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Durham, NC 27708-0120
United States
Duke University - Fuqua School of Business
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probability forecasts, quantile forecasts, expert combination, linear opinion pooling
Stochastic Dominance, Transfers, Indirect Utility
probability elicitation; scoring rules; forecasting competitions; probability forecasts; truthful revelation; overconfidence bias
Project management, Dynamic programming, Uncertainty, Bayesian updating, Optimal stopping
Decision Analysis, Multiple Criteria, Risk, Group Decisions, Utility/Preference, Multiattribute Utility, Stochastic Dominance, Stochastic Orders
Decision Analysis, Stochastic Dominance, Utility, Risk, Probability, Distribution Comparisons
Interval Forecasts, Combining Forecasts, Heuristics, Overconfidence
quantile forecasts; forecast evaluation, probability elicitation, proper scoring rules, expert aggregation, expert combination
Forecast aggregation; linear opinion pool; generalized additive model; generalized linear model; stacking.
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