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Michele Ruta

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

17

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1,447

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16

Scholarly Papers (17)

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1.

Is Us Trade Policy Reshaping Global Supply Chains?

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 05 Jun 2024
Caroline Freund, Aaditya Mattoo, Alen Mulabdic and Michele Ruta
University of California, San Diego (UCSD), World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 305 (264,351)

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International trade, US-China decoupling, tariffs, Global value chains

2.

The Return of Industrial Policy in Data

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/001
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 19 Jan 2024
Simon Evenett, Adam Jakubik, Fernando Martín and Michele Ruta
University of St. Gallen - Economics Department - SIAW, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Global Trade Alert and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 280 (271,230)
Citation 9

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Industrial Policy, Trade Policy, Data

3.

Deep Trade Agreements and Heterogeneous Firms Exports

Downloads 47 (422,345)

Deep Trade Agreements and Heterogeneous Firms Exports

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 May 2023
Gianluca Orefice, Matteo Neri-Lainé and Michele Ruta
Paris Dauphine University, Paris Dauphine University and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 47 (1,119,531)

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Deep Trade Agreements, Exports, firm heterogeneity, Developing Countries

4.

Trade Spillovers of Domestic Subsidies

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/041
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 07 Mar 2024
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 97 (709,832)

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Subsidies, Industrial Policy, International Trade, Spillovers

5.

Trade Implications of China's Subsidies

IMF Working Paper No. 2024/180
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 12 Dec 2024
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 92 (730,864)

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China, Domestic subsidies, International trade, Spillovers, Overcapacity

6.

Trade and Infrastructure Integration in Africa

Number of pages: 61 Posted: 21 Dec 2023
Lionel Fontagné, Mathilde Sylvie Maria Lebrand, Siobhan Murray, Gianluca Santoni and Michele Ruta
Bank of France, World Bank, World Bank, Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Info. Internationales (CEPII) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 85 (790,029)

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infrastructure, trade agreements, structural gravity, general equilibrium

7.

Nowcasting Global Trade from Space

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/093
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 May 2025
Serkan Arslanalp, Seung Mo Choi, Parisa Kamali, Robin Koepke, Matthew McKetty, Michele Ruta, Mario Saraiva, Alessandra Sozzi and Jasper Verschuur
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Independent, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund, Agricultural and Applied Economics Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Delft University of Technology
Downloads 80 (809,932)

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Nowcasting, maritime trade, big data

8.

Trading with Friends in Uncertain Times

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/124
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 30 Nov 2023
Adam Jakubik and Michele Ruta
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 70 (891,180)
Citation 6

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trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical distance, trade patterns, textual analysis, World uncertainty index, trade pattern, benchmark result, text-based TPU index, importer-exporter FE, Trade policy, Trade balance, Plurilateral trade, Trade tensions, Trade barriers, Global

9.

Industrial Policy Since the Great Financial Crisis

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/222
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Nov 2025
Simon Evenett, Adam Jakubik, Jaden Jonghyuk Kim, Fernando Martín, Samuel Pienknagura, Michele Ruta, Sandra Baquie, Yueling Huang and Rafael Machado Parente
International Institute for Management Development, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), Global Trade Alert, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 60 (961,006)

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Industrial Policy, Trade Policy, Data

10.

Shifting Advantages

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/080
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 24 Apr 2025
Michele Ruta and Monika Sztajerowska
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (1,010,164)

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Foreign Direct Investment, Industrial Policy, Subsidies

11.

Measuring Global Trade Policy Activity

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/220
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 06 Nov 2025
Samuele Centorrino, Antonia Diakantoni, Alexander Keck, Michele Ruta, Monika Sztajerowska and Yuting Wei
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Trade Policies Review Division - World Trade Organization (WTO), World Trade Organization (WTO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Bocconi University
Downloads 56 (1,010,164)

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Trade Policy, Dynamic Factor Models, Nowcasting, TPA index, IMF working papers, trade policy development, trade-policy activity, private sector job creation, Factor models, Exports, Tariffs, Global

12.

The Changing Nature of International Trade and Its Implications for Development

CESifo Working Paper No. 12137
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 23 Sep 2025
Pinelopi Goldberg and Michele Ruta
Yale University - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 56 (1,010,164)

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13.

Trade Partners’ Responses to Us Tariffs

IMF Working Paper No. 2025/147
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 23 Jul 2025
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 53 (1,063,489)

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Tariffs, retaliation, industrial policy, trade agreements

14.

Child Labor Standards in Regional Trade Agreements: Theory and Evidence

NBER Working Paper No. w30908
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 06 Feb 2023 Last Revised: 15 Jun 2023
Ryan Abman, Clark Lundberg, John McLaren and Michele Ruta
San Diego State University, San Diego State University, University of Virginia and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 35 (1,263,436)

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15.

Global Imbalances, Industrial Policy and Tariffs

IMF Working Paper No. 2026/067
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 16 Apr 2026
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Gene Kindberg-Hanlon, Manasa Patnam, Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 28 (1,372,601)

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Global Imbalances, Tariffs, Industrial Policy.

16.

Geopolitics and the World Trading System

NBER Working Paper No. w33293
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 26 Dec 2024
Aaditya Mattoo, Michele Ruta and Robert Staiger
World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Dartmouth College
Downloads 25 (1,385,945)
Citation 1

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17.

The Changing Nature of International Trade and its Implications for Development

NBER Working Paper No. w34283
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 23 Sep 2025
Pinelopi Goldberg and Michele Ruta
Yale University - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 21 (1,436,435)
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