F. E. Guerra-Pujol

University of Central Florida

Lecturer

Orlando, FL 32816

United States

http://www.priorprobability.com

Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

49

DOWNLOADS
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Top 903

in Total Papers Downloads

27,484

SSRN CITATIONS
Rank 22,103

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 22,103

in Total Papers Citations

9

CROSSREF CITATIONS

26

Scholarly Papers (49)

1.

Gödel’s Loophole

Capital University Law Review, vol. 41 (2013), pp. 637-673
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 23 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 18 Dec 2013
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 5,354 (1,382)
Citation 1

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Gödel, Gödelian design defects, constitutional statements, self-amendment, entrenchment, anti-entrenchment clauses

2.

Buy or Bite?

Economics of the Undead, edited by Glen Whitman & James Dow (2014), pp. 123-129
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 29 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 30 Dec 2015
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 4,073 (2,266)

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Vampires, Blood, Black Markets, Legal Failure, Violence

3.

Of Coase and Copyrights: The Law and Economics of Literary Fan Art

NYU Journal of Intellectual Property & Entertainment Law, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 15 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 3,776 (2,579)

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copyright, fan art, fair use, Ronald Coase, reciprocal harms

4.

Life, Love, and Law: Confessions of a Cuban-American Law Professor

Revista del Colegio de Abogados y Abogadas de P.R., Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 02 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 21 Jul 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 3,338 (3,181)

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Bayesian Probability, Carlitos del Valle, Coase Theorem, Failure, Game Theory, Kurt Gödel, Law, Legal Theory, Orlando I. Martinez-Garcia, Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico, Prisoner’s Dilemma, Scholarship, Sydjia Robinson, Teaching, Thomas Schelling, University of Central Florida

5.

The Turing Test and the Legal Process

Information & Communications Technology Law, vol. 21, no. 2 (June 2012), pp. 113-126
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 01 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 2,366 (5,682)

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Turing Test, Turing litigation game, probabilistic verdicts

6.

Chance and Litigation

Boston University Public Interest Law Journal, Vol. 21, No. 1 (Fall 2011), pp. 45-59
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 30 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 10 Sep 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 623 (43,238)
Citation 2

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chance, randomness, coin toss, litigation game, random litigation hypothesis, relative frequency

7.

A Bayesian Model of the Litigation Game

European Journal of Legal Studies, vol. 4, no. 2 (Autumn/Winter 2011), pp. 220-240
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 22 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 556 (50,128)
Citation 4

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Bayes’ theorem, litigation game, random and non-random adjudication, risk-averse and risk-loving moving parties

8.

The Poker-Litigation Game

Resolved: Journal for Alternative Dispute Resolution, vol. 5, no. 1 (2015), pp. 144-164.
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 26 Dec 2012 Last Revised: 26 Jan 2015
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 423 (70,392)
Citation 2

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poker, poker-litigation game, best response, Nash equilibrium, incomplete information, low and high bets, mixed strategy, probabilistic strategy, strategic game, symmetry

9.

Visualizing Probabilistic Proof

Washington University Jurisprudence Review, vol. 7, no. 1, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 30 May 2013 Last Revised: 23 Oct 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 415 (72,070)
Citation 4

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Bayes’ Rule, Blue Bus Case, Probabilistic Proof

10.

Modelling the Coase Theorem

European Journal of Law and Economics, vol. 5, no. 2 (Autumn/Winter 2012/13), pp.139-157
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 15 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 379 (79,990)
Citation 2

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Coase Theorem, Coasian games, farmer-rancher model, stray cattle, railway sparks, probabilistic payoffs, transaction costs

11.

Does the Prisoner's Dilemma Refute the Coase Theorem?

John Marshall Law Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 02 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol and Orlando I. Martínez-García
University of Central Florida and Abogados de America Law Offices, LLC
Downloads 342 (90,123)
Citation 2

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Coase Theorem, Prisoner’s Dilemma, Bargaining, Threats and Promises, Uncertainty, Exponential Discounting, Elasticity

12.

Clones and the Coase Theorem

Journal of Law & Social Deviance, Vol. 2, pp. 43-91, 2011
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 25 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 31 Jan 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol and Orlando I. Martínez-García
University of Central Florida and Abogados de America Law Offices, LLC
Downloads 331 (93,471)
Citation 1

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clones, Coase theorem, time scarcity, Blade Runner

13.

Why Don't Juries Try 'Range Voting'?

Criminal Law Bulletin, vol. 51, no. 3, 2015
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 04 Dec 2013 Last Revised: 21 May 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 305 (102,257)
Citation 1

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jury accuracy, juries, range voting, range verdicts, probabilistic verdicts, holdouts, strategic voting, ignorance, incomplete information, diversity prediction theorem

14.

Domestic Violence, Strategic Behavior, and Ideological Rent-Seeking

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 12 Jul 2006 Last Revised: 05 Mar 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 295 (106,068)
Citation 2

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domestic violence, rent-seeking, strategic behavior

15.

The Most Senile Justice?

Supreme Court Micro-Symposium, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 4 Posted: 06 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2015
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 288 (108,837)

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judicial decreptitude, U.S. Supreme Court

16.

