University of Illinois at Chicago, affiliation not provided to SSRN, American Institutes for Research, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Stanford University - Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace, American Institutes for Research, University of Missouri, Duke University - Sanford School of Public Policy, University of Texas at Dallas, University of Missouri at Columbia - Department of Economics, Kennesaw State University, Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies and Duke University - Department of Economics