Junye Li

Fudan University - School of Management

No. 670, Guoshun Road

No.670 Guoshun Road

Shanghai, 200433

China

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

33

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13,583

TOTAL CITATIONS
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Top 5,103

in Total Papers Citations

234

Scholarly Papers (33)

1.

Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Currency Returns

Number of pages: 77 Posted: 12 Oct 2023 Last Revised: 07 Jan 2025
Junye Li, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 1,260 (35,279)

Abstract:

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Currency risk premia, asset pricing, skewness risk, crash risk, stochastic discount factor.

2.

Deep Tangency Portfolio

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 11 Mar 2022 Last Revised: 13 Nov 2024
City University of Hong Kong (CityU), Fudan University - Fanhai International School of Finance (FISF), Fudan University - School of Management and City University of Hong Kong (CityU)
Downloads 874 (59,323)
Citation 1

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Deep Tangency Portfolio, Deep Learning, Corporate Bonds, IPCA, RP-PCA

3.

Real-Time Macro Information and Bond Return Predictability: A Weighted Group Deep Learning Approach

Number of pages: 60 Posted: 03 Feb 2020 Last Revised: 14 Dec 2022
City University of Hong Kong (CityU), City University of Hong Kong (CityU), ESSEC Business School and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 836 (63,052)
Citation 3

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Deep Learning, Bond Return Predictability, Real-Time Macro Data, News Topic Attentions.

4.

Machine Learning and the Yield Curve: Tree-Based Macroeconomic Regime Switching

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 18 Sep 2024
City University of Hong Kong (CityU), University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics, City University of Hong Kong (CityU) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 778 (69,336)

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Decision Tree, Macro-Finance, Term Structure, Regime Switching, Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model, Bayesian Estimation JEL Classification: C11, E43, G12

5.

Option Mispricing and Alpha Portfolios

ESSEC Business School Research Paper No. 2023-01, Proceedings of the EUROFIDAI-ESSEC Paris December Finance Meeting 2023
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 13 Jul 2022 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2024
Andras Fulop, Junye Li and Mo Wang
ESSEC Business School, Fudan University - School of Management and ESSEC Business School
Downloads 692 (80,762)

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Option Return Predictability, Mispricing, Latent Factor Model, Alpha Portfolio, Projected PCA

6.

Efficient Learning via Simulation: A Marginalized Resample-Move Approach

Number of pages: 50 Posted: 12 Dec 2010 Last Revised: 07 Mar 2013
Andras Fulop and Junye Li
ESSEC Business School and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 642 (88,913)
Citation 17

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State-Space Models, Particle Filters, Parameter Learning, State Filtering, Resample-Move, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Stochastic Volatility, Credit Risk

7.

Uncommon Factors and Asset Heterogeneity in the Cross Section and Time Series

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 29 Sep 2022 Last Revised: 26 Jun 2023
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management, City University of Hong Kong (CityU), City University of Hong Kong (CityU) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 625 (92,003)
Citation 1

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Decision Tree, Bayesian Spike-and-Slab, Factor Selection, Heterogeneity, Structural Breaks.

8.

The Variance Risk Premium: Components, Term Structures, and Stock Return Predictability

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 05 Jun 2014 Last Revised: 06 Apr 2016
Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 595 (97,897)
Citation 11

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Self-Exciting Jumps, Variance Risk Premia, Extreme Downside Events, Investors' Fear, Stock Return Predictability, Particle Filter.

9.

Currency Return Dynamics: What Is the Role of U.S. Macroeconomic Regimes? 

Number of pages: 62 Posted: 12 Jul 2024 Last Revised: 14 Jan 2025
City University of Hong Kong (CityU), City University of Hong Kong (CityU), Fudan University - School of Management, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School and City University of Hong Kong (CityU)
Downloads 546 (109,143)

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Business Cycles, Currency Returns, Panel Tree, Regime Shifts, Risk Premia

10.

Real-Time Bayesian Learning and Bond Return Predictability

Number of pages: 41 Posted: 03 Jun 2017 Last Revised: 28 Oct 2019
Andras Fulop, Junye Li and Runqing WAN
ESSEC Business School, Fudan University - School of Management and Capital University of Economics and Business - International School of Economics and Management
Downloads 530 (113,276)
Citation 7

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Bayesian Learning, Bond Return Predictability, Non-overlapping Bond Returns, Parameter Uncertainty, Model Combinations, Real-Time Macroeconomic Information

11.

Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, and Asset Pricing Implications

Number of pages: 52 Posted: 07 Jan 2012 Last Revised: 18 Jun 2014
Andras Fulop, Junye Li and Jun Yu
ESSEC Business School, Fudan University - School of Management and Singapore Management University - School of Economics
Downloads 494 (123,363)
Citation 4

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Self-Excitation, Jump Clustering, Tail Behaviors, Parameter Learning, Sequential Bayes Factor, Excess Volatility, Volatility Forecasting, Option Pricing

12.

