Jun Tu

Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business

Associate Professor

50 Stamford Road

#04-01

Singapore , 178899

Singapore

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

32

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24,670

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 3,932

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,932

in Total Papers Citations

379

CROSSREF CITATIONS

45

Scholarly Papers (32)

1.

Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns

Review of Financial Studies 28, 791-837, 2015
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 19 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2019
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 5,967 (2,316)
Citation 156

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Investor Sentiment, Asset Pricing, Return Predictability, Cash Flow, Discount Rate

2.

Forecasting Stock Returns in Good and Bad Times: The Role of Market States

27th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2014 Paper, Asian Finance Association (AsianFA) 2016 Conference
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 14 Dec 2012 Last Revised: 01 Aug 2017
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 3,326 (6,297)
Citation 10

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Return predictability; Mean reversion; Momentum; Market risk premium; Leading economic indicator; 200-day moving average; Business cycle

3.

Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2010-008H
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 03 Feb 2014
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,989 (14,204)
Citation 30

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equity risk premium predictability, macroeconomic variables, moving-average rules, momentum, volume, sentiment, out-of-sample forecasts, asset allocation, business cycle

4.

Robust Measures of Earnings Surprises

Journal of Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 29 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 06 May 2018
Independent, Princeton University - Department of Operations Research & Financial Engineering (ORFE), Princeton University - Bendheim Center for Finance, Columbia University, Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 1,858 (15,791)
Citation 3

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Event Studies, Efficient Markets, Earnings Announcements, Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

5.

Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 21 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 10 Mar 2014
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,570 (20,465)
Citation 99

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Equity Risk Premium Predictability, Macroeconomic Variables, Moving-Average Rules, Momentum, Volume, Out-of-Sample Forecasts, Asset Allocation

6.

Forecasting Government Bond Risk Premia Using Technical Indicators

25th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2012, Asian Finance Association (AsFA) 2013 Conference
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 22 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2013
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,247 (28,892)
Citation 14

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Bond risk premium predictability, Economic variables, Technical analysis, Moving average rules, Volume, Out-of-sample forecasts, Principal components

7.

Being Naive about Naive Diversification: Can Investment Theory be Consistently Useful

EFA 2008 Athens Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 19 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 15 Nov 2013
Jun Tu and Guofu Zhou
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,224 (29,678)
Citation 5

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Portfolio choice, parameter uncertainty, shrinkage, admissibility

8.

Cost Behavior and Stock Returns

Asian Finance Association (AsianFA) 2015 Conference Paper
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 01 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 14 Jul 2017
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 1,160 (32,110)
Citation 3

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Cost behavior; sticky costs; operating costs; investor underreaction; limits to arbitrage

9.

Topic Tones of Analyst Reports and Stock Returns: A Deep Learning Approach

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 20 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 28 Jul 2023
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, National University of Singapore and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 958 (42,108)
Citation 3

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Textual Analysis; DNN Approach; Topic Tones; Information Content

10.

Is Regime Switching in Stock Returns Important in Portfolio Decisions?

Working Paper, Singapore Management University
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 08 Nov 2007 Last Revised: 15 Nov 2013
Jun Tu
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 833 (51,033)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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investments, model uncertainty, parameter uncertainty, regime switching, Bayesian analysis

11.

Joint News, Attention Spillover, and Market Returns

Number of pages: 70 Posted: 07 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 23 May 2022
Li Guo, Lin Peng, Yubo Tao and Jun Tu
Fudan University - School of Economics, City University of New York, Baruch College - Zicklin School of Business - Department of Economics and Finance, University of Macau - Department of Economics and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 604 (77,714)
Citation 3

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News, Attention spillover, Contagion, Investor base, EDGAR search, Return predictability.

12.

Incorporating Economic Objectives into Bayesian Priors: Portfolio Choice Under Parameter Uncertainty

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 05 Mar 2007 Last Revised: 15 Nov 2013
Jun Tu and Guofu Zhou
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 602 (77,876)
Citation 22

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Portfolio choice, Parameter uncertainty, Bayesian priors

13.

The Cryptocurrency Elephant in the Room

Number of pages: 83 Posted: 29 Oct 2022 Last Revised: 08 Aug 2023
Boston College - Carroll School of Management, Boston College - Carroll School of Management, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Peking University - School of Economics
Downloads 488 (101,048)

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Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, Bayesian Portfolio Theory, Portfolio Choice, Non-Participation, Beliefs, Investment Frictions

Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Statistical Tests and Economic Evaluation

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 15 Jan 2004
Cornell University - Department of Economics, Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 454 (108,967)
Citation 49

Abstract:

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15.

Cross-Cryptocurrency Return Predictability

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 30 Nov 2021 Last Revised: 28 Sep 2022
Li Guo, Bo Sang, Jun Tu and Yu Wang
Fudan University - School of Economics, University of Bristol - School of Business, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Shanghai University of Finance and Economics - School of Economics
Downloads 431 (117,031)
Citation 1

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Cryptocurrency; return predictability; information spillover; adaptive LASSO

16.

Sentiment, Limited Attention and Factor Models

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 01 Nov 2022 Last Revised: 25 Jan 2023
Shenzhen University - Shenzhen Audencia Financial Technology Institute, Fudan University - School of Economics, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 296 (176,736)

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Sentiment, Limited Attention, Valuation Uncertainty, Factor Models, Return Predictability.

17.

