Riza Demirer

Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance

Professor of Finance

Department of Economics & Finance

Alumni Hall 3145

Edwardsville, IL 62026-1102

United States

http://www.siue.edu/~rdemire/

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Research Fellow

21 Al-Sad Al-Aaly St.

(P.O. Box: 12311)

Cairo, Cairo

Egypt

http://erf.org.eg/affiliates/riza-demirer-3/

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

48

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4,708

SSRN CITATIONS
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SSRN RANKINGS

Top 18,285

in Total Papers Citations

38

CROSSREF CITATIONS

20

Scholarly Papers (48)

1.

On the Predictability of Stock Market Bubbles: Evidence from LPPLS ConfidenceTM Multi-Scale Indicators

Quantitative Finance, Forthcoming.
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 28 Nov 2017 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2018
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, ETH Zürich, University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and Risks-X, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech)
Downloads 609 (68,954)
Citation 1

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Financial bubble indicators, LPPL method, Markov switching, Predictability, Short interest

2.

Commodity Financialization and Herd Behavior in Commodity Futures Markets

International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 39, 2015
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 17 May 2013 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2015
Riza Demirer, Hsiang-Tai Lee and Donald D. Lien
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, National Chi Nan University - Department of Finance and University of Texas at San Antonio - College of Business - Department of Economics
Downloads 269 (175,428)
Citation 2

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herd behavior, commodity financialization, return dispersion, Markov Switching

3.

On the Short-Term Predictability of Stock Returns: A Quantile Boosting Approach

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 17 Oct 2016
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics and Nottingham University Business School
Downloads 204 (228,890)

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Stock returns, Predictability, Quantile boosting

4.

Market Regimes and Herding Behavior in Chinese A and B Shares

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Sep 2012
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Drexel University - Lebow College of Business
Downloads 202 (230,842)
Citation 1

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Herding Behavior, Chinese A- and B-Shares, Dispersion Shocks, Markov-Switching

5.

Green Investments: A Luxury Good or a Financial Necessity?

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 04 Jun 2021
Imran Yousaf, Tahir Suleman and Riza Demirer
Wenzhou-Kean University - College of Business and Public Management, Wellington Institute of Technology and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 201 (231,881)
Citation 4

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green bonds; clean energy stocks, Islamic markets, safe havens, COVID-19 crisis

6.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Institutional Investment Returns: The Case of New Zealand

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 13 Apr 2022
Sara Ali, Ihsan Badshah, Riza Demirer and Prasad Hegde
Auckland University of Technology, Auckland University of Technology, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Auckland University of Technology
Downloads 161 (281,231)

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Economic uncertainty, New Zealand EPU, News-Based EPU index, Cross-section of fund returns, ICAPM

7.

Impact of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in an Emerging Market: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Vol. 51, 2015
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 07 Nov 2013 Last Revised: 28 Apr 2015
Mehmet Balcilar and Riza Demirer
Eastern Mediterranean University and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 150 (298,161)
Citation 3

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Herd behavior, Emerging markets, Markov-switching, Time-varying probabilities, Multivariate synchronization

8.

Risk and Return in the Chinese Stock Market: Does Equity Return Dispersion Proxy Risk?

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 33, 2015
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 28 Apr 2015
Lamar University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and SIUE
Downloads 140 (315,154)

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Equity return dispersion, Asset pricing, Chinese stock market

9.

Investor Herds and Regime-Switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab Stock Markets

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Sep 2012
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Drexel University - Lebow College of Business
Downloads 136 (322,307)
Citation 9

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herding, GCC stock markets, dispersion shocks, Markov-Switching

10.

Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Currency Excess Returns

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 06 Apr 2021
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Isik University and Isik University-Department of Management
Downloads 130 (335,527)
Citation 1

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Exchange rate, Time-varying risk aversion, Risk premium

11.

Oil Price Risk Exposure and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: The Case of Net Exporting Countries

Energy Economics, Vol. 49, 2015
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 28 Apr 2015
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, SIUE and King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM)
Downloads 129 (335,527)
Citation 3

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Oil price risk, Financial market risk, Asset pricing, Equity returns

12.

