Ivan Kitov

Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Lead Researcher

Leninsky prospect 38/1

Moscow, Moscow 119334

Russia

http://idg3.chph.ras.ru

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

63

DOWNLOADS
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6,431

CITATIONS
Rank 2,176

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 2,176

in Total Papers Citations

257

Scholarly Papers (63)

1.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in the USA

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 802 (27,550)
Citation 19

Abstract:

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Inflation, unemployment, labor force, USA, time series models

2.

Exact Prediction of S&P 500 Returns

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 Dec 2007
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 637 (37,661)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population, economic growth

3.

GDP Growth Rate and Population

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 428 (62,484)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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Economic development, GDP, population, modeling, the USA

4.

Real GDP Per Capita in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 364 (75,724)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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Economic development, economic trend, business cycle, GDP per capita

5.

Linear Lagged Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Labor Force Change Rate in France: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 30 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 273 (104,247)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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cointegration, inflation, unemployment, labor force, forecasting, France, VAR, VECM

6.

Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 246 (116,220)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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GDP per capita, population estimates, cointegration, VAR, VECM, USA

7.

Predicting Gold Ores Price

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 189 (149,763)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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gold ores, prediction, PPI

8.

Exact Prediction of Inflation in the USA

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Jul 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 162 (171,792)
Citation 17

Abstract:

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Inflation, labor force, forecast, the USA

9.

Long-Term Linear Trends in Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 30 Jan 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 148 (185,329)
Citation 14

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index, stock market index

10.

A Model for Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Development

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 144 (189,481)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

11.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Canada

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 25 Sep 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 123 (214,655)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Canada

12.

Modeling the Evolution of Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the USA Between 1947 and 2005

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 118 (221,437)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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Gini index, personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

13.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Germany

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 111 (231,548)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, prediction, Germany

14.

Modeling the Transition from a Socialist to Capitalist Economic System

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 111 (231,548)

Abstract:

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socialism, capitalism, transition, economic modelling, GDP per capita

15.

The Japanese Economy

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 108 (236,043)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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Economic growth, inflation, modeling, Japan

16.

Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 26 May 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 99 (250,714)

Abstract:

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GDP, model, economic growth, inertia, trend, OECD

17.

Modelling the Overall Personal Income Distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 97 (254,080)
Citation 8

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

18.

Exact Prediction of Inflation and Unemployment in Japan

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 93 (261,136)
Citation 15

Abstract:

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unemployment, labor force, modeling, Japan

19.

Inflation as a Function of Labor Force Change Rate: Cointegration Test for the USA

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Jan 2007
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 93 (261,136)
Citation 16

Abstract:

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cointegration, inflation, labor force, forecasting, USA, VAR, VECM

20.

Modelling the Age-Dependent Personal Income Distribution in the USA

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 93 (261,136)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

21.

Comprehensive Macro-Model for the U.S. Economy

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 06 Aug 2008
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics, University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 92 (263,010)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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US economy, macroeconomic model, real GDP, inflation, unemployment, labor force, productivity, demography

22.

S&P 500 Returns Revisited

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Apr 2010
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 86 (274,284)

Abstract:

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S&P 500, returns, prediction, population pyramid, GDP

23.

Evolution of the Personal Income Distribution in the USA: High Incomes

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 82 (282,351)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

24.

ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Stock Price

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 May 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 79 (288,754)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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stock price, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

25.

Okun’s Law Revisited: Is There Structural Unemployment in Developed Countries?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 10 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 75 (297,664)

Abstract:

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unemployment, GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

26.

Employment, Unemployment and Real Economic Growth

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 72 (304,692)

Abstract:

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employment, unemployment, real GDP, modeling, Okun’s law

27.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labor Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Japan

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 71 (307,026)

Abstract:

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inflation, labor force, unemployment, Japan

28.

Predicting Real GDP Per Capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 01 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 69 (311,860)

Abstract:

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real GDP per capita, modelling, prediction, population

29.

Does Economics Need a Scientific Revolution?

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 06 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 69 (311,860)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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economics, science

30.

Apples and Oranges: Relative Growth Rate of Consumer Price Indices

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 66 (319,311)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, expenditure categories, price index

31.

Predicting Share Price of Energy Companies: June-September 2009

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 64 (324,525)

Abstract:

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COP, CVX, DVN, HAL, XOM, prediction, share price, CPI

32.

Why Income Inequality Estimates Based on Data from the IRS and Census Bureau are Different? Methodological Notes

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 19 Oct 2007
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 62 (329,742)

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, economic inequality, Gini coefficient, IRS, Census Bureau

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 28 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 60 (339,795)

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

What is the Best Firm Size to Invest?

Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics

Abstract:

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firm size distribution, Pareto distribution, the USA, evolution, investment

34.

The Driving Force of Labor Productivity

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 27 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 60 (335,186)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modeling

35.

Modelling of Selected S&P 500 Share Prices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 55 (349,598)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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CPI, prediction, IBM, DOV, PG, DD, APD, CVX, DVN, HAL

36.

