Joseph P. Simmons

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School

3733 Spruce Street

Philadelphia, PA 19104-6374

United States

  • University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

31

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986

Scholarly Papers (31)

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1.

A 21 Word Solution

Number of pages: 4 Posted: 15 Oct 2012
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson and Uri Simonsohn
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and ESADE Business School
Downloads 14,132 (671)
Citation 120

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transparency, disclosure, false positive, psycholog, p-hacking

2.

P-Curve: A Key to the File Drawer

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 24 Apr 2013 Last Revised: 08 Jul 2014
Uri Simonsohn, Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
ESADE Business School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 13,399 (725)
Citation 33

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p-hacking, publication bias, file drawer, science, statistics, judgment, decision making

3.

False-Positive Psychology: Undisclosed Flexibility in Data Collection and Analysis Allows Presenting Anything as Significant

Psychological Science, 2011
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 24 May 2011 Last Revised: 29 Mar 2017
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson and Uri Simonsohn
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and ESADE Business School
Downloads 9,662 (1,279)
Citation 111

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Methodology, Motivated Reasoning, Publication, Disclosure

4.

Life after P-Hacking

Meeting of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, New Orleans, LA, 17-19 January 2013
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 22 Jan 2013
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson and Uri Simonsohn
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and ESADE Business School
Downloads 8,921 (1,460)
Citation 119

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false-positive psychology, research methods

5.

P-Curve and Effect Size: Correcting for Publication Bias Using Only Significant Results

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 11 Jan 2014 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2014
Uri Simonsohn, Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
ESADE Business School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 6,333 (2,615)
Citation 13

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Publication bias, p-curve

6.

Specification Curve: Descriptive and Inferential Statistics on All Reasonable Specifications

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 25 Nov 2015 Last Revised: 07 Nov 2019
Uri Simonsohn, Joseph P. Simmons and Leif D. Nelson
ESADE Business School, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Downloads 6,308 (2,638)
Citation 117

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Specification Curve; p-hacking

7.

Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err

Forthcoming in Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Number of pages: 13 Posted: 16 Jul 2014 Last Revised: 11 Jun 2015
Berkeley J. Dietvorst, Joseph P. Simmons and Cade Massey
University of Chicago - Marketing Management, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 5,459 (3,406)
Citation 254

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Decision making, Decision aids, Heuristics and biases, Forecasting, Confidence

8.

False-Positive Citations

Perspectives on Psychological Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 14 Feb 2017 Last Revised: 04 Apr 2017
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson and Uri Simonsohn
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and ESADE Business School
Downloads 3,907 (5,954)
Citation 5

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P-Hacking; Research Methods; Replicability

9.

Overcoming Algorithm Aversion: People Will Use Imperfect Algorithms If They Can (Even Slightly) Modify Them

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Jun 2015 Last Revised: 06 Aug 2016
Berkeley J. Dietvorst, Joseph P. Simmons and Cade Massey
University of Chicago - Marketing Management, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 3,609 (6,799)
Citation 137

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Decision making, Decision aids, Heuristics and biases, Forecasting, Confidence

10.

Better P-Curves: Making P-Curve Analysis More Robust to Errors, Fraud, and Ambitious P-Hacking, A Reply to Ulrich and Miller

Simonsohn, Uri, Joseph P. Simmons, and Leif D. Nelson (2015), “Better P-Curves: Making P-Curve Analysis More Robust To Errors, Fraud, and Ambitious P-Hacking, A Reply To Ulrich and Miller (2015),” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 144 (December), 1146-1152
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 24 Aug 2015 Last Revised: 16 Apr 2016
Uri Simonsohn, Joseph P. Simmons and Leif D. Nelson
ESADE Business School, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Downloads 2,736 (10,575)
Citation 2

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publication bias, selective reporting, p-hacking, false-positive psychology, hypothesis testing, meta-analysis

11.

