Stefan Gerlach

Central Bank of Ireland

P.O. Box 559

Dame Street

Dublin , 2

Ireland

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Fellow

London

United Kingdom

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

53

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171

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692

Scholarly Papers (53)

1.

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Evidence from the G-7 Countries

BIS Working Paper No. 26
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Frank Smets
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 1,627 (15,692)
Citation 54

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2.

Monetary Policy, Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Conditions : A Panel-Var Study

National Bank of Belgium Working Paper No. 149
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 01 Oct 2010
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 863 (39,636)
Citation 62

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asset prices, credit, monetary policy, panel VAR

3.

The Recent Behaviour of Financial Markets Volatility

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 18 Sep 2006
Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Bank for International Settlements (BIS), Central Bank of Ireland, Bank of Italy, Swiss National Bank and Bank of Italy
Downloads 532 (74,379)

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financial volatility, risk taking, international financial markets

4.

Monetary Policy Regimes and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Hong Kong and Singapore

BIS Working Paper No. 204
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 20 Sep 2007
Stefan Gerlach and Petra Gerlach-Kristen
Central Bank of Ireland and Swiss National Bank
Downloads 436 (94,362)
Citation 8

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Hong Kong, Singapore, monetary policy, inflation

5.
Downloads 385 (109,018)
Citation 27

Banking and Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area

Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2010,09
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 08 Jun 2016
Stefan Gerlach, Alexander Schulz and Guntram B. Wolff
Central Bank of Ireland, Deutsche Bundesbank and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 345 (122,311)

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Sovereign bond markets, banking, liquidity, EMU

Banking and Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7833
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 19 Jul 2010
Stefan Gerlach, Alexander Schulz and Guntram B. Wolff
Central Bank of Ireland, Deutsche Bundesbank and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 40 (585,462)
Citation 3
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banking, EMU, liquidity, sovereign bond markets

6.

Does the Term Structure Predict Recessions? The International Evidence

BIS Working Paper No. 37, CEPR Discussion Paper Series No. 1892
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Henri Bernard
Central Bank of Ireland and Retired
Downloads 358 (118,229)
Citation 11

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7.

150 Years of Financial Market Volatility

BIS Quarterly Review, September 2006
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 13 Jun 2012
Central Bank of Ireland, Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 319 (133,773)
Citation 1

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8.

The Taylor Rule and Interest Rates in the Emu Area: A Note

BIS Working Paper No. 73
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Gert Schnabel
Central Bank of Ireland and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 293 (146,255)
Citation 35

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Ensuring Financial Stability: Financial Structure and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

Institute for Empirical Research in Economics Working Paper No. 361
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 01 Apr 2008
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 290 (147,164)
Citation 42

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asset prices, monetary policy, panel VAR

Ensuring Financial Stability: Financial Structure and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6773
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 12 Jun 2008
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 2 (915,750)
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asset prices, monetary policy, panel VAR

10.

The Recent Behaviour of Financial Market Volatility

Bank of Italy Occasional Paper No. 2
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 17 Sep 2007
Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Swiss National Bank, Central Bank of Ireland, Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Downloads 279 (153,701)
Citation 11

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financial volatility, risk taking, international financial markets

11.
Downloads 29 (154,278)
Citation 74

Bank Lending and Property Prices in Hong Kong

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 30 Mar 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Peng Wensheng
Central Bank of Ireland and Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Downloads 29 (653,967)
Citation 7
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Property prices, bank lending, Hong Kong

Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market and Transition Economies: Lessons after a Decade

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Dec 2001
Jeffery D. Amato and Stefan Gerlach
Goldman Sachs International and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 45 (558,778)
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Inflation targeting, central banks, monetary policy

13.
Downloads 207 (205,217)
Citation 26

Contagious Speculative Attacks

BIS Working Paper No. 22
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Frank Smets
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 186 (225,676)
Citation 30

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Contagious Speculative Attacks

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 09 Oct 2001
Stefan Gerlach and Frank Smets
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 21 (716,897)
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Exchange rate contagion, speculative attacks

14.

The Term Structure of Euro-Rates: Some Evidence in Support of the Expectations Hypothesis

BIS Working Paper No. 28
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Frank Smets
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 198 (213,609)
Citation 29

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Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?

BIS Working Paper No. 98
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Lars E. O. Svensson
Central Bank of Ireland and Stockholm School of Economics
Downloads 127 (308,716)
Citation 4

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ECB, Eurosystem, Pstar

Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?

NBER Working Paper No. w8025
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 02 Dec 2000 Last Revised: 06 Jun 2022
Stefan Gerlach and Lars E. O. Svensson
Central Bank of Ireland and Stockholm School of Economics
Downloads 37 (602,433)
Citation 2

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Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 18 Jul 2002
Stefan Gerlach and Lars E. O. Svensson
Central Bank of Ireland and Stockholm School of Economics
Downloads 25 (683,929)
Citation 8
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ECB, Eurosystem, Pstar

16.
Downloads 186 (225,672)
Citation 2

Unemployment and Inflation in Ireland: 1926-2012

CFS Working Paper No. 514
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
Stefan Gerlach, Reamonn Lydon and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland, Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 186 (225,676)

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Ireland, historical statistics, inflation, unemployment, import prices

Unemployment and Inflation in Ireland: 1926-2012

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10567
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 05 May 2015
Stefan Gerlach, Reamonn Lydon and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland, Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
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Citation 2
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historical statistics, import prices, inflation, Ireland, unemployment

17.

