J.R. Magnus

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics

Professor

De Boelelaan 1105

Amsterdam, 1081HV

Netherlands

  • Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

45

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5,087

TOTAL CITATIONS
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Top 9,851

in Total Papers Citations

106

Scholarly Papers (45)

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1.

Records in Athletics Through Extreme-Value Theory

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2006-83
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 12 Oct 2006
John H. J. Einmahl and J.R. Magnus
Tilburg University - Department of Econometrics & Operations Research and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 702 (78,175)
Citation 5

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Endpoint estimation, exceedance probability, ranking, statistics of extremes, world record

2.

Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares: Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues

CentER Working Paper Series No. 2011-082
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 25 Jul 2011
Giuseppe De Luca and J.R. Magnus
University of Palermo - d/SEAS and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 576 (100,661)
Citation 17

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model uncertainty, model averaging, Bayesian analysis, exact computation

3.

The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation

Downloads 246 (261,263)
Citation 12

The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 23 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2014
Gerda Claeskens, J.R. Magnus, Andrey L. Vasnev and Wendun Wang
KU Leuven - Department of Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, University of Sydney and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
Downloads 110 (525,963)
Citation 2

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forecast combination, optimal weights, model selection

The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 05 Mar 2016
Gerda Claeskens, J.R. Magnus, Andrey L. Vasnev and Wendun Wang
KU Leuven - Department of Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, University of Sydney and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Downloads 70 (701,581)
Citation 8

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forecast combination, optimal weights

The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-127/III
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 20 Sep 2014
Gerda Claeskens, J.R. Magnus, Andrey L. Vasnev and Wendun Wang
KU Leuven - Department of Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, University of Sydney and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
Downloads 66 (724,327)
Citation 2

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forecast combination, optimal weights, model selection

4.

On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging

CentER Working Paper No. 2011-003
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 31 May 2011 Last Revised: 26 Apr 2017
John H. J. Einmahl, Kamlesh Kumar and J.R. Magnus
Tilburg University - Department of Econometrics & Operations Research, India Development Foundation and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 205 (311,260)

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Model averaging, Bayesian analysis, Subbotin prior

5.

A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-092/III
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 02 Nov 2021
J.R. Magnus and Anatoly Peresetsky
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and National Research University Higher School of Economics (Moscow)
Downloads 183 (345,506)

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Dunning-Kruger Effect, Boundary Conditions, Tobit Model

6.

Expected Utility and Catastrophic Risk in a Stochastic Economy-Climate Model

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-122
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 05 Dec 2010
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, Chris Muris and J.R. Magnus
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), affiliation not provided to SSRN and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 179 (352,462)
Citation 7

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Economy-climate models, Catastrophe, Expected utility, Heavy tails, Power utility

7.

Are Economic Agents Successful Optimizers? An Analysis Through Service Strategy in Tennis

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 06-048/2
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 08 Jun 2006
Franc Klaassen and J.R. Magnus
University of Amsterdam - Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics (RESAM) and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 179 (352,462)

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Inefficiency, Frontier, Optimal strategy, Tennis

8.

Scrap Value Functions in Dynamic Decision Problems

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-77
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 30 Jul 2010
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, J.R. Magnus and Chris Muris
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 151 (407,950)
Citation 2

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Scrap value function, Dynamic optimization, Computation, Short horizon

9.

Statistics and Common Sense

Downloads 150 (410,180)

Statistics and Common Sense

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-106/III
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 20 Feb 2022
Nobuyuki Hanaki, J.R. Magnus and Donghoon Yoo
Osaka University - Institute of Social and Economic Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Academia Sinica
Downloads 79 (655,405)

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probability, statistical methods, experiment, common knowledge

Statistics and Common Sense

ISER DP No.1150
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 11 Feb 2022
Nobuyuki Hanaki, J.R. Magnus and Donghoon Yoo
Osaka University - Institute of Social and Economic Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Academia Sinica
Downloads 71 (696,133)

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Probability, Statistical Methods, Experiment, Common Knowledge

10.

