Alfred G. Cuzan

University of West Florida

11000 University Parkway

Pensacola, FL 32514-5750

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

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SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 16,178

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Scholarly Papers (19)

1.

Combining Forecasts: An Application to Elections

International Journal of Forecasting, 30(1), 43-54, Revised and extended version of a paper presented at the American Political Science Association (APSA) 2011 Annual Meeting
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 01 Aug 2011 Last Revised: 30 Aug 2014
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads 487 (57,340)

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election forecasting, combining, prediction markets, polls, econometric models, expert judgment

2.

Fidel Castro: A Machiavellian Prince?

Number of pages: 73 Posted: 28 Jun 2015 Last Revised: 25 Aug 2015
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 232 (131,840)
Citation 1

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Fidel Castro, Cuba, Machiavelli, tyranny

Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election With the Fiscal Model

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 Mar 2012
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 75 (320,505)

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fiscal policy, presidential election

Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 03 Aug 2012
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 52 (388,250)

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fiscal model, presidential election, Obama

4.

Some Principles of Politics

Libertarian Papers, VOL. 9, NO. 2 (2017)
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 14 Jul 2017
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 122 (230,412)

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principles of politics, laws of politics, centralization, rulers, ruled, democracies, dictatorsip

5.

Totalitarianism in the Tropics: Cuba's 'Padilla Case' Revisited

Number of pages: 65 Posted: 26 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 25 Aug 2015
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 114 (242,155)
Citation 1

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totalitarianism, Castro's Cuba, Padilla Case, Hitler's Germany, Stalin's Russia, literature

6.

Index Methods for Forecasting: An Application to the American Presidential Elections

FORESIGHT: International Journal of Applied Forecasting, No. 3, pp. 10-13, February 2006
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 30 Jun 2014
J. Scott Armstrong and Alfred G. Cuzan
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department and University of West Florida
Downloads 90 (284,030)

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7.

Accuracy of Combined Forecasts for the 2012 Presidential Elections: The Pollyvote

Political Science & Politics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 08 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 15 Jan 2014
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads 83 (298,694)

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combining forecasts, forecast accuracy, Iowa Electronic Markets, FiveThirtyEight, econometric models, election forecasting

8.

Five Empirical Laws of Politics

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 21 Nov 2014 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2015
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 70 (329,617)

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laws of politics, democracies, dictatorships, elections, representation, the state, government, plurality, rule

9.

The 2016 Pollyvote Popular Vote Forecast: A Preliminary Analysis

Forthcoming in PS: Political Science and Politics
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 14 Dec 2016
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads 59 (359,925)

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PollyVote, 2016 Presidential Election, Forecast

10.

Expert Judgment in Forecasting American Presidential Elections: A Preliminary Evaluation

APSA 2013 Annual Meeting Paper, American Political Science Association 2013 Annual Meeting
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 08 Sep 2013
Randall J. Jones and Alfred G. Cuzan
University of Central Oklahoma and University of West Florida
Downloads 45 (406,077)

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presidential elections forecasting expert judgment

11.

Will the Republicans Retake the House of Representatives in 2010?

APSA 2010 Annual Meeting Paper
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 19 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 06 Sep 2010
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 45 (406,077)

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House of Representatives, Midterm Elections, Forecasting

12.

Revisiting 'Do We Ever Really Get Out of Anarchy?'

Journal of Libertarian Studies Volume 22 (2010): 3–2
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 12 Jan 2018
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 44 (409,732)

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anarchy, democracy, dictatorship, Hobbes, Locke, Rousseau

13.

A Constitutional Framework for a Free Cuba

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 03 Aug 2013 Last Revised: 17 Jul 2014
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 43 (413,465)

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Cuba, constitution, presidential, parliamentary, consensual

14.

Fiscal Model Forecast for the 2016 Presidential Election

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 14 Aug 2016
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 40 (424,848)

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fiscal model, 2016 forecast, presidential election

15.

2012 Fiscal Model Failure: A Problem of Measurement?

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 02 Dec 2012
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 31 (463,107)

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Fiscal Model, forecasting, 2012 presidential election

16.

Will the Republicans Retake the House in 2010? A Second Look Over the Horizon

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 25 Sep 2010
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 22 (510,928)

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Midterm Elections Forecast

17.

Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote

FORESIGHT, No. 12, Winter 2009
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 09 Aug 2010
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department, University of West Florida and University of Central Oklahoma
Downloads 19 (528,475)

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18.

Castro’s Cuba: An Economic, Social, and Political Evaluation

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 08 Feb 2019
Alfred G. Cuzan
University of West Florida
Downloads 18 (534,348)

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Castro, Dictatorships, Democracies, Economic Growth, Infant Mortality, Democide

19.

Combining Forecasts for U.S. Presidential Elections: The Pollyvote

Posted: 09 Aug 2010
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, University of West Florida, University of Central Oklahoma and University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department

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