Jonathan J. Koehler

Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law

Beatrice Kuhn Professor of Law

375 E. Chicago Ave

Chicago, IL 60611

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

71

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23,633

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 5,271

in Total Papers Citations

135

CROSSREF CITATIONS

184

Scholarly Papers (71)

1.

The Random Match Probability (RMP) in DNA Evidence: Irrelevant and Prejudicial?

Jurimetrics Journal, Vol. 35, p. 201, 1995
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 12 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler, Audrey Chia and Samuel Lindsey
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, National University of Singapore (NUS) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 1,533 (21,338)
Citation 10

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DNA, random match probability, Bayesian

2.

The Coming Paradigm Shift in Forensic Identification Science

Science, Vol. 309, p. 892, August 2005
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 26 Feb 2007
Michael J. Saks and Jonathan J. Koehler
Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 1,509 (21,893)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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forensic science, scientific evidence, forensics

3.

The Individualization Fallacy in Forensic Science Evidence

Vanderbilt Law Review, Vol 61, No. 1, pp. 199-219, 2008
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 10 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 29 Dec 2015
Michael J. Saks and Jonathan J. Koehler
Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 1,483 (22,432)
Citation 2

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Individualized fallacy, criminalistics, forensic identification

4.
Downloads 1,464 (22,877)
Citation 10

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Marketing

5.

One in Millions, Billions and Trillions: Lessons from People V. Collins (1968) for People V. Simpson (1995)

Journal of Legal Education, Vol 47, pp. 214-223, 1997
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2015
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 1,366 (25,356)

Abstract:

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DNA, probabilities, frequency statistics

6.

The Need for a Research Culture in the Forensic Sciences

Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-20, The Pennsylvania State University Legal Studies Research Paper No. 5-2011
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 14 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
University of Wisconsin-Madison, University of California, Irvine - Department of Criminology, Law and Society, University College London (UCL), Independent, West Virginia University - College of Business & Economics, California State University, East Bay, PSU - Penn State Law (University Park), Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, Seton Hall Law School, Independent, Indiana University and Stoney Forensic, Inc.
Downloads 1,144 (32,836)
Citation 6

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Forensic Science, Research Culture

7.

Forensic Fallacies and a Famous Judge

54 Jurimetrics 211 (2014), Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 14-41
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 25 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 1,065 (36,388)

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errors, fallacy, fingerprint, forensic, Posner, statistical evidence

8.

The 'Hot Hand' Myth in Professional Basketball

Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology, Vol. 25, p. 253, 2003
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler, Caryn Conley and Caryn Conley
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and New York University (NYU)Florida Atlantic University
Downloads 1,060 (36,614)
Citation 6

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Momentum, streaks, probability

9.

What DNA 'Fingerprinting' Can Teach the Law About the Rest of Forensic Science

Cardozo Law Review, Vol. 13, pp. 361-372, 1991
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 10 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler and Michael J. Saks
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law
Downloads 1,048 (37,238)

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Fingerprinting, DNA, forensic science

10.

Error and Exaggeration in the Presentation of DNA Evidence at Trial

Jurimetrics Journal, Vol. 34, p. 21, 1993
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 12 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 1,006 (39,466)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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DNA, match statistics, error

11.

The Influence of Prior Beliefs on Scientific Judgments of Evidence Quality

Organizational Behavior & Human Decision Processes, Vol. 56, p. 28, 1993
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 624 (74,805)
Citation 9

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Prior belief, judgment, Bayesian

12.

Forensics or Fauxrensics? Ascertaining Accuracy in the Forensic Sciences

Koehler, J. J. (Winter 2017). Forensics or fauxrensics? Ascertaining accuracy in the forensic sciences. Arizona State Law Journal, 49, 1369-1416.
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 03 May 2016 Last Revised: 30 Aug 2018
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 596 (79,186)
Citation 1

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Error Rate, Forensic Science, Proficiency Test, Scientific Evidence

13.

Intuitive Error Rate Estimates for the Forensic Sciences

Koehler, J. J. (2017). Intuitive error rate estimates for the forensic sciences. Jurimetrics, 57, 153-168.
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 03 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 30 Aug 2018
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 506 (97,042)
Citation 5

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DNA, Error Rate, Forensic Science, Jurors

14.

How Trial Judges Should Think About Forensic Science Evidence

Koehler, J. J. (2018). How trial judges should think about forensic science evidence. Judicature, 102, 28-38. , Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 18-07
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 12 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 28 Aug 2018
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 505 (97,266)
Citation 1

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15.