Power Posing: P-Curving the Evidence

Psychological Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 10 Jun 2016 Last Revised: 14 Jul 2017
Joseph P. Simmons and Uri Simonsohn
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and ESADE Business School
Downloads 1,956 (18,108)
Citation 3

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power posing, p-curve, hypothesis testing, performance

12.

Correcting the Past: Failures to Replicate Psi

Forthcoming, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 09 Feb 2012 Last Revised: 20 Jun 2012
Jeff Galak, Robyn A. LeBoeuf, Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
Carnegie Mellon University, Washington University in St. Louis, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 1,514 (26,822)
Citation 3

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esp, psi, precognition, failure to replicate

13.

Moniker Maladies: When Names Sabotage Success

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 22 Nov 2006
Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 964 (51,621)
Citation 5

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unconscious attitudes, implicit attitudes

14.

Anchoring is Not a False-Positive: Maniadis, Tufano, and List's (2014) 'Failure-to-Replicate' is Actually Entirely Consistent with the Original

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 09 Nov 2013 Last Revised: 05 May 2014
Uri Simonsohn, Joseph P. Simmons and Leif D. Nelson
ESADE Business School, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Downloads 930 (54,273)
Citation 4

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anchoring; p-curve; false-positive

15.

Psychology's Renaissance

Downloads 900 (56,768)
Citation 3

Psychology's Renaissance

Forthcoming, Annual Review of Psychology
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 09 Nov 2017
Leif D. Nelson, Joseph P. Simmons and Uri Simonsohn
University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and ESADE Business School
Downloads 900 (55,893)
Citation 3

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p-hacking, publication bias, renaissance, methodology, false positives, preregistration

16.

The Effect of Accuracy Motivation on Anchoring and Adjustment: Do People Adjust from Provided Anchors?

Simmons, Joseph P., Robyn A. LeBoeuf, and Leif D. Nelson (2010), “The Effect of Accuracy Motivation on Anchoring and Adjustment: Do People Adjust from Provided Anchors?” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 99 (December), 917-932.
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 07 Jul 2007 Last Revised: 24 Aug 2012
Joseph P. Simmons, Robyn A. LeBoeuf and Leif D. Nelson
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, Washington University in St. Louis and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Downloads 591 (98,403)
Citation 11

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Judgment and Decision Making, Heuristics, Inferential Correction, Incentives

17.

99% Impossible: A Valid, or Falsifiable, Internal Meta-Analysis

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 14 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 12 Jul 2019
Joachim Vosgerau, Leif D. Nelson, Uri Simonsohn and Joseph P. Simmons
Bocconi University, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business, ESADE Business School and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 588 (99,050)
Citation 6

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18.

Do People Inherently Dislike Uncertain Advice?

Forthcoming, Psychological Science
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 25 Sep 2017
Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 506 (119,416)
Citation 2

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uncertainty, advice, overconfidence

19.

When Does Making Detailed Predictions Make Predictions Worse?

Kelly, T. F., & Simmons, J. P., When does making detailed predictions make predictions worse? Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 26 May 2016 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2016
Theresa Kelly and Joseph P. Simmons
Washington University in St. Louis - John M. Olin Business School and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 404 (155,841)
Citation 1

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Decision making, Forecasting accuracy, Accessibility, Prediction Specificity

20.

Intuitive Biases in Choice vs. Estimation: Implications for the Wisdom of Crowds

Simmons, Joseph P., Leif D. Nelson, Jeff Galak, and Shane Frederick (2011), “Intuitive Biases in Choice vs. Estimation: Implications for the Wisdom of Crowds,” Journal of Consumer Research, 38 (June), 1-15.
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 17 Feb 2010 Last Revised: 24 Aug 2012
Joseph P. Simmons, Leif D. Nelson, Jeff Galak and Shane Frederick
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University and Yale School of Management
Downloads 382 (165,877)
Citation 13

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Judgment and Decision Making, Heuristics and Biases, Intuition, Preference Reversals, Learning

21.

