José Alves

University of Lisbon

R. Branca Edmée Marques

Dept. Plant Biology

Lisboa, 1600-276

Portugal

ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa

REM - Resarch in Economics and Mathematics

ISEG Universidade de Lisboa

Rua Miguel Lupi 20

Lisboa, 1249-078

Portugal

  • University of Lisbon

  • REM - Resarch in Economics and Mathematics

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

45

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5,087

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Top 19,793

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40

Scholarly Papers (45)

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1.

The Role of Government Debt in Economic Growth

ISEG-UTL Economics Department Working Paper No. 16/2014/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Oct 2014
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 1,193 (38,226)
Citation 7

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government debt, economic growth, thresholds

2.

A DSGE Model to Evaluate the Macroeconomic Impacts of Taxation

REM Working Paper 062-2018
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 19 Dec 2018
José Alves
University of Lisbon
Downloads 450 (138,139)
Citation 1

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DSGE Models; Tax Effects; Fiscal Policy; Optimal Taxation

3.

Determinants of the Degree of Fiscal Sustainability

Downloads 294 (221,196)

Determinants of the Degree of Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 10225
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and José Carlos Coelho
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 160 (394,948)

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fiscal reaction function, fiscal determinants, panel data, quantile regressions

Determinants of the Degree of Fiscal Sustainability

REM Working Paper 255-2023
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Jan 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and José Coelho
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 134 (457,871)

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fiscal reaction function; fiscal determinants; panel data; quantile regressions

4.

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Downloads 219 (298,397)
Citation 6

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

CESifo Working Paper No. 10558
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 21 Jul 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Roma Tre University
Downloads 117 (514,015)
Citation 1

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monetary surprises, fiscal sustainability, local-projection models, fiscal-monetary policy mix, Euro area, Germany, Italy, Portugal

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

REM Working Paper 281-2023
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 17 Jul 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Roma Tre University
Downloads 72 (705,309)

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monetary surprises, fiscal sustainability, local-projection models, fiscal-monetary policy mix, Euro area, Germany, Italy, Portugal

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 31 Jan 2024
José Alves, António Afonso and Serena Ionta
University of Lisbon, ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and Roma Tre University
Downloads 30 (1,050,887)
Citation 5

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monetary surprises, fiscal sustainability, local-projection models, fiscal-monetary policy mix, Euro area

5.

Financial, Institutional and Macroeconomic Determinants of Cross-Country Portfolio Equity Flows

Downloads 153 (410,345)

Financial, Institutional and Macroeconomic Determinants of Cross-Country Portfolio Equity Flows

REM Working Paper 0235-2022
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Aug 2022
António Afonso, José Alves, Krzysztof Beck and Karen Jackson
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, Lazarski University and University of Westminster
Downloads 87 (630,438)

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Cross-country equity flows, stock market returns, panel data, quantile regression, business cycle

Financial, Institutional, and Macroeconomic Determinants of Cross-Country Portfolio Equity Flows

CESifo Working Paper No. 9872
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 08 Aug 2022
António Afonso, José Alves, Krzysztof Beck and Karen Jackson
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, Lazarski University and University of Westminster
Downloads 66 (740,483)

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cross-country equity flows, stock market returns, panel data, quantile regression, business cycle

6.

How Money Relates to Value? An Empirical Examination on Gold, Silver and Bitcoin

CESifo Working Paper No. 9662
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 11 Apr 2022
João Quental Gonçalves and José Alves
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 153 (410,345)
Citation 1

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money, inflation, gold, silver, bitcoin

7.

Monetary Policy Surprise Shocks Under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area

Downloads 145 (428,598)

Monetary Policy Surprise Shocks Under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area

CESifo Working Paper No. 10627
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 07 Sep 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Roma Tre University
Downloads 81 (658,766)

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monetary policy surprises, public debt, fiscal sustainability, local-projection models, fiscal-monetary policy mix, Euro area

Monetary Policy Surprises Shocks Under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area

REM Working Paper 0284-2023
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 24 Aug 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Serena Ionta
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Roma Tre University
Downloads 64 (752,705)

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monetary policy surprises, public debt, fiscal sustainability, local-projection models, fiscal-monetary policy mix, Euro area.

8.

Does Government Spending Efficiency Improve Fiscal Sustainability?

CESifo Working Paper No. 9738
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 10 May 2022
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 138 (445,955)
Citation 1

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fiscal sustainability, spending efficiency, panel data

9.