Option-Implied Volatility Factors and the Cross-Section of Market Risk Premia

Number of pages: 42 Posted: 21 Jan 2010 Last Revised: 14 May 2011
Junye Li
Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 492 (123,968)
Citation 4

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Stochastic Discount Factor, Volatility Components, Volatility Risk Premia, Value and Size Effects, Unscented Kalman Filter

13.

Option-Implied Variance Asymmetry and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 18 Sep 2017 Last Revised: 19 Apr 2018
Tao Huang and Junye Li
Beijing Normal University-Hong Kong Baptist University United International College and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 426 (147,158)
Citation 8

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Risk-Neutral Semivariances, Implied Variance Asymmetry, Risk-Neutral Skewness, Return Predictability, Informed Trading, Liquidity

Sparse Modeling Under Grouped Heterogeneity with an Application to Asset Pricing

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 24 Jul 2023 Last Revised: 06 Sep 2023
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management, City University of Hong Kong (CityU), City University of Hong Kong (CityU) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 343 (185,931)

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Asset Pricing, Bayesian Estimation, Clustering Tree, Factors, Heterogeneity, Panel Data, Sparsity, Spike-and-Slab, Structural Breaks

Sparse Modeling Under Grouped Heterogeneity with an Application to Asset Pricing

NBER Working Paper No. w31424
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 24 Jul 2023
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management, City University of Hong Kong (CityU), City University of Hong Kong (CityU) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 15 (1,247,566)
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How Much of Bank Credit Risk Is Sovereign Risk? Evidence from Europe

Number of pages: 91 Posted: 16 Feb 2015 Last Revised: 03 Jul 2017
Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 247 (262,688)
Citation 1

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Sovereign and bank credit risk; Credit default swaps; Distress risk premia; Bayesian estimation

How Much of Bank Credit Risk is Sovereign Risk? Evidence from the Eurozone

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 990
Number of pages: 78 Posted: 28 Feb 2015
Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 90 (616,775)
Citation 36

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Sovereign and Bank Credit Risk, Credit Default Swaps, Distress Risk Premia, Bayesian Estimation

16.

An Unscented Kalman Smoother for Volatility Extraction: Evidence from Stock Prices and Options

Number of pages: 23 Posted: 10 Mar 2013
Junye Li
Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 321 (201,397)
Citation 3

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Non-linear Gaussian state-space models, Non-linear Kalman filters, Unscented Kalman smoother, Heston stochastic volatility model, Option pricing

On Bank Credit Risk: Systemic or Bank-Specific? Evidence from the US and UK

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis (JFQA), Forthcoming
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 01 Nov 2013 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2014
Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 221 (292,980)
Citation 46

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Systemic Bank Credit Risk; Credit default swaps; Sovereign Credit Risk; Distress Risk Premia; Bayesian Estimation

On Bank Credit Risk: Systemic or Bank-Specific? Evidence from the US and UK

Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 951
Number of pages: 79 Posted: 04 Apr 2014
Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 92 (608,192)
Citation 65

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systemic bank credit Risk, credit default swaps, distress risk premia, Bayesian estimation

18.

Bayesian Estimation of Dynamic Asset Pricing Models with Informative Observations

Number of pages: 55 Posted: 12 Oct 2016 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2018
Andras Fulop and Junye Li
ESSEC Business School and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 310 (209,112)
Citation 10

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Non-affineness, Self-Exciting Jumps, Optimal Proposal Density, Auxiliary Particle Filter, Common Random Numbers, Sequential Monte Carlo Sampler

19.

Mispricing and Arbitrage Portfolios in China

Number of pages: 69 Posted: 18 Jan 2023 Last Revised: 14 Apr 2023
Jiawei Hong, Junye Li, Chuyu Wang and Mo Wang
Fudan University - School of Management, Fudan University - School of Management, Fudan University - School of Management and ESSEC Business School
Downloads 301 (215,774)

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The Chinese Stock Market, Mispricing, Arbitrage Portfolio, Projected PCA

20.

R&D Information Quality and Stock Returns

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 01 Feb 2016 Last Revised: 14 Jan 2019
Tao Huang, Junye Li, Fei Wu and Ning Zhu
Beijing Normal University-Hong Kong Baptist University United International College, Fudan University - School of Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University (SJTU) - Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance (SAIF) and Shanghai Jiao Tong University (SJTU) - Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance (SAIF)
Downloads 300 (216,561)

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Research and Development; Innovation; Information Quality; Return Predictability; Factor Models.

21.

Bayesian Estimation of Long-Run Risk Models Using Sequential Monte Carlo

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 06 May 2020 Last Revised: 24 Oct 2020
ESSEC Business School, ESSEC Business School, Fudan University - School of Management and The University of Manchester - Alliance Manchester Business School
Downloads 289 (225,262)
Citation 7

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Asset Pricing, Long-Run Risk, Autoregressive Gamma Process, Log-linearization, Projection Methods, Particle Filters, Sequential Monte Carlo Sampler

22.

