Hao Zhou

Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance

Professor

No. 43, Chengfu Road

Haidian District

Beijing, 100083

China

  • Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance

    • Email
    • Tel: 86-10-62790655
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

41

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777

Scholarly Papers (41)

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1.

Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia

Downloads 3,456 ( 3,227)
Citation 256

Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia

AFA 2008 New Orleans Meetings Paper, Review of Financial Studies, Forthcoming, Duke Department of Economics Research Paper No. 5, CREATES Research Paper No. 2008-48
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 21 Sep 2006 Last Revised: 14 Dec 2008
Tim Bollerslev, George Tauchen and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, Duke University - Economics Group and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 3,152 (3,719)
Citation 56

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Equilibrium asset pricing, stochastic volatility, risk neutral expectation, return predictability, option implied volatility, realized volatility, variance risk premium

Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia

Finance and Economics (FEDS) Discussion Paper No. W 2007-11
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Sep 2009
Tim Bollerslev and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 304 (108,515)
Citation 234

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Return Predictability, Implied Variance, Realized Variance, Equity Risk Premium, Variance Risk Premium, Time-Varying Risk Aversion

2.

Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Downloads 2,779 ( 4,709)
Citation 40

Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 07 May 2009 Last Revised: 24 Aug 2012
Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 2,235 (6,630)
Citation 34

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Macroeconomic uncertainty, asset return predictability, variance risk premia, recursive utility function.

Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 14 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 26 Aug 2018
Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 544 (54,312)
Citation 44

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Macroeconomic uncertainty, asset return predictability, variance risk premia, recursive utility function.

Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Annual Review of Financial Economics, Vol. 10, pp. 481-497, 2018
Posted: 08 Nov 2018
Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance

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3.

Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities

Downloads 2,719 ( 4,853)
Citation 79

Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities

FEDS Working Paper No. 2004-56, AFA 2006 Boston Meetings Paper, Journal of Econometrics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Jan 2005 Last Revised: 13 Mar 2009
Tim Bollerslev, Michael S. Gibson and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, Federal Reserve Board and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 2,378 (5,963)
Citation 4

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Stochastic Volatility Risk Premium, Model-Free Implied Volatility, Model-Free Realized Volatility, Black-Scholes, GMM Estimation, Return Predictability

Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities

CREATES Research Paper 2007-16
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2009
Tim Bollerslev, Michael S. Gibson and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, Federal Reserve Board and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 341 (95,471)
Citation 90

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Stochastic Volatility Risk Premium, Model-Free Implied Volatility, Model-Free Realized Volatility, Black-Scholes, GMM Estimation, Return Predictability

4.

Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads With the Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms

FEDS Discussion Paper No. 2005-63, Review of Financial Studies, Forthcoming, BIS Working Paper No. 181
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 20 Sep 2007 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2013
Benjamin Yi-Bin Zhang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
UBS AG, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 1,861 (9,196)
Citation 52

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Credit Default Swap, Credit Risk Premium, Stochastic Volatility, Jumps, Structural Model, Nonlinear Effect, High-Frequency Data

5.

A Framework for Assessing the Systemic Risk of Major Financial Institutions

Downloads 1,690 ( 10,750)
Citation 148

A Framework for Assessing the Systemic Risk of Major Financial Institutions

Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 33, No. 11, pp. 2036–2049, November 2009, BIS Working Paper No. 281, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 08-01
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 01 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 31 Aug 2016
Xin Huang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 1,600 (11,486)
Citation 6

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Systemic risk, stress testing, portfolio credit risk, credit default swap, high-frequency data

A Framework for Assessing the Systemic Risk of Major Financial Institutions

BIS Working Paper No. 281
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 10 Aug 2009
Xin Huang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 90 (311,275)
Citation 16

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Systemic risk, stress testing, portfolio credit risk, credit default swap, high-frequency data

A Framework for Assessing the Systemic Risk of Major Financial Institutions

CAREFIN Research Paper No. 11/08
Posted: 22 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 17 Jan 2016
Xin Huang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

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Stress testing, systemic risk, insurance premium, default probability, credit default swap spread, high-frequency data, asset return correlation

6.