Fingerprint Error Rate on Close Non-Matches

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Sep 2020
Jonathan J. Koehler and Shiquan Liu
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and China University of Political Science and Law
Downloads 496 (99,671)

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fingerprint accuracy, error rate, close non-match, fingerprint, fingerprint identification, proficiency test, false-positive

16.

The Base Rate Fallacy Reconsidered: Normative, Descriptive and Methodological Challenges

Behavioral & Brain Science, Vol. 19, p. 1, 1996
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 471 (105,789)
Citation 12

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Base rate fallacy, Bayesian, probability

17.

Fingerprint Error Rates and Proficiency Tests: What They are and Why They Matter

Hastings Law Journal, Vol. 59, No. 5,p. 1077, May 2008
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 11 Oct 2009 Last Revised: 18 Jan 2018
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 461 (108,549)
Citation 1

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Fingerprints, error rates, evidence

18.

On Conveying the Probative Value of DNA Evidence: Frequencies, Likelihood Ratios and Error Rates

University of Colorado Law Review, Vol. 67, p. 859, 1996
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 10 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 450 (111,632)
Citation 6

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DNA, likelihood rations, Bayesian

19.

Decision Making and the Law: Truth Barriers

Gideon Keren & George Wu, eds., Wiley-Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, Forthcoming , Northwestern Law & Econ Research Paper No. 13-04
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 14 Feb 2013 Last Revised: 03 Mar 2013
Jonathan J. Koehler and John B. Meixner Jr.
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Georgia School of Law
Downloads 314 (166,832)

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decision-making, law, evidence, statistical evidence, jurors, judges, cognitive bias, heuristics, DNA

20.

Can Jurors Understand Probabilistic Evidence?

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, Vol. 154, No. 1, pp. 75-81, 1991
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 13 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and David H. Kaye
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and PSU - Penn State Law (University Park)
Downloads 304 (172,564)
Citation 9

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Probability, jurors, evidence

21.

Safety First? The Role of Emotion in Safety Product Betrayal Aversion

Journal of Consumer Research, Inc., Forthcoming, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-18
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and Andrew Gershoff
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Texas at Austin, McCombs School of Business, Department of Marketing
Downloads 264 (199,477)
Citation 1

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Consumer protection, betrayal aversion

22.

Individualization Claims in Forensic Science: Still Unwarranted

Brooklyn Law Review, Vol. 75, p. 1187, 2010, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-18
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 08 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and Michael J. Saks
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law
Downloads 258 (204,083)
Citation 2

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forensic science, individualization

23.

Linguistic Confusion in Court: Evidence from the Forensic Sciences

Journal of Law and Policy, 21, 515-539, 2013 , Northwestern Law & Econ Research Paper No. 13-14
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 03 Mar 2013 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2013
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 256 (205,655)
Citation 1

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forensic science, statistical evidence, forensic linguistics, authorship attribution, DNA evidence, fingerprint, Bayes, error rate

24.

If the Shoe Fits They Might Acquit: The Value of Forensic Science Testimony

Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-12
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 04 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2023
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 254 (207,288)

Abstract:

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forensic science evidence

25.

Jury Simulation Goals

in The Psychology of Juries: Current Knowledge and a Research Agenda for the Future (Margaret Bull Kovera, ed., Forthcoming), Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 14-42
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 26 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler and John B. Meixner Jr.
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Georgia School of Law
Downloads 243 (216,405)

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Juries, Simulations, Ecological Validity

26.

When Do Courts Think Base Rate Statistics are Relevant?

Jurimetrics Journal, Vol. 42, p. 373, 2002
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 12 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 216 (242,227)
Citation 1

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Base rates, appellate courts, statistics

27.

The Psychology of Numbers in the Courtroom: How to Make DNA Match Statistics Seem Impressive or Insufficient

South California Law Review, Vol. 74, p. 1275, 2001
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 12 Jul 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 202 (257,638)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Match statistic, DNA, jurors

28.

The Relevance Ratio: Evaluating the Probative Value of Expert Testimony in Child Sexual Abuse Cases

Cornell Law Review, Vol. 82, p. 43, 1996
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 12 Jul 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Thomas D. Lyon
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Southern California Gould School of Law
Downloads 202 (257,638)
Citation 8

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Child abuse, relevance ratio, expert testimony

29.

Train Our Jurors

TRAIN OUR JURORS IN HEURISTICS AND THE LAW, G. Gigerenzer, C. Engel, eds., MIT Press, Cambridge, 2006, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-21
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 195 (265,902)

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juror training

30.