Branding Alters Attitude Functions and Reduces the Advantage of Function-Matching Persuasive Appeals

Journal of Marketing Research, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 12 Sep 2007 Last Revised: 08 May 2012
Robyn A. LeBoeuf and Joseph P. Simmons
Washington University in St. Louis and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 375 (169,287)

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attitude functions, attitudes, branding, persuasion, advertising

22.

On Southbound Ease and Northbound Fees: Literal Consequences of the Metaphoric Link between Vertical Position and Cardinal Direction

Journal of Marketing Research, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 15 Feb 2007 Last Revised: 08 May 2012
Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 371 (171,386)
Citation 1

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23.

Preferences for Psychological Enhancements: The Reluctance to Enhance Fundamental Traits

Number of pages: 47 Posted: 07 Mar 2007
Jason Riis, Joseph P. Simmons and Geoffrey P. Goodwin
New York University - Stern School of Business, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Psychology
Downloads 369 (172,427)
Citation 1

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advertising, bioethics, drugs, essentialism, framing, personality, self-concept, self-verification

24.

Is Optimism Real?

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 26 Jul 2011 Last Revised: 08 May 2012
Joseph P. Simmons and Cade Massey
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 344 (186,211)
Citation 3

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Biases, Decision Making, Motivated Reasoning, Incentives

25.

Hope Over Experience: Desirability and the Persistence of Optimism

Massey, Cade, Joseph P. Simmons, and David A. Armor (2011), “Hope Over Experience: Desirability and the Persistence of Optimism,” Psychological Science, 22 (February), 274-281.
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 13 Feb 2010 Last Revised: 24 Aug 2012
Cade Massey, Joseph P. Simmons and David A. Armor
University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and San Diego State University
Downloads 239 (271,806)
Citation 13

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Judgment, Learning, Prediction, Preferences, Optimism

26.

The Psychology of Second Guesses: Implications for the Wisdom of the Inner Crowd

Management Science, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 18 Sep 2020
Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 219 (295,807)

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wisdom of crowds, estimation, crowd within, de-biasing, intuitive confidence

27.

Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring

Lewis, J., Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J. P. (2019). Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring. Psychological Science, 30(2), 159–173. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797618799305.
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 04 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 15 Feb 2019
Joshua Lewis, Celia Gaertig and Joseph P. Simmons
University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Operations & Information Management Department, Students, University of California, Berkeley and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 193 (333,025)
Citation 4

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Anchoring, Extremeness Aversion, Insufficient Adjustment

28.

P-Curve Won’t Do Your Laundry, But It Will Distinguish Replicable from Non-Replicable Findings in Observational Research: Comment on Bruns & Ioannidis (2016)

Forthcoming, Plos ONE
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 14 Dec 2018
Uri Simonsohn, Leif D. Nelson and Joseph P. Simmons
ESADE Business School, University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 143 (431,499)

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29.

Does Constructing a Belief Distribution Truly Reduce Overconfidence?

Forthcoming at Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Number of pages: 53 Posted: 21 Sep 2022
Beidi Hu and Joseph P. Simmons
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 98 (575,057)
Citation 1

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overconfidence, belief distribution, judgment under uncertainty, debiasing

30.

Different Methods Elicit Different Belief Distributions

Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 24-25, The Wharton School Research Paper, Forthcoming at the Journal of Experimental Psychology: General
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 30 Aug 2024
Beidi Hu and Joseph P. Simmons
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business and University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School
Downloads 89 (611,116)
Citation 1

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belief distributions, belief elicitation, response format, judgmental biases

31.

Preferences for Enhancement Pharmaceuticals: The Reluctance to Enhance Fundamental Traits

Journal of Consumer Research, October 2008
Posted: 19 Feb 2008 Last Revised: 23 Jan 2013
Jason Riis, Joseph P. Simmons and Geoffrey P. Goodwin
New York University - Stern School of Business, University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Psychology

Abstract:

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advertising, bioethics, drugs, essentialism, framing, personality, self-concept, self-verification