Reconsidering Wagner's Law: Evidence from the Functions of the Government

Department of Economics, ISEG-UL, Working Paper nº 09/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 06 Apr 2016
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 129 (470,716)
Citation 1

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Fiscal Policies; Government spending; SUR estimation; Wagner’s Law

10.

Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics

Downloads 124 (485,579)
Citation 11

Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics

CESifo Working Paper No. 10801
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Dec 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 68 (728,328)
Citation 11

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geopolitical risk, world uncertainty, political tensions, sovereign risk, European economy, GMM, subprime crisis

Beyond Borders: Assessing the Influence of Geopolitical Tensions on Sovereign Risk Dynamics

REM Working Paper 0300-2023
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 01 Dec 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 56 (806,952)

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Geopolitical Risk; World Uncertainty; Political Tensions; Sovereign Risk; European Economy; GMM; Subprime crisis

11.

Banks’ Portfolio of Government Debt and Sovereign Risk

Downloads 122 (494,982)

Banks’ Portfolio of Government Debt and Sovereign Risk

CESifo Working Paper No. 10692
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 23 Oct 2023
António Afonso, Sofia Monteiro and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 47 (878,755)

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banking, sovereign debt, sovereign risk, financial crisis, ratings

Banks’ portfolio of government debt and sovereign risk

REM WP_0289_2023
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 31 Oct 2023
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 40 (953,180)

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Banking, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign risk, Financial crisis, Ratings

Banks’ Portfolio of Government Debt and Sovereign Risk

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 07 Dec 2023
José Alves, António Afonso and Sofia Monteiro
University of Lisbon, ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 35 (994,831)

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Banking, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign risk, Financial crisis, Ratings

12.

Secular Stagnation: Is Immigration Part of the Solution?

CESifo Working Paper No. 9561
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 15 Feb 2022
José Alves and Sandro Morgado
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 104 (554,403)

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economic stagnation, secular stagnation, financial crisis, immigration, monetary policy

13.

An Empirical Assessment of Monetary Policy Channels on Income and Wealth Disparities

REM Working Paper 0144-2020
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 17 Nov 2020
José Alves and Tomás Silva
University of Lisbon and Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Department of Economics
Downloads 99 (574,084)

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Income inequalities; Wealth inequalities; Monetary Policy; Transmission Channels

14.

The Pressure is on: How Geopolitical Tensions Impact Institutional Fiscal and External Stability Responses

Downloads 94 (593,870)

The Pressure is on: How Geopolitical Tensions Impact Institutional Fiscal and External Stability Responses

REM Working Paper 318-2024
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 Apr 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 63 (759,158)

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Economic integration, Geopolitical risks, Fiscal sustainability, External sustainability, Time-varying coefficients

The Pressure is on: How Geopolitical Tensions Impact Institutional Fiscal and External Stability Responses

CESifo Working Paper No. 11067
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 25 Apr 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 31 (1,039,261)

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economic integration, geopolitical risks, fiscal sustainability, external sustainability, time-varying coefficients

15.

To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 9618
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 17 Mar 2022
António Afonso, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 94 (593,870)

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fiscal consolidation, cyclically-adjusted primary balance, sustainability, panel data, time-varying

16.

How Economic Growth Impinges on Income Inequalities?

CESifo Working Paper No. 10154
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 28 Dec 2022
José Alves, Jose Carlos Coelho and Alexandre Roxo
University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 92 (601,710)

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inequality, economic growth, Kuznets hypothesis, panel data

17.

Optimal Threshold Taxation: An Empirical Investigation for Developing Economies

Downloads 91 (605,874)
Citation 1

Optimal Threshold Taxation: An Empirical Investigation for Developing Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 9782
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 15 Jun 2022
Lucas Menescal and José Alves
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 61 (772,259)
Citation 1

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economic growth, fiscal policy, optimal taxation, tax thresholds

Optimal Threshold Taxation: An Empirical Investigation for Developing Economies

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 May 2023
Lucas Menescal and José Alves
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 30 (1,050,887)

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Economic Growth, Fiscal Policy, Optimal Taxation, Tax Thresholds

18.

Public Sector Efficiency and the Functions of the Government

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11487
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Dec 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Najat Bazah
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Downloads 85 (631,844)

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public sector performance indicators, efficiency, public expenditure, functions of the government, data envelopment analysis

19.

