Marta Banbura

European Central Bank

Economist

Sonnemannstrasse 22

Frankfurt am Main, 60314

Germany

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

DOWNLOADS
Rank 15,207

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 15,207

in Total Papers Downloads

6,661

TOTAL CITATIONS
Rank 3,167

SSRN RANKINGS

Top 3,167

in Total Papers Citations

219

Scholarly Papers (19)

1.
Downloads 2,593 (11,096)
Citation 42

Nowcasting

ECB Working Paper No. 1275
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Dec 2010
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and London Business School
Downloads 2,587 (10,933)
Citation 31

Abstract:

Loading...

Nowcasting, News, Factor Model, Forecasting

Nowcasting

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7883
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 19 Jul 2010
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and London Business School
Downloads 6 (1,272,284)
Citation 11
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Factor Model, Forecasting, News, Nowcasting

2.
Downloads 781 (66,161)
Citation 49

Now-Casting and the Real-time Data Flow

ECB Working Paper No. 1564
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 12 Aug 2013
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and London Business School
Downloads 774 (65,895)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Macroeconomic News, Macroeconomic Forecasting, Real-Time Data, Mixed Frequency, State Space Models

Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9112
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 28 Sep 2012
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and London Business School
Downloads 7 (1,260,246)
Citation 45
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Dynamic factor model, High-Dimensional Data, Macroeconomic forecasting, Macroeconomic News, Mixed-Frequency, Real-Time Data, State-Space Models

3.

Inflation Expectations and Their Role in Eurosystem Forecasting

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2021/264
Number of pages: 146 Posted: 23 Sep 2021 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, National Bank of Belgium, Bank of Estonia, Bulgarian National Bank, Bank of Estonia, Bank of Finland - Research, Czech National Bank, Bank of Finland, National Bank of Denmark, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bundesbank, University of Oxford, Bank of Greece, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Greece, National Bank of Poland, Bank of Italy, National Bank of Poland, Latvijas Banka, Bank of Portugal - Economic Research Department, Latvijas Banka, Národná banka Slovenska, Bank of Lithuania, Bank of Slovenia, Banque centrale du Luxembourg, Banka Slovenije, De Nederlandsche Bank, Banco de España, De Nederlandsche Bank and Sveriges Riksbank
Downloads 465 (126,991)

Abstract:

Loading...

anchoring, forecasting, Inflation expectations, macroeconomics, monetary policy

4.

Large Bayesian VARs

ECB Working Paper No. 966
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 21 Nov 2008
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and London Business School
Downloads 420 (144,111)
Citation 10

Abstract:

Loading...

Bayesian VAR, Forecasting, Monetary VAR, large cross-sections

Do Inflation Expectations Improve Model-based Inflation Forecasts?

Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 2138
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 12 Nov 2021
Marta Banbura, Danilo Leiva-Leon and Jan-Oliver Menz
European Central Bank, Banco de España and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 223 (277,718)

Abstract:

Loading...

forecasting, inflation, inflation expectations, Phillips curve, bayesian VAR

Do Inflation Expectations Improve Model-Based Inflation Forecasts?

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2604
Number of pages: 75 Posted: 12 Oct 2021
Marta Banbura, Danilo Leiva-Leon and Jan-Oliver Menz
European Central Bank, Banco de España and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 107 (523,923)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

Bayesian VAR, forecasting, inflation, inflation expectations, Phillips curve

Do Inflation Expectations Improve Model-Based Inflation Forecasts?

Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 48/2021
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 04 Feb 2022
Marta Banbura, Danilo Leiva-Leon and Jan-Oliver Menz
European Central Bank, Banco de España and Deutsche Bundesbank
Downloads 21 (1,075,037)

Abstract:

Loading...

Forecasting, Inflation, Inflation expectations, Phillips curve, BayesianVAR

6.

Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2018-025/IV
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 26 Mar 2018
Marta Banbura and Andries van Vlodrop
European Central Bank and VU University Amsterdam
Downloads 277 (225,211)
Citation 35

Abstract:

Loading...

Consensus forecasts, forecast evaluation, large cross-sections, state space models

7.

Estimating and Forecasting the Euro Area Monthly National Accounts from a Dynamic Factor Model

ECB Working Paper No. 953
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 31 Jan 2009
Elena Angelini, Marta Banbura and Gerhard Rünstler
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank and European Central Bank
Downloads 274 (227,616)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

dynamic factor models, interpolation, nowcasting

8.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Factor Models on Data Sets with Arbitrary Pattern of Missing Data

ECB Working Paper No. 1189
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 25 May 2010
Marta Banbura and Michele Modugno
European Central Bank and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Downloads 249 (250,813)
Citation 16

Abstract:

Loading...

