affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), affiliation not provided to SSRN, National Bank of Poland, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Deutsche Bundesbank, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Centre for European Policy Studies, Brussels, ANIA - Italian Association of Insurance Companies, Columbia University - Columbia Business School, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and University of Geneva - Graduate Institute of International Studies (HEI)