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns

Downloads 1,549 ( 7,842)
Citation 13

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns

AFA 2013 San Diego Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 79 Posted: 24 Nov 2012 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2014
Turan G. Bali and Hao Zhou
Georgetown University - Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 1,311 (15,702)
Citation 10

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Risk, Uncertainty, Expected Returns, ICAPM, Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns, Variance Risk Premium, Conditional Asset Pricing Model

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns

Georgetown McDonough School of Business Research Paper No. 1993304
Number of pages: 79 Posted: 30 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2014
Turan G. Bali and Hao Zhou
Georgetown University - Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 238 (140,231)
Citation 3

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Risk, Uncertainty, Expected Returns, ICAPM, Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns, Variance Risk Premium, Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Model

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns

Sixth Singapore International Conference on Finance 2012 Paper
Posted: 30 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2014
Turan G. Bali and Hao Zhou
Georgetown University - Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance

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Risk, Uncertainty, Expected Returns, ICAPM, Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns, Variance Risk Premium, Conditional Asset Pricing Model

7.

Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia: Statistical Inference and International Evidence

Downloads 1,480 ( 13,249)
Citation 56

Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia: Statistical Inference and International Evidence

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 04 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2012
Tim Bollerslev, James V Marrone, Lai Xu and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, University of Chicago, Independent and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 998 (23,674)
Citation 5

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Variance risk premium, return predictability, over-lapping return regressions, international stock market returns, global variance risk

Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia: Statistical Inference and International Evidence

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 17 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2012
Tim Bollerslev, James V Marrone, Lai Xu and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, University of Chicago, Duke University and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 482 (63,310)
Citation 58

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variance risk premium, return predictability, over-lapping return regressions, international stock market returns, global variance risk

8.

The Great Wall of Debt: Real Estate, Political Risk, and Chinese Local Government Financing Cost

Georgetown McDonough School of Business Research Paper No. 2603022, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 15-02
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 07 May 2015 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Andrew Ang, Jennie Bai and Hao Zhou
BlackRock, Inc, Georgetown University - Department of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 1,460 (13,551)
Citation 8

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Chinese local government debt, real estate, political risk, government guarantee

9.

Shadow Banking: China's Dual-Track Interest Rate Liberalization

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 14 May 2015 Last Revised: 07 Oct 2019
Hao Wang, Honglin Wang, Lisheng Wang and Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University, Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR), The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 1,380 (14,810)
Citation 22

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Shadow banking, interest rate liberalization, dual-track reform, Kaldor-Hicks improvement, Pareto improvement

10.

Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models

Downloads 1,026 ( 23,106)
Citation 27

Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models

AFA 2009 San Francisco Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 13 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2009
Jing-Zhi Huang and Hao Zhou
Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 811 (31,876)
Citation 21

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Structural Credit Risk Models, Credit Default Swap Spreads, High Frequency Equity Volatility, Consistent Specification Analysis, Pricing Error Diagnostics

Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 04 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2019
Jing-Zhi Huang, Zhan Shi and Hao Zhou
Pennsylvania State University - University Park - Department of Finance, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 215 (154,814)
Citation 14

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Structural Credit Risk Models, Credit Default Swap Spreads, High Frequency Equity Volatility, Consistent Specification Analysis, Pricing Error Diagnostics

11.

Good Jumps, Bad Jumps, and Conditional Equity Premium

Asian Finance Association (AsianFA) 2014 Conference Paper, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 14-05
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 27 Oct 2014 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2019
Hui Guo, Kent Wang and Hao Zhou
University of Cincinnati - Department of Finance - Real Estate, University of Queensland and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 1,004 (23,875)
Citation 7

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Realized Jump Risk, Good and Bad Jumps, Conditional Equity Premium, Downside Economic Uncertainty, Variance Risk Premium.

