Ivan Kitov

Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Lead Researcher

Leninsky prospect 38/1

Moscow, Moscow 119334

Russia

http://idg3.chph.ras.ru

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

64

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7,050

SSRN CITATIONS
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Top 7,735

in Total Papers Citations

5

CROSSREF CITATIONS

156

Scholarly Papers (64)

1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in the USA

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 970 (26,520)
Citation 12

Abstract:

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Inflation, unemployment, labor force, USA, time series models

2.

Exact Prediction of S&P 500 Returns

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 Dec 2007
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 657 (45,511)
Citation 1

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population, economic growth

3.

GDP Growth Rate and Population

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 451 (73,206)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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Economic development, GDP, population, modeling, the USA

4.

Real GDP Per Capita in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 376 (90,604)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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Economic development, economic trend, business cycle, GDP per capita

5.

Linear Lagged Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Labor Force Change Rate in France: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 30 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 289 (121,124)
Citation 3

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cointegration, inflation, unemployment, labor force, forecasting, France, VAR, VECM

6.

Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 249 (141,381)
Citation 5

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GDP per capita, population estimates, cointegration, VAR, VECM, USA

7.

Predicting Gold Ores Price

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 191 (181,645)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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gold ores, prediction, PPI

8.

Exact Prediction of Inflation in the USA

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Jul 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 173 (198,173)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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Inflation, labor force, forecast, the USA

9.

A Model for Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Development

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 164 (207,416)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

10.

Long-Term Linear Trends in Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 152 (221,117)
Citation 15

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index, stock market index

11.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Canada

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 146 (228,485)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Canada

12.

Modeling the Transition from a Socialist to Capitalist Economic System

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 137 (240,468)
Citation 1

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socialism, capitalism, transition, economic modelling, GDP per capita

13.

Modeling the Evolution of Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the USA Between 1947 and 2005

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 128 (253,475)
Citation 2

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Gini index, personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

14.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Germany

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 115 (274,232)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Germany

15.

The Japanese Economy

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 114 (275,991)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Economic growth, inflation, modeling, Japan

16.

Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 May 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 111 (281,132)

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GDP, model, economic growth, inertia, trend, OECD

17.

Okun’s Law Revisited: Is There Structural Unemployment in Developed Countries?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 10 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 105 (292,329)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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unemployment, GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

18.

Inflation as a Function of Labor Force Change Rate: Cointegration Test for the USA

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 103 (296,116)
Citation 11

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cointegration, inflation, labor force, forecasting, USA, VAR, VECM

19.

Modelling the Age-Dependent Personal Income Distribution in the USA

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 101 (300,031)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

20.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Japan

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 100 (302,045)

Abstract:

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unemployment, labor force, modeling, Japan

21.

Modelling the Overall Personal Income Distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 99 (303,995)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

22.

Employment, Unemployment and Real Economic Growth

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 95 (312,148)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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employment, unemployment, real GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

23.

Comprehensive Macro-Model for the U.S. Economy

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Aug 2008
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 95 (312,148)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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US economy, macroeconomic model, real GDP, inflation, unemployment, labor force, productivity, demography

24.

S&P 500 Returns Revisited

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Apr 2010
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 89 (325,394)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population pyramid, GDP

25.

Evolution of the Personal Income Distribution in the USA: High Incomes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 84 (337,206)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

26.

ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Stock Price

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 83 (339,607)
Citation 8

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stock price, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

27.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labor Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Japan

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 81 (344,575)

Abstract:

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inflation, labor force, unemployment, Japan

28.

Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 71 (371,307)

Abstract:

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real GDP per capita, modelling, prediction, population

29.

Apples and Oranges: Relative Growth Rate of Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 70 (374,329)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index

30.

Does Economics Need a Scientific Revolution?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 06 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 69 (377,149)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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economics, science

31.

Why Income Inequality Estimates Based on Data from the IRS and Census Bureau are Different? Methodological Notes

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 66 (386,194)
Citation 1

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personal income distribution, economic inequality, Gini coefficient, IRS, Census Bureau

32.

Predicting Share Price of Energy Companies: June-September 2009

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 64 (392,380)

Abstract:

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COP, CVX, DVN, HAL, XOM, prediction, share price, CPI

33.

The Driving Force of Labor Productivity

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 64 (392,380)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modeling

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 62 (404,171)

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

35.

