Robert W. Rich

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

East 6th & Superior

Cleveland, OH 44101-1387

United States

  • Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

    • Email
    • Tel: 216 579-2928
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

34

DOWNLOADS
Rank 21,239

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 21,239

in Total Papers Downloads

4,094

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 7,312

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 7,312

in Total Papers Citations

81

CROSSREF CITATIONS

132

Scholarly Papers (34)

Actions:
Email selected abstracts
1.

A Review of Core Inflation and an Evaluation of its Measures

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 236
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 05 Jan 2006
Robert W. Rich and Charles Steindel
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 544 (85,894)
Citation 22

Abstract:

Loading...

core inflation, inflation target, consumer price index, personal consumption, expenditure deflator

2.

A Comparison of Measures of Core Inflation

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 13, No. 3, December 2007
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 16 Dec 2007
Robert W. Rich and Charles Steindel
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 359 (140,067)
Citation 19

Abstract:

Loading...

retail banking, bank branches, banking

3.

Understanding the Recent Behavior of U.S. Inflation

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 12 May 2005
Robert W. Rich and Donald Rissmiller
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 337 (149,932)

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, Phillips Curve, supply shocks, import prices, out-of-sample forecasts

4.

Improving Survey Measures of Household Inflation Expectations

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 16, No. 7, August/September 2010
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 24 Sep 2010
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Simon Potter, Robert W. Rich, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw
University of Southern California, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 230 (221,285)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation expectations, wage expectations

5.

Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 71
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 09 Aug 1999
Stephen G. Cecchetti, Stephen G. Cecchetti and Robert W. Rich
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)Brandeis International Business School and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 205 (246,390)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

disinflation, identification, vector autoregression, structural shocks

6.

The Historical and Recent Behavior of Goods and Services Inflation

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 13 Dec 2004
Richard W. Peach, Robert W. Rich and Alexis Antoniades
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Columbia University
Downloads 183 (272,923)

Abstract:

Loading...

good inflation, services inflation, cointegration

7.

The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)

Economic Policy Review, Issue 23-2, pp. 1-32, 2017
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 20 Dec 2017
Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich
Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 172 (288,093)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, dynamic factor models, core inflation, monetary policy, forecasting

8.

Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations

Downloads 169 (292,455)
Citation 25

Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 106
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 01 Feb 2000
Joseph S. Tracy and Robert W. Rich
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 127 (369,290)

Abstract:

Loading...

Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations

NBER Working Paper No. w7731
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 12 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2022
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 42 (702,205)

Abstract:

Loading...

9.

How Does Slack Influence Inflation?

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 17, No. 3, July 2011
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 27 Jul 2011
Richard W. Peach, Robert W. Rich and Anna Cororaton
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and United States Energy Information Administration
Downloads 148 (326,819)
Citation 13

Abstract:

Loading...

Phillips curve, Economic slack

10.

Tracking Productivity in Real Time

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 12, No. 8, November 2006
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 06 Dec 2006
James A. Kahn and Robert W. Rich
Yeshiva University and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 147 (328,601)

Abstract:

Loading...

productivity, economic growth, factor model, regime switching

11.

Modeling Uncertainty: Predictive Accuracy as a Proxy for Predictive Confidence

FRB of New York Working Paper No. 161
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 16 Apr 2003
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 133 (355,421)
Citation 14

Abstract:

Loading...

uncertainty, disagreement, conditional heteroskedasticity

12.

The Relationship between Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 253
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 21 Jul 2006
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 130 (361,605)
Citation 24

Abstract:

Loading...

Survey of Professional Forecasters, density forecasts, point forecasts, inflation predictions, seemingly related regression

13.

The Parts are More than the Whole: Separating Goods and Services to Predict Core Inflation

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 19, No. 7, 2013
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 30 Sep 2013
Richard W. Peach, Robert W. Rich and M. Linder
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 124 (374,619)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Loading...

core Inflation, core services inflation

14.

Is There an Inflation Puzzle?

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 3, No. 4, December 1997
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 24 Sep 2007
Cara S. Lown and Robert W. Rich
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 123 (376,928)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

U.S. Inflation

15.

Tracking the New Economy: Using Growth Theory to Detect Changes in Trend Productivity

Staff Report No. 159
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 31 Mar 2006
James A. Kahn and Robert W. Rich
Yeshiva University and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 102 (431,356)
Citation 19

Abstract:

Loading...

productivity growth, regime-switching, neoclassical growth model, factor model

16.

The Linkage between Regional Economic Indexes and Tax Bases: Evidence from New York

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 28 Sep 2004
Jason Bram, Andrew Haughwout, James Orr, Robert W. Rich and Rae D. Rosen
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 94 (455,415)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

taxes, coincident indexes, state and local government

17.

Leading Economic Indexes for New York State and New Jersey

Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, March 2001
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 10 Nov 2005
James Orr, Robert W. Rich and Rae D. Rosen
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 88 (474,773)

Abstract:

Loading...

lending economic index, coincident economic index, regional business cycles, New York State economy, New Jersey economy

18.

The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 588
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 21 Dec 2012
Robert W. Rich, Joseph Song and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 82 (495,547)
Citation 14

Abstract:

Loading...

uncertainty, disagreement, inflation expectations, output growth expectations

19.

Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation

Downloads 81 (502,856)
Citation 6

Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 22-21R
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 24 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 28 Mar 2023
Ina Hajdini, Edward S. Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert W. Rich and Raphael Schoenle
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Morning Consult, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
Downloads 81 (508,223)

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, wage-price spiral, expectations, randomized controlled trial

Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17356
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 23 Jun 2022
Ina Hajdini, Edward S. Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert W. Rich and Raphael Schoenle
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Morning Consult, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
Downloads 0
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Expectations, inflation, randomized controlled trial, wage-price spiral

20.

Structural Change in U.S. Wage Determination

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 117
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Aug 2006
Robert W. Rich and Donald Rissmiller
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 77 (514,200)

Abstract:

Loading...

wage phillips curve, model stability

21.

The Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement and Their Roles in Economic Prediction: A Panel Analysis

FRB of NY Staff Report No. 808
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 23 Feb 2017
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 66 (559,462)
Citation 2

Abstract:

Loading...

uncertainty, disagreement, ECB-SPF, density forecasts, point forecasts, forecast accuracy, forecast revisions

22.

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 22-35
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 23 Nov 2022
Ina Hajdini, Edward S. Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert W. Rich and Raphael Schoenle
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Morning Consult, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Brandeis University
Downloads 55 (611,705)

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, Expectations, Surveys, Consumers, Heterogeneous Beliefs

23.

A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

Downloads 54 (617,000)
Citation 8

A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 18-13
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 11 Oct 2018
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 30 (792,228)
Citation 8

Abstract:

Loading...

Disagreement, Uncertainty, Point Forecasts, Density Forecasts,

A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 1811
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 13 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 24 (843,965)

Abstract:

Loading...

Disagreement, Uncertainty, Point Forecasts, Density Forecasts, Heterogeneity, ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

24.

Surveys of Professionals

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 22-13
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 10 May 2022
Michael P. Clements, Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
University of Reading - Henley Business School, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 52 (627,545)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

economic forecasting, survey expectations, data collection and modeling, quantitative methods

25.

Is the Worst Over? Economic Indexes and the Course of the Recession in New York and New Jersey

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 15, No. 5, September 2009
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 30 Oct 2009
Jason Bram, James Orr, Robert W. Rich, Rae D. Rosen and Joseph Song
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 51 (633,044)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

activity Indexes, New York City, New York State, New Jersey, coincident indexes

26.

The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 672
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 06 May 2014
Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich
Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 50 (638,444)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

inflation, dynamic factor models, core inflation, monetary policy, forecasting

27.

Two New Indexes Offer a Broad View of Economic Activity in the New York-New Jersey Region

Current Issues in Economics and Finance Vol. 5, No. 14, October 1999
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 26 Jun 2007
James Orr, Robert W. Rich and Rae D. Rosen
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Downloads 48 (649,790)
Citation 6

Abstract:

Loading...

coincident index, Kalman filter, activity measures, regional cycles

28.

The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG

BIS Working Paper No. 453
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 12 Sep 2014
Marlene Amstad, Marlene Amstad, Simon Potter and Robert W. Rich
Harvard Kennedy SchoolThe Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Downloads 45 (667,241)

Abstract:

Loading...

Inflation, Dynamic Factor Models, Core Inflation, Monetary Policy, Forecasting

29.

Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of U.S. Labor Contracts from 1970 to 1995

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 521
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 08 Oct 2011 Last Revised: 19 Jul 2012
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 44 (673,222)

Abstract:

Loading...

labor contract, early renegotiation

30.

All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 21-06
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 25 Feb 2021
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 39 (705,008)

Abstract:

Loading...

professional forecasters, survey data, forecast accuracy, point forecasts, density forecasts, persistent heterogeneity

31.

Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

FRB Atlanta Working Paper No. 2023-5
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 16 Jun 2023
Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward S. Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert W. Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw and Wändi Bruine de Bruin
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Brandeis University, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Southern California
Downloads 28 (785,181)

Abstract:

Loading...

prices, business survey, hypothetical questions

32.

Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

Downloads 17 (891,038)

Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 23-14, https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202314
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 05 Jun 2023
Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward S. Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert W. Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw and Wändi Bruine de Bruin
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Brandeis University, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Southern California
Downloads 10 (984,185)

Abstract:

Loading...

Prices, Business Survey, Hypothetical Questions

Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data

FRB of New York Staff Report No. 1062
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 12 Jun 2023
Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward S. Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert W. Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw and Wändi Bruine de Bruin
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Brandeis University, Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Southern California
Downloads 7 (1,023,112)

Abstract:

Loading...

prices, business survey, hypothetical questions

33.

Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth

Downloads 17 (881,461)

Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth

FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 2211
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 03 Aug 2022
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 9 (994,239)

Abstract:

Loading...

wage growth, aggregation effects, composition effects, wage-inflation Phillips curve

Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth

FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 22-22
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 01 Aug 2022
Robert W. Rich and Joseph S. Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 8 (1,004,178)

Abstract:

Loading...

aggregation effects, composition effects, wage-inflation Phillips curve

34.

Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov Switching Approach

JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT AND BANKING, Vol. 29, No. 2, May 1997
Posted: 03 Feb 1997
Jennie E. Raymond and Robert W. Rich
Auburn University and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Abstract:

Loading...