12.

Short-Run Bond Risk Premia

AFA 2013 San Diego Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 27 May 2011 Last Revised: 07 Aug 2012
Philippe Mueller, Andrea Vedolin and Hao Zhou
Warwick Business School Finance Group, Boston University - Department of Finance & Economics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 955 (25,623)
Citation 11

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13.

Systemic Risk Contributions

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 29 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2011
Xin Huang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 954 (25,655)
Citation 25

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Distress Insurance Premium, Systemic Risk, Macroprudential Regulation, Large Complex Financial Institution, Too-Big-to-Fail, Too-Connected-to-Fail.

14.

Realized Jumps on Financial Markets and Predicting Credit Spreads

FEDS Working Paper No. 2006-35, Journal of Econometrics, Forthcoming, Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 7, AFA 2008 New Orleans Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 23 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2008
George Tauchen and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Economics Group and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 885 (28,596)
Citation 35

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Jump-Diffusion Process, Realized Variance, Bi-Power Variation, Realized Jumps, Jump Volatility, Credit Risk Premium.

15.

Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia

Downloads 858 ( 29,894)
Citation 8

Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 25 Oct 2009 Last Revised: 12 Jun 2011
Hao Wang, Hao Zhou and Yi Zhou
Tsinghua University, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and San Francisco State University
Downloads 483 (63,141)
Citation 1

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variance risk premia, credit default swap spreads, option-implied variance, expected variance, realized variance

Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia

AFA 2011 Denver Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 05 Sep 2010
Hao Wang, Hao Zhou and Yi Zhou
Tsinghua University, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and San Francisco State University
Downloads 314 (104,724)
Citation 4

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Variance Risk Premia, Credit Default Swap Spreads, Option-Implied Variance, Expected Variance, Realized Variance

Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia

FEDS Working Paper No. 2011-02
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 11 Nov 2011
Hao Zhou, wang hao and Zhou Yi
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance, affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 61 (389,821)
Citation 4

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Variance risk premia, credit default swap spreads, option-implied variance, expected variance, realized variance

16.

Variance Risk Premiums and the Forward Premium Puzzle

Downloads 824 ( 31,653)
Citation 11

Variance Risk Premiums and the Forward Premium Puzzle

Number of pages: 67 Posted: 22 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 22 Jun 2016
Juan M. Londono and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 674 (40,990)
Citation 3

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Currency return predictability, currency and stock variance risk premiums, forward premium puzzle, local consumption uncertainty, global inflation uncertainty.

Variance Risk Premiums and the Forward Premium Puzzle

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1068
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 07 Feb 2013
Juan M. Londono and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 118 (258,425)
Citation 11

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forward premium puzzle, currency variance risk premium, stock variance, risk premium, unspanned currency uncertainty, forex return predictability

Variance Risk Premiums and the Forward Premium Puzzle

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1068
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 30 May 2017
Juan M. Londono and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 32 (510,171)
Citation 1

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17.

China’s Anti-Corruption Campaign and Credit Reallocation from SOEs to Non-SOEs

PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 17-01
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 01 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 06 Jul 2018
Bo Li, Zhengwei Wang and Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 712 (38,615)
Citation 2

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anti-corruption, credit reallocation, state ownership, economic efficiency, political connection

18.

Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

Downloads 657 ( 43,049)
Citation 3

Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

Number of pages: 67 Posted: 04 Oct 2017
Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), University of Chicago - Finance, Yale School of Management and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 588 (49,169)
Citation 1

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Fire Sales, Leverage, Financial Crisis, Margin Trading, Shadow Financing

Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2019-28, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 2019-07
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 04 Mar 2019
Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), University of Chicago - Finance, Yale School of Management and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 58 (399,935)
Citation 1

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Leverage-Induced Fire Sales and Stock Market Crashes

NBER Working Paper No. w25040
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 17 Sep 2018
Jiangze Bian, Zhiguo He, Kelly Shue and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), University of Chicago - Finance, Yale School of Management and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 11 (652,266)
Citation 1

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19.

