Manel Baucells

University of Virginia - Darden School of Business

Associate Professor

P.O. Box 6550

Charlottesville, VA 22906-6550

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

30

DOWNLOADS
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Top 29,426

in Total Papers Downloads

2,728

SSRN CITATIONS

2

CROSSREF CITATIONS

4

Scholarly Papers (30)

1.

Powerball: Somebody's Gotta Win!

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0857
Number of pages: 1 Posted: 30 May 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1,028 (33,393)
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revenue prediction, lotteries, decision weights, prospect theory, probability

2.

Trend Analysis in the Age of Machine Learning

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3867894
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Jun 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Bocconi University - Department of Decision Sciences, Clausthal University of Technology, Princeton University and Princeton University
Downloads 353 (129,544)
Citation 1

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Sensitivity Analysis, Decision Analysis, Grapical Visualization, Monotonicity, Convexity

3.

Correlation Between Anomalies and Theories of Mental Accounting

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2549209
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 Jan 2015 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2020
Manel Baucells and Giampaolo Viglia
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 275 (168,632)
Citation 1

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mental accounting, reference price adaptation, sunk-cost fallacy, reluctance to trade, flat-rate bias

4.

Managerial Mental Accounting and Downstream Project Decisions

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3265724
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2021
Manel Baucells, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Woonam Hwang
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Utah - David Eccles School of Business
Downloads 260 (178,395)
Citation 2

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project management, behavioral operations, mental accounting, earned value analysis

5.

Range and Sign Dependent Utility for Risk and Time

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3194874
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 27 Jun 2018
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics
Downloads 164 (272,496)
Citation 2

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reference dependent utility, range dependent utility, sign dependent utility, prospect theory, hyperbolic discounting, preference reversals

6.

Preferences Over Constructed Sequences: Empirical Evidence from Music

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2724193
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 30 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 25 Jan 2017
Manel Baucells, Daniel Smith and Martin Weber
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Independent and University of Mannheim - Department of Banking and Finance
Downloads 130 (328,132)
Citation 2

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Intertemporal choice, preferences over sequences, satiation, music concerts, music playlists

7.

Discounted Incremental Utility

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3466617
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 18 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 02 Dec 2022
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH)
Downloads 83 (451,298)
Citation 1

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Risk and Time Preferences, Samuelson Paradox, Range Effects, Decreasing Impatience, Rank-dependent Utility.

8.

Range Utility Theory

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3806114
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 16 Jun 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH)
Downloads 77 (463,776)

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Expected utility, range-dependent utility, preference reversals

9.

Goods and Needs: A Satiation Approach

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3811976
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 26 Mar 2021
Manel Baucells and Lin Zhao
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science (AMSS)
Downloads 61 (524,617)

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Satiation, Complements, Substitutes

10.

Search in the Dark: The Normal Case

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 4125540
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 09 Jun 2022 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2023
Manel Baucells and Sasa Zorc
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 60 (528,715)

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11.

Predicting the Discount Rate of Multiple Future Payouts

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 07 May 2020
Manel Baucells and Alessandra Cillo
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 58 (537,337)
Citation 1

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discounting, time preferences, magnitude effect, decreasing impatience, energy saving

12.

Consumers' Mental Accounting

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0908
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 07 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 28 Dec 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 48 (584,504)
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mental accounting, consumer profit, consumer surplus, reference price, loss aversion, transaction utility, payment depreciation, feeling of free consumption, flat-rate bias, hoarding, psychology, consumer behavior

13.

Satiation Preferences -- The Case of Certainty

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 Feb 2019
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 37 (645,128)
Citation 2

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Local inter-temporal substitution, Satiation, Discounted Utility, Cake-eating problem, Consumption-savings problem

14.
Downloads 31 (683,892)

Updating Probabilities

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0860
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 Oct 2020
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 24 (759,738)

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judgement of probabilities and likelihoods, Bayesian updating, base rate neglect, overconfidence, reversion to the mean, confirming evidence biashindsight bias. conjunction fallacy

Updating Probabilities

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0860
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 07 May 2018 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2022
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 7 (925,783)
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judgement of probabilities and likelihoods, Bayesian updating, base rate neglect, overconfidence, reversion to the mean, confirming evidence bias, hindsight bias, conjunction fallacy

15.

