Ivan Kitov

Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Lead Researcher

Leninsky prospect 38/1

Moscow, Moscow 119334

Russia

http://idg3.chph.ras.ru

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

66

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8,018

SSRN CITATIONS
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15

CROSSREF CITATIONS

148

Scholarly Papers (66)

1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in the USA

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 1,155 (26,550)
Citation 13

Abstract:

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Inflation, unemployment, labor force, USA, time series models

2.

Exact Prediction of S&P 500 Returns

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 Dec 2007
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 677 (55,495)
Citation 1

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population, economic growth

3.

GDP Growth Rate and Population

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 475 (86,497)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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Economic development, GDP, population, modeling, the USA

4.

Real GDP Per Capita in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 394 (107,557)
Citation 10

Abstract:

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Economic development, economic trend, business cycle, GDP per capita

5.

Linear Lagged Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Labor Force Change Rate in France: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 30 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 307 (141,191)
Citation 4

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cointegration, inflation, unemployment, labor force, forecasting, France, VAR, VECM

6.

Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 265 (164,148)
Citation 5

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GDP per capita, population estimates, cointegration, VAR, VECM, USA

7.

Exact Prediction of Inflation in the USA

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Jul 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 216 (199,880)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Inflation, labor force, forecast, the USA

8.

Predicting Gold Ores Price

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 195 (219,420)
Citation 2

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gold ores, prediction, PPI

9.

A Model for Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Development

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 192 (222,455)
Citation 5

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personal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

10.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Canada

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 176 (239,807)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Canada

11.

Long-Term Linear Trends in Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 161 (258,557)
Citation 15

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index, stock market index

12.

Modeling the Transition from a Socialist to Capitalist Economic System

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 154 (267,972)
Citation 1

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socialism, capitalism, transition, economic modelling, GDP per capita

13.

Employment, Unemployment and Real Economic Growth

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 148 (276,776)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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employment, unemployment, real GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

14.

Modeling the Evolution of Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the USA Between 1947 and 2005

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 139 (290,820)
Citation 2

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Gini index, personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

15.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Germany

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 126 (313,331)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Germany

16.

Okun’s Law Revisited: Is There Structural Unemployment in Developed Countries?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 10 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 125 (315,162)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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unemployment, GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

17.

The Japanese Economy

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 123 (318,833)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Economic growth, inflation, modeling, Japan

18.

Inflation as a Function of Labor Force Change Rate: Cointegration Test for the USA

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 121 (322,660)
Citation 11

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cointegration, inflation, labor force, forecasting, USA, VAR, VECM

19.

Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 May 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 120 (324,609)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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GDP, model, economic growth, inertia, trend, OECD

20.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Japan

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 108 (349,339)

Abstract:

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unemployment, labor force, modeling, Japan

21.

Modelling the Age-Dependent Personal Income Distribution in the USA

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 106 (353,789)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

22.

Modelling the Overall Personal Income Distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 105 (355,997)
Citation 2

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

23.

Comprehensive Macro-Model for the U.S. Economy

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Aug 2008
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 101 (365,325)
Citation 4

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US economy, macroeconomic model, real GDP, inflation, unemployment, labor force, productivity, demography

24.

S&P 500 Returns Revisited

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Apr 2010
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 95 (379,746)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population pyramid, GDP

25.

ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Stock Price

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 95 (379,746)
Citation 8

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stock price, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

26.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labor Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Japan

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 91 (390,115)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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inflation, labor force, unemployment, Japan

27.

Evolution of the Personal Income Distribution in the USA: High Incomes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 88 (398,291)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

28.

Inflation and Unemployment in Switzerland: From 1970 to 2050

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 87 (401,061)

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Inflation, Unemployment, Labour Force, Forecasting, Switzerland

29.

Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 75 (437,011)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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jewelry and jewelry products, prediction, PPI

30.

Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 75 (437,011)

Abstract:

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real GDP per capita, modelling, prediction, population

31.

Apples and Oranges: Relative Growth Rate of Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 75 (437,011)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index

32.

Does Economics Need a Scientific Revolution?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 06 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 74 (440,200)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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economics, science

33.

The Anti-Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 74 (440,200)
Citation 1

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the Phillips curve, inflation, unemployment, causality

34.

The Driving Force of Labor Productivity

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 71 (450,112)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modeling

35.

Why Income Inequality Estimates Based on Data from the IRS and Census Bureau are Different? Methodological Notes

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 70 (453,649)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, economic inequality, Gini coefficient, IRS, Census Bureau

36.

Predicting Share Price of Energy Companies: June-September 2009

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 69 (457,015)

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COP, CVX, DVN, HAL, XOM, prediction, share price, CPI

37.

Race and Gender Income Inequality in the USA: Black Women vs. White Men

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 02 Jul 2020
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 67 (464,032)

Abstract:

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Personal Income, Evolution, Age, Race, GDP per Capita, USA

38.

The Dynamics of Personal Income Distribution and Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 65 (471,230)
Citation 6

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income dynamics, income distribution, inequality, age profiles, Gini, United

39.

Modelling of Selected S&P 500 Share Prices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 65 (471,230)
Citation 2

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CPI, prediction, IBM, DOV, PG, DD, APD, CVX, DVN, HAL

40.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Countries

INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE CHANGE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, T.Nagakawa, ed. , Nova Science Publishers, 2007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 12 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 65 (471,230)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models

41.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 65 (471,230)
Citation 3

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labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction

42.

Sustainable Trends in Producer Price Indices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 64 (474,916)
Citation 10

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PPI, CPI, US, prediction

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 64 (481,473)

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

44.

Cross Comparison and Modelling of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPmorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Franklin Resources

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 59 (494,207)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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share price, modeling, CPI, prediction, USA, bankruptcy

45.

Modelling the Average Income Dependence on Work Experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 58 (498,182)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, median income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

46.

Measures of Income Inequality are Biased or Misinterpreted

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 53 (518,993)

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income inequality, Gini coefficient, households

47.

PPI of Durable and Nondurable Goods: 1985-2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 49 (536,779)
Citation 2

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durable goods, nondurable goods, prediction, PPI

48.

Unemployment and Inflation in Western Europe: Solution by the Boundary Integral Method

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Mar 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 45 (555,699)
Citation 9

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unemployment, inflation, labor force, boundary integral method, prediction, Western Europe

49.

Modelling and Predicting Labor Force Productivity

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 42 (570,801)

Abstract:

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modelling

50.

Modeling Share Prices of Banks and Bankrupts

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2010
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 40 (581,177)

Abstract:

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Share Price, Modeling, CPI, Prediction, The USA, Bankruptcy

51.

Modeling the Evolution of Age-Dependent Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 40 (581,177)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, age, mean income, microeconomic modelling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

52.

Modeling the Price of Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: A Five-Year Revision

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 26 Feb 2015
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 39 (586,470)

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crude oil, motor fuel, price, prediction, USA

53.

Does Banque De France Control Inflation and Unemployment?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 39 (586,470)

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monetary policy, inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, measurement error, forecasting, cointegration, France

54.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labour Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Austria

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 39 (586,470)
Citation 1

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inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, forecasting, monetary policy, Austria

55.

A Fair Price for Motor Fuel in the United States

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 May 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 37 (597,430)

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CPI, motor fuel price, prediction, US

56.

Mechanical Model of Personal Income Distribution

Number of pages: 220 Posted: 21 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 37 (597,430)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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personal income, modelling, mechanics, the US

57.

The Link between Unemployment and Real Economic Growth in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (614,712)

Abstract:

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unemployment, GDP, modelling, Okun’s law

58.

The Australian Phillips Curve and More

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Feb 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 34 (614,712)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, modeling, Australia

59.

Real GDP per capita: global redistribution of economic power

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 32 (626,715)

Abstract:

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development, GDP per capita, economic trend, business cycle

60.

Gender Income Disparity in the USA: Analysis and Dynamic Modelling

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 31 (633,156)
Citation 1

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income, gender, age, USA, modelling

61.

Why Price Inflation in Developed Countries is Systematically Underestimated

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 28 May 2012 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 26 (667,198)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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real GDP, inflation, interest rate, central bank, developed countries

62.

Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: Fair Price Revisited

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Apr 2010
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 25 (674,598)
Citation 1

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63.

Sustainable Trends and Periodicity in Consumer Price Indices Indicate that the Era of Low Energy Prices is Approaching

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 23 (689,885)
Citation 1

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CPI, core CPI, energy, housing, food, trend, periodicity

64.

A Win-Win Monetary Policy in Canada

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Apr 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 22 (697,825)

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structural break, inflation, unemployment, labour force, modelling, Canada

65.

Conocophillips’ Share Price Model Revisited

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Apr 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 21 (705,525)

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stock price, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

66.

How Universal is the Law of Income Distribution? Cross Country Comparison

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 10 (804,332)
Citation 1

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income, evolution, model, country comparison, GDP per capita, USA, UK, New Zealand, Canada

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 0
1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties

Posted: 30 Aug 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models