Sichuan University, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Southwest Jiaotong University, Southwest Jiaotong University, Shandong University, Southwest Jiaotong University, Southwest Jiaotong University, Sichuan University, Sichuan University - Failure Mechanics and Engineering Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Key Laboratory and Southwest Jiaotong University - Applied Mechanics and Structure Safety Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province