Ronald MacDonald

University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics

Professor of International Finance

100 Cathedral Street

Glasgow G4 0LN

United Kingdom

Government of New Zealand - Department of Economics

2 The Terrace

P.O. Box 2498

Wellington

New Zealand

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5

Munich, DE-81679

Germany

http://www.CESifo.de

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

45

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532

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Scholarly Papers (45)

1.

Exchange Rate Economics: A Survey

IMF Working Paper No. 91/62
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 978 (21,847)

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2.

Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals: A Methodological Comparison of Beers and Feers

IMF Working Paper No. 98/67
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Peter B. Clark and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 930 (23,518)

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real exchange rates, equilibrium exchange rates

3.

The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate: Rational Expectations, Long-Run Equilibrium and Forecasting

IMF Working Paper No. 92/34
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 660 (37,896)

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PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 442
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 May 2001
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 400 (70,710)

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Real Exchange Rates, Purchasing Power Parity, Balassa-Samuelson, Distribution Sector, PPP Puzzle

PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector

IMF Working Paper No. 01/38
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 87 (287,174)

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Real exchange rates, Purchasing power parity, Balassa-Samuelson, Distribution sector, PPP puzzle

Ppp and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector

IMF Working Paper No. 01/38
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Aug 2009
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 67 (335,125)

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Purchasing power parity, Exchange rates, Trade, Prices, Economic models

5.

A Re-Examination of the Link between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 894
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 2003
Mathias Hoffmann and Ronald MacDonald
University of Zurich - Department of Economics and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 425 (66,346)

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Real Exchange Rates, Real Interest Rates, Cointegration

6.

What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of it

IMF Working Paper No. 97/21
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 388 (73,969)

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7.

The Long-Run Relationship between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Panel Study

IMF Working Paper No. 99/37
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 12 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Jun Nagayasu
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 379 (75,977)

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Real exchange rates, real interest rates, panel cointegration

8.

A Panel Data Investigation of Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3061
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 01 Jun 2010
Ronald MacDonald and Flavio V. Vieira
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Universidade Federal de Uberlandia
Downloads 273 (109,569)

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Long-Run Economic Growth, Real Exchange Rate Misalignment, Panel Data Analysis And System GMM

9.

Long-Run Exchange Rate Modeling: A Survey of the Recent Evidence

IMF Working Paper No. 95/14
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 272 (109,965)

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10.

Purchasing Power Parity and New Trade Theory

IMF Working Paper No. 02/32
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 264 (113,356)

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New trade theory, real exchange rates, purchasing power parity, productivity differentials, the PPP puzzle

11.

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Transition Economies: Surveying the Surveyable

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1739
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 06 Jul 2006
Balázs Égert and Ronald MacDonald
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 257 (116,616)

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monetary transmission, transition, Central and Eastern Europe, credit channel,

12.

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Central and Eastern Europe: Gliding on a Wind of Change

William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 850, Bank of Finland Transition Economies BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 8/2006
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 06 Dec 2006
Fabrizio Coricelli, Balázs Égert and Ronald MacDonald
Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne, Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 209 (143,109)

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monetary transmission, transition, Central and Eastern Europe, credit channel, interest rate channel, interest-rate pass-through, exchange rate channel, exchange rate pass-through, asset price channel

13.

Filtering the Beer: A Permanent and Transitory Decomposition

IMF Working Paper No. 00/144
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 31 Jan 2006
Peter B. Clark and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 200 (149,042)

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Real exchange rates, equilibrium exchange rates

14.

Concepts to Calculate Equilibrium Exchange Rates: An Overview

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2000,03
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 193 (154,147)

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Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Purchasing Power Parity, Real Exchange Rate Models

15.

Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for South Africa

IMF Working Paper No. 03/44
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 28 Jan 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 172 (170,917)

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equilibrium real exchange rate

Modelling the Long-Run Real Effective Exchange Rate of the New Zealand Dollar

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Working Paper No. 2002/02
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 26 Jul 2002
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 162 (180,157)

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Modelling the Long-Run Real Effective Exchange Rate of the New Zealand Dollar

Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 41, pp. 519-537, 2002
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 14 Jan 2003
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 10 (594,335)
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17.
Downloads 170 (172,700)

The Monetary Approach to Exchange Rates in the Ceecs

William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 642, BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 14/2003
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Feb 2004
Jarko Fidrmuc, Jesús Crespo Cuaresma and Ronald MacDonald
Zeppelin University Friedrichshafen, University of Innsbruck - Department of Economic Theory, Economic Policy and Economic History and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 156 (186,081)

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Exchange rates, monetary model, panel unit root tests, panel cointegration, EMU