A Tale of Two Joint Ventures: Jiangsu, China and Havana, Cuba: A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Public-Private Contracts in the Water Sector

Journal of Applied Economy, Symposium Issue on 'Critical Regulation,' vol. 3 (2009), pp. 39-56
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 25 Jun 2009 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 278 (113,016)
Citation 1

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best response, internal-externality, public-private partnership

17.

Trolley Problems

Drake Law Review Discourse, vol. 63 (2014), pp. 101-119
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 08 Sep 2014 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 267 (117,897)

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Auction, Coase Theorem, Free Riding, Thought Experiment, Second-Order Thought Experiment, Trolley Problem, Veil of Ignorance

18.

Coase and the Constitution: A New Approach to Federalism

Richmond Journal of Law and Public Interest, Vol. 14, No. 3, 2011
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 11 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 24 Nov 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 253 (124,724)
Citation 2

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Auctions, Federalism, Property Rights, Ronald Coase, Secondary Markets

19.

Breaking Bad Promises

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 14 May 2016 Last Revised: 25 Nov 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 242 (130,483)

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paradox, promises, promissory obligation

20.

Legal Liability for Research Fraud

Statistical Journal of the IAOS, Vol. 33, No. 3 (2017), pp. 755-761
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 07 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2017
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 222 (141,917)
Citation 3

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Research Fraud, Fabrication of Data, Legal Liability

21.

The Best and Worst of Contracts Decisions: An Anthology

45 Fla. St. U. L. Rev. 889-1022 (2018)., California Western School of Law Research Paper No. 19-2, Southwestern Law School Research Paper No. 2019/04, Marquette Law School Legal Studies Paper No. 19-08
Number of pages: 134 Posted: 13 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 09 Aug 2019
Michigan State University College of Law, Gonzaga University School of Law, Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law, Ohio State University - Moritz College of Law, Marquette University - Law School, University of Central Florida, University of Florida - Levin College of Law, Southwestern Law School, University of the Pacific - McGeorge School of Law, Barry University School of Law, Touro College - Jacob D. Fuchsberg Law Center, South Texas College of Law Houston, University of Denver Sturm College of Law, South Texas College of Law Houston, University of California, Berkeley - School of Law, University of Arizona, James E. Rogers College of Law, California Western School of Law, William & Mary Law School, South Texas College of Law Houston and Brigham Young University - J. Reuben Clark Law School
Downloads 210 (149,640)

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Contracts, Contract Law

22.

Probabilistic Interpretation

University of LaVerne Law Review, Vol. 38, No. 1 (2016), pp. 101-121
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 Jun 2016 Last Revised: 28 Nov 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 204 (153,796)
Citation 1

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Legal Interpretation, Best-Choice Secretary Problem

23.

Finding Santiago

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 26 Feb 2015 Last Revised: 03 Jun 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 201 (155,926)
Citation 1

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Bayes’ Rule, Hemingway, Santiago, Subjective Probability, The Old Man and the Sea

24.

Bayesian Manipulation of Litigation Outcomes

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 28 Apr 2014 Last Revised: 17 Jun 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 196 (159,692)
Citation 1

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Bayes' rule, common prior assumption, sender, signals, receiver, truth

25.

The Parable of the Prisoners

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 20 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 22 Jun 2013
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 189 (165,018)
Citation 1

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Prisoner’s Dilemma, Altruist’s Dilemma, game theory, paradigm, Melvin Dresher, Merrill Flood, John Nash, A.W. Tucker

26.

Probabilistic Interpretation, Part II: The Case of the Speluncean Explorers

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 06 Jan 2017
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 182 (170,773)

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Bayesian Probability, Degrees of Belief, Cardinal Voting, Range Voting, Lon Fuller

27.

Gödel's Interbellum

Number of pages: 46 Posted: 01 Sep 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 170 (181,381)

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Anti-Constitutional Moments, Interbellum Europe, Kurt Gödel, Gödel’s Loophole, Constitutional Dictatorship

28.

Evade or Comply?

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 29 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 27 Jul 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 161 (189,936)

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compliance level, enforcement level, imitation, Markov process, regulation game, systemic risk

29.

Puerto Rico as a Critical Locality: Is a Post-Colonial Puerto Rico Possible? A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Impasse over Puerto Rico's Status

St Thomas Law Review, vol. 20, no. 3 (2008), pp. 561-571
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 19 May 2008 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 145 (207,360)

Abstract:

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Truel, Endowment Effect, Path Dependence

30.

The Paradox of Adjudication

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 06 Jun 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 144 (208,559)

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adjudication, costly decision-making, infinite regress, research, deliberation, time constraints, Hand formula

31.

The Futility of the Libertarian Fetish for Freedom: Milton Friedman’s Capitalism and Freedom Revisited

Journal of Law and Social Deviance, vol. 4 (2012), pp. 1-39
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Dec 2012 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 135 (219,692)

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coercion, Milton Friedman, capitalism and freedom

32.

Kant on Evidence: A Hypothetical Reply to Kerr

Green Bag 2d. (Summer 2019)
Number of pages: 1 Posted: 20 Jun 2015 Last Revised: 18 Sep 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 133 (222,340)
Citation 1

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Kant, evidence, thought experiments

33.