Stock-Flow Adjustments and Interest Rates

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 05/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Feb 2017
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 77 (669,020)

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Stock-flow adjustment; Debt; Interest rates; SUR; Panel

20.

Echoes of Instability: How Geopolitical Risks Shape Government Debt Holdings

Downloads 73 (689,225)

Echoes of Instability: How Geopolitical Risks Shape Government Debt Holdings

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 19 Jul 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 41 (933,565)

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Sovereign Debt, Geopolitical Risk;, World Uncertainty;, Quantile Regression

Echoes of Instability: How Geopolitical Risks Shape Government Debt Holdings

CESifo Working Paper No. 11235
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 12 Aug 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 32 (1,027,807)

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sovereign debt, geopolitical risk, world uncertainty, OLS, quantile regression

21.

Are Fiscal Consolidation Episodes Helpful for Public Sector Efficiency?

CESifo Working Paper No. 9761
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 26 May 2022
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 73 (689,225)
Citation 5

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fiscal consolidation episodes, government spending efficiency, panel data, OECD

22.

Fiscal Sustainability and the Role of Inflation

CESifo Working Paper No. 10843
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 27 Dec 2023
António Afonso, José Alves, Oļegs Matvejevs and Olegs Tkacevs
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, Latvijas Banka and Latvijas Banka
Downloads 71 (699,824)
Citation 3

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fiscal sustainability, fiscal reaction function, time-varying coefficients, euro area, inflation, core inflation, panel data

23.

The Role of Global Uncertainty in Shaping Trade Flow Relations: A Cross-Country Analysis for Europe

CESifo Working Paper No. 11401
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 31 Oct 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, Lucas Menescal and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 67 (733,630)

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geopolitical risk, world uncertainty, trade flows, international trade, European economies

24.

The Impact of Foreign Aid on Aggregate Welfare Measures: A Panel Data Analysis

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 05 Dec 2018
José Alves and Cláudia Couto
University of Lisbon and University of Nottingham
Downloads 67 (721,896)

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Foreign Aid, Aggregate Human Welfare, Low-Middle Income Countries

25.

Sovereign Risk Dynamics in the EU: The Time Varying Relevance of Fiscal and External (Im)Balances

Downloads 64 (739,476)
Citation 1

Sovereign Risk Dynamics in the EU: The Time Varying Relevance of Fiscal and External (Im)Balances

CESifo Working Paper No. 10979
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 05 Mar 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 40 (943,287)

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sovereign risk, fiscal sustainability, external sustainability, CDS, CDS spreads

Sovereign Risk Dynamics in the EU: The Time Varying Relevance of Fiscal and External (Im)Balances

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 13 Mar 2024
José Alves, António Afonso and Sofia Monteiro
University of Lisbon, ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 24 (1,125,596)
Citation 1

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Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Sustainability, External Sustainability, CDS, CDS spreads

26.

(Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample

REM Working Paper 0158-2021
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
António Afonso, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 64 (739,476)

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non-Keynesian effects, fiscal consolidation, filtering, consumption, investment, financial crises, panel data, endogeneity

27.

The Sinful Side of Taxation: Is It Possible to Satisfy the Government Hunger for Revenues While Promoting Economic Growth?

REM Working Paper 057-2018
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 06 Dec 2018
José Alves
University of Lisbon
Downloads 60 (770,758)

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Economic Growth; Tax Systems; Fiscal Policy; Optimal Taxation

28.

Optimal Tax Structure for Consumption and Income Inequality: An Empirical Assessment

REM Working Paper 051-2018
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 04 Dec 2018
António Afonso and José Alves
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 60 (764,335)

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Investment Growth, Tax systems, Fiscal Policy, Optimal taxation

29.

Tax Incidence and Fiscal Systems: Some Problems on Tax Compared History in XIX and XX Centuries

REM Working Paper 045-2018
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 06 Dec 2018
José Alves
University of Lisbon
Downloads 57 (784,133)

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Tax History; Tax Developments; Fiscal Systems; State Building

30.

Tax Structure and Public Sector Efficiency: New Evidence for Developing Countries

CESifo Working Paper No. 10726
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 03 Nov 2023
Lucas Menescal and José Alves
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 55 (798,085)

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public sector performance, government efficiency, tax structure, data envelopment analysis, developing countries, panel data

31.

The Portuguese Households' Indebtedness

WP07/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 17 Mar 2017
José Alves and Rita Pereira
University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon - ISEG School of Economics and Management
Downloads 54 (805,216)
Citation 1

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Households Indebtedness, Early Warning Indicators, Credit

32.