A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2008-39
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 17 Apr 2008
J.R. Magnus, Owen Powell and Patricia Prufer
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, University of Vienna - Department of Economics and CentERdata
Downloads 150 (410,180)
Citation 37

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model averaging, Bayesian analysis, growth determinants

11.

Resource Abundance and Resource Dependence in China

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-109
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 14 Oct 2010
J.R. Magnus, Kan Ji and Wendun Wang
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Downloads 125 (474,027)
Citation 2

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Natural resource curse, Economic growth, China, Institutional quality, Resource abundance, Resource dependence, Regional differences, Policy change

12.

Global Warming and Local Dimming: The Statistical Evidence

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2011-004
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 21 Jul 2011
J.R. Magnus, Bertrand Melenberg and Chris Muris
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 115 (505,281)
Citation 4

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global warming, dimming, aerosols, dynamic panel data

13.

Adaptation for Mitigation

Downloads 110 (522,251)

Adaptation for Mitigation

FEEM Working Paper No. 102.2014
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 11 Dec 2014
Masako Ikefuji, J.R. Magnus and Hiroaki Sakamoto
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Waseda University - School of Social Science
Downloads 66 (724,327)

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Climate Change, Mitigation, Adaptation, Human Capital

Adaptation for Mitigation

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-126/III
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 20 Sep 2014
Masako Ikefuji, J.R. Magnus and Hiroaki Sakamoto
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Waseda University - School of Social Science
Downloads 44 (881,086)

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Climate change, mitigation, adaptation, human capital

14.

Climate Change, Economic Growth, and Health

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-86
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 25 Aug 2010
Masako Ikefuji, J.R. Magnus and Hiroaki Sakamoto
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Kyoto University - Department of Economics
Downloads 107 (532,884)

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Climate Change, Health, Economic Growth, Local Dimming, Cobenefits

15.

Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimation of Generalized Linear Models

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2017-029/III
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 28 Feb 2017
Giuseppe De Luca, J.R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi
University of Palermo - d/SEAS, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance
Downloads 98 (567,030)
Citation 1

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WALS, model averaging, generalized linear models, Monte Carlo, attrition

16.

Weitzman Meets Nordhaus: Expected Utility and Catastrophic Risk in a Stochastic Economy-Climate Model

ISER Discussion Paper No. 825
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 20 Dec 2011
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, J.R. Magnus and Chris Muris
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Downloads 98 (567,030)
Citation 2

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economy-climate models, catastrophe, expected utility, heavytails, power utility

17.

The Perception of Small Crime

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-115
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 09 Nov 2010
J.R. Magnus, Arthur van Soest, Arthur van Soest and Salima Douhou
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, Tilburg UniversityNetspar and Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER)
Downloads 97 (570,842)

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Crime Seriousness, Social Norms, Vignettes

18.

Expected Utility and Catastrophic Risk

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-133/III
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 07 Oct 2014
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, J.R. Magnus and Chris Muris
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Simon Fraser University (SFU)
Downloads 96 (574,636)
Citation 4

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Expected utility, Catastrophe, Cost-benefit analysis, Risk management, Power utility, Exponential utility, Heavy tails

19.

Are Economic Agents Successful Optimizers?: An Analysis Through Strategy in Tennis

CentER Discussion Paper No. 2006-52
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 Jul 2006
Franc Klaassen and J.R. Magnus
University of Amsterdam - Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics (RESAM) and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 94 (582,423)

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Inefficiency, Frontier, Optimal strategy, Tennis

20.

Weighted-average Least Squares (WALS): Confidence and Prediction Intervals

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-038/III, d/SEAS Working Paper Forthcoming
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 10 May 2021
Giuseppe De Luca, J.R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi
University of Palermo - d/SEAS, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance
Downloads 91 (594,240)
Citation 2

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post-selection estimators; adaptive lasso; frequentist model averaging; WALS; confidence intervals; prediction intervals; Monte Carlo simulations

21.

