Christian Ochsner

German Council of Economic Experts

Federal Statistical Office

Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11

Wiesbaden, Hessen 65180

Germany

  • German Council of Economic Experts

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

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Scholarly Papers (5)

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1.

Robust Real-Time Estimates of the German Output Gap based on a Multivariate Trend-Cycle Decomposition *

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 18 Apr 2022 Last Revised: 18 Jun 2024
Tino Berger and Christian Ochsner
University of Goettingen (Göttingen) - Department of Economics and German Council of Economic Experts
Downloads 186 (309,895)

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output gap, Germany, nowcast, mixed frequency, vector-autoregression JEL classification: E32, E37, C53

2.

Demographic Aging and Long-Run Economic Growth in Germany

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 08 Mar 2024 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2024
Christian Ochsner, Lars Other, Esther Thiel and Christopher Zuber
German Council of Economic Experts, Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena, Independent and German Council of Economic Experts
Downloads 76 (599,496)
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demographic aging, production function, potential output, Germany, long-run forecast, economic growth

3.

How Do Credit Supply Conditions Transmit Across the Globe?

Number of pages: 72 Posted: 01 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 15 Mar 2024
Helmut Herwartz, Christian Ochsner and Hannes Rohloff
University of Goettingen (Göttingen), German Council of Economic Experts and University of Goettingen (Göttingen)
Downloads 74 (608,464)

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global credit supply, credit composition, financial cycle, dynamic factor model

4.

Do Global Public and Private Credit Shocks Distinctly Impact the Business Cycle? Evidence from 38 Advanced and Emerging Economies

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 24 May 2021 Last Revised: 06 Feb 2023
Helmut Herwartz, Christian Ochsner and Hannes Rohloff
University of Goettingen (Göttingen), German Council of Economic Experts and University of Goettingen (Göttingen)
Downloads 68 (636,875)

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Credit shocks, credit composition, real economy, structural VAR, FAVAR

5.

Germany's Foreign Direct Investment in Times of Geopolitical Fragmentation

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/130
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 15 Jul 2024
Kevin Timothy Fletcher, Veronika Grimm, Thilo Kroeger, Aiko Mineshima, Christian Ochsner, Andrea Presbitero, Paul Schmidt-Engelbertz and Jing Zhou
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Erlangen-Nuremberg-Friedrich Alexander Universität Erlangen Nürnberg - School of Business & Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), German Council of Economic Experts, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Yale School of Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 20 (982,751)

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Germany, foreign direct investment, geopolitical fragmentation, Annex I. FDI stock, outward FDI, FDI dataset, FDI activity, Germany's FDI, Fuel prices, Energy prices, Imports, Global