Graeme Guthrie

Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance

P.O. Box 600

Wellington 6140

New Zealand

  • Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance

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    • Tel: 64 4 463 5763
SCHOLARLY PAPERS

52

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108

Scholarly Papers (52)

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1.

Regulating Infrastructure: The Impact on Risk and Investment

Number of pages: 63 Posted: 05 Aug 2005
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 886 (26,044)
Citation 17

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regulation, investment

2.

Electricity Spot Price Dynamics: Beyond Financial Models

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 14 Jan 2005
Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 729 (34,131)
Citation 2

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Electricity markets, spot prices, periodic autoregression

3.

A Dynamic Theory of Cooperatives: The Link between Efficiency and Valuation

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 24 Mar 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 718 (34,909)

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cooperatives, valuation

4.

Payback and the Value of Waiting to Invest

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 19 May 1997
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 662 (38,847)
Citation 5

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5.

A Note on Operating Leverage and Expected Rates of Return

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Oct 2006
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 645 (40,223)
Citation 3

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expected rate of return, operating leverage, real options

6.

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Downloads 534 ( 51,442)
Citation 19

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 13 Jan 2002
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 534 (50,856)
Citation 19

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Investment timing, financing constraint, hedging, liquidity

Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity

Journal of Finance, Vol. 58, pp. 2143-2166, October 2003
Posted: 22 Oct 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance

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7.

Evaluating Real Estate Development Using Real Options Analysis

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 09 Nov 2009
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 528 (52,203)
Citation 1

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real options, project evaluation, discounted cash flow, commercial real estate

8.

High Frequency Electricity Spot Price Dynamics: An Intra-Day Markets Approach

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 26 Feb 2003
Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 506 (55,081)
Citation 4

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Electricity spot prices, periodic autoregression, intra-day market

9.

Learning Options and Binomial Trees

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 15 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 07 Apr 2010
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 355 (84,342)
Citation 1

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real options, learning options, information gathering, binomial option pricing model

10.

Carbon Subsidies, Taxes and Optimal Forest Management

Environmental and Resource Economics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 31 Dec 2003 Last Revised: 26 May 2014
Graeme Guthrie and Dinesh Kumareswaran
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Frontier Economics Ltd
Downloads 352 (85,180)
Citation 1

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Optimal forest harvest policy, real options, carbon credits

11.

Commodity Prices and the Option Value of Storage

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 01 Aug 2007 Last Revised: 14 Nov 2014
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 341 (88,358)

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Commodity Prices, Convenience Yield, Real Options, Frictions

12.

Competing Payment Schemes

Downloads 283 (108,302)
Citation 46

Competing Payment Schemes

National University of Singapore Economics Working Paper No. 0311
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 31 Dec 2003
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics
Downloads 265 (115,558)
Citation 17

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Two-Sided Markets, Payment Cards, Interchange Fees

*Competing Payment Schemes

Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 55, No. 1, pp. 37-67, March 2007
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 11 Apr 2007
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics
Downloads 18 (558,067)
Citation 2
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13.

Risk, Price Regulation, and Irreversible Investment

Number of pages: 20 Posted: 01 Jan 2004
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 256 (120,332)
Citation 6

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Regulation, Cost of capital, Rate base, Sunk costs

14.

How Options Provided by Storage Affect Electricity Prices

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 13 Mar 2007
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 246 (125,351)
Citation 4

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Storage, Real Options, Electricity, Market Power

15.

Hedging the Value of Waiting

Number of pages: 21 Posted: 11 Sep 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 235 (131,304)

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hedging, investment timing flexibility

16.

Incentive Regulation of Prices When Costs are Sunk

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 31 Dec 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 229 (134,660)
Citation 3

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Incentive regulation, uncertainty, sunk costs, economies of scale

17.

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Downloads 191 (159,847)

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 12 Feb 2004
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 191 (159,806)

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asset allocation, human capital, investment advice

Human Capital and Popular Investment Advice

Review of Finance, Vol. 9, Issue 2, pp. 139-164, 2005
Posted: 01 Sep 2008
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance

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18.

Market-Implemented Monetary Policy with Open Mouth Operations

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 08 Apr 1998
Julian Wright and Graeme Guthrie
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 185 (164,515)

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19.

Backward- Versus Forward-Looking Regulation: Consequences for Investment and Welfare

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 01 Jun 2005
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 180 (168,629)

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Regulation, Rate Base, Investment Timing, Uncertainty, Sunk Costs

20.

Missed Opportunities: Optimal Investment Timing When Information is Costly

Number of pages: 27 Posted: 15 Aug 2005
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 177 (171,229)
Citation 2

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real options, incomplete information, capital budgeting

21.

Price-Cap Regulation and the Scale and Timing of Investment

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 01 May 2011 Last Revised: 23 Nov 2011
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 172 (175,598)
Citation 3

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regulation, natural monopoly, economies of scale, investment, real options

22.

Assessing the Integration of Electricity Markets Using Principal Component Analysis: Network and Market Structure Effects

Downloads 167 (180,139)

Assessing the Integration of Electricity Markets Using Principal Component Analysis: Network and Market Structure Effects

Number of pages: 22 Posted: 02 Jun 2006
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 156 (191,192)

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Electricity, Market power, Principal component analysis

Assessing the Integration of Electricity Markets Using Principal Component Analysis: Network and Market Structure Effects

Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 26, Issue 1, pp. 145-161, January 2008
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 18 Jan 2008
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Steen Videbeck
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Cornell University
Downloads 11 (605,397)
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23.

U.S. House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals

Number of pages: 33 Posted: 27 May 2011 Last Revised: 24 Apr 2012
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 165 (181,996)
Citation 1

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housing markets, rational prices, bubbles, real options

24.

Estimating Implied Valuation Parameters: Extension and Application to Ground Lease Rentals

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Sep 2008
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Neil Quigley
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Faculty of Commerce and Administration
Downloads 163 (183,809)
Citation 1

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valuation, implied parameters, leasing, land, rental rate

25.

House Prices, Development Costs, and the Value of Waiting

Number of pages: 36 Posted: 02 Mar 2009 Last Revised: 18 Feb 2010
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 145 (202,768)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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urban development, house prices, competition, real options

26.

Uncertainty, and the Trade-Off Between Scale and Flexibility in Investment

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 23 Mar 2011
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 142 (206,211)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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investment, uncertainty, real options, economies of scale

27.

Real Options and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

Downloads 123 (230,892)

Real Options and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Sep 2012 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2013
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 123 (231,866)

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expected stock returns, real options, value premium

Real Options and the Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns

Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 28, Issue 2, pp. 265-283, 2014
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 13 Mar 2014
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
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Expected stock returns, Real options, Value premium

28.

The Dark Side of Share Buybacks

Number of pages: 44 Posted: 23 Aug 2017
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 122 (232,254)
Citation 1

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share repurchases, employee stock options, capital structure, stag-hunt game

29.

My Kingdom for a Horse: Resolving Conflicts of Interest in Asset Management

Number of pages: 19 Posted: 18 Oct 2006 Last Revised: 20 Oct 2007
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Luke Gorton
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Macquarie Bank Ltd.
Downloads 113 (245,613)

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agency, conflicts of interest, horse racing, asset management

30.

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Downloads 111 (248,780)
Citation 4

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 15 Oct 2002
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics
Downloads 111 (250,113)
Citation 4

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Central Banks, Federal Funds Rate, Fed, Interest Rate Smoothing

The Optimal Design of Interest Rate Target Changes

Forthcoming in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Posted: 15 Oct 2002
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics

Abstract:

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Central Banks, Federal Funds Rate, Fed, Interest Rate Smoothing

31.

Dynamically-Efficient Incentive Regulation: Application of the Bad News Principle

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 27 Feb 2003
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 107 (255,258)

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Uncertainty, Sunk Costs, Incentive Regulation

32.

A Value Premium Without Operating Leverage

Number of pages: 16 Posted: 30 Jun 2012 Last Revised: 15 Oct 2012
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 99 (269,209)

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value premium, real options, capacity constraints, operating leverage

33.

The Optimal Form of Interest Rate Targeting

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 04 Mar 1999
Julian Wright and Graeme Guthrie
National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 96 (274,743)

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34.

Regulated Prices and Real Options

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 30 Apr 2011 Last Revised: 23 Nov 2011
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 93 (280,371)
Citation 1

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regulation, workable competition, real options, rate base

35.

Easy Money: Managerial Power and the Option Backdating Game Revisited

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 25 Jun 2013
Tom Stannard and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 86 (294,623)
Citation 1

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option backdating, executive compensation, managerial power hypothesis, Sarbanes-Oxley Act

36.

The Timing and Density of Urban Development

Number of pages: 38 Posted: 12 Aug 2012 Last Revised: 25 Oct 2012
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 80 (307,782)

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urban economics, development density, general equilibrium, real options

37.

