affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Basel - Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Ghent University, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of California, Berkeley - School of Public Health, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Basel - Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute and Utrecht University - Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS)