Manel Baucells

University of Virginia - Darden School of Business

Associate Professor

P.O. Box 6550

Charlottesville, VA 22906-6550

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

28

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Top 27,009

in Total Papers Downloads

2,439

SSRN CITATIONS

2

CROSSREF CITATIONS

5

Scholarly Papers (28)

1.

Powerball: Somebody's Gotta Win!

Number of pages: 1 Posted: 30 May 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1,028 (27,837)
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revenue prediction, lotteries, decision weights, prospect theory, probability

2.

Correlation Between Anomalies and Theories of Mental Accounting

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2549209
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 14 Jan 2015 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2020
Manel Baucells and Giampaolo Viglia
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business
Downloads 250 (156,786)
Citation 1

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mental accounting, reference price adaptation, sunk-cost fallacy, reluctance to trade, flat-rate bias

3.

Net Present Value Analysis of Projects Under Expected Utility

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3155192
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 03 Apr 2018
Manel Baucells and Samuel E. Bodily
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 234 (167,144)
Citation 1

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4.

Managerial Mental Accounting and Downstream Project Decisions

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3265724
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of BusinessHarvard University - Business School (HBS) and University of Utah - David Eccles School of Business
Downloads 210 (185,177)
Citation 2

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project management, behavioral operations, mental accounting, earned value analysis

5.

Range and Sign Dependent Utility for Risk and Time

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3194874
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 27 Jun 2018
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics
Downloads 147 (252,159)
Citation 2

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reference dependent utility, range dependent utility, sign dependent utility, prospect theory, hyperbolic discounting, preference reversals

6.

Preferences Over Constructed Sequences: Empirical Evidence from Music

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2724193
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 30 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 25 Jan 2017
Manel Baucells, Daniel Smith and Martin Weber
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Independent and University of Mannheim - Department of Banking and Finance
Downloads 117 (299,761)
Citation 2

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Intertemporal choice, preferences over sequences, satiation, music concerts, music playlists

7.

Everything in Moderation: Foundations and Applications of the Satiation Model

Management Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 17 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2019
Manel Baucells and Lin Zhao
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science
Downloads 113 (307,318)

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satiation, moderation, instant utility, design of experiential services

8.

Trend Analysis in the Age of Machine Learning

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3867894
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Jun 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Bocconi University - Department of Decision Sciences, Clausthal University of Technology, Princeton University and Princeton University
Downloads 66 (426,151)

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Sensitivity Analysis, Decision Analysis, Grapical Visualization, Monotonicity, Convexity

9.

Preferences over Risky Payoff Streams: Normative and Descriptive Approaches

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3466617
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 18 Oct 2019 Last Revised: 24 Mar 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH)
Downloads 58 (451,298)
Citation 1

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expected utility, discounted cash flows, hyperbolic discounting, range dependent utility, preference reversals

10.

Consumers&Apos; Mental Accounting

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 07 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 42 (520,847)
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mental accounting, consumer profit, consumer surplus, reference price, loss aversion, transaction utility, payment depreciation, feeling of free consumption, flat-rate bias, hoarding, psychology, consumer behavior

11.

Range Utility Theory

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3806114
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 16 Jun 2021
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) - Institute of Econometrics and Warsaw School of Economics (SGH)
Downloads 40 (530,377)

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Expected utility, range-dependent utility, preference reversals

12.

Predicting the Discount Rate of Multiple Future Payouts

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 07 May 2020
Manel Baucells and Alessandra Cillo
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Bocconi University - Department of Decision Sciences
Downloads 38 (540,329)
Citation 1

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discounting, time preferences, magnitude effect, decreasing impatience, energy saving

13.

Goods and Needs: A Satiation Approach

Darden Business School Working Paper No. 3811976
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 26 Mar 2021
Manel Baucells and Lin Zhao
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science
Downloads 34 (561,173)

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Satiation, Complements, Substitutes

14.

Satiation Preferences -- The Case of Certainty

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 Feb 2019
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 19 (657,163)
Citation 2

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Local inter-temporal substitution, Satiation, Discounted Utility, Cake-eating problem, Consumption-savings problem

15.

Where Does Satiation Come From?

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 30 Jul 2019
Manel Baucells and Daniel Smith
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Independent
Downloads 14 (694,176)

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diminishing marginal returns, refractory times, neuron firing rates, satiation utility model

16.
Downloads 12 (709,848)

Updating Probabilities

Darden Case No. UVA-QA-0860
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 Oct 2020
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 7 (779,977)

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judgement of probabilities and likelihoods, Bayesian updating, base rate neglect, overconfidence, reversion to the mean, confirming evidence biashindsight bias. conjunction fallacy

Number of pages: 1 Posted: 07 May 2018 Last Revised: 28 Aug 2020
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 5 (797,008)

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17.

Tesla and the Future of Autonomous Driving

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 09 Jun 2019 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 5 (765,063)
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Tesla, autopilot, safety, hypothesis test, regression, dummy variables

18.

Tesla, Inc.: Supercharging Auto Sales

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 13 Sep 2020
Manel Baucells and Stephen E. Maiden
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 3 (780,679)
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quantitative analysis, Tesla, marketing, decision-making, loss aversion

19.

To LED or Not to LED?

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 11 Sep 2017
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 3 (780,679)
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Discount rate, behavioral discounting, magnitude effects, loss aversion, durable goods, energy efficiency

20.

Preference for Sequences: Rock Loud and Proud Music Set List

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 2 (790,093)
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contrast, anticipation, satiation, impatience, increasing sequence, high-low-high sequences, music

21.

Resolving Trade-Offs: From Simple Heuristics to Multicriteria Analysis

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Oct 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (801,650)
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decision-making, heuristics, multicriteria analytics

22.

CSR Bonus at Captech

Number of pages: 3 Posted: 21 Oct 2020 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Shawn Ellis
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and Independent
Downloads 1 (801,650)
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decision-making, employee management, training, bonus, employee retention, data analysis

23.

Time Preferences and Subjective Discounting

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 15 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (801,650)
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decision making, discount rate, behavioral net present value, hyperbolic discounting, magnitude effect, decreasing impatience, procrastination

24.

A Glum Primer: How to Account for Risk with Uncertain Npvs

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Phillip E. Pfeifer, Samuel E. Bodily and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
Downloads 1 (801,650)
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NPV, ENPV, general logarithmic utility model, GLUM, present certain equivalent, risk profile

25.

Scheduling a Conference

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 22 Oct 2021
Manel Baucells and Sasa Zorc
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
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linear optimization, mixed integer programing, scheduling

26.

Risk Preferences and the Perceived Value of a Risk Profile

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 02 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 10 Nov 2021
Manel Baucells and Gerry Yemen
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
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prospect theory, decision weights, framing, loss aversion, reference point

27.

The Pelayo Family Plays Roulette

Number of pages: 2 Posted: 02 Jun 2017
Samuel E. Bodily, Phillip E. Pfeifer and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
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general logarithmic utility model, GLUM, risk analysis, log utility

28.

The Pelayo Family Plays Roulette: The Prequel

Number of pages: 1 Posted: 02 Jun 2017
Phillip E. Pfeifer, Samuel E. Bodily and Manel Baucells
University of Virginia - Darden School of Business, University of Virginia - Darden School of Business and University of Virginia - Darden School of Business
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data analysis, statistics, goodness-of-fit test, chi-squared, probability, roulette wheel