The Anti-Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 61 (402,013)
Citation 1

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the Phillips curve, inflation, unemployment, causality

36.

Inflation and Unemployment in Switzerland: From 1970 to 2050

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 60 (405,289)

Abstract:

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Inflation, Unemployment, Labour Force, Forecasting, Switzerland

37.

Modelling of Selected S&P 500 Share Prices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 60 (405,289)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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CPI, prediction, IBM, DOV, PG, DD, APD, CVX, DVN, HAL

38.

Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 58 (412,128)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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jewelry and jewelry products, prediction, PPI

39.

Sustainable Trends in Producer Price Indices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 57 (415,512)
Citation 10

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PPI, CPI, US, prediction

40.

The Dynamics of Personal Income Distribution and Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 55 (422,405)
Citation 6

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income dynamics, income distribution, inequality, age profiles, Gini, United

41.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 55 (422,405)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction

42.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Countries

INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE CHANGE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, T.Nagakawa, ed. , Nova Science Publishers, 2007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 12 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 52 (433,188)

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models

43.

Cross Comparison and Modelling of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPmorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Franklin Resources

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 49 (444,400)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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share price, modeling, CPI, prediction, USA, bankruptcy

44.

Modelling the Average Income Dependence on Work Experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 48 (448,247)
Citation 2

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personal income distribution, mean income, median income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

45.

Measures of Income Inequality are Biased or Misinterpreted

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 47 (452,232)

Abstract:

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income inequality, Gini coefficient, households

46.

PPI of Durable and Nondurable Goods: 1985-2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 41 (477,176)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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durable goods, nondurable goods, prediction, PPI

47.

Modelling and Predicting Labor Force Productivity

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 40 (481,682)

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modelling

48.

Unemployment and Inflation in Western Europe: Solution by the Boundary Integral Method

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Mar 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 40 (481,682)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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unemployment, inflation, labor force, boundary integral method, prediction, Western Europe

49.

Modeling Share Prices of Banks and Bankrupts

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2010
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 35 (504,583)

Abstract:

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Share Price, Modeling, CPI, Prediction, The USA, Bankruptcy

50.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labour Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Austria

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (509,485)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, forecasting, monetary policy, Austria

51.

Modeling the Evolution of Age-Dependent Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (509,485)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, age, mean income, microeconomic modelling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

52.

Modeling the Price of Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: A Five-Year Revision

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 26 Feb 2015
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 33 (514,518)

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crude oil, motor fuel, price, prediction, USA

53.

Mechanical Model of Personal Income Distribution

Number of pages: 220 Posted: 21 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 31 (524,793)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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personal income, modelling, mechanics, the US

54.

Does Banque De France Control Inflation and Unemployment?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 29 (535,636)

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monetary policy, inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, measurement error, forecasting, cointegration, France

55.

The Australian Phillips Curve and More

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Feb 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 28 (541,360)

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, modeling, Australia

56.

A Fair Price for Motor Fuel in the United States

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 May 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 26 (553,121)
Citation 10

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CPI, motor fuel price, prediction, US

57.

Why Price Inflation in Developed Countries is Systematically Underestimated

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 28 May 2012 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 25 (559,387)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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real GDP, inflation, interest rate, central bank, developed countries

58.

Race and Gender Income Inequality in the USA: Black Women vs. White Men

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 02 Jul 2020
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 24 (565,740)

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Personal Income, Evolution, Age, Race, GDP per Capita, USA

59.

Gender Income Disparity in the USA: Analysis and Dynamic Modelling

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 24 (565,740)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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income, gender, age, USA, modelling

60.

Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: Fair Price Revisited

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Apr 2010
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 21 (585,008)
Citation 1

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61.

Sustainable Trends and Periodicity in Consumer Price Indices Indicate that the Era of Low Energy Prices is Approaching

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 19 (598,336)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, energy, housing, food, trend, periodicity

62.

Conocophillips’ Share Price Model Revisited

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Apr 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 17 (611,459)

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stock price, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

63.

A Win-Win Monetary Policy in Canada

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Apr 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 16 (618,170)

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structural break, inflation, unemployment, labour force, modelling, Canada

64.

How Universal is the Law of Income Distribution? Cross Country Comparison

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 7 (682,833)
Citation 1

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income, evolution, model, country comparison, GDP per capita, USA, UK, New Zealand, Canada

Other Papers (1)

Total Downloads: 0
1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties

Posted: 30 Aug 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models