Heteroskedastic SDF and Learning about Time-Varying Factor Risk Premia

Number of pages: 49 Posted: 29 Oct 2024 Last Revised: 19 Nov 2024
Jingyu He and Junye Li
City University of Hong Kong (CityU) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 285 (228,553)

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Hansen-Jagannathan Bound, Stochastic Discount Factor, Bayesian Learning, Factor Timing, Volatility Timing, Factor Momentum

23.

A Spectral Estimation of Tempered Stable Stochastic Volatility Models and Option Pricing

Number of pages: 29 Posted: 22 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 13 Dec 2010
Fudan University - School of Management, Bocconi University - Department of Economics and Bocconi University - Department of Finance
Downloads 238 (274,115)

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Empirical Characteristic Function, Stochastic Volatility, Infinite Activity Jumps, Volatility Jumps, Continuous GMM

24.

Volatility-managed Portfolios in the Chinese Equity Market

Number of pages: 63 Posted: 29 Nov 2023 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2024
Junye Li and Chuyu Wang
Fudan University - School of Management and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 229 (284,647)

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Timing Strategy, Volatility-managed Portfolio (VMP), Chinese Equity Market JEL Classification: G11

25.

Risks and Risk Premia in the US Treasury Market

Number of pages: 110 Posted: 13 Jul 2020 Last Revised: 09 Jan 2023
Junye Li, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna
Fudan University - School of Management, University of Cambridge - Judge Business School and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 228 (285,841)

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treasury market, risk-return trade-off, term structure models, bond risk premium, macro risk

26.

Estimating and Testing Long-Run Risk Models: International Evidence

Number of pages: 87 Posted: 01 Jun 2021 Last Revised: 19 Oct 2022
ESSEC Business School, Fudan University - School of Management, The University of Manchester - Alliance Manchester Business School and University of Essex
Downloads 221 (294,493)
Citation 3

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Consumption, equity premium, long run risk, stochastic discount factor, sequential Monte Carlo

27.

Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Exchange Rate Dynamics: A No-Arbitrage Macro-Finance Approach

Number of pages: 39 Posted: 12 Dec 2010 Last Revised: 08 Oct 2013
Weiwei Yin and Junye Li
Bocconi University and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 211 (307,878)
Citation 3

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Exchange rate movements, Macroeconomic fundamentals, Forward premium anomaly, Stochastic discount factor, Term structure of interest rates, Unscented Kalman filter

28.

Downside Variance Premium, Firm Fundamentals, and Expected Corporate Bond Returns

Number of pages: 48 Posted: 09 Jul 2020 Last Revised: 01 Aug 2023
Tao Huang, Liang Jiang and Junye Li
Beijing Normal University-Hong Kong Baptist University United International College, Fudan University - Fanhai International School of Finance (FISF) and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 201 (322,117)

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Downside variance Premium, Corporate Bond Return Predictability, Equity Options, Probability of Default, Credit Rating Downgrade, Cash Flow Uncertainty

29.

Sequential Bayesian Analysis of Time-Changed Infinite Activity Derivatives Pricing Models

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 21 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 15 Dec 2010
Junye Li
Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 195 (331,328)
Citation 3

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Infinite Activity Levy Processes, Brownian Subordination, Stochastic Volatility, Unscented Kalman Filter, Sequential Monte Carlo

30.

Volatility Components, Leverage Effects, and the Return-Volatility Relations

Journal of Banking and Finance, Forthcoming
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 24 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 15 Dec 2010
Junye Li
Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 192 (336,118)
Citation 1

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Return-Risk Trade-Off, Volatility Components, Leverage Effects, Bayesian Methods, Asymmetric GARCH

31.

Risks and Risk Premia in the Us Treasury Market 1

Number of pages: 110 Posted: 16 Jan 2023
Lucio Sarno, Junye Li and Gabriele Zinna
University of Cambridge - Judge Business School, Fudan University - School of Management and Bank of Italy - Research Department
Downloads 114 (517,799)

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Treasury market, risk-return trade-off, term structure models, bond risk premium, macro risk. JEL Classification: C58, E43, G12

32.

Efficient Likelihood-based Estimation via Annealing for Dynamic Structural Macrofinance Models

Number of pages: 70 Posted: 08 Jul 2021 Last Revised: 18 Jan 2022
Andras Fulop, Jeremy Heng and Junye Li
ESSEC Business School, ESSEC Business School and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 114 (517,799)

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Sequential Monte Carlo, Particle Filters, Approximate Dynamic Programming, Annealing, SMC^2, DSGE, Long-Run Risk

33.

More stringent, more efficient? Short-selling activities and anomaly mispricing in China


Number of pages: 58 Posted: 11 Feb 2025 Last Revised: 07 Apr 2025
Chuyu Wang and Junye Li
Fudan University - School of Management and Fudan University - School of Management
Downloads 36 (959,265)

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Short-selling Activity, Anomaly Portfolios, Institutional Investors, the Chinese equity market JEL classification: G11