The Anti-Phillips Curve

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 26 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 54 (352,669)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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the Phillips curve, inflation, unemployment, causality

37.

Sustainable Trends in Producer Price Indices

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 13 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 53 (355,747)
Citation 8

Abstract:

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PPI, CPI, US, prediction

38.

Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 52 (358,792)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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jewelry and jewelry products, prediction, PPI

39.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 May 2008
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 52 (358,792)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction

40.

Inflation and Unemployment in Switzerland: From 1970 to 2050

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 15 Feb 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 48 (371,446)

Abstract:

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Inflation, Unemployment, Labour Force, Forecasting, Switzerland

41.

Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Countries

INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE CHANGE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES, T.Nagakawa, ed. , Nova Science Publishers, 2007
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 12 Jun 2008 Last Revised: 09 Apr 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 47 (374,741)
Citation 19

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, Austria, France, time series models

42.

The Dynamics of Personal Income Distribution and Inequality in the United States

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Aug 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 46 (378,077)

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income dynamics, income distribution, inequality, age profiles, Gini, United

43.

Modelling the Average Income Dependence on Work Experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 03 Mar 2006
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 46 (378,077)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, mean income, median income, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

44.

Cross Comparison and Modelling of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPmorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Franklin Resources

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 07 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 41 (395,382)

Abstract:

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share price, modeling, CPI, prediction, USA, bankruptcy

45.

Modelling and Predicting Labor Force Productivity

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 May 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 39 (402,698)

Abstract:

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productivity, labor force, real GDP, prediction, modelling

46.

Measures of Income Inequality are Biased or Misinterpreted

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 12 Dec 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 37 (410,537)

Abstract:

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income inequality, Gini coefficient, households

47.

PPI of Durable and Nondurable Goods: 1985-2016

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 05 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 36 (414,555)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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durable goods, nondurable goods, prediction, PPI

48.

Unemployment and Inflation in Western Europe: Solution by the Boundary Integral Method

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Mar 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 36 (414,555)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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unemployment, inflation, labor force, boundary integral method, prediction, Western Europe

49.

Modeling Share Prices of Banks and Bankrupts

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 13 Mar 2010
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 35 (418,553)

Abstract:

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Share Price, Modeling, CPI, Prediction, The USA, Bankruptcy

50.

Inflation, Unemployment, and Labour Force: Phillips Curves and Long-Term Projections for Austria

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 12 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 33 (426,588)

Abstract:

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inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, forecasting, monetary policy, Austria

51.

Modeling the Evolution of Age-Dependent Gini Coefficient for Personal Incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 19 Aug 2008 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2014
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 32 (430,784)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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personal income distribution, age, mean income, microeconomic modelling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

52.

Mechanical Model of Personal Income Distribution

Number of pages: 220 Posted: 21 Feb 2009
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 30 (439,484)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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personal income, modelling, mechanics, the US

53.

Modeling the Price of Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: A Five-Year Revision

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 26 Feb 2015
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 27 (453,784)

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crude oil, motor fuel, price, prediction, USA

54.

Does Banque De France Control Inflation and Unemployment?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Sep 2013
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 25 (464,004)

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monetary policy, inflation, unemployment, labour force, Phillips curve, measurement error, forecasting, cointegration, France

55.

The Australian Phillips Curve and More

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 12 Feb 2011
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 24 (469,392)

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inflation, unemployment, labor force, modeling, Australia

56.

A Fair Price for Motor Fuel in the United States

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 08 May 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jun 2009
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 24 (469,392)
Citation 9

Abstract:

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CPI, motor fuel price, prediction, US

57.

Why Price Inflation in Developed Countries is Systematically Underestimated

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 28 May 2012 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 23 (474,655)

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real GDP, inflation, interest rate, central bank, developed countries

58.

Crude Oil and Motor Fuel: Fair Price Revisited

Number of pages: 8 Posted: 07 Apr 2010
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Warwick
Downloads 21 (485,674)

Abstract:

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59.

Gender Income Disparity in the USA: Analysis and Dynamic Modelling

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 11 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 17 (507,545)

Abstract:

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income, gender, age, USA, modelling

60.

Sustainable Trends and Periodicity in Consumer Price Indices Indicate that the Era of Low Energy Prices is Approaching

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 24 Dec 2012
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 17 (507,545)

Abstract:

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CPI, core CPI, energy, housing, food, trend, periodicity

61.

Conocophillips’ Share Price Model Revisited

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 22 Apr 2012
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 17 (507,545)

Abstract:

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stock price, ConocoPhillips, prediction, CPI

62.

A Win-Win Monetary Policy in Canada

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Apr 2011
Oleg Kitov and Ivan Kitov
University of Warwick and Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Downloads 14 (524,112)

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structural break, inflation, unemployment, labour force, modelling, Canada

63.

How Universal is the Law of Income Distribution? Cross Country Comparison

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 10 Oct 2015
Ivan Kitov and Oleg Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics and University of Oxford
Downloads 4 (579,233)

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income, evolution, model, country comparison, GDP per capita, USA, UK, New Zealand, Canada