Makena Schwinn

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW

Washington, DC 20551

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

2

DOWNLOADS

616

SSRN CITATIONS

3

CROSSREF CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (2)

Monetary Policy, Inflation Outlook, and Recession Probabilities

Economic Perspectives, No. 4, 2022
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 03 Aug 2022
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - Research Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 266 (183,394)

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yield-curve slope, recession forecasts, monetary policy, bond risk premia, policy path, inflation forecasts, near-term forward spread, Asset Markets and Pricing, Equities, Fixed Income Securities, Business Fluctuations, Cycles, Prices

Monetary Policy, Inflation Outlook, and Recession Probabilities

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 22 Jul 2022
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - Research Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 236 (206,560)

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yield-curve slope, recession forecasts, near-term forward spread, monetary policy, bond risk premia, policy path

Monetary Policy, Inflation Outlook, and Recession Probabilities

FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2022-31
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 13 Jul 2022
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - Research Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 34 (726,342)
Citation 1

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yield-curve slope, recession forecasts, monetary policy, bond risk premia, policy path, inflation forecasts, near-term forward spread

2.

Sources of Fluctuations in Short-Term Yields and Recession Probabilities

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 09 Aug 2022
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - Research Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 80 (482,227)

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yield‐curve slope, recession forecasts, monetary policy, bond risk premia, policy path, inflation forecasts, near‐term forward spread