Ivan Kitov

Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Lead Researcher

Leninsky prospect 38/1

Moscow, Moscow 119334

Russia

http://idg3.chph.ras.ru

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

63

DOWNLOADS
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Top 5,644

in Total Papers Downloads

6,147

CITATIONS
Rank 2,172

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 2,172

in Total Papers Citations

257

Scholarly Papers (63)

1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in the USA

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 630 (27,031)
Citation 19

Abstract:

Inflation, unemployment, labor force, USA, time series models

2.

Exact Prediction of S&P 500 Returns

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 Dec 2007
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 544 (35,386)
Citation 2

Abstract:

S&P 500, returns, prediction, population, economic growth

3.

Real GDP Per Capita in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 342 (65,529)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Economic development, economic trend, business cycle, GDP per capita

4.

GDP Growth Rate and Population

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 340 (55,646)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Economic development, GDP, population, modeling, the USA

5.

Linear Lagged Relationship Between Inflation, Unemployment and Labor Force Change Rate in France: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 30 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 237 (95,386)
Citation 4

Abstract:

cointegration, inflation, unemployment, labor force, forecasting, France, VAR, VECM

6.

Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 231 (101,161)
Citation 4

Abstract:

GDP per capita, population estimates, cointegration, VAR, VECM, USA

7.

Predicting Gold Ores Price

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 184 (131,067)
Citation 3

Abstract:

gold ores, prediction, PPI

8.

Exact Prediction of Inflation in the USA

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Jul 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 145 (153,930)
Citation 17

Abstract:

Inflation, labor force, forecast, the USA

9.

Long-Term Linear Trends in Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 130 (167,584)
Citation 14

Abstract:

CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index, stock market index

10.

A Model for Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Development

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 126 (172,475)
Citation 9

Abstract:

personal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

11.

Modeling the Evolution of Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the USA Between 1947 and 2005

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 110 (197,521)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Gini index, personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

12.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Germany

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 101 (211,071)
Citation 16

Abstract:

inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Germany

13.

Modeling the Transition from a Socialist to Capitalist Economic System

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 100 (204,027)

Abstract:

socialism, capitalism, transition, economic modelling, GDP per capita

14.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Canada

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 98 (202,740)
Citation 16

Abstract:

inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Canada

15.

Modelling the Overall Personal Income Distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 94 (224,476)
Citation 8

Abstract:

personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

16.

The Japanese Economy

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 92 (212,447)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Economic growth, inflation, modeling, Japan

17.

Inflation as a Function of Labor Force Change Rate: Cointegration Test for the USA

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 89 (230,832)
Citation 16

Abstract:

cointegration, inflation, labor force, forecasting, USA, VAR, VECM

18.

Modelling the Age-Dependent Personal Income Distribution in the USA

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 88 (230,832)
Citation 5

Abstract:

personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

19.

Comprehensive Macro-Model for the U.S. Economy

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Aug 2008
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 82 (239,180)
Citation 4

Abstract:

US economy, macroeconomic model, real GDP, inflation, unemployment, labor force, productivity, demography

20.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Japan

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 82 (240,963)
Citation 15

Abstract:

unemployment, labor force, modeling, Japan

21.

S&P 500 Returns Revisited

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Apr 2010
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 80 (242,754)

Abstract:

S&P 500, returns, prediction, population pyramid, GDP

22.

Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 May 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 78 (226,062)

Abstract:

GDP, model, economic growth, inertia, trend, OECD

23.

Evolution of the Personal Income Distribution in the USA: High Incomes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 78 (248,182)
Citation 4

Abstract:

personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

24.

ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Stock Price

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 69 (263,896)
Citation 6

Abstract:

stock price, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

25.

Does Economics Need a Scientific Revolution?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 06 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 66 (274,485)
Citation 2

Abstract:

economics, science

26.

Predicting Share Price of Energy Companies: June-September 2009

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 63 (285,683)

Abstract:

COP, CVX, DVN, HAL, XOM, prediction, share price, CPI

27.

Okun’s Law Revisited: Is There Structural Unemployment in Developed Countries?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 10 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 61 (270,108)

Abstract:

unemployment, GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 60 (299,102)

Abstract:

firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

29.

Apples and Oranges: Relative Growth Rate of Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 60 (285,683)
Citation 5

Abstract:

CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index

30.

Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 59 (278,869)

Abstract:

real GDP per capita, modelling, prediction, population

31.

Why Income Inequality Estimates Based on Data from the IRS and Census Bureau are Different? Methodological Notes

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 59 (292,741)

Abstract:

personal income distribution, economic inequality, Gini coefficient, IRS, Census Bureau

32.

The Driving Force of Labor Productivity

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 55 (300,198)
Citation 2

Abstract:

productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modeling

33.

