Stefano Giglio

Yale School of Management

135 Prospect Street

P.O. Box 208200

New Haven, CT 06520-8200

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London

United Kingdom

  • Yale School of Management

  • National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

  • Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

26

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492

CROSSREF CITATIONS

702

Scholarly Papers (26)

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1.

Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors

Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 20 Mar 2017 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Guanhao Feng, Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu
City University of Hong Kong (CityUHK), Yale School of Management and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 3,192 (3,686)
Citation 19

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Factors, Stochastic Discount Factor, Post-Selection Inference, Regularized Two-Pass Estimation, Variable Selection, Machine Learning, LASSO, Elastic Net, PCA

2.

Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation

Downloads 2,611 ( 5,160)
Citation 85

Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation

Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 26 Oct 2012 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2015
Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Seth Pruitt
Yale School of Management, Yale SOM and Arizona State University (ASU) - Finance Department
Downloads 2,576 (5,174)
Citation 8

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systemic risk, measures, quantile regression, predictive regression, macroeconomic downturns

Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation

NBER Working Paper No. w20963
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 23 Feb 2015
Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Seth Pruitt
Yale School of Management, Yale SOM and Arizona State University (ASU) - Finance Department
Downloads 35 (491,082)
Citation 26

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3.

Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates

Downloads 2,404 ( 5,913)
Citation 12

Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates

Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 06 Mar 2015 Last Revised: 30 Jul 2019
Stefano Giglio and Bryan T. Kelly
Yale School of Management and Yale SOM
Downloads 2,381 (5,880)
Citation 10

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excess volatility, discount rates, term structure

Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w22045
Number of pages: 86 Posted: 01 Mar 2016
Stefano Giglio and Bryan T. Kelly
Yale School of Management and Yale SOM
Downloads 23 (561,412)
Citation 1

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4.

Hedging Climate Change News

Downloads 1,613 ( 11,495)
Citation 15

Hedging Climate Change News

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 2019-02
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 17 Jan 2019 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2019
Robert F. Engle, Stefano Giglio, Heebum Lee, Bryan T. Kelly and Johannes Stroebel
New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale SOM and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 1,514 (12,422)
Citation 6

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Climate Risk, Hedge Portfolio

Hedging Climate Change News

CESifo Working Paper No. 7655
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 25 Jul 2019
Robert F. Engle, Stefano Giglio, Heebum Lee, Bryan T. Kelly and Johannes Stroebel
New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale SOM and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 79 (335,305)
Citation 6

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climate risk

Hedging Climate Change News

NBER Working Paper No. w25734
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 08 Apr 2019
Robert F. Engle, Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, Heebum Lee and Johannes Stroebel
New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, Yale SOM, New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 19 (588,936)
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Hedging Climate Change News

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13730
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 22 May 2019
Robert F. Engle, Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly, Heebum Lee and Johannes Stroebel
New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, Yale SOM, New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 1 (735,614)
Citation 7
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5.

No News Is News: Do Markets Underreact to Nothing?

Downloads 1,546 ( 12,227)
Citation 20

No News Is News: Do Markets Underreact to Nothing?

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 12-41
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 01 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 11 Sep 2014
Stefano Giglio and Kelly Shue
Yale School of Management and Yale School of Management
Downloads 1,528 (12,231)

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limited attention, no news, underreaction, merger arbitrage, hazard rates

No News is News: Do Markets Underreact to Nothing?

NBER Working Paper No. w18914
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 22 Mar 2013
Stefano Giglio and Kelly Shue
Yale School of Management and Yale School of Management
Downloads 18 (595,967)
Citation 5

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6.

Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

Downloads 1,161 ( 19,064)
Citation 51

Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 17-22
Number of pages: 123 Posted: 05 Aug 2015 Last Revised: 09 Mar 2018
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Krishna Rao, Johannes Stroebel and Andreas Weber
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, Stanford University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 1,079 (20,896)
Citation 5

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Climate Change, Discounting, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Real Estate

Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5608
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 21 Dec 2015
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Andreas Weber
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 49 (429,889)

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environmental economics, declining discount rates, climate change, real estate, cost-benefit analysis, asset pricing

Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

NBER Working Paper No. w21767
Number of pages: 81 Posted: 30 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 02 Dec 2015
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Andreas Weber
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 33 (501,335)
Citation 1

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Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10958
Number of pages: 83 Posted: 01 Dec 2015
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Andreas Weber
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
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Citation 18
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asset pricing, climate change, cost-benefit analysis, declining discount rates, environmental economics, real estate

7.

The Performance of Italian Family Firms

Downloads 965 ( 25,050)
Citation 1

The Performance of Italian Family Firms

ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 127/2006
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 21 Jul 2006
Fausto Panunzi, Carlo A. Favero, Stefano Giglio and Maddalena Honorati
Bocconi University - Department of Economics, Bocconi University - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management and Università Bocconi - Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research (IGIER)
Downloads 934 (25,818)
Citation 3

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Family firms, corporate performance, management style

The Performance of Italian Family Firms

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5786
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 27 Sep 2006
Carlo A. Favero, Stefano Giglio, Maddalena Honorati and Fausto Panunzi
Bocconi University - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, Università Bocconi - Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research (IGIER) and Bocconi University - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (511,912)
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Family firms, corporate performance, management style

8.

