervenience, social reality

6.

Economic Theory and Causal Inference

HANDBOOK OF THE PHILOSPHY OF ECONOMICS, Uskali Mäki, ed., Forthcoming , THE HANDBOOK OF THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, Dov Gabbay, Paul Thagard, and John Woods, eds., Elsevier/North-Holland, Amsterdam, Forthcoming ,
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 18 Sep 2006
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 280 (81,022)
Citation 2

Abstract:

causality, causal inference, economic theory, econometrics, Cowles Commission, graph theory, invariance, Granger-causality, exogeneity, superexogeneity, structural vector autoregressions, Lucas critique

7.

Observing Shocks

CHOPE Working Paper No. 2011-09, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 15 May 2011 Last Revised: 21 May 2011
Pedro Garcia Duarte and Kevin D. Hoover
University of São Paulo (FEA-USP) - Department of Economics and Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 268 (86,326)

Abstract:

shock, new classical macroeconomics, real-business-cycle model, Ragnar Frisch, Jan Tinbergen, Robert Lucas, data, phenomena, James Bogen, James Woodward, DSGE model, impulse-response function

8.

The Role of Hypothesis Testing in the Molding of Econometric Models

CHOPE Working Paper No. 2012-03, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 08 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2012
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 267 (82,635)

Abstract:

statistical testing, hypothesis tests, models, general-to-specific specification search, optional stopping, severe tests, costs of search, costs of inference, extreme-bounds analysis, LSE econometric methodology

9.

Allowing the Data to Speak Freely: The Macroeconometrics of the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 21 Nov 2007
Kevin D. Hoover, Soren Johansen and Katarina Juselius
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy, University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics and University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics
Downloads 240 (96,378)
Citation 15

Abstract:

cointegrated vector autoregression, VAR, CVAR, cointegration, Johansen, Juselius, Haavelmo, time-series models, Walrasian methodology, Marshallian methodology

10.

Idealizing Reduction: The Microfoundations of Macroeconomics

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 03 Jun 2008
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 228 (96,782)
Citation 1

Abstract:

idealization, reductionism, microfoundations of macroeconomics, macroeconomics, microeconomics, modeling

11.

Measuring Systematic Monetary Policy

UC Davis Working Paper No. 00-05
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 12 Dec 2000
Kevin D. Hoover and Oscar Jorda
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and University of California, Davis - Department of Economics
Downloads 226 (98,852)
Citation 9

Abstract:

systematic monetary policy, VAR, structural break

12.

Sound and Fury: McCloskey and Significance Testing in Economics

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 03 Dec 2005
Kevin D. Hoover and Mark V. Siegler
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 224 (105,050)
Citation 5

Abstract:

statistical significance, economic significance, significance testing, regression analysis, econometric methodology, Deirdre McCloskey, Neyman-Pearson testing

13.

Milton Friedman's Stance: The Methodology of Causal Realism

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 May 2006
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 222 (99,265)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Milton Friedman, methodology, monetary economics, causal realism, causality, realism, instrumentalism, as if reasoning, realism of assumptions

14.

Pragmatism, Perspectival Realism, and Econometrics

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 88
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 26 Jan 2011
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 202 (105,050)
Citation 3

Abstract:

econometrics, realism, perspectival realism, perspectivism, pragmatism, models, Ronald Giere, Charles S. Peirce

15.

Probability and Structure in Econometric Models

Economics Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 18
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 21 Nov 2007 Last Revised: 25 Feb 2009
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 197 (114,462)

Abstract:

econometrics, causality, causal search, graph-theory, probability, principle of the common cause, identification, Haavelmo, Reichenbach, Cartwright

Truth and Robustness in Cross-country Growth Regressions

, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 27 Feb 2001
Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 166 (142,334)
Citation 34

Abstract:

growth, cross-country growth regressions, extreme-bounds analysis, general-to-specific specification search

Truth and Robustness in Cross-country Growth Regressions

Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, Vol. 66, No. 5, pp. 765-798, December 2004
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 16 Dec 2004
Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 16 (462,317)
Citation 34

Abstract:

17.

Empirical Identification of the Vector Autoregression: The Causes and Effects of U.S. M2

Economics Research Initiatives at Duke Working Paper No. 19
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 26 Feb 2009
Kevin D. Hoover, Selva Demiralp and Stephen J. Perez
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy, Koc University - Department of Economics and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 181 (122,289)
Citation 3

Abstract:

M2, monetary aggregates, causality, causal analysis, graph theory, monetary policy, quantity theory of money, PcGets, Autometrics, search algorithms

18.

Man and Machine in Macroeconomics

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 10 Sep 2012
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 180 (119,462)

Abstract:

macroeconomics, Keynes, Frisch, Tinbergen, Klein, macroeconometric models, macroeconomic policy

19.