Herding and Flash Events: Evidence From the 2010 Flash Crash

Finance Research Letters, 2019
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 02 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 28 Dec 2018
Riza Demirer, Karyl Leggio and Donald D. Lien
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Loyola University Maryland and University of Texas at San Antonio - College of Business - Department of Economics
Downloads 126 (341,392)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Herding, Flash Crash

13.

Oil Price Shocks, Global Financial Markets and Their Connectedness

Energy Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 21 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 20 Apr 2020
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Faculty of Economics. University of Valencia and Montpellier Business School
Downloads 125 (343,417)
Citation 2

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Crude oil, Stock market, Government bond market, oil price shocks, connectedness

14.

Is There a Role for Islamic Bonds in Global Diversification Strategies? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Transmissions and Dynamic Correlations

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 28 Apr 2015
Mehmet Balcilar, Gözde Çerçi and Riza Demirer
Eastern Mediterranean University, Çukurova University and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 123 (347,590)
Citation 1

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Volatility spillover, Islamic bonds, Dynamic correlations, International Diversification

15.

Do Global Shocks Drive Investor Herds in Oil-Rich Frontier Markets?

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 10 Jan 2013
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Drexel University - Lebow College of Business and King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM)
Downloads 121 (351,775)
Citation 8

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Herding, Gulf Arab Stock Markets, Dispersion Shocks, Markov-Switching

16.

Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns Have Predictive Value?

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 28 Jan 2021
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics
Downloads 117 (360,315)

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Stock market, Realized volatility, Industry returns, Market efficiency and information

17.

Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Connect Financial Markets? Evidence from Oil and Commodity Currencies

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 09 Jan 2019
Management Department, Politehnica University of Timisoara, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Kent - Department of Economics and Rajagiri Business School
Downloads 114 (367,047)
Citation 3

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economic policy uncertainty, oil-currency nexus, nonlinear causality, frequency domain, volatility spillover

18.

Climate Uncertainty and Information Transmissions Across the Conventional and ESG Assets

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 01 Sep 2022
Copenhagen Business School, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Central Oklahoma - Department of Economics and University of Manchester - Alliance Manchester Business School
Downloads 111 (373,966)

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Climate risk, ESG investments, Dynamic connectedness, Hedging

19.

The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock-Commodity Correlations and its Implications on Optimal Hedging

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 11 Sep 2018
Ihsan Badshah, Riza Demirer and Tahir Suleman
Auckland University of Technology, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Wellington Institute of Technology
Downloads 111 (373,966)
Citation 4

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Commodity market, Policy uncertainty, Conditional correlation

20.

The Conditional Relation between Dispersion and Return

Review of Financial Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 19 Apr 2013
Riza Demirer and Shrikant P. Jategaonkar
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and SIUE
Downloads 109 (378,737)

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Return dispersion, Conditional pricing effect, Asymmetric risk, Asset pricing

21.

Oil Beta Uncertainty and Global Stock Returns

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 28 Feb 2022
Chun-Da Chen and Riza Demirer
Lamar University and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 98 (412,675)

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Oil price risk, Parameter uncertainty, Asset pricing, Equity returns

22.

Commodity-Currencies or Currency-Commodities: Evidence from Causality Tests

Resources Policy, 2019
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 04 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 28 Dec 2018
Ariel R. Belasen and Riza Demirer
Southern Illinois University - Department of Economics and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 95 (415,587)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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Commodity-currency, exchange rates, volatility transmission, causality tests

23.

Investor Sentiment and Crash Risk in Safe Havens

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 14 Feb 2018
Laboratoire BESTMOD, University of Johannesburg - Department of Economics and Econometrics, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Pretoria - Department of Economics
Downloads 93 (421,281)
Citation 1

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Investor Sentiment, Safe Haven Assets, Intraday Returns, Crash Risk

24.

Does Speculation in the Oil Market Drive Investor Herding in Net Exporting Nations?