Stock Return and Cash Flow Predictability: The Role of Volatility Risk

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 18 Nov 2012 Last Revised: 20 Nov 2012
Tim Bollerslev, Lai Xu and Hao Zhou
Duke University - Finance, Independent and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 646 (43,998)
Citation 11

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Return and dividend growth predictability, variance risk premium, expected variation, long-run risk, equilibrium pricing, stochastic volatility and uncertainty, reduced form VAR, structural factor GARCH

20.

Stock Return Volatility and Capital Structure Decisions

PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 13-04
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 29 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 19 Feb 2016
Hui Chen, Hao Wang and Hao Zhou
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Tsinghua University and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 623 (46,197)
Citation 7

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Stock Return Volatility, Leverage Ratio, Surprise Shocks, Idiosyncratic Volatility, Uncertainty

21.

Effects of Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Yield Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data

Downloads 617 ( 46,763)
Citation 19

Effects of Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Yield Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 24 Nov 2006 Last Revised: 06 Apr 2008
Song Han and Hao Zhou
Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 494 (61,405)
Citation 16

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Corporate bond yields, credit default swaps, liquidity

Effects of Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Yield Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data

HKIMR Working Paper No.02/2011
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 30 Jan 2011
Song Han and Hao Zhou
Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 62 (386,643)
Citation 3

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Corporate Bond Yield Spreads, Credit Default Swaps, Liquidity, CDS-Bond Basis

Effects of Bond Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Bond Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 23 Apr 2007 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2016
Song Han and Hao Zhou
Federal Reserve Board - Division of Research and Statistics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 61 (389,821)
Citation 5

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Corporate bond spreads, credit default swaps, liquidity

22.

Estimating Stochastic Volatility Diffusion Using Conditional Moments of Integrated Volatility

FEDS Working Paper No. 2001-49, Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 109, pp. 33-65, 2002
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 13 Dec 2001
Hao Zhou and Tim Bollerslev
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Duke University - Finance
Downloads 611 (47,354)
Citation 25

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Stochastic volatility diffusions, integrated volatility, quadratic variation, realized volatility, high-frequency data, foreign exchange rates, GMM Estimation

23.

Volatility Puzzles: A Simple Framework for Gauging Return-Volatility Regression

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 18 Sep 2003
Hao Zhou and Tim Bollerslev
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Duke University - Finance
Downloads 584 (50,275)
Citation 24

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Leverage Asymmetry, Volatility Feedback,Implied Volatility Forecast, Realized Volatility, Stochastic Volatility Model, Instrument Variable

24.

Assessing the Systemic Risk of a Heterogeneous Portfolio of Banks during the Recent Financial Crisis

22nd Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2009, Finlawmetrics 2010 Conference Paper
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 23 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 29 Oct 2011
Xin Huang, Hao Zhou and Haibin Zhu
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 540 (55,509)
Citation 20

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Systemic risk, Macroprudential regulation, Portfolio distress loss, Credit default swap, Dynamic conditional correlation

25.

The Systemic Risk of European Banks During the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises

Downloads 511 ( 59,487)
Citation 19

The Systemic Risk of European Banks During the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 28 Nov 2012
Lamont Black, Ricardo Correa, Xin Huang and Hao Zhou
DePaul University - Driehaus College of Business, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 321 (102,289)
Citation 7

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European debt crisis, macroprudential regulation, banking systemic risk, credit default swap, too-big-to-fail, interconnectedness, leverage

The Systemic Risk of European Banks During the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1083
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 30 May 2017
Lamont Black, Ricardo Correa, Xin Huang and Hao Zhou
DePaul University - Driehaus College of Business, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 190 (173,839)
Citation 2

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banking systemic risk, European debt crisis, too-big-to-fail, leverage, interconnectedness, credit default swap, macroprudential regulation

26.