The Role of Storage in a Competitive Electricity Market and the Effects of Climate Change

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 04 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 21 May 2012
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Andrea Lu
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and The University of Melbourne - Department of Finance
Downloads 77 (314,805)

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electricity markets, stochastic river flows, storage options, climatic change

38.

Measuring Executive Compensation

Number of pages: 24 Posted: 27 Jun 2017
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 66 (342,773)

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executive compensation, employee stock options

39.

An Examination of Frank Wolak's Model of Market Power and Its Application to the New Zealand Electricity Market

Number of pages: 10 Posted: 04 Dec 2011
Lewis T. Evans and Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR) and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 58 (365,850)

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electricity markets, market power

40.

Real Options Analysis of Climate-Change Adaptation: Investment Flexibility and Extreme Weather Events

Number of pages: 25 Posted: 08 Feb 2019 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2019
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 41 (424,171)

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climate change, adaptation, real options, cost-benefit analysis, learning options

41.

Incentivizing Residential Land Development

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 12 Dec 2018
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 30 (471,454)

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real estate, housing supply, urban development, land banking, real options

42.

Investment Flexibility as a Barrier to Entry

Number of pages: 43 Posted: 31 Jul 2017 Last Revised: 16 Nov 2018
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 30 (471,454)

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real options, investment-timing games, barriers to entry, best-response iteration, successive over-relaxation

43.

Anti-Takeover Provisions and Investment Timing

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 11 Mar 2019 Last Revised: 11 Oct 2019
Graeme Guthrie and Cameron Hobbs
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 27 (486,763)

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market for corporate control, anti-takeover provisions, manager--shareholder conflict, investment incentives, managerial power hypothesis

44.

Intertemporal Decision-Making and the Nash Bargaining Solution

Number of pages: 15 Posted: 11 Jun 2018
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 23 (508,967)

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Real Options, Nash Bargaining Solution, Dynamic Consistency, Resource Extraction, Liquidity Management

45.

Payback Without Apology

Accounting and Finance, Vol. 46, No. 1, pp. 1-10, March 2006
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 08 May 2006
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 20 (526,666)
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46.

Regulation, Welfare, and the Risk of Asset Stranding

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Oct 2018 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2019
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 17 (544,326)

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regulation, investment, real options, increasing returns, Averch-Johnson effect

47.

Discount-Rate Uncertainty and Cost-Benefit Analysis: Should Long-Lived Projects be Treated Differently?

Number of pages: 30 Posted: 27 Sep 2019
Graeme Guthrie
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance
Downloads 10 (587,656)

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climate change, cost-benefit analysis, discount-rate uncertainty, dynamic consistency

48.

Estimating Unobservable Valuation Parameters for Illiquid Assets

Accounting & Finance, Vol. 49, Issue 3, pp. 465-479, September 2009
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 08 Oct 2009
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Neil Quigley
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - Faculty of Commerce and Administration
Downloads 2 (644,964)
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49.

A New Zealand Electricity Market Model: Assessment of the Effect of Climate Change on Electricity Production and Consumption

Motu Working Paper 10-09
Posted: 19 Sep 2010 Last Revised: 09 May 2013
Lewis T. Evans, Graeme Guthrie and Andrea Lu
Victoria University of Wellington - New Zealand Institute for Study of Competition and Regulation Inc. (ISCR), Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and The University of Melbourne - Department of Finance

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dynamic optimisation, electricity spot market performance, stochastic fuel availability, storage options, climate change

50.

Holding Onto Your Horses: Conflicts of Interest in Asset Management

Journal of Law and Economics, Forthcoming
Posted: 03 Jun 2010
Glenn Boyle, Graeme Guthrie and Luke Gorton
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and Macquarie Bank Ltd.

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agency, conflicts of interest, horse racing, asset management

51.

Cash Flow Immediacy and the Value of Investment Timing

Journal of Financial Research, Forthcoming
Posted: 22 Jun 2003
Glenn Boyle and Graeme Guthrie
University of Canterbury - Economics and Finance and Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance

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52.

Open Mouth Operations

Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 46, Issue 2, October 2000
Posted: 06 Nov 2001
Graeme Guthrie and Julian Wright
Victoria University of Wellington - School of Economics & Finance and National University of Singapore (NUS) - Department of Economics

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Monetary policy, Open market operations, Announcements, Liquidity effect