The Monetary Approach to Exchange Rates in the Ceecs

Economics of Transition, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 395-416, April 2005
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 31 Mar 2005
Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Jarko Fidrmuc and Ronald MacDonald
University of Innsbruck - Department of Economic Theory, Economic Policy and Economic History, Zeppelin University Friedrichshafen and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 14 (567,884)
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Trade Costs, Trade Balances and Current Accounts: An Application of Gravity to Multilateral Trade

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1529
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 28 Sep 2005
Giorgio Fazio, Ronald MacDonald and Jacques Melitz
University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) - Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST)
Downloads 138 (205,990)

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Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, trade costs, gravity model, home bias puzzle, current account, trade balance

Trade Costs, Trade Balances and Current Accounts: An Application of Gravity to Multilateral Trade

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5137
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 16 Aug 2005
Giorgio Fazio, Ronald MacDonald and Jacques Melitz
University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) - Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST)
Downloads 20 (529,295)
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Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, trade costs, gravity model, home bias, puzzle, current account, trade balance

Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues

William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 793
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 25 May 2006
Balázs Égert, Laszlo Halpern and Ronald MacDonald
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), Hungarian Academy of Sciences (HAS) - Research Centre for Economic and Regional Studies (HAS) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (283,069)

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equilibrium exchange rate, Purchasing Power Parity, trend appreciation, Balassa-Samuelson

Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4809
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 04 Apr 2005
Balázs Égert, Laszlo Halpern and Ronald MacDonald
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), Hungarian Academy of Sciences (HAS) - Research Centre for Economic and Regional Studies (HAS) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (455,795)
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Equilibrium exchange rate, purchasing power parity, Balassa-Samuelson effect, tradable prices, transition economies

Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues

Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 257-324, April 2006
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 08 May 2006
Balázs Égert, Laszlo Halpern and Ronald MacDonald
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), Hungarian Academy of Sciences (HAS) - Research Centre for Economic and Regional Studies (HAS) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 30 (470,609)
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20.

Catching Up: The Role of Demand, Supply and Regulated Price Effects on the Real Exchange Rates of Four Countries

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 899
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 08 Apr 2003
Ronald MacDonald and Cezary Wojcik
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Warsaw School of Economics
Downloads 151 (190,983)

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Exchange Rates, Monetary Integration, EMU

21.

Exchange Rate Forecasters' Performance: Evidence of Skill?

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2615
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 20 Apr 2009
Ronald MacDonald, Lukas Menkhoff and Rafael R. Rebitzky
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) and Leibniz University Hannover
Downloads 139 (204,201)

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foreign exchange market, individual exchange rate forecasts, interest rate forecasts, forecaster experience

22.

Individual Exchange Rate Forecasts and Expected Fundamentals

ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper No. 11-062
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 09 Jan 2012
Christian David Dick, Ronald MacDonald and Lukas Menkhoff
ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin)
Downloads 133 (211,574)

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exchange rate determination, individual expectations, macroeconomic fundamentals

23.

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Economic Growth: A Euro-Zone Perspective

National Bank of Belgium Working Paper No. 9
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 09 Nov 2010
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 130 (215,517)

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24.

Asset Market and Balance of Payments Characteristics: An Eclectic Exchange Rate Model for the Dollar, Mark, and Yen

IMF Working Paper No. 95/55
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 130 (215,517)

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25.

Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Present Value Interpretation

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 23 Mar 2009
Mathias Hoffmann and Ronald MacDonald
University of Zurich - Department of Economics and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 113 (239,237)

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Real Exchange Rates, Real Interest Rates, Present Value Model

26.

Non-Linear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Target Zones: A Bumpy Road Towards a Honeymoon - Some Evidence from the Erm, Erm2 and Selected New EU Member States

William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 771, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1511
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 26 May 2005
Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Balázs Égert and Ronald MacDonald
University of Innsbruck - Department of Economic Theory, Economic Policy and Economic History, Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 109 (245,456)

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Target zone, ERM, non-linearity, SETAR

27.

The Behavioural Zloty/Euro Equilibrium Exchange Rate

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2568
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 11 Mar 2009
Joanna Beza-Bojanowska and Ronald MacDonald
Ministry of Finance and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 103 (255,318)

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equilibrium exchange rate, BEER, PEER, cointegration analysis, Gonzalo-Granger decomposition, ERM II

28.

Monetary Policy Independence in the Erm: Was There Any?

International Finance Working Paper No. 665
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Oct 2000
Hali J. Edison and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 103 (255,318)

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interest rate linkages, monetary independence

29.

Fatal Attraction: A New Measure of Contagion

IMF Working Paper No. 03/80
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Tamim Bayoumi, Giorgio Fazio, Manmohan Kumar and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF), affiliation not provided to SSRN, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 98 (263,950)

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Contagion, international capital flows, emerging market crises

30.