An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

Downloads 805 ( 32,426)
Citation 51

An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

Number of pages: 72 Posted: 15 Mar 2012 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2016
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk and Robert Turley
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management, London School of Economics and Harvard University
Downloads 789 (32,811)
Citation 2

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ICAPM, time-varying expected returns, stochastic volatility, value premium

An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

NBER Working Paper No. w18411
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 22 Sep 2012
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk and Robert Turley
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management, London School of Economics and Harvard University
Downloads 15 (617,341)

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An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10681
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 29 Jun 2015
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk and Robert Turley
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management, London School of Economics and Dodge & Cox Funds
Downloads 1 (735,614)
Citation 21
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ICAPM, stochastic volatility, time-varying expected returns, value premium

9.

Very Long-Run Discount Rates

Downloads 792 ( 33,135)

Very Long-Run Discount Rates

Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 106 Posted: 28 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 03 Nov 2014
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori and Johannes Stroebel
Yale School of Management, Harvard University and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 760 (34,500)
Citation 1

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Cost-Benefit Analysis, Asset Pricing, Environmental Economics, Climate Change, Real Estate, House Prices Risk and Return

Very Long-Run Discount Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w20133
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 19 May 2014
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori and Johannes Stroebel
Yale School of Management, Harvard University and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 32 (506,577)

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10.

Asset Pricing with Omitted Factors

Downloads 712 ( 38,294)
Citation 3

Asset Pricing with Omitted Factors

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 16-21
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 08 Nov 2016 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2019
Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu
Yale School of Management and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 691 (39,317)

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Three-Pass Estimator, Regularized Mimicking Portfolio, Latent Factors, Omitted Factors, Measurement Error, Fama-MacBeth Regression, Principal Component Regression

Inference on Risk Premia in the Presence of Omitted Factors

NBER Working Paper No. w23527
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 19 Jun 2017
Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu
Yale School of Management and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 21 (575,038)
Citation 3

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11.

Hard Times

Downloads 594 ( 48,768)
Citation 14

Hard Times

AFA 2012 Chicago Meetings Paper
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 20 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 24 Dec 2011
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Christopher Polk
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management and London School of Economics
Downloads 356 (90,208)

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Hard Times

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 12-46
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 13 Sep 2012
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Christopher Polk
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management and London School of Economics
Downloads 185 (176,839)
Citation 10

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Hard Times

NBER Working Paper No. w16222
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 26 Jul 2010
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Christopher Polk
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management and London School of Economics
Downloads 53 (414,854)
Citation 3

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12.

Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

Downloads 389 ( 81,993)
Citation 3

Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 2019-05
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 08 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 31 Mar 2020
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen P. Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and Vanguard
Downloads 271 (121,708)
Citation 1

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Surveys, Expectations, Sentiment, Behavioral Finance, Discount Rates, Rare Disasters

Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

CESifo Working Paper No. 7666
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 25 Jul 2019
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen P. Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and Vanguard
Downloads 100 (288,598)

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surveys, expectations, sentiment, behavioral finance, discount rates, rare disasters

Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

NBER Working Paper No. w25744
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Apr 2019
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen P. Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and Vanguard
Downloads 16 (610,110)
Citation 1
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Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13657
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 09 Apr 2019 Last Revised: 02 Mar 2020
Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Stefano Giglio and Stephen P. Utkus
Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Yale School of Management and Vanguard
Downloads 2 (721,381)
Citation 2
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13.

The Price of Variance Risk

Downloads 381 ( 84,076)
Citation 39

The Price of Variance Risk

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 15-31
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 26 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 09 Oct 2015
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio, Anh Le and Marius Rodriguez
Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, Penn State University Smeal College of Business and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 360 (89,072)
Citation 1

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variance swaps, volatility pricing, VIX, asset pricing, disasters

The Price of Variance Risk

NBER Working Paper No. w21182
Number of pages: 74 Posted: 18 May 2015
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio, Anh Le and Marius Rodriguez
Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management, Penn State University Smeal College of Business and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 21 (575,038)
Citation 14

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14.

Thousands of Alpha Tests

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 18-09
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 17 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 26 Mar 2020
Stefano Giglio, Yuan Liao and Dacheng Xiu
Yale School of Management, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick/Piscataway and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 372 (86,486)
Citation 7

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Data Snooping, Multiple Testing, Alpha Testing, Factor Models, Hedge Fund Performance, False Discovery Rate, Machine Learning, Missing Data, Wild-Bootstrap, Matrix Completion

15.

No-Bubble Condition: Model-Free Tests in Housing Markets

Downloads 348 ( 93,287)
Citation 21

No-Bubble Condition: Model-Free Tests in Housing Markets

Fama-Miller Working Paper
Number of pages: 97 Posted: 17 May 2014 Last Revised: 21 Oct 2015
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori and Johannes Stroebel
Yale School of Management, Harvard University and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 335 (96,641)
Citation 2

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Asset Pricing, Real Estate, Rational Bubbles, House Prices, Financial Crisis

No-Bubble Condition: Model-Free Tests in Housing Markets

NBER Working Paper No. w20154
Number of pages: 89 Posted: 26 May 2014
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori and Johannes Stroebel
Yale School of Management, Harvard University and New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Downloads 13 (632,169)
Citation 3

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16.

Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility

Downloads 170 (190,651)
Citation 1

Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility

Yale ICF Working Paper No. 2018-21
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 09 Dec 2018 Last Revised: 02 Aug 2019
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio and Bryan T. Kelly
Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management and Yale SOM
Downloads 163 (197,800)
Citation 1

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Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility

NBER Working Paper No. w26323
Number of pages: 76 Posted: 30 Sep 2019
Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio and Bryan T. Kelly
Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance, Yale School of Management and Yale SOM
Downloads 7 (677,589)
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17.

Equity Term Structures without Dividend Strips Data

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 12 Mar 2020
Stefano Giglio, Bryan T. Kelly and Serhiy Kozak
Yale School of Management, Yale SOM and University of Maryland - Robert H. Smith School of Business
Downloads 160 (200,728)
Citation 2

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equity strips, risk premia, dividend claims, term structure

18.

Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

Downloads 155 (206,127)

Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

CESifo Working Paper No. 8334
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 05 Jun 2020
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 79 (335,305)

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surveys, expectations, sentiment, behavioural finance, trading, rare disasters

Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

NBER Working Paper No. w27272
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 02 Jun 2020
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen P. Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and Vanguard
Downloads 76 (343,208)

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Inside the Mind of a Stock Market Crash

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14813
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 May 2020
Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel and Stephen P. Utkus
Yale School of Management, Harvard University, New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business and Vanguard
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behavioral finance, Expectations, Rare Disasters, sentiment, Surveys, Trading

19.

Intangible Capital, Relative Asset Shortages and Bubbles

Downloads 154 (207,263)
Citation 14

Intangible Capital, Relative Asset Shortages and Bubbles

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 09 Apr 2011
Stefano Giglio and Tiago Severo
Yale School of Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 101 (286,700)

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Intangible Capital, Asset Shortages, Rational Bubbles, Financial Constraints, Technological Change, Dynamic Inefficiency

Intangible Capital, Relative Asset Shortages and Bubbles

IMF Working Paper No. 11/271
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 20 Dec 2011
Stefano Giglio and Tiago Severo
Yale School of Management and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 53 (414,854)
Citation 3

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Asset prices, Bonds, Capital, Capital markets, Developed countries, Economic models, Financial assets

20.

Forced Sales and House Prices

NBER Working Paper No. w14866
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 13 Apr 2009 Last Revised: 16 Aug 2010
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio and Parag A. Pathak
Harvard University - Department of Economics, Yale School of Management and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics
Downloads 123 (247,556)
Citation 36

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21.

Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks

Downloads 117 (257,000)
Citation 16

Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks

Number of pages: 64 Posted: 12 Jun 2017
David Berger, Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio
Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance and Yale School of Management
Downloads 99 (290,570)

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Uncertainty, macroeconomy, volatility, realized volatility, VIX, news shocks, vector autoregressions

Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks

NBER Working Paper No. w23796
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 11 Sep 2017
David Berger, Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio
Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance and Yale School of Management
Downloads 18 (595,967)
Citation 21

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22.

Asset Pricing in the Frequency Domain: Theory and Empirics

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 15-30
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 13 Aug 2015
Ian L. Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio
Northwestern University - Department of Economics and Yale School of Management
Downloads 113 (263,456)
Citation 1

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23.

Fiscal Policy and the Term Structure: Evidence from the Case of Italy in the EMS and the Emu Periods

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5793
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 10 Oct 2006
Carlo A. Favero and Stefano Giglio
Bocconi University - Department of Finance and Yale School of Management
Downloads 25 (531,958)
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Fiscal policy, term structure, regime-switching, Bayesian estimation

24.

Asset Pricing in the Frequency Domain: Theory and Empirics

NBER Working Paper No. w19416
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 06 Sep 2013
Ian Dew-Becker and Stefano Giglio
Kellogg School of Management - Department of Finance and Yale School of Management
Downloads 20 (562,740)
Citation 4

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25.

Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors

Downloads 13 (608,213)
Citation 14

Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors

NBER Working Paper No. w25481
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 30 Jan 2019
Guanhao Feng, Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu
City University of Hong Kong (CityUHK), Yale School of Management and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 12 (639,835)
Citation 4
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Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14266
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Jan 2020
Guanhao Feng, Stefano Giglio and Dacheng Xiu
City University of Hong Kong (CityUHK), Yale School of Management and University of Chicago - Booth School of Business
Downloads 1 (735,614)
Citation 10
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Elastic Net, Factors, Lasso, Machine Learning, PCA, Post-Selection Inference, Regularized Two-Pass Estimation, Stochastic discount factor, variable selection

26.

Credit Default Swap Spreads and Systemic Financial Risk

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 12-45
Posted: 13 Sep 2012
Stefano Giglio
Yale School of Management

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