Yunzi Lu

University of Pennsylvania

Philadelphia, PA 19104

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

2

DOWNLOADS

747

SSRN CITATIONS

1

CROSSREF CITATIONS

1

Scholarly Papers (2)

1.

False Dichotomy Alert: Improving Subjective-Probability Estimates vs. Raising Awareness of Systemic Risk

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Jan 2022 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2022
University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania and University of Pennsylvania, Psychology
Downloads 413 (99,147)

Abstract:

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superforecasting, systemic risk, fat-tailed dstributions, signal detection, forecasting tournaments, proper scoring rules

2.

Forecasting the Accuracy of Forecasters from Properties of Forecasting Rationales

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 17 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 27 Mar 2021
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania, Psychology and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 334 (125,818)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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geopolitical forecasting, psycholinguistic vocabularies, integrative complexity, comparison class, natural language processing, LIWC