The Evolutionary Path of the Law

Indonesian Journal of International Law, vol. 1, no. 3 (July 2014), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 04 Jun 2014 Last Revised: 22 Jul 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 126 (231,805)
Citation 1

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Altruism, Cooperation, Prisoner's Dilemma, Law, Science

34.

El Caso de Puerto Rico: A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Puerto Rican Status Debate

American University Journal of Gender, Social Policy & the Law, Vol. 18, No. 3, 2010
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 02 Dec 2009 Last Revised: 23 Jun 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 123 (236,048)
Citation 2

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costly war of attrition, evolutionarily stable strategies, hawk-dove game

35.

A Beautiful Life: Some Lessons for Legal Scholars

Mississippi College School of Law Research Paper
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 22 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 06 Mar 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 121 (238,820)

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Albert O. Hirschman, emotions, enforcement, evasion

36.

Judge Hercules or Judge Bayes? (Newcomb's Paradox and the Prediction Theory of Law)

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 12 Jan 2015 Last Revised: 13 Jul 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 118 (243,423)

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Hard Cases, Newcomb’s Paradox, Prediction Theory of Law

37.

So Long Suckers: Bargaining and Betrayal in Breaking Bad

Journal of Strategic Contracting and Negotiation, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 02 Feb 2016 Last Revised: 24 Dec 2018
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 100 (273,387)

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Bargaining game, Breaking Bad (TV show), negotiation, So Long Sucker (game)

38.

Deconstructing Darwin

Griffith Law Review (Australia), vol. 14, no. 2 (2005), pp. 247-267
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 15 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 05 Dec 2014
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 98 (277,033)

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Darwin, Tierra del Fuego

39.

The Case for Bayesian Judges: Putting Posner and Vermeule into Practice

Journal of Legal Metrics, Vol. 6, No. 1 (2019), pp. 13-20
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 09 Jan 2018 Last Revised: 24 Dec 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 96 (280,876)

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Bayesian voting, degrees of belief, confidence levels, judicial voting, appellate judges

40.

Law Is a Battlefield: The Colonel Blotto Litigation Game

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 01 Jul 2016 Last Revised: 13 Dec 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 86 (301,044)

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Colonel Blotto, all-pay auction, strategy

41.

A Stylebook for Law: A Rational System of Legal Citation

Number of pages: 26 Posted: 05 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2016
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 84 (305,433)

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Parenthetical Citation, Bibliography

42.

Condorcet's Paradox and Puerto Rico Status

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 10 Aug 2016 Last Revised: 17 Apr 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 72 (334,210)

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Condorcet cycle, Bayesian voting, Puerto Rico

43.

Excerpts from 'The Best and Worst of Contracts Decisions: An Anthology' (Val Ricks, Editor) - Part 1: A Bayesian Defense of the Rule in Hadley v. Baxendale - Part 2: Sherwood v. Walker: Replevin for Rose Redux

Florida State University Law Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 18 Sep 2017 Last Revised: 21 May 2018
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 71 (336,812)

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Hadley v. Baxendale, Sherwood v. Walker, mistake, probability, remedies

44.

Bayesian Litigation (An Application of Bayes’ Theorem to Law)

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 11 Jun 2018
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 59 (370,801)

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Bayesian Analysis, Law, Litigation

45.

The Problem with Precedent

Vienna Journal on International Constitutional Law, Vol. 12, no. 4 (Forthcoming)
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 24 Jun 2018 Last Revised: 13 Jul 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 52 (393,336)

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precedent, stare decisis, circular reasoning, Bayesian judging

46.

Exit, Voice, and Boilerplate

Number of pages: 5 Posted: 25 Jun 2018
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 32 (472,192)

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contracts, markets, morality, boilerplate

47.

Domestic Constitutional Violence

UA Little Rock Law Review, Vol. 41 (2019), pp. 211-232.
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 24 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 28 May 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 22 (526,034)

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Cooper v. Aaron, Little Rock Crisis, Necessity

48.

Bitcoin, the Commerce Clause, and Bayesian Stare Decisis

Chapman Law Review, Vol. 22, No. 1 (2019), pp. 143-160
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 24 May 2019
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 19 (544,096)
Citation 1

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Bayesian Voting, Bitcoin, South Dakota v. Wayfair, Stare Decisis

49.

Guaranteed Income: Chronicle of a Political Death Foretold

Chapman Law Review, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 28
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 9

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Guaranteed income, negative income tax, universal basic income, Milton Friedman, Rose Friedman, Congress

Other Papers (2)

Total Downloads: 1,110
1.

Hacking Harvard: Law, Ethics, and the Dawn of the Facebook Era

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 15 Jan 2016 Last Revised: 23 Jan 2018
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 1,057

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Business law, ethics, legal environment

2.

Research Fraud as Tort

Science, Vol. 349, No. 6255 (25 Sept. 2015), pp. 1459-1460
Number of pages: 2 Posted: 25 Sep 2015
F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida
Downloads 53

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intentional torts, fraudulent misrepresentation, research fraud