Pay and Unemployment Determinants of Migration Flows in the European Union

CESifo Working Paper No. 10131
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 14 Dec 2022
António Afonso, José Alves and Krzysztof Beck
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Lazarski University
Downloads 53 (812,434)

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migration flows, earnings, unemployment, Bayesian Model Averaging, quantile regression, EU

33.

Stock and Sovereign Returns Linkages: Time-Varying Causality and Extreme-Quantile Determinants

CESifo Working Paper No. 11667
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 11 Feb 2025
António Afonso, José Alves, Wojciech Grabowski and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lodz and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 49 (842,870)

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stock returns, sovereign bond returns, stock-bond relationship, cross-quantilogram, volatility transmission, US, Germany, monetary policy shocks, fiscal stance

34.

The Impact of Tax Structure on Investment: An Empirical Assessment for OECD Countries

REM Working Paper, 058-2018
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 06 Dec 2018
José Alves
University of Lisbon
Downloads 47 (867,377)
Citation 1

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Investment Growth; Tax Systems; Fiscal Policy; Optimal Taxation

35.

Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis

CESifo Working Paper No. 11384
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 31 Oct 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, João Tovar Jalles and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 45 (875,853)

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geopolitical risk, world uncertainty index, global energy markets, exchange rate regimes, asymmetric effects

36.

Private Investment and Public Investment: Total Rates of Return and Global Balances in the OECD

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11634
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Jan 2025
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 43 (893,257)

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macroeconomic rates of return, fiscal sustainability, external sustainability, timevarying, public investment, private investment

37.

Impact of Sovereign Debt Maturity on Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11499
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Dec 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Oļegs Matvejevs
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Latvijas Banka
Downloads 38 (939,572)

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38.

Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization's Influence on Time-Varying Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 11132
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 10 Jun 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, João Tovar Jalles and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 38 (939,572)

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panel data analysis, fiscal sustainability, decentralization, fiscal rules, political cycles, time-varying coefficients

39.

Fiscal and External Sustainability: a Two-Step Time-varying Granger Causality Assessment

Number of pages: 57 Posted: 14 Feb 2025
António Afonso, José Alves, Jose Carlos Coelho and Jamel Saadaoui
ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and Université Paris VIII Vincennes-Saint-Denis
Downloads 34 (979,539)

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Fiscal sustainability, External sustainability, European Union, Time-varying causality, Lag-augmented vector autoregression

40.

Sovereign Risk Dynamics in the EU: the Time Varying Relevance of Fiscal and External (Im)balances

REM Working Paper 311-2024
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 25 Mar 2024
António Afonso, José Alves and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 29 (1,033,992)

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Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Sustainability, External Sustainability, CDS, CDS spreads

41.

Inflation Tales: The Heterogenous Price Effects from Current Account Dynamics

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11512
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 12 Dec 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, João Tovar Jalles, João Tovar Jalles and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of LisbonISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 25 (1,081,101)

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current account, energy inflation, headline inflation, core inflation, panel data, VAR, subprime crisis, inflation dynamics, monetary policy

42.

Determinants of Trade Partner Concentration: An Analysis for European Countries

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 11481
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Dec 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, Lucas Menescal and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 18 (1,168,470)

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exports, imports, Gini index, Herfindahl-Hirschman index, determinants of concentration

43.

Shaken Balances: Climate Risks and the Dynamics of Fiscal and External Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 11818
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 18 Apr 2025
António Afonso, José Alves, João Tovar Jalles, João Tovar Jalles and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of LisbonISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 17 (1,193,465)

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Fiscal Sustainability, External Sustainability, Climate Risk, Natural Disasters, Local Projections, Weighted Least Squares

44.

The Impact of Labor Share on Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis for European Union

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 May 2024
Jose Carlos Coelho, José Alves and FRANCISCO BAPTISTA
University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 16 (1,193,465)

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economic growth, labor share, total factor productivity, first-differences Generalized Method of Moments.

45.

Fiscal and External Sustainability: A Two-Step Time-Varying Granger Causality Assessment

CESifo Working Paper No. 11694
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 28 Feb 2025
António Afonso, José Alves, Jose Carlos Coelho and Jamel Saadaoui
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and Université Paris VIII Vincennes-Saint-Denis
Downloads 14 (1,217,697)

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fiscal sustainability, external sustainability, European Union, time-varying causality, lag-augmented vector autoregression