Where Does Satiation Come From?

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Jul 2019
Manel Baucells and Daniel Smith
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Independent
Downloads 26 (720,301)

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diminishing marginal returns, refractory times, neuron firing rates, satiation utility model

16.

The Discount Rate for Investment Analysis Applying Expected Utility

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 4195050
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 29 Aug 2022
Manel Baucells and Samuel E. Bodily
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 12 (841,780)

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Expected Utility, Net Present Value, Discount Rate, Project Evaluation.

17.

Tesla, Inc.: Supercharging Auto Sales

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0915
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 13 Sep 2020
Manel Baucells and Stephen E. Maiden
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 7 (890,971)
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quantitative analysis, Tesla, marketing, decision-making, loss aversion

18.

Tesla and the Future of Autonomous Driving

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0911
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 09 Jun 2019 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 6 (901,216)
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Tesla, autopilot, safety, hypothesis test, regression, dummy variables

19.

To LED or Not to LED?

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0862
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 11 Sep 2017
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 3 (935,164)
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Discount rate, behavioral discounting, magnitude effects, loss aversion, durable goods, energy efficiency

20.

Introduction to Dynamic Programming

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0955
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 19 Oct 2022
Manel Baucells and Sasa Zorc
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 2 (947,927)
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dynamic programming, Bellman equation, decision tree, backward induction, uncertainty, complex decisions, value-to-go, data science, job search, American options, revenue management

21.

Preference for Sequences: Rock Loud and Proud Music Set List

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0856
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 2 (947,927)
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contrast, anticipation, satiation, impatience, increasing sequence, high-low-high sequences, music

22.

The Conundrum of Contingent Free Shipping

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0939
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 09 Mar 2022
Manel Baucells and Devin Lert
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Independent
Downloads 1 (961,304)
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mental accounting, marketing nudges, free shipping, online shopping

23.

Resolving Trade-Offs: From Simple Heuristics to Multicriteria Analysis

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0914
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Oct 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (961,304)
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decision-making, heuristics, multicriteria analytics

24.

CSR Bonus at CapTech

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0918
Number of pages: 3 Posted: 21 Oct 2020 Last Revised: 03 Dec 2021
Manel Baucells and Shawn Ellis
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Independent
Downloads 1 (961,304)
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decision-making, employee management, training, bonus, employee retention, data analysis

25.

Time Preferences and Subjective Discounting

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0896
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 15 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (961,304)
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decision making, discount rate, behavioral net present value, hyperbolic discounting, magnitude effect, decreasing impatience, procrastination

26.

A Glum Primer: The Risk-Adjusted Expected Value

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0849
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Phillip E. Pfeifer, Samuel E. Bodily and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (961,304)
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net present value, NPV, ENPV, general logarithmic utility model, GLUM, risk profile, expected net present value, play capital, decision-making

27.

Scheduling a Conference

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0925
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 22 Oct 2021
Manel Baucells and Sasa Zorc
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 0 (974,411)
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linear optimization, mixed integer programing, scheduling

28.

Risk Preferences and the Perceived Value of a Risk Profile

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0858
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 0 (974,411)
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prospect theory, decision weights, framing, loss aversion, reference point

29.

The Pelayo Family Plays Roulette

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0850
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Samuel E. Bodily, Phillip E. Pfeifer and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 0 (974,411)
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general logarithmic utility model, GLUM, risk analysis, log utility

30.

The Pelayo Family Plays Roulette: The Prequel

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0847
Number of pages: 1 Posted: 02 Jun 2017
Phillip E. Pfeifer, Samuel E. Bodily and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 0 (974,411)
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data analysis, statistics, goodness-of-fit test, chi-squared, probability, roulette wheel