David Wolpert

Santa Fe Institute

1399 Hyde Park Road

Santa Fe, NM 897501

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

12

DOWNLOADS

1,081

SSRN CITATIONS

1

CROSSREF CITATIONS

4

Scholarly Papers (12)

1.

What Does Newcomb's Paradox Teach Us?

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 16 Apr 2009 Last Revised: 12 Mar 2010
Gregory Benford and David Wolpert
University of California, Irvine and Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 275 (140,018)

Abstract:

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Newcomb's paradox, game theory, Bayes net, causality, determinism

2.

Schelling Formalized: Strategic Choices of Non-Rational Personas

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 24 Jul 2008 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2009
David Wolpert
Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 195 (194,810)
Citation 1

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Bounded rationality, Evolution of Preferences, Prisoner's dilemma, Traveler's dilemma

3.

Statistical Prediction of the Outcome of a Noncooperative Game

Number of pages: 66 Posted: 28 Jul 2008 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2009
David Wolpert and James Bono
Santa Fe Institute and Microsoft Corporation
Downloads 135 (265,376)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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Multi-agent systems, Noncooperative Games, Quantal Response Equilibrium, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Physics

4.

Distribution-Valued Solution Concepts

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Jun 2010 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2013
David Wolpert and James Bono
Santa Fe Institute and Microsoft Corporation
Downloads 113 (302,252)
Citation 3

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Quantal Response Equilibrium, Bayesian Statistics, Mechanism Design, Cournot game, Entropic prior

5.

Decision-Theoretic Prediction and Policy Design of GDP Slot Auctions

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 19 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2013
James Bono and David Wolpert
Microsoft Corporation and Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 87 (358,590)

Abstract:

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ground delay program (GDP), predictive game theory (PGT), policy design, distribution-valued solution concept, arrival slot, combinatorial auction

6.

Why Income Comparison is Rational

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 08 Jan 2009
David Wolpert
Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 81 (374,448)

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hedonic utility, income comparison, social comparison, exploitation/exploration, computational heuristc

7.

Predicting Behavior in Unstructured Bargaining with a Probability Distribution

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 16 Nov 2010 Last Revised: 03 Apr 2013
David Wolpert and James Bono
Santa Fe Institute and Microsoft Corporation
Downloads 56 (454,669)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Nash, Bargaining, PGT, Distribution-valued solution concept, Bargaining management

8.

Game Mining: How to Make Money from Those About to Play a Game

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Apr 2013
James Bono and David Wolpert
Microsoft Corporation and Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 49 (482,186)

Abstract:

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commitments, contracts, extortion

9.

Strategic Choice of Preferences: The Persona Model

FRB of Boston Working Paper No. 10-10
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 16 Oct 2010
Santa Fe Institute, University of Exeter Business School - Department of Economics, Government of the Commonwealth of Australia - CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 40 (522,415)

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Nonrationality, Single-Shot Games, Prisoner’s Dilemma, Traveler’s Dilemma, Schelling, Emotions

10.

Hysteresis Effects of Changing Parameters of Noncooperative Games

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 28 Oct 2010
Santa Fe Institute, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences (MPI-MIS), Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences (MPI-MIS) and Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences (MPI-MIS)
Downloads 28 (586,995)

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Quantal Response Equilibria, Comparitive Statics, Bifurcation Surface, Maximum Entropy

11.

Game Theoretic Modeling of Pilot Behavior During Mid-Air Encounters

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 27 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 13 Apr 2011
Ritchie Lee and David Wolpert
Carnegie Mellon University and Santa Fe Institute
Downloads 22 (626,706)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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12.

Trembling Hand Perfection for Mixed Quantal Response/Nash Equilibria

Posted: 05 Aug 2008
David Wolpert
Santa Fe Institute

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Quantal Response Equilibrium, Trembling Hand Perfection, Non-credible Threats, Entropy