WALS Prediction

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2012-043
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 01 Jun 2012
J.R. Magnus, Wendun Wang and Xinyu Zhang
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Academy of Mathematics and Systems Sciences
Downloads 90 (598,302)

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Model averaging, Model uncertainty, Bayesian analysis, Prediction

22.

Climate Change, Economic Growth, and Health

ISER Discussion Paper No. 785
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2014
Masako Ikefuji, J.R. Magnus and Hiroaki Sakamoto
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Kyoto University - Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (602,315)
Citation 1

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Climate change, health, economic growth, local dimming, co-benefits

23.

Grade Expectations: Rationality and Overconfidence

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 17-054/III
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 29 Jun 2017
J.R. Magnus and Anatoly Peresetsky
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and National Research University Higher School of Economics (Moscow)
Downloads 87 (610,825)

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Rational expectations, Classroom experiment, Overconfidence, Gender difference, Persistence

24.

Sampling Properties of the Bayesian Posterior Mean With an Application to WALS Estimation

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-015/III, d/SEAS Working Paper Forthcoming
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 09 Mar 2020
Giuseppe De Luca, J.R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi
University of Palermo - d/SEAS, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance
Downloads 85 (619,456)
Citation 2

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Normal Location Model, Posterior Moments and Cumulants, Higher-Order Delta Method Approximations, Double-Shrinkage Estimators, WALS

25.

Peer Reporting and the Perception of Fairness

CentER Working Paper Series No. 2011-068
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 11 Jun 2011
Salima Douhou, J.R. Magnus, Arthur van Soest and Arthur van Soest
Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Tilburg UniversityNetspar
Downloads 80 (641,575)
Citation 1

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Peer reporting, Perception, Social norms, Fairness, Employee theft, Victimization

26.

Local Sensitivity and Diagnostic Tests

CentER Discussion Paper No. 2004-105
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 07 Dec 2004
J.R. Magnus and Andrey L. Vasnev
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Sydney
Downloads 79 (660,102)

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Maximum likelihood, sensitivity, diagnostic test, regression

27.

Earthquake Risk Embedded in Property Prices: Evidence from Five Japanese Cities

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2018-061/III
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 01 Aug 2018
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, J.R. Magnus and Yuan Yue
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE)
Downloads 77 (655,412)
Citation 1

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Earthquake risk, House price, Seismic excitation, Probability weighting, Hedonic pricing, Multivariate error components

28.

Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2012-017
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 17 Feb 2012
J.R. Magnus and Wendun Wang
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Downloads 73 (674,816)
Citation 2

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Hierarchical model averaging, Growth determinants, Measurement

29.

WALS Estimation and Forecasting in Factor-Based Dynamic Models with an Application to Armenia

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2011-054
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 10 May 2011
J.R. Magnus and Karen Poghosyan
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Government of the Republic of Armenia - Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia
Downloads 70 (690,094)

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Dynamic models, Factor analysis, Model averaging, Monte

30.

Bayesian Integration of Large SNA Data Frameworks with an Application to Guatemala

CentER Discussion Paper No. 2011-022
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 06 Mar 2011 Last Revised: 20 Apr 2011
Jan W. van Tongeren and J.R. Magnus
Tilburg University and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 70 (690,094)

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Macro accounts, system of national accounts, data frameworks, ratios, reliability, Bayesian estimation, sensitivity analysis, aggregation

31.

On the Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast: The Critical Role of Correlation

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 07 Feb 2022 Last Revised: 01 Jun 2022
J.R. Magnus and Andrey L. Vasnev
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Sydney
Downloads 66 (711,637)

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Combining information, Correlation, Growth forecasting, Inflation forecasting, Central Banks.

32.