Monetary Policy and the Behaviour of Interest Rates: Are Long Rates Excessively Volatile?

BIS Working Paper No. 34
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 108 (344,746)
Citation 8

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Interpreting Euro Area Inflation at High and Low Frequencies

BIS Working Paper No. 195
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 20 Sep 2007
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 87 (399,424)
Citation 11

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spectral regression, frequency domain, quantity theory, inflation, money growth

Interpreting Euro Area Inflation at High and Low Frequencies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5632
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Jul 2006
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 18 (742,805)
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Spectral regression, frequency domain, quantity theory, inflation, money growth

The Information Content of the Term Structure: Evidence for Germany

BIS Working Paper No. 29
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 103 (358,339)
Citation 6

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The Information Content of the Term Structure Evidence for Germany

EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS, Vol. 22, No. 2 (1997)
Posted: 01 Sep 1997
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland

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The Zero Lower Bound, ECB Interest Rate Policy and the Financial Crisis

De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 254
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 24 Oct 2011
Stefan Gerlach and John Lewis
Central Bank of Ireland and De Nederlandsche Bank - Econometric Research and Special Studies
Downloads 89 (393,801)
Citation 13

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ECB, reaction functions, zero lower bound, smooth transition

The Zero Lower Bound, ECB Interest Rate Policy and the Financial Crisis

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7933
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 26 Jul 2010
Stefan Gerlach and John Lewis
Central Bank of Ireland and De Nederlandsche Bank - Econometric Research and Special Studies
Downloads 5 (875,527)
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ECB, Reaction function, Smooth transition, Zero lower bound

21.

The Term Structure of Interest Rates across Frequencies

ECB Working Paper No. 976
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Dec 2008
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 74 (434,417)

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Expectations theory of the term structure, interest rates, spectral regression, frequency domain

22.

Testing the Quantity Theory Using Long-Run Averaged Cross-Country Data

BIS Working Paper No. 31
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 71 (444,164)
Citation 2

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23.

Exchange Rate Regimes and the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure

BIS Working Paper No. 43, CEPR Discussion Paper Series No. 1752
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach and Frank Smets
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 65 (464,919)
Citation 6

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Interpreting the Term Structure of Interbank Rates in Hong Kong

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 21 Feb 2002
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 17 (751,911)
Citation 1
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Term structure of interest rates, expectations hypothesis, Hong Kong

25.

Money, Interest Rates and Prices in Ireland, 1933-2012

CFS Working Paper No. 513
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 47 (538,515)
Citation 2

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Ireland, historical statistics, long time series, business cycles, SVAR

26.
Downloads 44 (552,885)

Back to Gold: Sterling in 1925

CFS Working Paper No. 515
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
Stefan Gerlach and Peter Kugler
Central Bank of Ireland and University of Basel
Downloads 44 (563,941)
Citation 1

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Gold Standard, Sterling, exchange rate, PPP, expectations

Back to Gold: Sterling in 1925

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10761
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 11 Aug 2015
Stefan Gerlach and Peter Kugler
Central Bank of Ireland and University of Basel
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27.
Downloads 42 (562,848)
Citation 4

Monetary Policy and TIPS Yields Before the Crisis

CFS Working Paper No. 2011/22
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 13 Sep 2011 Last Revised: 05 Oct 2011
Laura Moretti and Stefan Gerlach
European Central Bank (ECB) and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 39 (590,939)

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monetary policy, long real interest rates, TIPS

Monetary Policy and Tips Yields Before the Crisis

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8560
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 16 Sep 2011
Stefan Gerlach and Laura Moretti
Central Bank of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 3 (900,972)
Citation 1
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long real interest rates, monetary policy, TIPS

28.

German Unification and the Demand for German M3

BIS Working Paper No. 21
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Dec 2005
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 41 (567,960)
Citation 4

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29.

The Ecb's Two Pillars

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 29 Jan 2003
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 33 (611,804)
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30.

Understanding the Link between Money Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5683
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 02 Aug 2006
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 31 (623,866)
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Spatial regression, frequency domain, Philipps curve, quantity theory

31.

Interest Rate Setting by the ECB: Words and Deeds

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 31 (623,866)
Citation 6
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ECB, empirical reaction functions, ordered probit

32.

The Inflation Bias Revisited: Theory and Some International Evidence

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3761
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 14 Mar 2003
Alex Cukierman and Stefan Gerlach
Tel Aviv University - Eitan Berglas School of Economics and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 31 (623,866)
Citation 2
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Inflation bias, Kydland-Prescott, Carro-Gordon

33.