A Study of the Finite Sample Properties of EMM, GMM, QMLE, and MLE for a Square-Root Interest Rate Diffusion Model

FEDS Discussion Paper No. 2000-45
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 23 Jan 2001
Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 476 (65,013)
Citation 2

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Monte Carlo Study, Efficient Method of Moments, Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Square-Root Diffusion, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood, Generalized Method of Moments

27.

Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Risk

Journal of Banking and Finance, Forthcoming, FEDS Working Paper No. 2007-22, AFA 2009 San Francisco Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 20 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 27 Jul 2009
Jonathan H. Wright and Hao Zhou
Johns Hopkins University - Department of Economics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 460 (67,740)
Citation 2

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Unspanned Stochastic Volatility, Regime-Shift Term Structure, Bond Return Predictability, Expectations Hypothesis, Countercyclical Risk Premia, Realized Jump Risk

28.

Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle

Duke University, Economics Working Paper
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 26 Jun 2003
Ravi Bansal, George Tauchen and Hao Zhou
Duke University and NBER, Duke University - Economics Group and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 444 (70,736)
Citation 10

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Term Structure of Interest Rates, Yield Curve, Regime Switching, Risk Premium, Expectation Hypothesis, Business Cycle, Efficient Method of Moments, EMM

29.

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Regime Shifts

Downloads 391 ( 82,160)
Citation 65

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Regime Shifts

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System-FEDS 2001-46
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 14 Dec 2001
Hao Zhou and Ravi Bansal
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Duke University and NBER
Downloads 391 (81,429)
Citation 65

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Regime switching, term structure of interest rate, reprojection, efficient method of moments

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Regime Shifts

Posted: 05 Aug 2004
Ravi Bansal and Hao Zhou
Duke University and NBER and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance

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30.

Jump-Diffusion Term Structure and Ito Conditional Moment Generator

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 21 Sep 2001
Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 390 (82,402)
Citation 4

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Jump-diffusion, term structure of interest rates, conditional moment generator, multivariate weighted nonlinear least square, market price of risk

31.

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

Downloads 383 ( 84,186)
Citation 2

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

Finance Down Under 2016 Building on the Best from the Cellars of Finance
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 23 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2017
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Zhaogang Song and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 313 (105,074)
Citation 3

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Long-run risk, economic uncertainty, variance risk premium, bond return predictability, term structure of interest rates, interest rate derivatives

Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-Run and Long-Run Risks

FEDS Working Paper No. 2015-95
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 13 Nov 2015
Olesya V. Grishchenko, Zhaogang Song and Hao Zhou
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 70 (362,183)

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Long-run risk, economic uncertainty, term structure of interest rates, bond risk premium, variance risk premium, predictability, interest rate derivatives

32.

Moment Risk Premia and Stock Return Predictability

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 12 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 21 Apr 2020
Zhenzhen Fan, Xiao Xiao and Hao Zhou
University of Manitoba - Department of Accounting and Finance, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 376 (86,052)
Citation 5

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Moment risk premia; Variance risk premium; Higher moment risk premia; Stock return predictability; Predictive regression

33.

Ambiguity Aversion and Variance Premium

Downloads 340 ( 96,484)
Citation 10

Ambiguity Aversion and Variance Premium

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 16 May 2012
Jianjun Miao, Bin Wei and Hao Zhou
Boston University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 301 (109,695)
Citation 6

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Ambiguity aversion, learning, variance premium, regime-shift, belief distortion, return predictability

Ambiguity Aversion and Variance Premium

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2018-14
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 31 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Jianjun Miao, Bin Wei and Hao Zhou
Boston University - Department of Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 39 (475,468)
Citation 2

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ambiguity aversion, learning, variance premium, regime shift, belief distortion

34.