Searching for the Causal Structure of a Vector Autoregression

UC Davis Working Paper No. 03-03
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 21 Apr 2003
Kevin D. Hoover and Selva Demiralp
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and Koc University - Department of Economics
Downloads 179 (125,809)
Citation 18

Abstract:

20.

Solow's Harrod: Transforming Cyclical Dynamics into a Model of Long-Run Growth

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2013-02
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 27 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 07 May 2013
Verena Halsmayer and Kevin D. Hoover
University of Lucerne and Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 159 (131,007)
Citation 1

Abstract:

economic growth, Roy Harrod, Robert Solow, dynamics, dynamic instability, knife-edge, warranted rate of growth, natural rate of growth

21.

Microfoundational Programs

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 02 Mar 2010
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 158 (122,289)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Microfoundations Of Macroeconomics, General Equilibrium, Aggregation, Representative Agent, Fixed-Price Models, Econometric Models

22.

In the Kingdom of Solovia: The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970

Center for the History of Political Economy CHOPE Working Paper No. 2013-04, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 01 Jul 2013
Mauro Boianovsky and Kevin D. Hoover
Universidade de Brasilia and Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 157 (134,376)

Abstract:

growth theory, development economics, MIT, Robert Solow, endogenous growth models, technical progress

23.

Foundations or Bridges? A Review of J.E. King's the Microfoundations Delusion: Metaphor and Dogma in the History of Macroeconomics

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 31 Aug 2013
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 154 (128,977)

Abstract:

microfoundations of macroeconomics, representative-agent model, reductionism, fallacy of composition, downward causation, metaphor

24.

Against Psychosis: A Review of Roman Frydman and Michael D. Goldberg’s Beyond Mechanical Markets: Asset Price Swings, Risk, and the Role of the State

CHOPE Working Paper No. 2012-02, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 08 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2012
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 147 (148,478)

Abstract:

Roman Frydman, Michael Goldberg, imperfect knowledge economics (IKE), rational expectations, uncertainty, John Maynard Keynes, Robert Lucas

25.

Causal Structure and Hierarchies of Models

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 89
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 07 Jan 2011 Last Revised: 29 Jan 2011
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 147 (146,909)

Abstract:

structural account, causation, causal order, Nancy Cartwright, James Woodward, Herbert Simon, manipulability account, causal structure, identity, independence, modularity

26.

The Genesis of Samuelson and Solow's Price-Inflation Phillips Curve

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series Paper No. 2014-10, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 16 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 19 Feb 2015
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 143 (114,462)

Abstract:

Phillips curve, Paul A. Samuelson, Robert M. Solow, inflation, unemployment, macroeconomic policy

27.

A Bootstrap Method for Identifying and Evaluating a Structural Vector Autoregression

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 02 Apr 2006
Selva Demiralp, Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Koc University - Department of Economics, Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 141 (156,260)
Citation 4

Abstract:

vector autoregression (VAR), structural vector autoregression (SVAR), causality, causal order, Choleski order, causal search algorithms, graph-theoretic methods

28.

Evaluating Specification Search in Cross-country Growth Regressions: Extreme Bounds vs. General-to-Specific Methodologies

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 30 Sep 2001
Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 138 (162,669)
Citation 1

Abstract:

specification search, extreme-bounds analysis, general-to-specific specification search, LSE econometric methodology, growth, cross-country growth regressions, multiple imputation

29.

On the Reception of Haavelmo’s Econometric Thought

CHOPE Working Paper No. 2012-04
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 08 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2012
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 135 (154,449)

Abstract:

Trygve Haavelmo, econometrics, history of econometrics, the probability approach, econometric methodology, Cowles Commission

30.

Reductionism in Economics: Causality and Intentionality in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series No. 2014-03
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 21 Feb 2014
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 132 (129,656)

Abstract:

microfoundations of macroeconomics, reductionism, causation, intentionality, Lucas critique

31.

Experiments, Passive Observation and Scenario Analysis: Trygve Haavelmo and the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression

Univ. of Copenhagen Dept. of Economics Discussion Paper No. 12-16
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 07 Nov 2012
Kevin D. Hoover and Katarina Juselius
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics
Downloads 122 (171,329)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Trygve Haavelmo, experiments, passive observation, CVAR, scenario analysis, probability approach, econometrics

32.

Causal Pluralism and the Limits of Causal Analysis: A Review of Nancy Cartwright’s 'Hunting Causes and Using Them: Approaches in Philosophy and Economics'

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2010
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 117 (172,347)

Abstract:

Nancy Cartwright, Causality, Philosophy of Economics, Economic Methodology, Graph Theory, Bayes’ Nets, Causal Inference, Counterfactuals

33.

Mathematical Economics Comes to America: Charles S. Peirce's Engagement with Cournot's Recherches Sur Les Principes Mathematiques De La Théorie Des Richesses

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2013-12
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 30 Jul 2013 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2013
James R. Wible and Kevin D. Hoover
University of New Hampshire - Department of Economics and Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 114 (175,469)

Abstract:

Charles S. Peirce, A.C. Cournot, mathematical economics, monopoly, duopoly, oligopoly, perfect competition

34.