Money at Low Frequencies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5868
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 20 Dec 2006
Katrin Assenmacher and Stefan Gerlach
Swiss National Bank and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 23 (679,082)
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Quantity theory, Phillips curve, spectral regression, frequency domain

34.

Recession Aversion, Output and the Kydland-Prescott Barro-Gordon Model

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Jan 2003
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 23 (679,082)
Citation 2
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Asymmetric policy reactions, inflation bias, reaction functions

35.

Estimates of Real Economic Activity in Switzerland, 1885-1930

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 13 Aug 2002
Stefan Gerlach and Petra Gerlach-Kristen
Central Bank of Ireland and Swiss National Bank
Downloads 19 (710,375)
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Swiss economic history, principal components, coincident indicator

36.

Unobservable-Components Estimates of Output Gaps in Five Asian Economies

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 18 Jul 2002
Stefan Gerlach and Matthew S. Yiu
Central Bank of Ireland and Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (HKIMR)
Downloads 18 (718,431)
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37.

Money Growth, Output Gaps and Inflation at Low and High Frequency: Spectral Estimates for Switzerland

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5723
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 Aug 2006
Stefan Gerlach and Katrin Assenmacher
Central Bank of Ireland and Swiss National Bank
Downloads 16 (735,182)
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Spectral regression, frequency domain, Phillips curve, quantity theory

38.

ECB Reaction Functions and the Crisis of 2008

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8472
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 20 Jul 2011
Stefan Gerlach and John Lewis
Central Bank of Ireland and De Nederlandsche Bank - Econometric Research and Special Studies
Downloads 7 (820,714)
Citation 2
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ECB, reaction functions, smooth transition, zero lower bound

39.

Inflation Targeting and Inflation Persistence in Asia

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8046
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 Nov 2010
Stefan Gerlach and Peter Tillmann
Central Bank of Ireland and University of Giessen
Downloads 6 (831,020)
Citation 1
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Asia, Inflation persistence, Inflation targeting, Monetary policy strategy

40.

ECB Repo Rate Setting During the Financial Crisis

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8346
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 20 Apr 2011
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 5 (841,493)
Citation 2
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ECB, Ordered logit, Reaction functions, Smooth transition

41.

Swiss Monetary Policy, 2000-2009

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7805
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 19 May 2010
Hans Genberg and Stefan Gerlach
University of Geneva - Graduate Institute of International Studies (HEI) and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 5 (841,493)
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empirical reaction functions, inflation targeting, SNB, Taylor rule

42.

Monetary Factors and Inflation in Japan

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6650
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 05 Jun 2008
Katrin Assenmacher, Stefan Gerlach and Toshitaka Sekine
Swiss National Bank, Central Bank of Ireland and Hitotsubashi University - Graduate School of Economics
Downloads 3 (864,589)
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Frequency domain, Phillips curve, quantity theory, spectral regression

43.

What Drives the FOMC's Dot Plots?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13117
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 21 Aug 2018
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 2 (877,636)
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Federal Reserve, interest rate expectations, interpolation, monetary policy

44.

The Slope of the Term Structure and Recessions: The Pre-Fed Evidence, 1857-1913

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP13013
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Jun 2018
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 1 (892,065)
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Federal Reserve, Recessions, term structure

45.

The Output-Inflation Trade-Off in Switzerland, 1916 -2015

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11714
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 03 Jan 2017
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 1 (892,065)
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output-inflation trade off; Phillips curve; structural break; Switzerland

46.

Money Demand Under Free Banking: Switzerland 1851-1906

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11029
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Jan 2016
Stefan Gerlach and Peter Kugler
Central Bank of Ireland and University of Basel
Downloads 1 (892,065)
Citation 2
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free banking, monetary dynamics, money demand, Switzerland

47.

The Phillips Curve in Ireland: 1935 - 2012

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10010
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Sep 2014
Stefan Gerlach, Reamonn Lydon and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland, Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 1 (892,065)
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Historical statistics, Import prices, Inflation, Ireland, Output gap

48.

Commodity Prices and Global Inflation, 1851-1913

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16526
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
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commodity prices, Global inflation, gold standard, pig iron

49.

International Co-Movements of Inflation, 1851-1913

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15914
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 15 Mar 2021
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
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50.

Plotting Interest Rates: The FOMC's Projections and the Economy

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12768
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 06 Mar 2018
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
Downloads 0 (908,821)
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Federal Reserve, interest rate expectations, monetary policy

51.

Long-Run Money Demand in Switzerland

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12356
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 09 Oct 2017
Stefan Gerlach
Central Bank of Ireland
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cointegration, money demand, opportunity cost, Switzerland

52.

Joining the Dots: The FOMC and the Future Path of Policy Rates

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11618
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 14 Nov 2016
Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart
Central Bank of Ireland and Central Bank of Ireland
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Federal Reserve, interest rate expectations, interpolation, monetary policy

53.

Financial Structure and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

CFS Working Paper No. 2008/30
Posted: 14 Oct 2008
Stefan Gerlach and Katrin Assenmacher
Central Bank of Ireland and Swiss National Bank

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Asset Prices, Monetary Policy, Panel VAR