Hot Money and Quantitative Easing: The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on the Chinese Economy

Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Forthcoming, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 14-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper No. 211
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 28 Feb 2018
Steven Wei Ho, Ji Zhang and Hao Zhou
Columbia University, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 333 (98,706)
Citation 2

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international policy spillover, Chinese real-estate market, U.S. monetary policy, policy uncertainty, FA-VAR, shadow rate

35.

Subjective Model Uncertainty, Variance Risk Premium, and Speculative Trading

Downloads 326 (101,124)

Subjective Model Uncertainty, Variance Risk Premium, and Speculative Trading

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 21 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Ming Guo and Hao Zhou
ShanghaiTech University - School of Entrepreneurship and Management and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 260 (128,223)

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subjective model uncertainty, signal precision or mean, option-implied uncertainty premium, variance risk premium, trading volume

Subjective Model Uncertainty, Variance Risk Premium, and Speculative Trading

Number of pages: 54 Posted: 30 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Ming Guo and Hao Zhou
ShanghaiTech University - School of Entrepreneurship and Management and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 66 (374,038)

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Subjective model uncertainty, signal precision or mean, option-implied uncertainty premium, variance risk premium, trading volume.

36.

Leverage Network and Market Contagion

PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 28 Sep 2017 Last Revised: 13 Mar 2019
Jiangze Bian, Zhi Da, Dong Lou and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), University of Notre Dame - Mendoza College of Business, London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 324 (101,826)
Citation 19

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Margin trading, leverage, contagion, network centrality

37.

Variance Risk Premiums in Emerging Markets: Global Integration and Economic Uncertainty

Number of pages: 83 Posted: 25 Jun 2018 Last Revised: 09 May 2019
Fang Qiao, Lai Xu, Xiaoyan Zhang and Hao Zhou
Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance, Syracuse University, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 221 (151,202)
Citation 4

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Variance risk premium, emerging markets, stock return predictability, market integration, economic uncertainty

38.

Do Behavioral Biases Affect Order Aggressiveness?

Downloads 201 (165,189)
Citation 1

Do Behavioral Biases Affect Order Aggressiveness?

Asian Finance Association (AsianFA) 2015 Conference Paper, PBCSF-NIFR Research Paper No. 13-01
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 19 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2018
Jiangze Bian, Kalok Chan, Donghui Shi and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), CUHK Business School, Shanghai Stock Exchange and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 128 (242,946)
Citation 1

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Order submission, Order aggressiveness, Disposition effect

Do Behavioral Biases Affect Order Aggressiveness?

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 03 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 30 Oct 2017
Jiangze Bian, Kalok Chan, Donghui Shi and Hao Zhou
University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), CUHK Business School, Shanghai Stock Exchange and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 73 (353,690)

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Order submission, Order aggressiveness, Disposition effect

39.

Active Monetary or Fiscal Policy and Stock-Bond Correlation

Number of pages: 59 Posted: 28 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2018
Erica X. N. Li, Tao A. Zha, Ji Zhang and Hao Zhou
Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 144 (220,563)
Citation 1

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bond-stock return correlation, monetary-fiscal policy regime, inflation risk premium

40.

Countercyclical Risk Aversion: Evidence from 10 Million Auto Insurance Transactions in China

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 10 Apr 2020
Huafeng (Jason) Chen, Yinglu Deng, Pengfei Li and Hao Zhou
Fudan University - Fanhai International School of Finance (FISF), Tsinghua University - School of Economics & Management, Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 26 (529,751)

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Risk Aversion, Countercyclical, Auto Insurance

41.

Rural‐Urban Disparity and Sectoral Labour Allocation in China

Journal of Development Studies (1997)
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 09 Oct 2017
Dennis Tao Yang and Hao Zhou
Chinese University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics and Tsinghua University - PBC School of Finance
Downloads 13 (612,847)

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