Forensic Bitemark Identification: Weak Foundations, Exaggerated Claims

Journal of Law and the Biosciences, Vol. 3, No. 3, 538-575, Temple University Legal Studies Research Paper No. 2017-23
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 05 Sep 2017 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2020
Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law, Salk Institute for Biological Studies, Harvard University - Harvard Medical School, American Academy of Forensic Sciences, Private Practice of Dentistry, State University of New York at Buffalo, State University of New York (SUNY), Johns Hopkins University - School of Hygiene and Public Health, University of California, Irvine - Department of Criminology, Law and Society, University of Arizona, Northwestern University, School of Law & American Bar Foundation, Griffith University - School of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Temple University - James E. Beasley School of Law, UC Law, San Francisco, UC Law, San Francisco, Carnegie Mellon University - H. John Heinz III School of Public Policy and Management, Duke University School of Law, Case Western Reserve University School of Law, Stanford Law School, University of California, Davis - School of Law, The Forensic Institute, University of Virginia, Tufts University, Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Harvard University - Harvard Medical School, University of Wisconsin-Madison, George Washington University - Law School, New York University School of Law, Office of the Medical Examiner, Tarrant County, TX, California State University, Los Angeles, Seton Hall Law School, University of California, Berkeley - School of Public Health, Texas A&M University, University of California, Irvine - Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine - Department of Criminology, Law and Society, San Jose State University, Northwestern University and University of New Mexico
Downloads 194 (267,158)

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admissibility, bite mark, expert evidence, forensic science

31.

Cruel and Unusual Punishments: A Comparison of Public and Judicial Opinion

Jurimetrics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 03 Oct 2013
Jason Cairns and Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 194 (267,158)
Citation 1

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cruel and unusual, Eighth Amendment, punishment

32.

An Empirical Research Agenda for the Forensic Sciences

Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, Forthcoming, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 16-09
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 19 Apr 2016 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2023
Jonathan J. Koehler and John B. Meixner Jr.
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Georgia School of Law
Downloads 191 (270,953)

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Empirical, Forensic Science, Judicial Decision Making, Juries, Scientific Evidence

33.

DNA Matches and Statistics: Important Questions, Surprising Answers

Judicature, Vol. 76, pp. 222-229, 1993
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 09 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 17 May 2014
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 181 (284,069)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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DNA, match statistics, probability

34.

Communicating Probabilistic Forensic Evidence in Court

Forthcoming, In Allan Jamieson & Scott Bader (Eds.). A Guide to Forensic DNA Profiling. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Chichester, UK.
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 24 Aug 2015
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 164 (309,327)

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error, fallacy, forensic science, match, random match probability, statistical evidence

35.

Introduction to the Special Issue: Decision Making and the Law

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 20, p. 453, 2007
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 12 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler, Mandeep K. Dhami, Reid Hastie and Richard Weiner
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Middlesex University, University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 155 (324,443)
Citation 1

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Legal decision making, jurors, judgment

36.

Proficiency Tests to Estimate Error Rates in the Forensic Sciences

Law, Probability & Risk, 12, 89-98 (2013).
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 06 Jun 2016
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 135 (362,231)
Citation 3

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forensic reporting

37.

The Scientific Reinvention of Forensic Science

Koehler, J. J., Mnookin, J. L., & Saks, M. J. (in press). The scientific reinvention of forensic science. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. , Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 23-51
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 14 Jun 2023 Last Revised: 25 Sep 2023
Jonathan J. Koehler, Jennifer Mnookin and Michael J. Saks
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, University of Wisconsin-Madison and Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law
Downloads 127 (379,446)

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38.

Science, Technology, or the Examiner Experience: What Influences Jurors' Judgments About Forensic Science Testimony?

Northwestern Law & Econ Research Paper No. 17-19
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 13 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 27 Apr 2020
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Arizona State University, Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law and Wofford College
Downloads 127 (379,446)
Citation 1

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39.

Betrayal Aversion is Reasonable

Behav.& Brain Science, Vol. 28, No. 556, 2005
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Andrew Gershoff
Downloads 126 (381,753)

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Moral heuristics, decision making, betrayal

40.

Veridical Verdicts: Increasing Verdict Accuracy Through the Use of Overtly Probabilistic Evidence and Methods

Cornell Law Review, Vol. 75, p. 247, 1990
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 27 Jul 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Daniel Shaviro
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and New York University School of Law
Downloads 126 (381,753)
Citation 1

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Base rate, probability, evidence

41.

Forensic Source Conclusions: Twenty Threats to Validity

Forensic source conclusions: Twenty threats to validity. Zeitschrift für Psychologie, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 May 2020
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 119 (398,368)
Citation 2

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Bias, Error Rate, Forensic Science, Testing, Validity

42.