International Volatility Risk and Chinese Stock Return Predictability

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017, Vol. 70, 183-203
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Feb 2015 Last Revised: 18 Jul 2017
Xiamen University - School of Economics, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Xiamen University - School of Management and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 280 (187,189)
Citation 1

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Return Predictability, Implied Volatility, Out-of-sample Forecasting, Chinese Stock

18.

Investor Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts in Equity Return Forecasting

Management Science, Vol. 68, 2022, pp. 4301–4325
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 06 Jun 2019 Last Revised: 06 Jul 2022
Liya Chu, Xuezhong He, Kai Li and Jun Tu
East China University of Science and Technology (ECUST), Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University (XJTLU), Macquarie Business School, Macquarie University and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 273 (192,131)
Citation 5

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Return predictability, Investors sentiment, Economic predictors, Non-fundamental predictors

19.

Can US Economic Variables Predict the Chinese Stock Market?

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Forthcoming , 24th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2011 Paper
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 27 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2013
Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Anhui University of Finance and Economics
Downloads 257 (204,073)
Citation 4

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Chinese stock market; Return predictability; International investment

20.

Lotto, How to Win? Skew Timing Strategies

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 04 May 2016
Jian Chen, Yangshu Liu and Jun Tu
Xiamen University - School of Economics, Xiamen University - School of Management and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 227 (230,250)

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Mean-variance-skewness, Asset allocation, Realized skewness, Skewness forecasting

21.

Concept Links and Return Momentum

Qianqian Du, Dawei Liang, Zilin Chen, Jun Tu, Concept links and return momentum, Journal of Banking & Finance, Volume 134, 2022, 106329, Forthcoming, Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106329.
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Aug 2021 Last Revised: 13 Dec 2021
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE) - Research Institute of Economics & Management, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE), Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE) - School of Finance and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 221 (236,123)
Citation 3

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Concept stocks; Momentum effects; Asset classifications; Category learning

22.

In Search of Cryptocurrency Failure

Posted: 25 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 12 Jan 2023
Donglian Ma, Jun Tu and Zhaobo Zhu
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University - Faculty of Business, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Shenzhen University
Downloads 182 (281,563)

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Cryptocurrency; Failure risk; Failure risk-return tradeoff; Asset allocation

23.

Information Arrival, News Sentiment, Volatilities and Jumps of Intraday Returns

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 09 Jan 2021
Humboldt University of Berlin, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business, University of Applied Sciences for Engineering and Economics (HTW Berlin), School of Computing, Communication and Business and Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE) - School of Finance
Downloads 163 (309,563)

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information arrival, volatility modelling, jump, sentiment, GARCH

24.

Institutional Ownership and Stock Returns  On Chinese Firms

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 19 Jan 2023
Guangzhou University, Jinan University, Jinan University and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 41 (711,713)

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Institutional investors, Stock returns, Corporate Social Responsibility, Chinese firms, State-owned enterprises

25.

Institutional Ownership and Stock Returns of Chinese Firms

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 Jun 2023
Guangzhou University, Jinan University, Jinan University and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business
Downloads 19 (888,740)

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Institutional Investors, stock returns, corporate social responsibility, Chinese firms, State-Owned Enterprises

26.

Navigating Risk in a Digital World: Online Search and D&O Insurance Acquisitions

Posted: 13 Sep 2023
Hua Cheng, Jun Tu and Luying Wang
University of Texas at Austin, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business

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online search; information asymmetry; D&O insurance; corporate governance; corporate risk; firm value; digital transformation; emerging markets; risk management; investor attention

27.

Does Trading Volume Mitigate or Amplify Mispricing?

Posted: 31 Mar 2023 Last Revised: 13 Jun 2023
Shenzhen University - Shenzhen Audencia Financial Technology Institute, Fudan University - School of Economics, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business

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Trading volume, Mispricing, Limited Attention, Disagreement, Behavioral Bias

28.

Analyst Sentiment: Do Analysts Support or Correct Investor Sentiment and Manager sentiment?

Posted: 29 Mar 2023 Last Revised: 02 Jun 2023
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE) - Research Institute of Economics & Management, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management

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Investor sentiment, Manager sentiment, Mispricing, Textual tone, Return predictability

29.

Media Climate Change Concern, Greenwashing, and Stock Returns

Posted: 08 Apr 2022 Last Revised: 23 Aug 2023
Liya Chu, Jun Tu and luying wang
East China University of Science and Technology (ECUST), Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and affiliation not provided to SSRN

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Return Predictability, Climate Change, Media, Sustainable Finance, Greenwashing

30.

Oil Price Shocks and Stock Market Anomalies

Financial Management, Forthcoming
Posted: 03 Oct 2021
Shenzhen University, Old Dominion University, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Policy and Management

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31.

Asset Allocation in Chinese Stock Market: The Role of Return Predictability

Journal of Portfolio Management, 2015, Vol. 41, No. 5, 71-83 , https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2014.41.5.071
Posted: 20 May 2019
Jian Chen, Fuwei Jiang and Jun Tu
Xiamen University - School of Economics, Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE) and Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business

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Chinese Stock Market, Asset Allocation, Return Predictability, Combination Forecast

32.

Industry Return Predictability: A Machine Learning Approach

Posted: 17 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 21 May 2019
Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, University of Denver - Daniels College of Business, Singapore Management University - Lee Kong Chian School of Business and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School

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Predictive regression; LASSO; Post-selection inference; Network analysis; Industry-rotation portfolio; Multifactor model; Gradual information dffusion