Modelling of Selected S&P 500 Share Prices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 52 (313,455)
Citation 1

Abstract:

CPI, prediction, IBM, DOV, PG, DD, APD, CVX, DVN, HAL

34.

Employment, Unemployment and Real Economic Growth

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 50 (278,869)

Abstract:

employment, unemployment, real GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

35.

The Anti-Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 47 (319,060)
Citation 2

Abstract:

the Phillips curve, inflation, unemployment, causality

36.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 44 (319,060)
Citation 3

Abstract:

labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction

37.

Sustainable Trends in Producer Price Indices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 43 (316,247)
Citation 8

Abstract:

PPI, CPI, US, prediction

38.

Inflation and Unemployment in Switzerland: From 1970 to 2050

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 38 (336,782)

Abstract:

Inflation, Unemployment, Labour Force, Forecasting, Switzerland

39.

Modelling and Predicting Labor Force Productivity

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 37 (356,167)

Abstract:

productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modelling

40.

Modelling the Average Income Dependence on Work Experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 36 (336,782)
Citation 3

Abstract:

personal income distribution, mean income, median income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

41.

Cross Comparison and Modelling of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPmorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Franklin Resources

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (349,460)

Abstract:

share price, modeling, CPI, prediction, USA, bankruptcy

42.

Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (339,880)
Citation 2

Abstract:

jewelry and jewelry products, prediction, PPI

43.

PPI of Durable and Nondurable Goods: 1985-2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 34 (370,144)
Citation 1

Abstract:

durable goods, nondurable goods, prediction, PPI

44.

Modeling Share Prices of Banks and Bankrupts

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2010
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 33 (373,884)

Abstract:

Share Price, Modeling, CPI, Prediction, The USA, Bankruptcy

45.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labor Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Japan

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 31 (276,685)

Abstract:

inflation, labor force, unemployment, Japan

46.

Unemployment and Inflation in Western Europe: Solution by the Boundary Integral Method

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Mar 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 30 (366,560)
Citation 2

Abstract:

unemployment, inflation, labor force, boundary integral method, prediction, Western Europe

47.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Countries

INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE CHANGE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, T.Nagakawa, ed. , Nova Science Publishers, 2007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 12 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 29 (346,269)
Citation 19

Abstract:

inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models

48.

Mechanical Model of Personal Income Distribution

Number of pages: 220 Posted: 21 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 26 (393,966)
Citation 2

Abstract:

personal income, modelling, mechanics, the US

49.

Modeling the Evolution of Age-Dependent Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 26 (385,509)
Citation 3

Abstract:

personal income distribution, age, mean income, microeconomic modelling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

50.

The Australian Phillips Curve and More

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Feb 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 23 (417,283)

Abstract:

inflation, unemployment, labor force, modeling, Australia

51.

Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: Fair Price Revisited

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Apr 2010
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 20 (432,541)

Abstract:

52.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labour Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Austria

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 19 (381,536)

Abstract:

inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, forecasting, monetary policy, Austria

53.

The Dynamics of Personal Income Distribution and Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 18 (346,269)

Abstract:

income dynamics, income distribution, inequality, age profiles, Gini, United

54.

A Fair Price for Motor Fuel in the United States

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 May 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 18 (417,283)
Citation 9

Abstract:

CPI, motor fuel price, prediction, US

55.

Why Price Inflation in Developed Countries is Systematically Underestimated

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 28 May 2012 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 17 (422,273)

Abstract:

real GDP, inflation, interest rate, central bank, developed countries

56.

Conocophillips’ Share Price Model Revisited

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Apr 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 15 (453,113)

Abstract:

stock price, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

57.

Measures of Income Inequality are Biased or Misinterpreted

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 13 (377,658)

Abstract:

income inequality, Gini coefficient, households

58.

Does Banque De France Control Inflation and Unemployment?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 12 (422,273)

Abstract:

monetary policy, inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, measurement error, forecasting, cointegration, France

59.

Sustainable Trends and Periodicity in Consumer Price Indices Indicate that the Era of Low Energy Prices is Approaching

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 12 (453,113)

Abstract:

CPI, core CPI, energy, housing, food, trend, periodicity

60.

Modeling the Price of Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: A Five-Year Revision

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 26 Feb 2015
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 11 (407,621)

Abstract:

crude oil, motor fuel, price, prediction, USA

61.

A Win-Win Monetary Policy in Canada

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Apr 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 11 (478,751)

Abstract:

structural break, inflation, unemployment, labour force, modelling, Canada

62.

Gender Income Disparity in the USA: Analysis and Dynamic Modelling

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 0 (473,633)

Abstract:

income, gender, age, USA, modelling

63.

How Universal is the Law of Income Distribution? Cross Country Comparison

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 0 (516,271)

Abstract:

income, evolution, model, country comparison, GDP per capita, USA, UK, New Zealand, Canada