Betrayal Aversion: When Agents of Protection Become Agents of Harm

Org. Behav. & Hum. Decision Processes, Vol. 90, p. 244, 2003
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 09 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and Andrew Gershoff
Downloads 116 (405,784)

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Risk, betrayal, protection cause

43.

Selection Neglect in Mutual Fund Advertisements

Management Science, Vol. 55, p. 1107, 2009, Northwestern Law & Econ Research Paper No. 11-02, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-14
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 04 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and Molly Mercer
Downloads 115 (408,386)
Citation 3

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selection bias, financial decision making, mutual fund ads, statistical heuristics, sample space

44.

A Normality Bias in Legal Decision Making

Cornell Law Review, Vol. 88, p. 583, 2003
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 12 Jul 2009 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2015
Jonathan J. Koehler and Robert A. Prentice
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of Texas at Austin - McCombs School of Business
Downloads 114 (411,029)
Citation 1

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Causation, omission bias, jurors

45.
Downloads 114 (411,029)
Citation 1

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DNA, error rate, ratios

46.

Inconclusives and Error Rates in Forensic Science: A Signal Detection Theory Approach

Hal R Arkes, Jonathan J Koehler, Inconclusives and error rates in forensic science: a signal detection theory approach, Law, Probability and Risk, 2022;, mgac005, https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgac005 , Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 22-24
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 20 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2022
Hal R. Arkes and Jonathan J. Koehler
Ohio State University - Department of Psychology and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 107 (430,301)
Citation 2

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signal detection theory, forensic science, inconclusive, error rates

47.

The Misquantification of Probative Value

Law & Human Behavior, Vol. 27, No. 6, pp. 645-659, December 2003, Penn State Legal Studies Research Paper No. 16-2009
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 11 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 28 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and David H. Kaye
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and PSU - Penn State Law (University Park)
Downloads 105 (436,081)
Citation 1

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Evidence, inference, probative value

48.

When are People Persuaded by DNA Match Statistics?

Law & Human Behavior, Vol. 25, p. 493, 2001
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 07 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 105 (436,081)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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DNA, evidence, statistical match evidence

49.

Certainty and Uncertainty in Reporting Fingerprint Evidence

Kadane, J. B., & Koehler, J. J. (2018). Certainty and uncertainty in reporting fingerprint evidence. Daedalus, 147, 119-134.
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
Carngeie Mellon UniversityCarnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 102 (445,226)
Citation 5

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fingerprints, experiment, source opinions, mock jurors

50.

Comment: Experts Who Don't Know They Don't Know

Interfaces, Vol. 37, p. 296, 2007, Northwestern Law & Econ Research Paper No. 11-26
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 18 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 98 (457,390)

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forecasting

51.

Psychological Aspects of the Loss of Chance Doctrine

Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Conference on Psychology and Economics, June 2001
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Arienne P. Brint
Downloads 98 (457,390)

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Loss of chance, medical malpractice, damages

52.

Thinking About Low-Probability Events: An Exemplar Cuing Theory

Psychological Science, Vol. 15, No. 8, 2004
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 08 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Laura Macchi
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS)
Downloads 93 (473,291)
Citation 1

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DNA, jurors, match statistic

53.

Forensic Science Reform in the 21st Century: A Major Conference, a Blockbuster Report and Reasons to Be Pessimistic

Law, Probability & Risk, Vol. 9, Issue 1, pp. 1-6, 2010
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 22 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 08 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 86 (496,920)

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evidence, forensic science, individualization, National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council

54.

Where Researchers Fear to Tread: Interpretive Differences Among Testifying Experts in Child Sexual Abuse Cases

S. Ceci and H. Hembrooke, eds., WHAT CAN (AND SHOULD) AN EXPERT TELL THE COURT? (American Psychological Association: Washington, DC)
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 08 Feb 1998 Last Revised: 06 May 2019
Thomas D. Lyon and Jonathan J. Koehler
University of Southern California Gould School of Law and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 86 (496,920)

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55.

Comments on Bruce Budowle's Presentation at the Sackler Colloquium on Forensic Science

Digital Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Sackler Colloquium, 2005
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 12 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler and Michael J. Saks
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law
Downloads 81 (515,126)

Abstract:

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Forensic identification sciences, DNA, evidence

56.

Questions About Forensic Science: Response

Science, Vol. 311, p. 608, 2006, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-28
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 18 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 09 May 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 79 (522,830)

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forensic individualization

57.

Shattering the Illusion of Control: Multi-shot Versus Single-Shot Gambles

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 7, p. 183, 1994
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler, Robin M. Hogarth and Brian J Gibbs
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences and University of Melbourne - Melbourne Business School
Downloads 79 (522,830)
Citation 1

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Illusion of control, randomness, relative frequencies

58.