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 06 Apr 2016
Mehmet Balcilar, Riza Demirer and Talat Ulussever
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM) - Department of Finance & Economics (FINEC)
Downloads 93 (421,281)
Citation 1

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Herd behavior, Equity return dispersion, Crude Oil, Speculative ratio, Markov-switching

25.

Oil and Stock Market Momentum

Energy Economics 68, 151-159 (2017).
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 11 Oct 2017 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2018
Chun-Da Chen, Chiao-Ming Cheng and Riza Demirer
Lamar University, ?ZhiDao Investment Management and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 91 (427,191)

Abstract:

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Industry momentum, Crude oil, Market efficiency, Chinese stock market

26.

Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 15 Jun 2016
University of Johannesburg - Department of Economics and Econometrics, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (433,083)

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Gold futures returns, Realized volatility, Realized skewness, Forecasting, Quantile

27.

Anti-Herding by Hedge Funds, Idiosyncratic Volatility and Expected Returns

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 04 Mar 2022
Sara Ali, Ihsan Badshah and Riza Demirer
Auckland University of Technology, Auckland University of Technology and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 81 (458,273)

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Hedge Funds, Herding Behavior, Fundamental Information, Idiosyncratic Volatility

28.

Can Advanced Markets Help Diversify Risks in Frontier Stock Markets? Evidence from Gulf Arab Stock Markets

Research in International Business and Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 22 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2013
Riza Demirer
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 70 (497,296)

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Portfolio Diversification, Downside risk, Return dispersion, Correlation index, GCC

29.

Oil Price Shocks and Cost of Capital: Does Market Liquidity Play a Role?

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 29 Jun 2022
Tina Prodromou and Riza Demirer
The University of Wollongong and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 66 (516,929)

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Crude oil, Stock market, Cost of capital, Oil price shocks, Liquidity

30.

Monetary Policy and Speculative Spillovers in Financial Markets

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 12 May 2020
Riza Demirer, David Gabauer and Rangan Gupta
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Software Competence Center Hagenberg and University of Pretoria - Department of Economics
Downloads 65 (516,929)

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Monetary Policy, Speculation, TVP-VAR, Dynamic Connectedness, Quantiles

31.

The Profitability of Herding: Evidence from Taiwan

Managerial Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Nov 2017
Chun-Da Chen and Riza Demirer
Lamar University and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 57 (551,158)

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Herding, State-Space Model, Return Dispersion

32.

A Note on the Technology Herd: Evidence from Large Institutional Investors

Review of Behavioral Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 20 Mar 2018
University of New Haven - Economics, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and University of Johannesburg
Downloads 52 (574,550)

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Herding, Institutional investors, Causality, Technology stocks

33.

Regional and Global Spillovers and Diversification Opportunities in the GCC-Wide Equity Sectors Across Market Regimes

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 May 2014
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Drexel University - Lebow College of Business
Downloads 51 (579,443)
Citation 1

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GCC-wide equity sectors, Multivariate regime-switching, Time-varying correlations, Financial integration, International portfolio diversification

34.

Cross-Border Capital Flows and Information Spillovers across the Equity and Currency Markets in Emerging Economies

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 May 2021
Queen Mary University of London, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Faculty of Economics. University of Valencia and University of Ibadan - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (604,970)

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Capital flows, Emerging markets, Connectedness, Quantile causality

35.

The U.S. Term Structure and Return Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 01 Apr 2019
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Isik University and Isik University-Department of Management
Downloads 43 (621,353)

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Term structure of interest rates, Stock market volatility, Expectations factor, Maturity premium

36.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Fund Flow Performance Sensitivity: Evidence from New Zealand

Number of pages: 12 Posted: 27 Jun 2022
Sara Ali, Ihsan Badshah, Riza Demirer and Prasad Hegde
Auckland University of Technology, Auckland University of Technology, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Auckland University of Technology
Downloads 42 (626,906)

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Economic policy uncertainty, New Zealand EPU, investor learning, fund flow performance sensitivity

37.

Presidential Cycles and Time-Varying Bond-Stock Market Correlations: Evidence from More than Two Centuries of Data

Economics Letters 167, 36-39, 2018.
Number of pages: 11 Posted: 15 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 23 Sep 2018
Riza Demirer and Rangan Gupta
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Pretoria - Department of Economics
Downloads 40 (638,148)

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Conditional correlation, GARCH, Bond and Stock Returns Comovement, US Presidential Cycles

38.

