Graeme Guthrie

Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance

Adjunct Professor

P.O. Box 600

Wellington 6140

New Zealand

http://sites.google.com/view/graemeguthrie

  • Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

58

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64

Scholarly Papers (58)

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1.

Regulating Infrastructure: The Impact on Risk and Investment

Number of pages: 63 Posted: 05 Aug 2005
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 929 (42,607)
Citation 26

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regulation, investment

2.

Payback and the Value of Waiting to Invest

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 19 May 1997
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 764 (55,632)
Citation 7

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3.

Electricity Spot Price Dynamics: Beyond Financial Models

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 Jan 2005
Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 756 (56,424)
Citation 4

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Electricity markets, spot prices, periodic autoregression

4.

A Dynamic Theory of Cooperatives: The Link between Efficiency and Valuation

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 24 Mar 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 751 (56,936)

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cooperatives, valuation

5.

A Note on Operating Leverage and Expected Rates of Return

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Oct 2006
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 701 (62,421)
Citation 4

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expected rate of return, operating leverage, real options

6.

Evaluating Real Estate Development Using Real Options Analysis

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 09 Nov 2009
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 653 (68,385)
Citation 1

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real options, project evaluation, discounted cash flow, commercial real estate

7.

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Downloads 578 (79,684)

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 13 Jan 2002
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 578 (78,722)
Citation 39

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Investment timing, financing constraint, hedging, liquidity

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Posted: 22 Oct 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance

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8.

High Frequency Electricity Spot Price Dynamics: An Intra-Day Markets Approach

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Feb 2003
Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 543 (86,129)
Citation 4

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Electricity spot prices, periodic autoregression, intra-day market

9.

Commodity Prices and the Option Value of Storage

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 01 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 14 Nov 2014
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 406 (121,955)

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Commodity Prices, Convenience Yield, Real Options, Frictions

10.

Learning Options and Binomial Trees

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 15 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 07 Apr 2010
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 402 (123,320)
Citation 1

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real options, learning options, information gathering, binomial option pricing model

11.

Carbon Subsidies, Taxes and Optimal Forest Management

Environmental and Resource Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 31 Dec 2003 Last Revised: 26 May 2014
Graeme Guthrie and Dinesh Kumareswaran
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Frontier Economics Ltd
Downloads 385 (129,558)
Citation 4

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Optimal forest harvest policy, real options, carbon credits

12.

Competing Payment Schemes

National University of Singapore Economics Working Paper No. 0311
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 31 Dec 2003
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics
Downloads 335 (150,930)
Citation 19

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Two-Sided Markets, Payment Cards, Interchange Fees

13.

The Dark Side of Share Buybacks

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 23 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 30 Jun 2020
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 286 (178,408)
Citation 3

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share repurchases, employee stock options, capital structure, stag-hunt game

14.

Risk, Price Regulation, and Irreversible Investment

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Jan 2004
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 271 (188,304)
Citation 7

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Regulation, Cost of capital, Rate base, Sunk costs

15.

How Options Provided by Storage Affect Electricity Prices

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 269 (189,794)
Citation 5

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Storage, Real Options, Electricity, Market Power

16.

Hedging the Value of Waiting

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Sep 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 257 (198,631)

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hedging, investment timing flexibility

17.

Incentive Regulation of Prices When Costs are Sunk

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 31 Dec 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 248 (205,738)
Citation 3

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Incentive regulation, uncertainty, sunk costs, economies of scale

18.

Real Options Analysis of Climate-Change Adaptation: Investment Flexibility and Extreme Weather Events

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 220 (230,970)
Citation 2

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climate change, adaptation, real options, cost-benefit analysis, learning options

19.

Market-Implemented Monetary Policy with Open Mouth Operations

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 1998
Julian Wright and Graeme Guthrie
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 208 (243,248)
Citation 1

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20.

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Downloads 206 (245,423)
Citation 1

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 12 Feb 2004
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 206 (244,887)
Citation 1

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asset allocation, human capital, investment advice

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Review of Finance, Vol. 9, Issue 2, pp. 139-164, 2005
Posted: 01 Sep 2008
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance

Abstract:

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21.

