Neil R. Ericsson

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

23

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4,426

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 9,246

in Total Papers Citations

31

CROSSREF CITATIONS

103

Scholarly Papers (23)

1.

General-to-Specific Modeling: An Overview and Selected Bibliography

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 838
Number of pages: 94 Posted: 31 Aug 2005
Julia Campos, Neil R. Ericsson and David F. Hendry
University of Salamanca - Department of Economics and Economic History, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,022 (25,161)
Citation 33

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cointegration, conditional models, data mining, diagnostic testing, dynamic specification, econometric methodology, encompassing, equilibrium correction models, error correction models, exogeneity, general-to-specific modeling, model comparison, model design, model evaluation, model selection

2.

Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 14 Aug 1998
Neil R. Ericsson, David F. Hendry and Grayham E. Mizon
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and University of Southampton - Division of Economics
Downloads 587 (53,800)
Citation 9

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3.
Downloads 541 ( 59,558)

A Framework for Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 18 Nov 1998
Neil R. Ericsson and Jaime Marquez
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 541 (58,900)

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A Framework for Economic Forecasting

Posted: 08 Apr 1999
Neil R. Ericsson and Jaime Marquez
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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Distributions of Error Correction Tests for Cointegration

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Aug 2000
Neil R. Ericsson and James G. MacKinnon
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Queen's University - Department of Economics
Downloads 350 (99,507)
Citation 1

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critical value, distribution function, Monte Carlo, response surface

Distributions of Error Correction Tests for Cointegration

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 05 Feb 2003
Neil R. Ericsson and James G. MacKinnon
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Queen's University - Department of Economics
Downloads 22 (607,288)
Citation 2
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5.

Output and Inflation in the Long Run

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 18 Jan 2001
Neil R. Ericsson, John S. Irons and Ralph W. Tryon
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Amherst College - Department of Economics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 368 (94,659)
Citation 8

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Cointegration, Cross-Country Regression, Economic Growth, Inflation, Long Run, Output

6.

Forecast Uncertainty in Economic Modeling

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 11 Apr 2001
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 295 (120,825)
Citation 3

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Econometrics, Economics, Forecasting, Models, Uncertainty.

Constructive Data Mining: Modeling Consumers' Expenditure in Venezuela

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 05 Dec 2000
Julia Campos and Neil R. Ericsson
University of Salamanca - Department of Economics and Economic History and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 227 (156,880)
Citation 1

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Constructive Data Mining: Modeling Consumers' Expenditure in Venezuela

Posted: 05 Dec 2000
Julia Campos and Neil R. Ericsson
University of Salamanca - Department of Economics and Economic History and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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8.

The Et Interview: Professor David F. Hendry

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 06 Sep 2004
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 171 (203,814)
Citation 1

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Cointegration, conditional models, consumers' expenditure, diagnostic testing, dynamic specification, encompassing, equilibrium-correction models, error-correction models, exogeneity, forecasting, general-to-specific modeling, housing market, inflation, model design, model evaluation, money demand

9.

Predictable Uncertainty in Economic Forecasting

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 09 Mar 2001
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 165 (210,048)

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Econometrics, Economics, Forecasting, Models, Uncertainty

10.

A Retrospective on J. Denis Sargan and His Contributions to Econometrics

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 11 Apr 2001
Neil R. Ericsson, Esfandiar Maasoumi and Grayham E. Mizon
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Southern Methodist University (SMU) - Department of Economics and University of Southampton - Division of Economics
Downloads 151 (226,362)
Citation 1

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Dynamic Specification, Econometrics, Error Correction Model, Finite Sample Distributions, Identification, Instrumental Variables, Model Building, Numerical Computation, Prices, Production Function, Specification Searches, Wages

11.

Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1184
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 17 Nov 2016
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 110 (287,955)

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Encompassing, Equilibrium correction models, Error correction, Evaluation, Exogeneity, Forecasting, Modeling, Nowcasting, Parameter constancy, Robustification, Structural breaks

12.

Broad Money Demand and Financial Liberalization in Greece

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 09 Sep 1998
Neil R. Ericsson and Sunil Sharma
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and George Washington University - Elliott School of International Affairs
Downloads 101 (305,368)

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13.

Comment on 'Economic Forecasting in a Changing World' (by Michael Clements and David Hendry)

Capitalism and Society, Vol. 3, Issue 2, Article 2, 2008
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 30 Jan 2013
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 86 (338,451)

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14.

Constructive Data Mining: Modeling Argentine Broad Money Demand

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 943
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Nov 2008
Neil R. Ericsson and Steven B. Kamin
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 65 (396,106)
Citation 3

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Argentina, autometrics, broad money, dynamic specification, cointegration, conditional models, currency substitution, dollarization, error correction, exogeneity, hyperinflation, irreversibility, model design, model selection, money demand, PcGets, ratchet effect

15.

Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1056
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Dec 2012
Neil R. Ericsson and Erica Leigh Reisman
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Government of the United States of America - Division of International Finance (IFDP)
Downloads 60 (412,273)
Citation 4

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Cointegration, error correction, forecasting, GVAR, impulse indicator saturation, model design, model evaluation, model selection, parameter constancy, VAR

The Fragility of Sensitivity Analysis: An Encompassing Perspective

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 959
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 15 Dec 2008
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 39 (505,365)
Citation 1

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encompassing, exogeneity, extreme bounds analysis, model averaging, parameter nonconstancy, pooling of forecasts, robustness, regime shifts, sensitivity analysis

The Fragility of Sensitivity Analysis: An Encompassing Perspective

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 70, Issue s1, pp. 895-914, December 2008
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 02 Dec 2008
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 2 (767,410)
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17.

Eliciting GDP Forecasts from the FOMC's Minutes Around the Financial Crisis

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1152
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 18 Nov 2015
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 37 (503,986)
Citation 4

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Autometrics, bias, Fed, financial crisis, FOMC, forecasts, GDP, Great Recession, Greenbook, impulse indicator saturation, projections, Tealbook, United States

18.

How Biased are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?

FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1189
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 15 Jan 2017
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 27 (556,513)
Citation 1

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Autometrics, Bias, Debt, Federal government, Forecasts, Impulse indicator saturation, Heteroscedasticity, Projections, United States

19.

Encompassing and Rational Expectations: How Sequential Corroboration Can Imply Refutation

Posted: 02 Mar 1999
Neil R. Ericsson and David F. Hendry
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Oxford - Department of Economics

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20.

Empirical Modeling of Money Demand

Posted: 09 Sep 1998
Neil R. Ericsson
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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21.

Friedman and Schwartz (1982) Revisited: Assessing Annual and Phase-Average Models of Money Demand in the United Kingdom

Posted: 08 Sep 1998
Neil R. Ericsson, David F. Hendry and Kevin M. Prestwich
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and AMS (American Management Systems, Inc.)

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22.

The Demand for Broad Money in the United Kingdom, 1878-1993

Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 100, Issue 1 (1998)
Posted: 24 Feb 1998
Neil R. Ericsson, David F. Hendry and Kevin M. Prestwich
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Oxford - Department of Economics and AMS (American Management Systems, Inc.)

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23.

Hazards in Implementing a Monetary Conditions Index

OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, November 1996
Posted: 12 Nov 1996
Kari H. Eika, Neil R. Ericsson and Ragnar Nymoen
Bank of Norway, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Oslo - Department of Economics

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