U.S. Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Global Economic Synchronization Patterns

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 13 May 2020 Last Revised: 18 May 2020
Mehmet Balcilar and Riza Demirer
Eastern Mediterranean University and Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance
Downloads 37 (655,889)

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Output gap, Business cycles, Quantile causality, Predictability

39.

Are Reversals Predictable in Emerging Stock Markets? The Role of Market States and Global Factors

Research in International Business and Finance vol. 42, 2017.
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 11 Oct 2017
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Isik University and Isik University-Department of Management
Downloads 35 (668,242)

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Reversals, Emerging Markets, Oil Price, Borsa Istanbul

40.

Bitcoin mining activity and volatility dynamics in the power market

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 05 Oct 2021
Sayar Karmakar, Riza Demirer and Rangan Gupta
University of Florida, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and University of Pretoria - Department of Economics
Downloads 30 (700,939)

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Time-varying, GARCH, Bitcoin, Electricity returns

41.

Unemployment Fluctuations and Currency Returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Over One and a Half Century of Data

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 28 Jan 2021
Queen Mary University of London, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and University of Cape Town (UCT), Faculty of Commerce, Graduate School of Business, Students
Downloads 30 (700,939)

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Time-varying Granger Causality, GARCH, DCC-MGARCH, Unemployment, Exchange rates

42.

Flexible Time‐Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold

Balcilar M, Demirer R, Bekun FV. Flexible Time-Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold. Mathematics. 2021; 9(8):915. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9080915
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 21 Apr 2021
Mehmet Balcilar, Riza Demirer and Festus Bekun
Eastern Mediterranean University, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Istanbul Gelisim University - Faculty of Economics Administrative and Social Sciences
Downloads 16 (809,372)

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ime‐varying beta, risk premium, asset pricing, bayesian estimation, thresholds

43.

Oil and Risk Premia in Equity Markets

Studies in Economics and Finance
Posted: 14 Nov 2019 Last Revised: 26 Aug 2020
Satish Kumar, Riza Demirer and Aviral Kumar Tiwari
ICFAI Foundation for Higher Education (IFHE), Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Rajagiri Business School

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Quantile, Correlogram, Predictability, Oil return, Risk premia

44.

Global Risk Aversion and Emerging Market Return Comovements

Economics Letters, Forthcoming.
Posted: 23 Oct 2018
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Cankaya University, Isik University and Isik University-Department of Management

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Time-varying correlation, Risk aversion, International equity markets

45.

Do Firm Characteristics Matter in Explaining the Herding Effect on Returns?

Review of Financial Economics, 2018
Posted: 15 Mar 2018 Last Revised: 24 Jun 2018
Riza Demirer and Huacheng Zhang
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Nottingham University Business School

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Anomalies, Industry herding, Asset pricing

46.

Does Herding Behavior Exist in Chinese Stock Markets?

Int. Fin. Markets, Inst. and Money 16 (2006) 123–142
Posted: 20 Sep 2012
Riza Demirer and Ali M. Kutan
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance and Southern Illinois University at Edwardsville

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Herd behavior, Equity return dispersion, Chinese financial markets

47.

The Effect of Ethanol Listing on Corn Prices: Evidence from Spot and Futures Markets

Energy Economics, Vol. 34, pp. 1400-1406, 2012
Posted: 19 Sep 2012
Riza Demirer, Ali M. Kutan and Fanglin Shen
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Southern Illinois University at Edwardsville and Kent State University - College of Business Administration

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Listing effect, Ethanol listing, Corn futures, Energy policy

48.

Do Investors Herd in Emerging Stock Markets?: Evidence from the Taiwanese Market

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 76 (2010) 283-295
Posted: 19 Sep 2012
Riza Demirer, Ali M. Kutan and Chun-Da Chen
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance, Southern Illinois University at Edwardsville and Lamar University

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Herd behavior, Taiwan stock exchange, Non-linear and state space models