Dilek Onkal

Bilkent University

Professor

Bilkent University

Faculty of Business Administration

Bilkent, Ankara 06800

Turkey

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

23

DOWNLOADS

146

SSRN CITATIONS

0

CROSSREF CITATIONS

0

Scholarly Papers (23)

1.

Using Weekly Empirical Probabilities in Currency Analysis and Forecasting

Frontiers in Finance and Economics, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 26-55, 2008
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 Jan 2010
Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow Caledonian University and Bilkent University
Downloads 146 (209,748)

Abstract:

Loading...

Foreign Exchange, Forecasting, Investment Decisions

2.

An Exploratory Analysis of the Portfolio Managers' Probabilistic Forecasts of Stock Prices

Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 13, pp. 565-578, 1994
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu and Dilek Onkal
Queen Mary University of London and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Probabilistic Forecasting, Stock Price Forecast, Calibration, Inverse Expertise Effect

3.

Feedback-Labelling Synergies in Judgmental Stock Price Forecasting

Decision Support Systems, Vol. 37, pp. 175-186, 2004
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
University of Bath - School of Management, Bilkent University, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Glasgow Caledonian University and Glasgow Caledonian University

Abstract:

Loading...

Forecasting, Judgment, Feedback, Calibration, Stock price, Contextual information

4.

Provider-User Differences in Perceived Usefulness of Forecasting Formats

OMEGA: The International Journal of Management Science, Vol. 32, pp. 31-39, 2004
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal and Fergus M. I. Bolger
Bilkent University and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract:

Loading...

Judgment, Forecasting, Forecast format, Forecast provider, Forecast user

5.

Aviation Risk Perception: A Comparison between Experts and Novices

Risk Analysis, Vol. 24, pp. 1585-1595, 2004
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Expert-novice comparisons, risk judgment, risk perception

6.

Currency Forecasting: An Investigation of Extrapolative Judgment

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 13, pp. 509-526, 1997
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Evaluation, Exchange rate, Expertise, Forecasting, Judgement

7.

Contextual Effects on Ethical Sensitivity and Penalty Judgments: The Turkish Case

Teaching Business Ethics, Vol. 7, pp. 341-363, 2003
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Accounting, Ethics, Gender, Judgment, Penalty

8.

The Effects of Structural Characteristics of Explanations on Use of a DSS

Decision Support Systems, Vol. 42 pp. 1481-1493, 2006
Posted: 24 Nov 2008
M. Sinan Gonul, Dilek Onkal and Michael Lawrence
Bilkent University, Bilkent University and affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract:

Loading...

Explanation, Forecast, Judgment, Adjustment

9.

Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts of Stock Prices in a Developing Stock Market

European Journal of Operational Research, 74, pp. 350-358, 1994
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu and Dilek Onkal
Queen Mary University of London and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Forecasting, Probability, Financial, Stock price

10.

Effects of Feedback on Probabilistic Forecasts of Stock Prices

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 11, pp. 307-319, 11, 1995
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu and Dilek Onkal
Queen Mary University of London and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Probability forecasting, Judgmental forecasting, Stock-price forecasting, Outcome feedback, Performance feedback, Calibration

11.

Effects of Task Format on Probabilistic Forecasting of Stock Prices

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 12, pp. 9-24, 1996
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu and Dilek Onkal
Queen Mary University of London and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Subjective probability, Probability forecasting, Judgmental forecasting, Stock-price forecasting, Task format

12.

Probability Judgment Accuracy for General Knowledge: Cross-National Differences and Assessment Methods

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 8, pp. 51-67, 1995
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
University of South Carolina - Department of Management, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Texas at Arlington and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Probability assessment, Subjective probabilities, Cross-cultural comparison

13.

An Evaluation of the Reliability of Probability Judgments Across Response Modes and Over Time

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 6, pp. 283-296, 1993
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
University of South Carolina - Department of Management, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Reliability, Probability assessment, Probability judgment, Subjective probability

14.

Professional vs Amateur Judgment Accuracy: The Case of Foreign Exchange Rates

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 91, pp. 169-185, 2003
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Psychology, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

15.

Performance Evaluation of Judgmental Directional Exchange Rate Predictions

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 21, pp. 473-489, 2005
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Accuracy, Exchange rate, Forecasting, Judgement, Probability

16.

Cognitive and Emotional Representations of Terror Attacks: A Cross-Cultural Exploration

Risk Analysis, Vol. 27, pp. 397-409, 2007
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Cross-cultural comparisons, gender, risk perception, terror

17.

Judgmental Adjustments of Previously-Adjusted Forecasts

Decision Sciences, Vol. 39, pp. 213-238, 2008
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
M. Sinan Gonul, Michael Lawrence and Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Decision Support Systems, Factorial Experimental Design, Forecast Adjustments, Forecast Explanations, Judgmental Forecasting, and Laboratory Experiments

18.

The Influence of Nationality and Gender on Ethical Sensitivity: An Application of the Issue-Contingent Model

Journal of Business Ethics, Vol. 57, pp. 139-159, 2005
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Istanbul University - Accounting Department and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

context, cross-cultural, ethics, ethical sensitivity, gender, Hofstede, issue-contingent model, Kohlberg, nationality, roles

19.

Evaluating Predictive Performance of Judgemental Extrapolations from Simulated Currency Series

European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 114, pp. 281-293, 1999
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Glasgow Caledonian University, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Evaluation, Exchange rate, Expertise, Forecasting, Judgement

20.

The Influence of Trend Strength on Directional Probabilistic Currency Predictions

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 19, pp. 241-256, 2003
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow Caledonian University and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Exchange rate; Expertise; Forecasting; Judgement; Probability

21.

Judgemental Forecasting: A Review of Progress Over the Last 25 Years

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 22, pp. 493-518, 2006
Posted: 23 Nov 2008
University of New South Wales (UNSW), University of Bath - School of Management, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Judgement; Forecasting; Review; Improving judgement forecasts; Probability forecasts; Domain knowledge; Prediction intervals

22.

The Effects of Feedback on Judgmental Interval Predictions

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 20, pp. 29-39, 2004
Posted: 09 Nov 2008
Dilek Onkal
Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Judgmental forecasting, Calibration; Feedback, Overconfidence, Confidence intervals

23.

The Effects of Feedback and Training on the Performance of Probability Forecasters

International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 8, pp. 559-573, 1992
Posted: 23 Oct 2008
P. George Benson and Dilek Onkal
affiliation not provided to SSRN and Bilkent University

Abstract:

Loading...

Probability forecasting, Judgmental forecasting, Subjective probability, Outcome feedback