Mock Jurors' Reactions to Selective Presentation of Evidence from Multiple-Opportunity Searches

Law & Human Behavior, Vol. 30, No. 455-468, 2006
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 09 Sep 2009 Last Revised: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and William C. Thompson
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and University of California, Irvine - Department of Criminology, Law and Society
Downloads 74 (542,964)
Citation 1

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Selection, Juror bias, Juror decision making

59.

Discussion: Inference in Forensic Identification

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, Vol. 158, p. 47, 1995
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 12 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 70 (559,722)

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Bayes rules, DNA, forensic identification

60.

The Probity-Policy Distinction in the Statistical Evidence Debate

Tulane Law Review, Vol. 66, p. 141, 1991
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Jul 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 66 (577,446)

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Statistical evidence, testimony, probability

61.

Which Chance Was Lost?

THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ECONOMIC DECISIONS: VOLUME 2: REASONS AND CHOICES, I. Brocas, J. D. Carrillo, eds., 2003 , Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-23
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 64 (586,575)

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Loss of Chance Doctrine, Medical Malpractice

62.

Effects of Diazepam on a Belief-Updating Task

Psychological Reports, Vol. 64, pp. 219-226, 1989
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 12 Oct 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler, Robin M. Hogarth, Harriet de Wit and Daniel Luchins
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, The University of Chicago and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 60 (605,676)

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Pharmacology, drug effects, cognition

63.

A Welcome Exchange on the Scientific Status of Fingerprinting

Law, Probability and Risk, Vol. 7, pp. 85-86, 2007
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 09 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 58 (615,994)

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Fingerprints, forensic sciences, evidence

64.

Out to Lunch: Saks & Koehler Reply to Rudin & Imman’s Commentary

California Association of Criminalists News, 2007, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-27
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 18 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 01 Mar 2011
Michael J. Saks and Jonathan J. Koehler
Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 54 (636,975)

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Commentary, The Coming Paradigm Shift in Forensic Identification Science

65.

Assume a Can Opener: Richard Posner's Perspective on Election 2000

Law, Probability and Risk, Vol. 1, pp. 75-82, July 2002
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 29 Feb 2008 Last Revised: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 52 (648,016)

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66.

Issues for the Next Generation of Base Rate Research

Behavioral & Brain Sciences, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 41-53, 1996
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 07 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 50 (659,121)

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Base rate, ecology, fallacy

67.

Influence Diagrams for Complex Litigation

62 Jurimetrics 131–171 (2022)
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 24 May 2022 Last Revised: 12 Jul 2022
Alex Biedermann and Jonathan J. Koehler
University of Lausanne - Faculty of Law, Criminal Justice and Public Administration and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 48 (670,748)

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litigation strategy, decision analysis, decision trees, influence diagrams, uncertainty, probability, utility, monetary value

68.

Inconclusive Conclusions in Forensic Science: Rejoinders to Scurich, Morrison, Sinha & Gutierrez

Arkes, H. R., & Koehler, J. J. (2023). Inconclusive conclusions in forensic science: Rejoinders to Scurich, Morrison, Sinha & Gutierrez. Law, Probability and Risk. https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgad002
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 27 Jun 2023
Hal R. Arkes and Jonathan J. Koehler
Ohio State University - Department of Psychology and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 35 (757,151)

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69.

Comments on 'Getting Scarred and Winning Lotteries: Effects of Exemplar Cuing and Statistical Format on Imagining Low-Probability Events,' by Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 22, p. 523, 2009, Northwestern Public Law Research Paper No. 11-22
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 07 Feb 2011
Jonathan J. Koehler and Laura Macchi
Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law and Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS)
Downloads 33 (772,199)

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exemplar cuing, low-probability events, imaginability, exemplars

70.

A Farewell to Normative Null Hypothesis Testing in Base Rate Research

Behavioral & Brain Sciences, Vol. 20, No. 4, pp. 780-783, 1997
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 07 Sep 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
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Base rate, null hypothesis, Bayesian

71.

Inconclusives are Not Errors: A Rejoinder to Dror

Law, Probability and Risk, 21, 89-90, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgac009
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 06 Jun 2023 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2023
Hal R. Arkes and Jonathan J. Koehler
Ohio State University - Department of Psychology and Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law
Downloads 24 (845,911)
Citation 1

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Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 254
1.

The Probative Value of Forensic Science Evidence

CELS 2009 4th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2009
Jonathan J. Koehler
Downloads 254

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evidence, probative value, forensic science, error