David M. Rothschild

Microsoft Research

New York City, NY NY 10011

United States

  • Microsoft Research

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

19

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TOTAL CITATIONS
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Top 29,204

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33

Scholarly Papers (19)

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1.

Math Education with Large Language Models: Peril or Promise?

Number of pages: 11 Posted: 01 Dec 2023 Last Revised: 14 Nov 2024
Harsh Kumar, David M. Rothschild, Daniel G. Goldstein and Jake M. Hofman
University of Toronto - Department of Computer Science, Microsoft Research, Microsoft Research New York City and Microsoft Research, New York City
Downloads 3,798 (5,889)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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education, large language models, llms, AI, generative AI, math, tutoring, human-AI interaction

2.

Trading Strategies and Market Microstructure: Evidence from a Prediction Market

The Journal of Prediction Markets 10 (1), 1-29, 2016
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 09 Sep 2013 Last Revised: 04 Oct 2016
David M. Rothschild and Rajiv Sethi
Microsoft Research and Barnard College, Columbia University
Downloads 3,703 (6,168)
Citation 10

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Prediction Markets, Market Microstructure, Trading Strategies, Manipulation

3.

The Favorite-Longshot Midas

Jacobs Levy Equity Management Center for Quantitative Financial Research Paper
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 14 Nov 2018 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2020
Etan Green, Haksoo Lee and David M. Rothschild
Wharton - Operations, Information and Decisions, Stanford Law School and Microsoft Research
Downloads 462 (124,998)

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deception, arbitrage, parallax and tax, favorite-longshot bias, neural network, structural estimation

4.

If a Tree Falls in the Forest: COVID-19, Media Choices, and Presidential Agenda Setting

Number of pages: 58 Posted: 23 Sep 2020 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2020
Masha Krupenkin, Kai Zhu, Dylan Walker and David M. Rothschild
Boston College Political Science, Bocconi University, Chapman University and Microsoft Research
Downloads 436 (134,281)

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5.

Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively collected Behavioral Data

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 30 Mar 2020 Last Revised: 27 Jan 2021
Tobias Konitzer, Jennifer Allen, Stephanie Eckman, Baird Howland, Markus M. Mobius, Markus M. Mobius, David M. Rothschild and Duncan Watts
Stanford University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, RTI International, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - School of InformationMicrosoft Corporation - Microsoft Research New England, Microsoft Research and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 431 (135,735)
Citation 4

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Survey Research, Behavioral Data, News Consumption

6.

The Extent of Price Misalignment in Prediction Markets

Algorithmic Finance 2014, 3:1-2, 3-20
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 27 May 2014
David M. Rothschild and David M. Pennock
Microsoft Research and Microsoft Corporation - Microsoft Research, New York City
Downloads 354 (169,408)

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7.

Evaluating the Fake News Problem at the Scale of the Information Ecosystem

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 26 Dec 2019
Jennifer Allen, Baird Howland, Markus M. Mobius, Markus M. Mobius, David M. Rothschild and Duncan Watts
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, affiliation not provided to SSRN, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - School of InformationMicrosoft Corporation - Microsoft Research New England, Microsoft Research and University of Pennsylvania
Downloads 331 (182,187)
Citation 7

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news, media, misinformation, fake news, television, online, social media

8.

Steroids, Sneakers, Coach: The Spectrum of Human-AI Relationships

Number of pages: 6 Posted: 17 Oct 2023
Jake M. Hofman, Daniel G. Goldstein and David M. Rothschild
Microsoft Research, New York City, Microsoft Research New York City and Microsoft Research
Downloads 291 (209,568)

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9.

One Person, One Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections

American Political Science Review, Volume 114, Issue 2, May 2020, pp. 456 - 469
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 17 Aug 2021
Sharad Goel, Marc Meredith, Michael Morse, David M. Rothschild and Houshmand Shirani-Mehr
Stanford University, University of Pennsylvania, University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School, Microsoft Research and Stanford University - Department of Management Science & Engineering
Downloads 203 (296,908)
Citation 9

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election administration, voter fraud, double voting

10.

The Dynamic Impact of Temporally Turning off TV Ad on Search: Evidence from the U.S. Wireless Telecom Industry

HKUST Business School Research Paper No. 2024-144
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 08 Jul 2021 Last Revised: 19 Mar 2024
Jia Liu, Shawndra Hill and David M. Rothschild
HKUST Business School, Microsoft Corporation - Microsoft Research, New York City and Microsoft Research
Downloads 192 (312,501)

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TV advertising, keyword search, policy evaluation, synthetic control estimation, spillover effect, quasi-experiment

11.

Opportunities and risks of LLMs in survey research

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 21 Nov 2024
David M. Rothschild, James Brand, Hope Schroeder and Jenny Wang
Microsoft Research, Microsoft, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Harvard Business School
Downloads 113 (482,223)

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LLM, Survey

12.

A Taxonomy for Understanding and Identifying Uncertainty in AI-Generated Responses

Number of pages: 7 Posted: 21 May 2024
Snehal Prabhudesai, Daniel G. Goldstein, Jake M. Hofman and David M. Rothschild
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Microsoft Research New York City, Microsoft Research, New York City and Microsoft Research
Downloads 102 (519,400)

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Taxonomy, LLM, Uncertainty, Error

13.

Streaming Services and Multilevel Conversion Journeys

Number of pages: 18 Posted: 06 Dec 2023
Sidharth Satya, David M. Rothschild and Elad Yom-Tov
Microsoft Corporation - Microsoft Research, New York City, Microsoft Research and Bar-Ilan University
Downloads 73 (635,698)

Abstract:

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Streaming service, search ads, conversion funnel

14.

Strategic Polling Limits the External Validity of Early Election Polling

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 04 Aug 2020
Ling L. Dong and David M. Rothschild
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Microsoft Research
Downloads 72 (640,473)

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Polling, President, Strategic Polling, External Validity

15.

Search conversion journeys and the missed opportunity of associated keywords

Number of pages: 13 Posted: 29 Nov 2023
David M. Rothschild, Coen Needell, Joe Veverka and Elad Yom-Tov
Microsoft Research, University of Pennsylvania, Microsoft Corporation and Bar-Ilan University
Downloads 30 (915,446)

Abstract:

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advertising, consumer behavior, conversion journey, search

16.

Auto-Complete: A Hidden Recommendation Engine

Number of pages: 17 Posted: 03 Jul 2024
Jared Katzman and David M. Rothschild
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and Microsoft Research
Downloads 18 (1,038,292)

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search query suggestions, user search behavior, query auto-complete

17.

From Anti-China Rhetoric to Anti-Asian Behavior: The Social and Economic Cost of 'Kung-Flu'

Posted: 15 Jun 2022
Justin T. Huang, Masha Krupenkin, David M. Rothschild and Julia Lee
Ross School of Business, Boston College Political Science, Microsoft Research and University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business

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consumer discrimination; small business entrepreneurship, COVID-19 pandemic, racism and stigmatization, anti-Asian hate

18.

Data Quality of Platforms and Panels for Online Behavioral Research

http://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13428-021-01694-3
Posted: 09 Mar 2021 Last Revised: 30 Sep 2021
Eyal Peer, David M. Rothschild, Zak Evernden, Andrew Gordon and Ekaterina Damer
Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Federmann School of Government and Public Policy, Microsoft Research, Prolific Inc., Prolific Inc. and Prolific Inc.

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19.

Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and Their Biases

Public Opinion Quarterly, Vol. 73, Issue 5, pp. 895-916, 2009
Posted: 11 Jan 2010
David M. Rothschild
Microsoft Research

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