Jonas Dovern

Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg

Erlangen-Nuremberg

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

8

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1,334

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23

Scholarly Papers (8)

Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis

CESifo Working Paper No. 8304
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 20 May 2020
Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU), Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, ifo Institute and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute
Downloads 812 (60,666)

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expectations, firm behaviour, COVID-19, shutdown, employment, investment

Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the Covid-19 Crisis

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13253
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 May 2020 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2023
Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU), Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, ifo Institute and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute
Downloads 53 (760,247)
Citation 14

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shutdown, COVID-19, firm behavior, expectations, employment, investment

2.

Estimating Pass-Through Rates for the 2022 Tax Reduction on Fuel Prices in Germany

CESifo Working Paper No. 9963
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 07 Oct 2022
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg
Downloads 140 (410,189)

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fuel, gasoline, diesel, taxes, synthetic control group

3.

How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey

CESifo Working Paper No. 8179
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 31 Mar 2020
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute
Downloads 77 (619,282)
Citation 2

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GDP expectations, expectation heterogeneity, firm, ifo business tendency survey

Expectation Dispersion, Uncertainty, and the Reaction to News

CESifo Working Paper No. 8801
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 14 Jan 2021
Benjamin Born, Jonas Dovern and Zeno Enders
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and University of Heidelberg
Downloads 70 (662,641)

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Expectation Dispersion, Uncertainty, and the Reaction to News

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15581
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 23 Dec 2020 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2022
Benjamin Born, Jonas Dovern and Zeno Enders
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and University of Heidelberg
Downloads 3 (1,279,194)
Citation 1
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event study, Expectation dispersion, forecaster dispersion, Macroeconomic news, Stock market, uncertainty

5.

Local Information and Firm Expectations About Aggregates

CESifo Working Paper No. 9826
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 11 Jul 2022
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) - Ifo Institute
Downloads 53 (750,038)
Citation 6

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GDP expectations, expectation heterogeneity, disagreement, rational inattention, ifo business tendency survey

6.

Revisions of Potential Output Estimates in the EU after the Great Recession

CESifo Working Paper No. 7681
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Jul 2019
Jonas Dovern and Christopher Zuber
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and German Council of Economic Experts
Downloads 49 (769,269)

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potential output, trend, output gap, hysteresis, EC

Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2791
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 28 Feb 2023
Jonas Dovern, Alexander Glas and Geoff Kenny
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 24 (1,006,632)

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compositional data, density forecasts, disagreement, survey forecasts

Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach

CESifo Working Paper No. 10256
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 09 Feb 2023
Jonas Dovern, Alexander Glas and Geoff Kenny
Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 22 (1,029,076)

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compositional data, density forecasts, survey forecasts, disagreement

8.

Testing with Vectors of Statistics: Revisiting Combined Hypothesis Tests with an Application to Specification Testing

CESifo Working Paper No. 11027
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 04 Apr 2024
Lena S. Bjerkander, Jonas Dovern and Hans Manner
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen Nuremberg and University of Graz
Downloads 31 (908,729)

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combined hypothesis, P-value, multiple hypothesis testing, Fisher test