Backward- Versus Forward-Looking Regulation: Consequences for Investment and Welfare

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 01 Jun 2005
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 205 (246,480)

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Regulation, Rate Base, Investment Timing, Uncertainty, Sunk Costs

22.

U.S. House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 27 May 2011 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2012
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 202 (249,920)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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housing markets, rational prices, bubbles, real options

23.

Farm debt and the over-exploitation of natural capital

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 29 Sep 2022 Last Revised: 19 Jun 2023
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 197 (255,598)

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debt overhang problem, natural capital, renewable resources, stochastic optimal control, sustainability-linked loans

24.

Price-Cap Regulation and the Scale and Timing of Investment

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 01 May 2011 Last Revised: 23 Nov 2011
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 192 (261,637)
Citation 8

Abstract:

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regulation, natural monopoly, economies of scale, investment, real options

25.

Missed Opportunities: Optimal Investment Timing When Information is Costly

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 15 Aug 2005
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 188 (266,642)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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real options, incomplete information, capital budgeting

26.

Estimating Implied Valuation Parameters: Extension and Application to Ground Lease Rentals

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Sep 2008
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Neil Quigley
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - Faculty of Commerce and Administration
Downloads 186 (269,219)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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valuation, implied parameters, leasing, land, rental rate

27.

Assessing the Integration of Electricity Markets Using Principal Component Analysis: Network and Market Structure Effects

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2006
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 171 (289,700)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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Electricity, Market power, Principal component analysis

28.

House Prices, Development Costs, and the Value of Waiting

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 02 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2010
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 166 (296,987)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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urban development, house prices, competition, real options

29.

Uncertainty, and the Trade-Off Between Scale and Flexibility in Investment

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 23 Mar 2011
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 155 (314,716)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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investment, uncertainty, real options, economies of scale

30.

Real Options and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2013
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 142 (337,948)

Abstract:

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expected stock returns, real options, value premium

31.

My Kingdom for a Horse: Resolving Conflicts of Interest in Asset Management

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 18 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 20 Oct 2007
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Luke Gorton
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Macquarie Bank Ltd.
Downloads 134 (353,566)

Abstract:

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agency, conflicts of interest, horse racing, asset management

32.

Dynamically-Efficient Incentive Regulation: Application of the Bad News Principle

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 27 Feb 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 129 (363,817)

Abstract:

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Uncertainty, Sunk Costs, Incentive Regulation

33.

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Downloads 127 (368,173)

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Oct 2002
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics
Downloads 127 (369,448)
Citation 5

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Central Banks, Federal Funds Rate, Fed, Interest Rate Smoothing

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Posted: 15 Oct 2002
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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Central Banks, Federal Funds Rate, Fed, Interest Rate Smoothing

34.

A Value Premium Without Operating Leverage

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 30 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2012
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 121 (381,698)

Abstract:

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value premium, real options, capacity constraints, operating leverage

35.

Easy Money? Managerial Power and the Option Backdating Game Revisited

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 25 Jun 2013 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2020
Graeme Guthrie and Tom Stannard
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Downloads 114 (398,576)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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option backdating, executive compensation, Sarbanes-Oxley Act

36.

The Optimal Form of Interest Rate Targeting

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 04 Mar 1999
Julian Wright and Graeme Guthrie
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 114 (398,576)

Abstract:

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37.

Regulated Prices and Real Options

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 23 Nov 2011
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 109 (411,688)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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regulation, workable competition, real options, rate base

38.

The Timing and Density of Urban Development

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 12 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 25 Oct 2012
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 99 (440,454)

Abstract:

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urban economics, development density, general equilibrium, real options

39.

The Role of Storage in a Competitive Electricity Market and the Effects of Climate Change

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 04 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 21 May 2012
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Andrea Lu
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and The University of Melbourne - Department of Finance
Downloads 95 (452,584)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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electricity markets, stochastic river flows, storage options, climatic change

40.

Measuring Executive Compensation

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Jun 2017
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 91 (465,194)

Abstract:

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executive compensation, employee stock options

41.

Adapting to Rising Sea Levels: How Short-Term Responses Complement Long-Term Investment

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 04 May 2020 Last Revised: 08 Jan 2021
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 87 (478,262)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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climate change; adaptation; cost-benefit analysis; real options analysis

42.

An Examination of Frank Wolak's Model of Market Power and Its Application to the New Zealand Electricity Market

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 04 Dec 2011
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 86 (481,749)

Abstract:

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electricity markets, market power

43.

Anti-Takeover Provisions and Investment Timing

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 11 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2019
Graeme Guthrie and Cameron Hobbs
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 78 (510,589)

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market for corporate control, anti-takeover provisions, manager--shareholder conflict, investment incentives, managerial power hypothesis

44.

CEO turnover: The effect of CEOs' outside options

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 12 Oct 2021
Tom Stannard and Graeme Guthrie
Reserve Bank of New Zealand and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 76 (522,125)

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CEO turnover, corporate governance, corporate decision-making, learning

45.

Investment Flexibility as a Barrier to Entry

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 31 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 29 Apr 2020
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 74 (526,144)
Citation 1

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investment-timing games, barriers to entry, real options, best-response iteration, projected successive over-relaxation

46.

Discounting, Disagreement, and the Option to Delay

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 27 Sep 2019 Last Revised: 06 Jun 2021
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 66 (559,734)

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social discount rate, cost-benefit analysis, real-options analysis, discount-rate heterogeneity, climate change

47.

A Dynamic Model of Managerial Entrenchment and the Positive Incentives It Creates

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 05 Nov 2019 Last Revised: 08 Dec 2020
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 64 (568,756)

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corporate governance, entrenchment, executive compensation, Nash bargaining solution, ownership-based incentives

48.

Regulation, Welfare, and the Risk of Asset Stranding

Number of pages: 34 Posted: 18 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 14 Mar 2020
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 63 (573,304)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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regulation, investment, real options, increasing returns, Averch-Johnson effect

49.

Incentivizing Residential Land Development

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 12 Dec 2018
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 54 (617,289)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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real estate, housing supply, urban development, land banking, real options

50.

Optimal Adaptation to Uncertain Climate Change

Number of pages: 40 Posted: 18 Oct 2022 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2023
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 53 (622,495)

Abstract:

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Climate change, adaptation, cost-benefit analysis, real options analysis

51.

Intertemporal Decision-Making and the Nash Bargaining Solution

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Jun 2018
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 52 (627,885)

Abstract:

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Real Options, Nash Bargaining Solution, Dynamic Consistency, Resource Extraction, Liquidity Management

52.

How Managerial Ownership and the Market for Corporate Control Can Improve Investment Timing

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 May 2020 Last Revised: 01 Mar 2021
Graeme Guthrie and Cameron Hobbs
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 48 (650,186)

Abstract:

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Managerial Ownership, Market for Corporate Control, Manager-Shareholder Conflict, Investment Incentives, Real Options, Antitakeover Laws

53.

Bank-Shareholder Welfare and Sustainable Farm Lending

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 25 Apr 2023
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 33 (747,283)

Abstract:

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agricultural economics, banks, ESG, lending, sustainability

54.

Land Hoarding and Urban Development

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 27 Oct 2021
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 32 (754,795)

Abstract:

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housing supply, land hoarding, real estate, urban economics

55.

A New Zealand Electricity Market Model: Assessment of the Effect of Climate Change on Electricity Production and Consumption

Motu Working Paper 10-09
Posted: 19 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 09 May 2013
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Andrea Lu
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and The University of Melbourne - Department of Finance

Abstract:

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dynamic optimisation, electricity spot market performance, stochastic fuel availability, storage options, climate change

56.

Holding Onto Your Horses: Conflicts of Interest in Asset Management

Journal of Law and Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 03 Jun 2010
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Luke Gorton
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and Macquarie Bank Ltd.

Abstract:

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agency, conflicts of interest, horse racing, asset management

57.

Cash Flow Immediacy and the Value of Investment Timing

Posted: 22 Jun 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance

Abstract:

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58.

Open Mouth Operations

Posted: 06 Nov 2001
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - Te Herenga Waka - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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Monetary policy, Open market operations, Announcements, Liquidity effect