On the Ambiguous Consequences of Omitting Variables

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-061/III
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 22 May 2015
Giuseppe De Luca, J.R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi
University of Palermo, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Rome Tor Vergata - Department of Economics and Finance
Downloads 66 (711,637)
Citation 1

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Omitted variables, Misspecification, Least-squares estimators, Bias, Mean squared error

33.

The Perception of Climate Sensitivity: Revealing Priors from Posteriors

Downloads 63 (728,771)

The Perception of Climate Sensitivity: Revealing Priors from Posteriors

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-046/III
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Sep 2020
Masako Ikefuji and J.R. Magnus
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP) and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 34 (976,384)

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revealed prior, climate sensitivity, IPCC

The Perception of Climate Sensitivity: Revealing Priors From Posteriors

ISEr DP No. 1111
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 01 Feb 2021
Masako Ikefuji and J.R. Magnus
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP) and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 29 (1,031,053)

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Revealed prior, climate sensitivity, IPCC

34.

Practical Use of Sensitivity in Econometrics with an Illustration to Forecast Combinations

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 07 Mar 2013
J.R. Magnus and Andrey L. Vasnev
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and University of Sydney
Downloads 59 (752,672)

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Sensitivity analysis, Forecast combination, Yield curve prediction

35.

A Gentle Introduction to Matrix Calculus

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 30 Apr 2024
J.R. Magnus
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 57 (765,374)

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Differential calculus, multivariate, optimization, vec operator, commutation matrix

36.

Gauss on Least-Squares and Maximum-Likelihood Estimation

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-105/III
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 20 Feb 2022
J.R. Magnus
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 57 (778,382)
Citation 1

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Gauss, Least Squares, Maximum Likelihood, History

37.

The Jacobian of the Exponential Function

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-035/III
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 14 Jul 2020
J.R. Magnus, Henk Pijls and Enrique Sentana
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, University of Amsterdam and Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros (CEMFI)
Downloads 52 (799,007)
Citation 1

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Matrix differential calculus, Orthogonal matrix, Continuous-time Markov chain, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

38.

Weak Versus Strong Dominance of Shrinkage Estimators

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-007/III, d/SEAS Working Paper Forthcoming
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Giuseppe De Luca and J.R. Magnus
University of Palermo - d/SEAS and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics
Downloads 41 (885,365)

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Shrinkage, Dominance, James-Stein

39.

Zero-Diagonality as a Linear Structure

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2020-039/III
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 22 Jul 2020
J.R. Magnus and Enrique Sentana
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros (CEMFI)
Downloads 39 (903,236)
Citation 1

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Diagonality, Networks, Restricted matrices, Structural vector autoregressions

40.

Revealing Priors from Posteriors

Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 Jun 2022
J.R. Magnus, Masako Ikefuji and Takashi Yamagata
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics, Osaka University and University of York
Downloads 35 (940,810)

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Revealed prior, judgment

41.

A Statistical Proof of the Transformation Theorem

Posted: 19 Mar 2012
Karim M. Abadir and J.R. Magnus
The American University in Cairo and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics

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42.

Burr Utility

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-81
Posted: 08 Aug 2010
Masako Ikefuji, Roger J. A. Laeven, J.R. Magnus and Chris Muris
Osaka University - Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN

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Cardinal scale, Utility function, Harmonic absolute risk aversion

43.

On Theil's Errors

CentER Working Paper No. 2003-18
Posted: 26 May 2004
J.R. Magnus and Ashoke Sinha
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER)

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BLUS residuals, Recursive residuals, Power comparisons

44.

On the Independence and Identical Distribution of Points in Tennis

Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, Discussion Paper Series No. 1998-53
Posted: 18 Dec 1998
Franc Klaassen and J.R. Magnus
University of Amsterdam - Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics (RESAM) and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics

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45.

A Classical Problem in Linear Regression or How to Estimate the Mean of a Univariate Normal Distribution with Known Variance

CENTER Working Paper No. 9660
Posted: 22 Oct 1996
J.R. Magnus and J. Durbin
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics and London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)

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