Factor Models, Forecasting, Large Cross-Sections, Missing data, EM algorithm

9.

ECB Macroeconometric Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2024/344
Number of pages: 117 Posted: 18 Mar 2024
European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Trinity College (Dublin), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank, Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 207 (299,356)
Citation 3

Abstract:

Loading...

economic models, forecasting, macroeconometrics, monetary policy

10.

What Drives Core Inflation? The Role of Supply Shocks

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2875
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 20 Nov 2023
European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 180 (340,366)
Citation 9

Abstract:

Loading...

Bayesian VAR, gas prices, inflation, supply chain bottlenecks, supply shocks

11.

A Look into the Factor Model Black Box: Publication Lags and the Role of Hard and Soft Data in Forecasting GDP

ECB Working Paper No. 751
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 31 May 2007
Marta Banbura and Gerhard Rünstler
European Central Bank and European Central Bank
Downloads 179 (342,069)
Citation 4

Abstract:

Loading...

dynamic factor models, forecasting, filter weights

Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections

ECB Working Paper No. 1733
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 20 Sep 2014
Marta Banbura, Domenico Giannone and Michele Lenza
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 129 (449,946)
Citation 17

Abstract:

Loading...

vector autoregression, Bayesian shrinkage, dynamic factor model, conditional forecast, large cross-sections

Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9931
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 02 Jun 2014
Marta Banbura, Domenico Giannone and Michele Lenza
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 2 (1,312,805)
Citation 12
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Bayesian Shrinkage, Conditional Forecast, Dynamic Factor Model, Large Cross-Sections, Vector Autoregression

13.

Does the Phillips Curve Help to Forecast Euro Area Inflation?

ECB Working Paper No. 20202471
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 28 Sep 2020
Marta Banbura and Elena Bobeica
European Central Bank and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 123 (465,149)
Citation 1

Abstract:

Loading...

C53, E31, E37

14.

Business investment in EU countries

ECB Occasional Paper No. 215
Number of pages: 101 Posted: 30 Oct 2018
European Central Bank, Bank of Greece, Bank of Finland, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Latvia, De Nederlandsche Bank, Bank of Italy, Bank of Portugal, European Central Bank (ECB), Central Bank of Ireland, Banco de España, Deutsche Bundesbank, Cyprus University of Technology, Bank of Greece, De Nederlandsche Bank - Research Department, Croatian National Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Národná banka Slovenska, National Bank of Denmark, Bank of Portugal and Banco de España
Downloads 120 (474,134)
Citation 5

Abstract:

Loading...

business investment, uncertainty, monetary policy, capital misallocation

15.

Combining Bayesian VARs with Survey Density Forecasts: Does it Pay Off?

ECB Working Paper No. 2021/2543
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 04 May 2021
European Central Bank, KU Leuven - Department of Economics, European Central Bank and Free University of Bozen-Bolzano - Faculty of Economics and Management
Downloads 104 (526,959)
Citation 7

Abstract:

Loading...

16.

Navigating a Fragmenting Global Trading System: Insights for Central Banks

ECB Occasional Paper No. 2024/365
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 20 Dec 2024
European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Bank of Portugal, Banco de España, European Central Bank, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, Bank of Slovenia, Banco de España, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), National Bank of Belgium, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, European Central Bank (ECB), Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB), European Central Bank (ECB), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Banque de France, European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de España, Banco de España, Bank of Italy, Bank of Italy, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Italy, Bank of Finland, Deutsche Bundesbank, Bank of Slovenia, Bank of Finland - Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT), Bank of Spain and Banque de France
Downloads 95 (563,801)

Abstract:

Loading...

critical inputs, geoeconomics, globalisation, global value chains, trade fragmentation

17.

Nowcasting Employment in the Euro Area

ECB Working Paper No. 2023/2815
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 15 May 2023
European Central Bank, European Commission-Joint Research Centre, European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Downloads 86 (595,441)

Abstract:

Loading...

forecasting, mixed frequency, real-time data

18.

The Why and the How of Combining VAR and Survey Density Forecasts

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 16 Aug 2024
European Central Bank, KU Leuven - Department of Economics, European Central Bank and Free University of Bozen-Bolzano
Downloads 15 (1,115,327)

Abstract:

Loading...

Entropic tilting, Judgement, Optimal Pooling, Real Time, Survey of Professional Forecasters

19.

Bayesian VARs with Large Panels

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6326
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 23 May 2008
European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and London Business School
Downloads 11 (1,165,506)
Citation 4
  • Add to Cart

Abstract:

Loading...

Bayesian VAR, forecasting, large cross-sections, monetary VAR