Selecting Instrumental Variables: A Graph-Theoretic Approach

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 01 Sep 2013
Piyachart Phiromswad and Kevin D. Hoover
Sasin of Chulalongkorn University and Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 109 (125,809)

Abstract:

instrumental variables, Bayes nets, causal search, directed cyclical graphs, cross-country growth

35.

Was Harrod Right?

CHOPE Working Paper No. 2012-01
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 08 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2012
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 103 (178,795)
Citation 1

Abstract:

economic growth, Roy Harrod, Robert Solow, dynamics, dynamic instability, knife-edge, warranted rate of growth, natural rate of growth

36.

The Vanity of the Economist: A Comment on Peart and Levy's 'The Vanity of the Philosopher'

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 27 Sep 2006
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 97 (203,321)

Abstract:

David Levy, Sandra Peart, Adam Smith, John Stuart Mill, Thomas Carlyle, eugenics, racism, egalitarianism, hierarchy, classical economics, post-classical economics

37.

The Ontological Status of Shocks and Trends in Macroeconomics

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, CHOPE Working Paper No. 2013-15, Conference on Ontology & Methodology, Virginia Tech., May 4-5, 2013
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2013
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 81 (227,155)

Abstract:

shocks, trends, causation, latent variables, Bayes-nets, causal Markov condition, principle of the common cause, scientific realism, counter-factual policy analysis, structural vector-auto-regression

38.

Automatic Inference of the Contemporaneous Causal Order of a System of Equations

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 77 (233,699)
Citation 12

Abstract:

causality, causal search, causal order, structural vector autoregression, VAR, model selection, general-to-specific, graph theory, VAR, SVAR

39.

Counterfactuals and Causal Structure

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2010
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 74 (222,389)
Citation 2

Abstract:

causation, causal order, causal structure, counterfactuals, James Woodward, Nancy Cartwright, invariance, structural account, manipulability account, causal pluralism, independence, modularity

40.

Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 19 May 2009
Selva Demiralp, Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Koc University - Department of Economics, Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 62 (264,066)
Citation 2

Abstract:

price puzzle, monetary policy, inflation, graph theory, causality, causal search, PC algorithm, output gap, SVAR, cost channel, commodity prices, transmission mechanism

41.

A Bootstrap Method for Identifying and Evaluating a Structural Vector Auto-regression

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 70, Issue 4, pp. 509-533, August 2008
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 22 Jul 2008
Selva Demiralp, Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Koc University - Department of Economics, Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics
Downloads 1 (521,869)
Citation 4

Abstract:

42.

First Principles, Fallibilism, and Economics

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series, 2017-01
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Jan 2017 Last Revised: 24 Jan 2017
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 0 (279,420)

Abstract:

economics, first principles, fallibilism, foundationalism, empiricism, John Stuart Mill, Lionel Robbins, George Stigler, Gary Becker

43.

Situational Analysis

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series 2016-17
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 24 Feb 2016 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2016
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 0 (206,134)

Abstract:

situational analysis, situational logic, Karl Popper, falsification, context of discovery, context of justification

44.

The Crisis in Economic Theory: A Review Essay

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2016
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 0 (30,884)

Abstract:

economic theory, neoclassical economics, sociology, abduction, mimetic hypothesis, monetary economy, financial crisis, Great Recession

45.

Technology Shocks or Colored Noise?: Why Real-Business-Cycle Models Cannot Explain Actual Business Cycles

UC Davis Working Paper No. 97-29
Posted: 21 Jul 1998
Kevin D. Hoover and Kevin D. Salyer
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and University of California, Davis - Department of Economics

Abstract:

46.

Two Centuries of Taxes and Spending: A Causal Investigation of the Federal Budget Process

UC Davis Working Paper #97-30
Posted: 24 Jan 1998
Kevin D. Hoover and Mark V. Siegler
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics

Abstract:

47.

Econometrics and Reality

UC Davis Working Paper #97-28
Posted: 22 Jan 1998
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy

Abstract:

48.

Data Mining Reconsidered: Encompassing and the General-to-Specific Approach to Specification Search

UC Davis Working Paper #97-27
Posted: 21 Jan 1998
Kevin D. Hoover and Stephen J. Perez
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy and California State University, Sacramento - Department of Economics

Abstract:

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 7    Citations: 0
1.

A Review of James Forder's Macroeconomics and the Phillips Curve Myth

The Center for the History of Political Economy Working Paper Series
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 15 Jul 2015
Kevin D. Hoover
Duke University - Departments of Economics and Philosophy
Downloads 2

Abstract:

Phillips curve, A.W. Phillips, Milton Friedman, inflation, unemployment