Catching-Up, Inflation Differentials and Credit Booms in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union: Some Implications for Emu and New EU Member States

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1761
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Jul 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Cezary Wojcik
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Warsaw School of Economics
Downloads 94 (271,134)

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inflation differentials, credit booms, new neoclassical synthesis, monetary union, EMU, Balassa-Samuelson model

31.

Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Cointegration-Based Approach

Multinational Finance Journal, Vol. 3, No. 3, p. 147-172, 1999
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 17 Jul 2015
Norbert Fiess and Ronald MacDonald
Independent and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 72 (318,451)

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exchange rates forecasting; technical analysis

Deviations of Exchange Rates from Purchasing Power Parity: A Story Featuring Two Monetary Unions

CEPR Discussion Paper Series No. 1932
Posted: 04 Dec 1998
Tamim Bayoumi and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics

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33.

Fundamental Volatility is Regime Specific

NRG Working Paper No. 06-04
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 21 Apr 2006
Ivo J.M. Arnold, Ronald MacDonald and Casper G. de Vries
Nyenrode University, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)
Downloads 65 (336,419)

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Exchange rates, Exchange rate regimes, Excess volatility

34.

Violations of the `Rules of the Game' and the Credibility of the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914

NBER Working Paper No. w6115
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 28 Jan 1998 Last Revised: 06 Oct 2010
Michael D. Bordo and Ronald MacDonald
Rutgers University, New Brunswick - Department of Economics and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 53 (371,555)

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35.

European Policy Convergence and the EMS

IMF Working Paper No. 90/104
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Ronald MacDonald and Mark P. Taylor
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School
Downloads 41 (412,863)

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36.

Sterling in Crisis: 1964-1967

NBER Working Paper No. w14657
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 19 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2010
Michael D. Bordo, Ronald MacDonald and Michael J. Oliver
Rutgers University, New Brunswick - Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Open University Business School
Downloads 39 (420,450)

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37.

The Inter-War Gold Exchange Standard: Credibility and Monetary Independence

NBER Working Paper No. w8429
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 20 Aug 2001 Last Revised: 23 Oct 2010
Michael D. Bordo and Ronald MacDonald
Rutgers University, New Brunswick - Department of Economics and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (428,612)

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38.

Fatal Attraction

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3870
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 10 Jun 2003
Tamim Bayoumi, Giorgio Fazio, Manmohan Kumar and Ronald MacDonald
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 24 (489,443)
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Contagion, capital inflows, emerging market crises

39.

The Real Exchange Rate and the Balassa-Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector

Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 29-48, February 2005
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 14 Mar 2005
Ronald MacDonald and Luca A. Ricci
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 22 (500,558)
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40.

Impact of Central Bank Intervention on Exchange-Rate Forecast Heterogeneity

CEPII Working Paper Series No. 02-05
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 10 Nov 2013
University of Luxemburg, Paris School of Economics (University Paris 1), Campaign for Tobacco Free Kids and University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (523,425)

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Central Bank Intervention; Foreign Exchange Markets; Survey Expectations; Market Micro-Structure

41.

Catching Up: The Role of Demand, Supply and Regulated Price Effects on the Real Exchange Rates of Four Accession Countries

Economics of Transition, Vol. 12, pp. 153-179, March 2004
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 24 Mar 2004
Ronald MacDonald and Cezary Wojcik
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Warsaw School of Economics
Downloads 18 (523,425)
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42.

Monetary Policy Shocks and Stock Returns: Evidence from the British Market

Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Vol. 23, No. 4, pp. 401-410, 2009
Posted: 19 Jun 2010
University of East Anglia, University of Glasgow - Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and University of Stirling - Department of Economics

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Asset prices, Monetary policy, Panel data

43.

Catching-Up and Inflation Differentials in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union: Some Implications for the Euro Area and New EU Member States

Economic Systems, Vol. 32, No. 1, 2008
Posted: 14 Mar 2008
Ronald MacDonald and Cezary Wojcik
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and Warsaw School of Economics

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Inflation differentials, New Neoclassical Synthesis, Monetary Union, EMU, Balassa-Samuelson model

44.

Realignment Expectations and the Us Dollar, 1890-1897: Was There a 'Peso Problem'?

Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 46, No. 3, December 2000, Cass Business School Research Paper
Posted: 20 Dec 2000
C. Paul Hallwood, Ronald MacDonald and Ian W. Marsh
University of Connecticut - Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and City University London - Sir John Cass Business School

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Gold Standard, Fixed Exchange Rates, Peso Problem, Credibility, Interest Parity

45.

On Fundamentals and Exchange Rates: A Casselian Perspective

The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 79, No. 4, November 1997, Cass Business School Research Paper
Posted: 26 Feb 1998
Ronald MacDonald and Ian W. Marsh
University of Strathclyde in Glasgow - Department of Economics and City University London - Sir John Cass Business School

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