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Fiscal Stimulus, New Keynesian model, liquidity trap, zero lower bound, fiscal multiplier
Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, DSGE model, Bayesian estimation, Narrative shocks, Bayesian VARs
Europeanisation, European Union, European Neighborhood Policy, Institutional Convergence
Bayesian VAR, sign restrictions, set identification, micro data, news shocks, defense spending
Political redistribution risk, bargaining shocks, aggregate fluctuations, partial fil-ter, historical narrative
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Aggregate fluctuations, bargaining shocks, historical narrative., partial filter, Political redistribution risk
Employment, Entrepreneurial Risk
Redistribution risk, bargaining shocks, aggregate fluctuations, partial filter, historical narrative
production networks, business cycles, tail risks
Forecasting, model averaging, DSGE model, judgmental forecasts
Polarization, Campaign Contributions, Agendas
partisanship, flypaper effect, intergovernmental transfers, fiscal multiplier, monetary unions, regression discontinuity.
vector autoregressions, sign restrictions, set-identification, weak identification, non-convex confidence set, independent shock
filtering, limited information, non-linear model, dynamic equilibrium model, sudden stops
