affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities - Department of Applied Economics, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Purdue University - Center for Global Trade Analysis, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Minnesota - St. Paul - Institute on the Environment, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Emory University, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center, Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), affiliation not provided to SSRN, Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Environmental Science, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Oxford, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University College London - Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center and Stockholm University - Stockholm Resilience Center